FC Vitebsk are favoured to win at home against Naftan, with a 58% chance of victory, a 25% chance of a draw and a 17% chance of an away win. The model expects 2.6 goals in total, with the most likely total of 2 goals at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.1% probability. Vitebsk’s home form shows they average 1.09 goals scored and 1.09 conceded against similar opponents, while Naftan’s away form averages 0.88 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 at 99.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.2%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.8%, Under 6.5 at 98.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.2%, Under 5.5 at 94.8%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 94.8%, and Home +2 handicap at 94.2%. Vitebsk are coming off a win, while Naftan are after two straight defeats.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved spot on as FC Vitebsk secured a 2-0 home win, extending their two-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was chosen with a 58% probability and the result matched the forecast. The most likely total of 2 goals materialised, with the 1-1, 1-0 and 2-0 outcomes all close in probability. Every suggested pick hit: Under 7.5 (99.4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.8%), Under 6.5 (98.1%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.6%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.1%), Under 5.5 (94.7%) and Home +2 handicap (94.4%). The selections largely came in, confirming the model’s accuracy.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Vitebsk win✓ Hit
58.2%
Avg Implied 65.0% · @ 1.41
Edge
-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.45
Superbet
1.44
Dafabet
1.43
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Draw✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied 22.0% · @ 4.17
Edge
+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.30
Dafabet
4.30
Superbet
4.25
Pinnacle
3.98
Naftan win✗ Miss
16.7%
Avg Implied 12.9% · @ 7.10
Edge
+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
8.30
1xBet
8.25
Dafabet
6.80
Pinnacle
6.56
Superbet
6.40
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Vitebsk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.37
1.00
1.15
1.12
1.53
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.75
0.50
1.50
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.15
1.31
1.09
1.09
1.20
1.47
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Naftan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Naftan
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.93
1.87
1.67
0.60
2.20
vs Stronger (12)
0.67
2.58
1.00
2.50
0.33
2.67
vs Similar (18)
1.61
1.50
2.44
1.11
0.78
1.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Vitebsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.3%
@ 1.27+3.5%
Under 1.5
24.7%
@ 3.24-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Under
Superbet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.18
1xBet
3.18
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.3%
@ 1.94+1.0%
Under 2.5
50.7%
@ 1.82-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Pinnacle
1.98
SBO
1.90
Superbet
1.88
Under
SBO
1.88
Superbet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.81
Marathonbet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.4%
@ 3.27-0.5%
Under 3.5
72.6%
@ 1.27+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.30
Superbet
3.20
Under
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.1%
@ 2.19+6.8%
No
50.9%
@ 1.60-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.22
Superbet
2.12
No
Superbet
1.65
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.57
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%@ 7.57+6.3%
1-0
11.6%@ 5.42+3.6%
2-0 ✓
11.3%@ 5.70+3.7%
2-1
9.7%@ 7.54+4.0%
0-0
8.2%@ 9.76+3.7%
3-0
6.7%@ 8.76+1.8%
3-1
5.8%@ 12.03+2.2%
0-1
5.0%@ 16.38+2.4%
FC Vitebsk goals ↓
Naftan goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.2%
5.0%
2.6%
0.8%
0.2%
1
12%
12%
4.7%
1.3%
0.3%
2
11%
9.7%
4.2%
1.2%
0.3%
3
6.7%
5.8%
2.5%
0.7%
0.2%
4
3.0%
2.6%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Vitebsk goals (down), columns = Naftan goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.67
FC Vitebsk
2.57
ML Vitebsk
2.00
Neman
1.67
Dinamo Brest
1.67
Bate Borisov
1.60
Dinamo Minsk
1.50
FC Minsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
Belshina
1.00
Naftan
0.67
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.57
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.43
FC Vitebsk is 1.90 points better than Naftan in terms of average points per game (2.57 vs 0.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Minsk
2.25
Dinamo Brest
2.00
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.83
ML Vitebsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
FC Vitebsk
1.29
Naftan
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Bate Borisov
1.00
Neman
1.00
Belshina
0.83
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.71
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.71
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
FC Vitebsk is 0.12 goals better than Naftan in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Vitebsk
0.14
ML Vitebsk
0.50
FC Gomel
0.50
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0.67
Neman
0.67
Dinamo Minsk
0.75
Bate Borisov
1.00
Dinamo Brest
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Slavia Mozyr
1.20
Belshina
1.33
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.43
Baranovichi
1.43
Torpedo Zhodino
1.67
Arsenal (Belarus)
2.43
Naftan
3.00
FC Vitebsk is 2.86 goals better than Naftan in terms of goals conceded per game (0.14 vs 3.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
ML Vitebsk
63%
Dinamo Minsk
60%
Neman
58%
FC Gomel
55%
Torpedo Zhodino
54%
Dinamo Brest
52%
FC Dnepr Mogilev
50%
Slavia Mozyr
49%
Arsenal (Belarus)
48%
FC Minsk
48%
FC Isloch Minsk R.
47%
Bate Borisov
46%
FC Vitebsk
46%
Baranovichi
44%
Belshina
43%
Naftan
43%
FC Vitebsk is 3.0 percentage points better than Naftan in terms of average possession (46% vs 43%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Vitebsk
For 3.3 · Against 7.0 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.6 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.7 · Against 11.3 · Total 20.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Naftan
For 5.0 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 12.0 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Vitebsk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.0
10.5
2.7
2.7
2.7
20.0
26.0
17.0
vs Stronger (5)
-
-
-
1.4
1.0
2.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
10.3
10.0
10.5
2.8
2.9
2.8
20.0
26.0
17.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
67%
100%
50%
40%
38%
42%
33%
100%
0%
% under line
33%
0%
50%
60%
62%
58%
67%
0%
100%
This opponent (Naftan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Naftan
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
12.0
8.0
2.6
2.4
2.8
21.7
20.0
25.0
vs Stronger (17)
10.0
10.0
-
2.0
1.8
2.3
21.0
21.0
-
vs Similar (33)
11.0
14.0
8.0
2.9
2.8
3.0
22.0
19.0
25.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
67%
100%
0%
28%
27%
29%
33%
0%
100%
% under line
33%
0%
100%
72%
73%
71%
67%
100%
0%
This opponent (FC Vitebsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Gomel
11.7
Slavia Mozyr
11.2
Bate Borisov
11.2
Baranovichi
11.2
ML Vitebsk
11.0
Dinamo Brest
11.0
Belshina
10.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
10.8
Torpedo Zhodino
10.7
Naftan
10.7
Dinamo Minsk
10.6
FC Vitebsk
10.3
FC Dnepr Mogilev
9.7
Arsenal (Belarus)
9.0
FC Minsk
8.6
Neman
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Belshina
4.8
ML Vitebsk
4.0
Bate Borisov
3.6
Slavia Mozyr
3.4
Arsenal (Belarus)
3.3
Dinamo Minsk
3.2
Naftan
3.1
FC Vitebsk
3.1
FC Gomel
3.0
Neman
2.9
FC Minsk
2.9
FC Dnepr Mogilev
2.8
Dinamo Brest
2.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.8
Baranovichi
2.8
Torpedo Zhodino
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
ML Vitebsk
36.8
Torpedo Zhodino
30.0
FC Gomel
28.5
Dinamo Brest
28.5
Bate Borisov
28.2
Baranovichi
27.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
27.5
Dinamo Minsk
26.1
Slavia Mozyr
24.8
FC Dnepr Mogilev
23.2
Naftan
21.7
Belshina
21.0
FC Vitebsk
20.0
Arsenal (Belarus)
19.7
Neman
19.0
FC Minsk
17.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
59.0%
Under 9.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.9%
Under 3.5
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
80.3%
Under 21.5
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Vitebsk or Draw✓ Hit
83.3%
Avg Implied 87.5% · @ 1.05
Edge
-4.2%
58%
25%
17%
covers FC Vitebsk + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
SBO
1.03
FC Vitebsk or Naftan✓ Hit
74.9%
Avg Implied 78.4% · @ 1.18
Edge
-3.5%
58%
25%
17%
covers FC Vitebsk + Naftan
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Superbet
1.18
SBO
1.14
Draw or Naftan✗ Miss
41.8%
Avg Implied 34.1% · @ 2.70
Edge
+7.7%
58%
25%
17%
covers Draw + Naftan
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.84
Marathonbet
2.84
Superbet
2.57
SBO
2.55
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Vitebsk over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.3%
@ 1.10-0.4%
Under
16.7%
@ 5.67+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.09
Under
1xBet
5.95
Superbet
5.40
FC Vitebsk over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
53.3%
@ 1.64-3.7%
Under
46.7%
@ 2.18+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.66
Marathonbet
1.65
1xBet
1.65
Superbet
1.61
Under
1xBet
2.19
Marathonbet
2.19
Superbet
2.17
Pinnacle
2.16
FC Vitebsk over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
26.6%
@ 2.92-5.2%
Under
73.4%
@ 1.36+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.95
Marathonbet
2.95
Superbet
2.85
Under
Superbet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
FC Vitebsk over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.7%
@ 6.15-4.2%
Under
89.3%
@ 1.07+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.15
1xBet
6.15
Under
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Naftan over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
57.7%
@ 1.91+9.1%
Under
42.3%
@ 1.80-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.94
1xBet
1.94
Pinnacle
1.92
Superbet
1.83
Under
Superbet
1.88
Pinnacle
1.84
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Naftan over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
21.3%
@ 6.03+5.9%
Under
78.7%
@ 1.10-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.55
Marathonbet
6.55
Superbet
5.00
Under
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
Naftan over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.7%
@ 16.00-0.3%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.01+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Under
Superbet
1.01
Naftan over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Vitebsk, so a minus line means FC Vitebsk give that many goals of a start and Naftan receive them. At -1, FC Vitebsk must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Vitebsk win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Vitebsk)Actual: Draw
FC Vitebsk -2
15.7%
@ 4.05-6.8%
Draw -2
18.3%
@ 4.30-2.9%
Naftan +2
65.9%
@ 1.62+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.05
Draw
Marathonbet
4.30
Away
Marathonbet
1.62
Handicap -1 (FC Vitebsk)Actual: FC Vitebsk
FC Vitebsk -1
34.1%
@ 2.22-6.8%
Draw -1
24.1%
@ 3.34-3.0%
Naftan +1
41.8%
@ 2.84+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.22
Draw
Marathonbet
3.34
Away
Marathonbet
2.84
Handicap +1 (FC Vitebsk)Actual: FC Vitebsk
FC Vitebsk +1
83.3%
Draw +1
11.1%
Naftan -1
5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC Vitebsk)Actual: FC Vitebsk
FC Vitebsk +2
94.4%
Draw +2
4.3%
Naftan -2
1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Vitebsk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.60
0.38
0.85
0.35
0.41
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.75
0.50
1.50
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.35
0.58
0.36
0.73
0.33
0.47
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Naftan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Naftan
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.10
0.93
1.00
0.27
1.20
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
1.50
0.50
1.67
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.83
1.22
0.56
0.22
1.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Vitebsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.3%
@ 1.38+6.1%
Under 0.5
26.7%
@ 2.82-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.37
Superbet
1.35
Under
Superbet
2.95
Pinnacle
2.88
Marathonbet
2.73
1xBet
2.73
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
35.8%
@ 2.80+2.8%
Under 1.5
64.2%
@ 1.39-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.89
1xBet
2.89
Pinnacle
2.76
Superbet
2.67
Under
Superbet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.40
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.2%
@ 7.10-0.7%
Under 2.5
87.8%
@ 1.05+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.50
1xBet
7.50
Superbet
6.30
Under
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Vitebsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
56.8%
@ 1.61-0.8%
Under
43.2%
@ 2.18+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Under
Pinnacle
2.25
Superbet
2.22
1xBet
2.13
Marathonbet
2.13
FC Vitebsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
18.6%
@ 4.25-3.0%
Under
81.4%
@ 1.17+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
4.25
Under
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
FC Vitebsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Naftan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
34.5%
@ 3.49+8.1%
Under
65.5%
@ 1.25-8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.64
Marathonbet
3.64
Superbet
3.20
Under
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Naftan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.0%
Under
93.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Naftan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Vitebsk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.77
0.62
0.31
0.76
1.12
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
0.81
0.73
0.73
0.36
0.87
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Naftan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Naftan
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.83
0.93
0.67
0.33
1.00
vs Stronger (12)
0.25
1.08
0.50
0.83
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (18)
0.89
0.67
1.22
0.56
0.56
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Vitebsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
78.7%
@ 1.22+3.5%
Under 0.5
21.3%
@ 3.71-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Under
Superbet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.66
1xBet
3.66
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
46.4%
@ 2.15+2.9%
Under 1.5
53.6%
@ 1.65-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.16
1xBet
2.16
Superbet
2.12
Under
Superbet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
1xBet
1.65
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
27.0%
@ 4.65+7.2%
Under 2.5
73.0%
@ 1.14-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.75
Superbet
4.45
Under
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Vitebsk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
65.5%
@ 1.42+0.2%
Under
34.5%
@ 2.67-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.43
1xBet
1.40
Under
1xBet
2.68
Superbet
2.65
FC Vitebsk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
29.5%
@ 2.98-1.4%
Under
70.5%
@ 1.33+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.98
Marathonbet
2.98
Under
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
FC Vitebsk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.8%
Under
81.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Naftan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
40.2%
@ 2.86+7.9%
Under
59.8%
@ 1.36-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.96
1xBet
2.96
Superbet
2.65
Under
Superbet
1.42
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Naftan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.8%
Under
91.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Naftan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.7%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
94.3%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
89.3%
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-
-
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.8%
1.05
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
-
-
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
87.1%
1.07
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
-
-
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
83.3%
1.05
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
SBO
1.03
-
-4.2%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
83.3%
1.10
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.09
-
-
-
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
81.4%
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
-
-
-
+3.0%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 2H goals
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.7%
1.22
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
-
-
+3.5%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals
78.7%
1.10
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
-
-
-5.9%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.3%
1.27
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
74.9%
1.18
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Superbet
1.18
SBO
1.14
-
-3.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
73.4%
1.36
Superbet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
-
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.3%
1.38
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.37
Superbet
1.35
-
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
73.0%
1.14
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-
-7.2%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.6%
1.27
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
-
-
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
70.5%
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
-
-
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
DM (27)
€9m
DB (23)
€7m
TZ (31)
€5m
BB (26)
€4m
SM (25)
€4m
FG (23)
€4m
NEM (28)
€4m
FIM (23)
€4m
FM (25)
€3m
FDM (25)
€3m
FV (24)
€3m
BAR (21)
€2m
NAF (21)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
A( (17)
€2m
FC Vitebsk and Naftan have a similar squad value (both €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
DM (8)
€3m
DB (5)
€2m
FG (8)
€2m
FV (13)
€2m
TZ (10)
€2m
BB (8)
€1m
FDM (9)
€1m
NEM (9)
€1m
FM (9)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
BAR (8)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
A( (5)
€1m
NAF (4)
€0m
FC Vitebsk's attack is €1m more valuable than Naftan's (€2m vs €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
DM (8)
€2m
NEM (9)
€2m
TZ (7)
€2m
BB (9)
€2m
DB (5)
€1m
SM (10)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
NAF (9)
€1m
FG (5)
€1m
FDM (6)
€1m
FM (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
A( (5)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
FV (3)
€0m
FC Vitebsk and Naftan have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
DM (11)
€3m
DB (13)
€3m
TZ (14)
€2m
SM (10)
€2m
FIM (7)
€2m
FM (11)
€1m
FG (10)
€1m
BB (9)
€1m
FDM (10)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
BAR (9)
€1m
NEM (10)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
A( (7)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
FC Vitebsk and Naftan have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Belarus: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Dinamo Brest
Neman
FC Minsk
Baranovichi
FC Gomel
ML Vitebsk
Bate Borisov
Slavia Mozyr
Dinamo Minsk
Belshina
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Torpedo Zhodino
Arsenal (Belarus)