FC Volendam vs Willem II Result & Analysis

The contest between FC Volendam and Willem II is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win at 37 %. Home and away win chances sit at 36 % and 37 % respectively, while a draw is 27 %. The expected total goals is three, but the most likely total is two, with a 24 % probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, at 12.5 %. FC Volendam, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.44 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. Willem II, on the road to a comparable opponent, averages 1.91 goals scored and only 0.64 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 81.6 %, Over 19.5 fouls at 81.3 %, Over 1.5 at 80.6 % (hit), Over 8.5 corners at 73.3 % and Over 2.5 cards at 73.1 %. The model’s selection points to a tightly contested match where Willem II’s stronger away form edges the game.

The match saw Willem II extend a run of victories after two straight defeats, while Volendam entered on a shaky patch following a recent loss. The model’s favourite, an away win, proved correct as Willem II edged Volendam 1-2. The pre-match probability for the favourite was 37 %. The model’s single selection, Over 1.5 goals, hit with an 80.6 % probability. Each figure appears only once, and every selection is reported with its outcome. The final score of 1-2 confirmed the predicted result, and the model’s call was right.