FC WIL 1900 vs FC Aarau Result & Analysis

Date: 31/08/2026

Time: 18:15

Final 2-2

FC WIL 1900

26%

24%

51%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

FC Aarau

Switzerland: Challenge League

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

FC Aarau’s recent win and a higher average away scoring rate of 1.7 goals per game give the model a 51% edge for an away victory, the most likely outcome. The home side, FC WIL 1900, has a 26% chance of winning and a 24% chance of a draw, so the match is expected to finish with an away win. The expected total goals are 3.4, with the most probable total of 3 goals at 22%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.3% probability. FC WIL 1900 scores 1.31 and concedes 1.54 goals at home against similar-strength opponents, while FC Aarau scores 1.7 and concedes 1.8 away. Suggested selections include Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.2% with a 7% edge, Under 7.5 at 97.8%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.6% with an 8% edge, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 94.9% with a 5% edge, Home under 3.5 goals at 94.8% with a 4% edge, Under 6.5 at 94.3% with a 5% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 92.4% with a 5% edge, and Home under 1.5 HT goals at 89.1% with a 4% edge.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, an away win, fell short as FC WIL 1900 and FC Aarau settled for a 2-2 draw. The model’s prediction was wrong, with a 51% probability for the away side. The match’s final score of 2-2 matched the actual result, confirming the draw. The model’s selections were all accurate: Home under 2.5 HT goals hit with 98.2% confidence, Under 7.5 hit at 97.8%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.5%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.0%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 94.8%, Under 6.5 hit at 94.3%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 91.8%, and Home under 1.5 HT goals hit at 88.6%. The game saw both sides finish their recent streaks with a draw, extending each team’s series of low-scoring encounters.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC WIL 1900 win✗ Miss

25.7%

Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.26

Edge

-2.3%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

3.51

1xBet

3.36

Unibet

3.30

Dafabet

3.30

Bet365

3.30

Draw✓ Hit

23.6%

Avg Implied 26.7% · @ 3.42

Edge

-3.1%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

3.62

BetVictor

3.60

Bet365

3.50

Betfair

3.50

Superbet

3.45

FC Aarau win✗ Miss

50.7%

Avg Implied 45.3% · @ 2.02

Edge

+5.4%

Best 5 market prices

Betano

2.10

Dafabet

2.09

SBO

2.08

Superbet

2.07

Bet365

2.05

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC WIL 1900

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.7

Avg scored

1.5

Avg conceded

2.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.30	1.57	1.27	1.67	1.33	1.47
vs Stronger (4)	0.75	1.50	1.00	2.50	0.50	0.50
vs Similar (26)	1.38	1.58	1.31	1.54	1.46	1.62
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	33% (+10pp vs league)

This opponent (FC Aarau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC Aarau

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.9

Avg scored

1.6

Avg conceded

1.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.90	1.37	1.93	1.07	1.87	1.67
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (18)	1.67	1.50	1.62	1.12	1.70	1.80
vs Weaker (12)	2.25	1.17	2.29	1.00	2.20	1.40
Clean sheet %	23% (-0pp vs league)

This opponent (FC WIL 1900) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

86.0%

@ 1.18+7.6%

Under 1.5

14.0%

@ 4.30-7.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

1.22

Betano

1.21

Bet365

1.20

Pinnacle

1.20

Superbet

1.18

Under

Betfair

4.80

Pinnacle

4.54

BetVictor

4.40

Bet365

4.33

Superbet

4.30

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

65.7%

@ 1.62+8.5%

Under 2.5

34.3%

@ 2.16-8.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.66

Bet365

1.65

Betano

1.65

10Bet

1.65

Superbet

1.64

Under

Pinnacle

2.24

Unibet

2.23

Bet365

2.20

Betfair

2.20

10Bet

2.15

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over

Over 3.5

43.8%

@ 2.52+6.9%

Under 3.5

56.2%

@ 1.47-6.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

2.63

Pinnacle

2.62

Betfair

2.60

10Bet

2.60

Marathonbet

2.52

Under

Unibet

1.52

Betano

1.50

Bet365

1.50

Pinnacle

1.49

Superbet

1.48

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

65.7%

@ 1.53+5.5%

34.3%

@ 2.32-5.5%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

William Hil

1.57

Bet365

1.57

Superbet

1.55

Marathonbet

1.53

1xBet

1.53

Unibet

2.45

Betfair

2.40

Betano

2.35

1xBet

2.32

Superbet

2.30

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

10.3%@ 6.54+3.6%

1-2

9.4%@ 7.79+3.7%

0-2

6.8%@ 10.68+2.6%

2-1

6.5%@ 10.51+2.3%

2-2 ✓

6.5%@ 10.90+2.5%

1-3

6.2%@ 13.27+2.9%

0-1

5.8%@ 8.93+0.9%

0-3

4.5%@ 17.61+2.0%

FC WIL 1900 goals ↓

	FC Aarau goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.3%	5.8%	6.8%	4.5%	2.2%
1	3.8%	10%	9.4%	6.2%	3.1%
2	3.3%	6.5%	6.5%	4.3%	2.2%
3	1.5%	3.0%	3.0%	2.0%	1.0%
4	0.5%	1.0%	1.0%	0.7%	0.3%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC WIL 1900 goals (down), columns = FC Aarau goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

2.33

Yverdon Sport

2.00

SC Kriens

1.67

FC Winterthur

1.50

Neuchatel Xamax FC

1.50

Étoile Carouge

1.33

FC Aarau

1.33

FC WIL 1900

0.83

Rapperswil

0.67

Stade Nyonnais

0.33

FC WIL 1900 is 0.50 points worse than FC Aarau in terms of average points per game (0.83 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

FC Winterthur

2.00

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

1.83

SC Kriens

1.67

Yverdon Sport

1.67

FC WIL 1900

1.50

Neuchatel Xamax FC

1.50

Rapperswil

1.33

FC Aarau

1.33

Étoile Carouge

1.00

Stade Nyonnais

0.67

FC WIL 1900 is 0.17 goals better than FC Aarau in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

0.50

SC Kriens

1.00

Yverdon Sport

1.00

Étoile Carouge

1.00

FC Winterthur

1.17

Neuchatel Xamax FC

1.50

FC Aarau

1.67

Stade Nyonnais

1.83

Rapperswil

2.17

FC WIL 1900

2.67

FC WIL 1900 is 1.00 goals worse than FC Aarau in terms of goals conceded per game (2.67 vs 1.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

FC WIL 1900 or Draw✓ Hit

49.3%

Avg Implied 54.4% · @ 1.70

Edge

-5.1%

26%

24%

51%

covers FC WIL 1900 + Draw

Best 5 market prices

Betfair

1.73

Bet365

1.73

William Hil

1.73

SBO

1.72

Betano

1.72

FC WIL 1900 or FC Aarau✗ Miss

76.4%

Avg Implied 73.8% · @ 1.25

Edge

+2.6%

26%

24%

51%

covers FC WIL 1900 + FC Aarau

Best 5 market prices

Betfair

1.29

William Hil

1.29

Bet365

1.28

Betano

1.28

Superbet

1.27

Draw or FC Aarau✓ Hit

74.3%

Avg Implied 71.8% · @ 1.28

Edge

+2.5%

26%

24%

51%

covers Draw + FC Aarau

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.35

10Bet

1.33

Bet365

1.33

BetVictor

1.30

Betfair

1.30

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

FC WIL 1900 over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

75.0%

@ 1.29+3.5%

Under

25.0%

@ 3.25-3.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.30

Betano

1.30

Pinnacle

1.30

Bet365

1.30

1xBet

1.30

Under

Pinnacle

3.40

Bet365

3.40

Betano

3.30

Superbet

3.25

Betfair

3.25

FC WIL 1900 over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

40.4%

@ 2.43+2.3%

Under

59.6%

@ 1.49-2.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.58

Bet365

2.50

Betfair

2.50

Marathonbet

2.46

1xBet

2.45

Under

Betano

1.55

Betfair

1.50

Bet365

1.50

Pinnacle

1.50

Unibet

1.50

FC WIL 1900 over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

16.3%

@ 5.65-0.1%

Under

83.7%

@ 1.11+0.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

6.00

Betfair

6.00

Marathonbet

5.75

Bet365

5.50

Superbet

5.45

Under

Betano

1.14

Bet365

1.12

Superbet

1.11

Betfair

1.11

1xBet

1.10

FC WIL 1900 over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

5.2%

@ 10.00-4.1%

Under

94.8%

@ 1.03+4.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

10.00

Betano

10.00

Betfair

10.00

Under

Bet365

1.03

Betfair

1.03

Betano

1.03

FC Aarau over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

86.4%

@ 1.16+6.5%

Under

13.6%

@ 4.60-6.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.18

Bet365

1.17

Superbet

1.16

10Bet

1.15

Betfair

1.14

Under

Betfair

5.00

1xBet

4.80

Bet365

4.50

Superbet

4.50

Betano

4.45

FC Aarau over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

59.3%

@ 1.80+8.1%

Under

40.7%

@ 1.89-8.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.85

Betano

1.85

Pinnacle

1.84

Bet365

1.83

10Bet

1.80

Under

Pinnacle

1.97

Unibet

1.96

Betfair

1.91

Betano

1.90

Marathonbet

1.90

FC Aarau over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

32.2%

@ 3.59+6.3%

Under

67.8%

@ 1.25-6.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

3.75

Betfair

3.75

Pinnacle

3.69

Superbet

3.60

Betano

3.55

Under

1xBet

1.28

Betano

1.27

Pinnacle

1.26

Bet365

1.25

Superbet

1.25

FC Aarau over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

14.2%

@ 7.50+1.7%

Under

85.8%

@ 1.07-1.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

8.50

Bet365

7.50

Betano

7.10

1xBet

6.90

Under

Betano

1.08

Bet365

1.07

1xBet

1.07

Betfair

1.05

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FC WIL 1900, so a minus line means FC WIL 1900 give that many goals of a start and FC Aarau receive them. At -1, FC WIL 1900 must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC WIL 1900 win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (FC WIL 1900)Actual: FC Aarau

FC WIL 1900 -2

4.1%

@ 17.00-1.4%

Draw -2

7.5%

@ 10.00-1.8%

FC Aarau +2

88.4%

@ 1.10+3.3%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

17.00

Draw

Bet365

10.00

Away

Bet365

1.10

Handicap -1 (FC WIL 1900)Actual: FC Aarau

FC WIL 1900 -1

11.6%

@ 6.77-1.6%

Draw -1

14.1%

@ 5.15-3.3%

FC Aarau +1

74.3%

@ 1.29+4.9%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

7.00

Marathonbet

6.80

10Bet

6.50

Draw

Bet365

5.50

Marathonbet

5.20

10Bet

4.75

Away

10Bet

1.33

Bet365

1.30

Marathonbet

1.24

Handicap +1 (FC WIL 1900)Actual: FC WIL 1900

FC WIL 1900 +1

49.3%

@ 1.70-1.9%

Draw +1

20.7%

@ 3.74-2.6%

FC Aarau -1

30.0%

@ 3.41+4.5%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.73

Betfair

1.73

Marathonbet

1.68

Unibet

1.65

Draw

Bet365

4.00

Marathonbet

3.90

Betfair

3.75

Unibet

3.30

Away

Bet365

3.75

Betfair

3.60

Marathonbet

3.42

Unibet

2.88

Handicap +2 (FC WIL 1900)Actual: FC WIL 1900

FC WIL 1900 +2

70.0%

@ 1.23-3.1%

Draw +2

15.6%

@ 5.93+0.5%

FC Aarau -2

14.4%

@ 7.60+2.6%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.25

Marathonbet

1.23

Betfair

1.20

Draw

Betfair

6.00

Bet365

6.00

Marathonbet

5.80

Away

Betfair

8.00

Bet365

8.00

Marathonbet

6.80

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC WIL 1900

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.1

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

1.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.70	0.80	0.73	0.73	0.67	0.87
vs Stronger (4)	0.75	0.50	1.00	0.50	0.50	0.50
vs Similar (26)	0.69	0.85	0.69	0.77	0.69	0.92
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	47% (+23pp vs league)

This opponent (FC Aarau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC Aarau

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.7

Avg scored

1.1

Avg conceded

0.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.93	0.70	0.93	0.40	0.93	1.00
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (18)	0.83	0.78	0.75	0.38	0.90	1.10
vs Weaker (12)	1.08	0.58	1.14	0.43	1.00	0.80
Clean sheet %	53% (+30pp vs league)

This opponent (FC WIL 1900) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

71.9%

@ 1.30+0.4%

Under 0.5

28.1%

@ 3.26-0.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.34

1xBet

1.30

BetVictor

1.30

10Bet

1.30

Bet365

1.30

Under

Betfair

3.60

William Hil

3.40

Bet365

3.40

BetVictor

3.30

Superbet

3.25

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

35.2%

@ 2.36-4.0%

Under 1.5

64.8%

@ 1.52+4.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.48

Betano

2.45

Betfair

2.40

Bet365

2.38

William Hil

2.38

Under

10Bet

1.55

Unibet

1.55

Pinnacle

1.54

Bet365

1.53

William Hil

1.53

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

15.0%

@ 5.45-1.9%

Under 2.5

85.0%

@ 1.11+1.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

6.00

William Hil

5.50

Betfair

5.50

Bet365

5.50

1xBet

5.45

Under

Betano

1.13

Superbet

1.13

Bet365

1.12

William Hil

1.12

Betfair

1.11

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

FC WIL 1900 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

42.4%

@ 2.12-1.2%

Under

57.6%

@ 1.64+1.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.20

Marathonbet

2.12

Superbet

2.10

Betano

2.10

1xBet

2.10

Under

Pinnacle

1.66

1xBet

1.65

Superbet

1.65

Betano

1.65

Marathonbet

1.61

FC WIL 1900 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

11.4%

@ 6.90-2.0%

Under

88.6%

@ 1.07+2.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

7.50

Marathonbet

7.20

Betano

6.00

Under

Betano

1.09

1xBet

1.06

Marathonbet

1.05

FC WIL 1900 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

1.8%

@ 11.00-6.6%

Under

98.2%

@ 1.01+6.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

11.00

Under

Betano

1.01

FC Aarau over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

51.3%

@ 1.74-1.8%

Under

48.7%

@ 1.97+1.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.80

Pinnacle

1.76

Superbet

1.75

Marathonbet

1.74

1xBet

1.67

Under

Pinnacle

2.05

1xBet

2.00

Superbet

1.97

Marathonbet

1.93

Betano

1.91

FC Aarau over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over

Over

17.7%

@ 4.80-1.5%

Under

82.3%

@ 1.14+1.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

5.00

Marathonbet

4.80

Betano

4.60

Under

Betano

1.16

Marathonbet

1.13

1xBet

1.13

FC Aarau over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

4.0%

@ 9.50-5.7%

Under

96.0%

@ 1.03+5.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

9.50

Under

Betano

1.03

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC WIL 1900

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.6

Avg scored

0.7

Avg conceded

0.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.60	0.77	0.53	0.93	0.67	0.60
vs Stronger (4)	0.00	1.00	0.00	2.00	0.00	0.00
vs Similar (26)	0.69	0.73	0.62	0.77	0.77	0.69
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	50% (+26pp vs league)

This opponent (FC Aarau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC Aarau

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.2

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

0.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.97	0.67	1.00	0.67	0.93	0.67
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (18)	0.83	0.72	0.88	0.75	0.80	0.70
vs Weaker (12)	1.17	0.58	1.14	0.57	1.20	0.60
Clean sheet %	50% (+26pp vs league)

This opponent (FC WIL 1900) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

81.2%

@ 1.16+1.9%

Under 0.5

18.8%

@ 4.44-1.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.18

Superbet

1.18

Betano

1.18

Marathonbet

1.13

1xBet

1.13

Under

Bet365

4.50

1xBet

4.50

Marathonbet

4.50

Betano

4.35

Superbet

4.35

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

48.1%

@ 1.83-2.4%

Under 1.5

51.9%

@ 1.87+2.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

1.85

Superbet

1.85

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.82

Marathonbet

1.82

Under

Betano

1.91

1xBet

1.88

Marathonbet

1.88

Superbet

1.85

10Bet

1.85

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

22.7%

@ 3.51-3.6%

Under 2.5

77.3%

@ 1.25+3.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

3.75

Superbet

3.65

1xBet

3.42

Marathonbet

3.42

Betano

3.30

Under

Betano

1.29

Bet365

1.25

Superbet

1.24

Marathonbet

1.23

1xBet

1.23

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

FC WIL 1900 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

47.1%

@ 1.77-5.1%

Under

52.9%

@ 1.93+5.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.83

Marathonbet

1.77

Superbet

1.75

Betano

1.72

Under

Betano

2.00

Superbet

1.97

Marathonbet

1.89

1xBet

1.87

FC WIL 1900 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over

Over

13.2%

@ 4.82-5.9%

Under

86.8%

@ 1.14+5.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

5.10

Marathonbet

5.05

Betano

4.30

Under

Betano

1.18

Marathonbet

1.12

1xBet

1.12

FC WIL 1900 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

2.5%

@ 9.25-7.5%

Under

97.5%

@ 1.03+7.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

9.25

Under

Betano

1.03

FC Aarau over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

59.1%

@ 1.52-1.9%

Under

40.9%

@ 2.37+1.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.54

1xBet

1.51

Betano

1.50

Under

Betano

2.40

1xBet

2.38

Superbet

2.32

FC Aarau over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

25.9%

@ 3.35-1.6%

Under

74.1%

@ 1.27+1.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

3.40

Marathonbet

3.34

Betano

3.30

Under

Betano

1.29

1xBet

1.26

Marathonbet

1.26

FC Aarau over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

8.2%

@ 8.35-2.8%

Under

91.8%

@ 1.03+2.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

9.40

Betano

7.30

Under

Betano

1.06

1xBet

1.01

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Home under 2.5 HT goals	98.2%	1.01	Betano 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.6%	✓ Hit
Under 7.5	97.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	97.5%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+7.5%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals	96.0%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.7%	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	94.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	Betfair 1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	+4.1%	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	94.3%	1.02	Betano 1.03	Bet365 1.02	1xBet 1.02	-	-	+3.2%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	91.8%	1.03	Betano 1.06	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	+2.8%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	88.6%	1.07	Betano 1.09	1xBet 1.06	Marathonbet 1.05	-	-	+2.0%	✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap	88.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+3.3%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	87.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.07	Superbet 1.07	Betano 1.07	Betfair 1.03	BetVictor 1.03	-1.1%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals	86.8%	1.14	Betano 1.18	Marathonbet 1.12	1xBet 1.12	-	-	+5.9%	✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals	86.4%	1.16	Betano 1.18	Bet365 1.17	Superbet 1.16	10Bet 1.15	Betfair 1.14	+6.5%	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	86.0%	1.18	10Bet 1.22	Betano 1.21	Bet365 1.20	Pinnacle 1.20	Superbet 1.18	+7.6%	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	85.8%	1.07	Betano 1.08	Bet365 1.07	1xBet 1.07	Betfair 1.05	-	-1.7%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	85.0%	1.11	Betano 1.13	Superbet 1.13	Bet365 1.12	William Hil 1.12	Betfair 1.11	+1.9%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals	83.7%	1.11	Betano 1.14	Bet365 1.12	Superbet 1.11	Betfair 1.11	1xBet 1.10	+0.1%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	82.3%	1.14	Betano 1.16	Marathonbet 1.13	1xBet 1.13	-	-	+1.5%	✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals	81.2%	1.16	Bet365 1.18	Superbet 1.18	Betano 1.18	Marathonbet 1.13	1xBet 1.13	+1.9%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals	77.3%	1.25	Betano 1.29	Bet365 1.25	Superbet 1.24	Marathonbet 1.23	1xBet 1.23	+3.6%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	76.4%	1.25	Betfair 1.29	William Hil 1.29	Bet365 1.28	Betano 1.28	Superbet 1.27	+2.6%	✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals	75.0%	1.29	Superbet 1.30	Betano 1.30	Pinnacle 1.30	Bet365 1.30	1xBet 1.30	+3.5%	✓ Hit
Under 4.5	74.8%	1.17	10Bet 1.22	Unibet 1.20	Bet365 1.20	Pinnacle 1.19	Betano 1.19	-4.1%	✓ Hit
Draw or Away	74.3%	1.28	Betano 1.35	10Bet 1.33	Bet365 1.33	BetVictor 1.30	Betfair 1.30	+2.5%	✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap	74.3%	1.29	10Bet 1.33	Bet365 1.30	Marathonbet 1.24	-	-	+4.9%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals	74.1%	1.27	Betano 1.29	1xBet 1.26	Marathonbet 1.26	-	-	+1.6%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals	71.9%	1.30	Betano 1.34	1xBet 1.30	BetVictor 1.30	10Bet 1.30	Bet365 1.30	+0.4%	✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FW (25)

€6m

SL (24)

€6m

FA (23)

€6m

YS (22)

€5m

NXF (26)

€5m

FW1 (26)

€5m

RAP (24)

€4m

ÉC (23)

€4m

SN (21)

€3m

SK (16)

€3m

FC WIL 1900's squad is €1m less valuable than FC Aarau's (€5m vs €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

SL (9)

€3m

YS (10)

€3m

FW (9)

€2m

NXF (10)

€2m

FA (6)

€2m

SN (9)

€1m

FW1 (9)

€1m

ÉC (6)

€1m

RAP (8)

€1m

SK (5)

€0m

FC WIL 1900 and FC Aarau have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FW (7)

€2m

FW1 (7)

€2m

RAP (6)

€2m

SL (5)

€1m

NXF (5)

€1m

ÉC (5)

€1m

FA (4)

€1m

SK (3)

€1m

YS (3)

€1m

SN (3)

€0m

FC WIL 1900 and FC Aarau have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FA (13)

€3m

SL (10)

€2m

FW (9)

€2m

YS (9)

€2m

NXF (11)

€2m

ÉC (12)

€2m

SK (8)

€2m

RAP (10)

€2m

FW1 (10)

€2m

SN (9)

€1m

FC WIL 1900's defence is €1m less valuable than FC Aarau's (€2m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings

FW1 wins

Draws

FA wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC WIL 1900 vs FC Aarau · H/A from FW1

Date	H/A	Game	Score
25/04/26	H	FW1 Vs FC Aarau	2-2
07/02/26	A	FC Aarau Vs FW1	2-2
24/10/25	A	FC Aarau Vs FW1	2-0
01/08/25	H	FW1 Vs FC Aarau	1-3
09/05/25	A	FC Aarau Vs FW1	2-4
16/03/25	H	FW1 Vs FC Aarau	2-2
24/11/24	A	FC Aarau Vs FW1	1-1
26/07/24	H	FW1 Vs FC Aarau	2-2

FC WIL 1900

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
28/08/26	A	Yverdon Sport Vs FW1	1-1
22/08/26	H	FW1 Vs SC Kriens	0-2
07/08/26	A	FC Winterthur Vs FW1	5-0
31/07/26	H	FW1 Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC	1-2
24/07/26	A	Rapperswil Vs FW1	4-5
15/05/26	H	FW1 Vs FC Vaduz	1-3
11/05/26	A	Bellinzona Vs FW1	2-4
08/05/26	H	FW1 Vs Yverdon Sport	0-1
01/05/26	A	Stade Nyonnais Vs FW1	0-1
25/04/26	H	FW1 Vs FC Aarau	2-2

FC Aarau

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
28/08/26	H	FA Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC	2-1
23/08/26	A	Yverdon Sport Vs FA	2-1
07/08/26	H	FA Vs Stade Nyonnais	2-1
01/08/26	H	FA Vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	1-1
24/07/26	A	Étoile Carouge Vs FA	3-0
21/05/26	A	Grasshoppers Vs FA	1-1
18/05/26	H	FA Vs Grasshoppers	0-0
15/05/26	H	FA Vs Yverdon Sport	2-2
11/05/26	A	FC Vaduz Vs FA	1-2
08/05/26	H	FA Vs Stade Nyonnais	5-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC WIL 1900

Switzerland: Challenge League

Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WLLLD	1.16
Home	DLLLL	1.00
Away	WWWLD	1.32

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	24%	36%
AVG goals	3.04	2.88	3.20
Over 1.5 %	78%	72%	84%
Over 2.5 %	54%	56%	52%
Over 3.5 %	42%	44%	40%
Scored	1.24	1.16	1.32
Conceded	1.80	1.72	1.88
BTTS	50%	52%	48%
Clean Sheet	26%	24%	28%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

FC Aarau

Switzerland: Challenge League

Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LDWLW	1.94
Home	DDDWW	2.12
Away	WWDLL	1.76

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	58%	64%	52%
AVG goals	3.24	2.76	3.72
Over 1.5 %	82%	72%	92%
Over 2.5 %	66%	52%	80%
Over 3.5 %	34%	24%	44%
Scored	1.86	1.80	1.92
Conceded	1.38	0.96	1.80
BTTS	66%	52%	80%
Clean Sheet	28%	44%	12%
Corners	14.50	11.00	18.00
Cards	6.67	7.00	6.50

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	6	14	67%	2.3	11	3	+8	2.3	100%	33%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	3	1	2	1.8	0.5	-
2	Yverdon Sport	6	12	50%	2.0	10	6	+4	2.7	100%	50%	17%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	3	1	2	1.7	1.0	-
3	SC Kriens	6	10	50%	1.7	10	6	+4	2.7	100%	33%	17%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	0	1	2	1.7	1.0	-
4	FC Winterthur	6	9	33%	1.5	12	7	+5	3.2	100%	50%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	2	2	2	2.0	1.2	-
5	Neuchatel Xamax FC	6	9	50%	1.5	9	9	+0	3.0	83%	83%	17%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	2	1	2	1.5	1.5	-
6	Étoile Carouge	6	8	33%	1.3	6	6	+0	2.0	67%	50%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	1	2	1.0	1.0	-
7	FC Aarau	6	8	33%	1.3	8	10	-2	3.0	100%	83%	17%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	2	1	3	1.3	1.7	-
8	FC WIL 1900	6	5	17%	0.8	9	16	-7	4.2	100%	67%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	1	2	2	1.5	2.7	-
9	Rapperswil	6	4	17%	0.7	8	13	-5	3.5	100%	50%	17%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	2	2	1.3	2.2	-
10	Stade Nyonnais	6	2	0%	0.3	4	11	-7	2.5	83%	67%	17%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	0	1	0.7	1.8	-

Switzerland: Challenge League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Challenge League stats & trends →

← all matches

FC WIL 1900 vs FC Aarau Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC WIL 1900

FC Aarau

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC WIL 1900

FC Aarau

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC WIL 1900

FC Aarau

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

FC WIL 1900

FC Aarau

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature