FC WIL 1900 face FC Winterthur in a match that the model projects as a high-scoring affair, with an expected 3.3 goals on average. The most likely total is three goals, a 22% chance, and the single scoreline the model favours is 1-1, with an 11% probability. The odds favour an away win, 47% versus 29% for a home win and 25% for a draw, making the away victory the model’s pick. Both sides have similar recent form, each coming off a 1-1 draw, and their average scoring and conceding figures against comparable opponents are 1.31 goals scored and 1.54 conceded for FC WIL 1900 at home, and 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded for FC Winterthur away. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.2%), Under 6.5 (95.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (94.5%), Under 5.5 (88.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (88.4%), Away +2 handicap (86.8%), Over 1.5 (84.6%), and Away over 0.5 goals (84.2%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC WIL 1900 win
28.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Winterthur win
47.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC WIL 1900
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.60
1.27
1.73
1.33
1.47
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.50
1.00
2.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (26)
1.38
1.62
1.31
1.62
1.46
1.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Winterthur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Winterthur
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
2.20
1.27
2.00
1.40
2.40
vs Stronger (23)
1.22
2.43
1.08
2.25
1.36
2.64
vs Similar (7)
1.71
1.43
2.00
1.00
1.50
1.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
7% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (FC WIL 1900) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
86.0%
Under 1.5
14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65.6%
Under 2.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
43.7%
Under 3.5
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
66.5%
No
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.8%
0-1
5.6%
0-0
4.4%
FC WIL 1900 goals ↓
FC Winterthur goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.4%
5.6%
6.2%
4.0%
1.9%
1
4.0%
11%
9.1%
5.8%
2.8%
2
3.7%
7.0%
6.7%
4.3%
2.0%
3
1.8%
3.4%
3.3%
2.1%
1.0%
4
0.7%
1.3%
1.2%
0.8%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC WIL 1900 goals (down), columns = FC Winterthur goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2.33
Yverdon Sport
2.00
SC Kriens
1.67
FC Winterthur
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Étoile Carouge
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
FC WIL 1900
0.83
Rapperswil
0.67
Stade Nyonnais
0.33
FC WIL 1900 is 0.67 points worse than FC Winterthur in terms of average points per game (0.83 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Winterthur
2.00
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.83
SC Kriens
1.67
Yverdon Sport
1.67
FC WIL 1900
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Rapperswil
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
Étoile Carouge
1.00
Stade Nyonnais
0.67
FC WIL 1900 is 0.50 goals worse than FC Winterthur in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
0.50
SC Kriens
1.00
Yverdon Sport
1.00
Étoile Carouge
1.00
FC Winterthur
1.17
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
FC Aarau
1.67
Stade Nyonnais
1.83
Rapperswil
2.17
FC WIL 1900
2.67
FC WIL 1900 is 1.50 goals worse than FC Winterthur in terms of goals conceded per game (2.67 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC WIL 1900 or Draw
52.8%
Avg Implied -
29%
24%
47%
covers FC WIL 1900 + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC WIL 1900 or FC Winterthur
75.9%
Avg Implied -
29%
24%
47%
covers FC WIL 1900 + FC Winterthur
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FC Winterthur
71.2%
Avg Implied -
29%
24%
47%
covers Draw + FC Winterthur
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC WIL 1900 over/under 0.5
Over
76.9%
Under
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC WIL 1900 over/under 1.5
Over
43.1%
Under
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC WIL 1900 over/under 2.5
Over
18.3%
Under
81.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC WIL 1900 over/under 3.5
Over
6.2%
Under
93.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Winterthur over/under 0.5
Over
85.2%
Under
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Winterthur over/under 1.5
Over
56.9%
Under
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Winterthur over/under 2.5
Over
29.9%
Under
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Winterthur over/under 3.5
Over
12.7%
Under
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC WIL 1900, so a minus line means FC WIL 1900 give that many goals of a start and FC Winterthur receive them. At -1, FC WIL 1900 must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC WIL 1900 win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC WIL 1900)
FC WIL 1900 -2
5.0%
Draw -2
8.6%
FC Winterthur +2
86.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC WIL 1900)
FC WIL 1900 -1
13.5%
Draw -1
15.2%
FC Winterthur +1
71.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FC WIL 1900)
FC WIL 1900 +1
52.8%
Draw +1
20.1%
FC Winterthur -1
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC WIL 1900)
FC WIL 1900 +2
73.0%
Draw +2
14.5%
FC Winterthur -2
12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC WIL 1900
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.87
0.73
0.87
0.67
0.87
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.69
0.92
0.69
0.92
0.69
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Winterthur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Winterthur
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.83
0.47
0.73
0.93
0.93
vs Stronger (23)
0.57
0.91
0.33
0.75
0.82
1.09
vs Similar (7)
1.14
0.57
1.00
0.67
1.25
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (FC WIL 1900) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC WIL 1900 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC WIL 1900 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC WIL 1900 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Winterthur over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Winterthur over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Winterthur over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC WIL 1900
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.53
0.87
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.69
0.69
0.62
0.69
0.77
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Winterthur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Winterthur
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.37
0.80
1.27
0.47
1.47
vs Stronger (23)
0.65
1.52
0.75
1.50
0.55
1.55
vs Similar (7)
0.57
0.86
1.00
0.33
0.25
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (FC WIL 1900) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC WIL 1900 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC WIL 1900 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC WIL 1900 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Winterthur over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Winterthur over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Winterthur over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Winterthur · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christian Gomis40%
Andrin Hunziker31%
Nishan Burkart18%
Pajtim Kasami17%
Roman Buess12%
Elias Maluvunu11%
Theo Golliard9%
Brian Beyer7%
Randy Schneider6%
Alexandre Jankewitz6%
Tibault Citherlet6%
Bafode Dansoko5%
Souleymane Diaby5%
Luca Zuffi4%
Silvan Sidler4%
Remo Arnold3%
Mirlind Kryeziu0%
Fabian Rohner0%
Stefanos Kapino0%
Lukas Mühl0%
Basil Stillhart0%
Dario Ulrich0%
Marvin Martins0%
Francis Momoh0%
Adrian Durrer0%
Stéphane Cueni0%
Carmine Chiappetta0%
Loïc Lüthi0%
Ledjan Sahitaj0%
Rhodri Smith0%
Leandro Maksutaj0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fabian Rohner47%
Mirlind Kryeziu44%
Carmine Chiappetta33%
Adrian Durrer22%
Alexandre Jankewitz22%
Silvan Sidler21%
Pajtim Kasami21%
Stéphane Cueni20%
Christian Gomis20%
Andrin Hunziker19%
Marvin Martins18%
Roman Buess17%
Ledjan Sahitaj17%
Tibault Citherlet17%
Luca Zuffi14%
Bafode Dansoko14%
Lukas Mühl13%
Remo Arnold13%
Randy Schneider13%
Elias Maluvunu11%
Francis Momoh9%
Souleymane Diaby9%
Stefanos Kapino8%
Dario Ulrich8%
Rhodri Smith8%
Theo Golliard6%
Basil Stillhart0%
Nishan Burkart0%
Brian Beyer0%
Loïc Lüthi0%
Leandro Maksutaj0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Theo Golliard17%
Fabian Rohner12%
Andrin Hunziker11%
Silvan Sidler11%
Randy Schneider10%
Nishan Burkart9%
Dario Ulrich8%
Rhodri Smith8%
Elias Maluvunu7%
Brian Beyer7%
Alexandre Jankewitz6%
Adrian Durrer6%
Tibault Citherlet6%
Bafode Dansoko5%
Souleymane Diaby5%
Roman Buess4%
Mirlind Kryeziu0%
Stefanos Kapino0%
Lukas Mühl0%
Luca Zuffi0%
Basil Stillhart0%
Pajtim Kasami0%
Remo Arnold0%
Marvin Martins0%
Francis Momoh0%
Stéphane Cueni0%
Christian Gomis0%
Carmine Chiappetta0%
Loïc Lüthi0%
Ledjan Sahitaj0%
Leandro Maksutaj0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andrin Hunziker33%
Christian Gomis20%
Pajtim Kasami12%
Fabian Rohner12%
Theo Golliard11%
Bafode Dansoko10%
Nishan Burkart9%
Dario Ulrich8%
Silvan Sidler4%
Elias Maluvunu4%
Randy Schneider3%
Mirlind Kryeziu0%
Stefanos Kapino0%
Lukas Mühl0%
Luca Zuffi0%
Basil Stillhart0%
Roman Buess0%
Remo Arnold0%
Marvin Martins0%
Francis Momoh0%
Alexandre Jankewitz0%
Adrian Durrer0%
Stéphane Cueni0%
Souleymane Diaby0%
Carmine Chiappetta0%
Brian Beyer0%
Loïc Lüthi0%
Ledjan Sahitaj0%
Rhodri Smith0%
Tibault Citherlet0%
Leandro Maksutaj0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (25)
€6m
SL (24)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
YS (22)
€5m
NXF (26)
€5m
FW1 (26)
€5m
RAP (24)
€4m
ÉC (23)
€4m
SN (21)
€3m
SK (16)
€3m
FC WIL 1900's squad is €2m less valuable than FC Winterthur's (€5m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SL (9)
€3m
YS (10)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
NXF (10)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
FW1 (9)
€1m
ÉC (6)
€1m
RAP (8)
€1m
SK (5)
€0m
FC WIL 1900's attack is €1m less valuable than FC Winterthur's (€1m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (7)
€2m
FW1 (7)
€2m
RAP (6)
€2m
SL (5)
€1m
NXF (5)
€1m
ÉC (5)
€1m
FA (4)
€1m
SK (3)
€1m
YS (3)
€1m
SN (3)
€0m
FC WIL 1900 and FC Winterthur have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€3m
SL (10)
€2m
FW (9)
€2m
YS (9)
€2m
NXF (11)
€2m
ÉC (12)
€2m
SK (8)
€2m
RAP (10)
€2m
FW1 (10)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
FC WIL 1900 and FC Winterthur have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Switzerland: Challenge League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Challenge League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Yverdon Sport
SC Kriens
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Étoile Carouge
FC Aarau
Rapperswil
Stade Nyonnais