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FC WIL 1900 vs Neuchatel Xamax FC Result & Analysis

Date: 31/07/2026
Time: 17:30
Final 1-2
FC WIL 1900
FC WIL 1900
Vs
39%
26%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Switzerland: Challenge League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U
10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

This matchup between FC WIL 1900 and Neuchatel Xamax FC in the Switzerland: Challenge League is finely balanced, with FC WIL 1900's recent form a storyline to follow. After two straight defeats, FC WIL 1900 suffered a 0-5 loss to FC Winterthur. Meanwhile, Neuchatel Xamax FC is on a 3-game winning run, having defeated Étoile Carouge 1-0 in their last outing.

According to the model, the most likely match result is a home win for FC WIL 1900, with a 39% chance of a home victory, 26% chance of a draw, and 35% chance of an away win. The expected total number of goals is 3.0, with the most likely score being 1-1, although this outcome is not the most probable score.

FC WIL 1900's home scoring and conceding averages are 1.25 and 1.75 goals per match, respectively, when facing similar opponents. Neuchatel Xamax FC's away scoring and conceding averages are 1.67 and 2.33 goals per match, respectively, when facing similar opponents. The model suggests an Over 1.5 goal outcome with an 81.6% probability, and this is the model's selection. The home win percentage is 39%, the draw percentage is 26%, and the away win percentage is 35%.

Results analysis

The win by Neuchatel Xamax FC extends their run of 3 consecutive victories, a stark contrast to FC WIL 1900's recent struggles, having suffered 2 straight defeats. The final score of 1-2 reflects the actual result, an away win for Neuchatel Xamax FC. The model's selection, a home win, was incorrect, given the pre-match probability of 39%. The model's call was wrong, as the favourite did not come through. The model's selection, Home win, had a 39% chance of occurring. The model's selection, Home win, was the favourite. The model's other selection, Over 1.5, hit, with a probability of 81.6%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC WIL 1900 win✗ Miss
38.7%
Avg Implied 41.2% · @ 2.22
Edge
-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.28
Superbet
2.27
BetVictor
2.25
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.25
Draw✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied 25.5% · @ 3.59
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.85
Betfair
3.75
BetVictor
3.70
Dafabet
3.65
10Bet
3.65
Neuchatel Xamax FC win✓ Hit
34.9%
Avg Implied 33.3% · @ 2.74
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.90
Pinnacle
2.88
Betano
2.80
Superbet
2.80
Dafabet
2.80

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC WIL 1900FC WIL 1900

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W52W02L02L22D10W01L42W13L54WA·STA03/04H·NEU07/04A·RAP11/04A·ÉTO17/04H·FC 25/04A·STA01/05H·YVE08/05A·BEL11/05H·FC 15/05A·RAP24/07
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.431.201.531.331.33
vs Stronger (6)1.001.831.332.330.671.33
vs Similar (20)1.451.501.301.601.601.40
vs Weaker (4)0.750.500.500.001.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Neuchatel Xamax FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L25L41W22D21W13L32W30W12L32WH·FC 03/04A·FC 07/04H·STA10/04A·YVE22/04H·BEL26/04H·FC 01/05A·RAP08/05H·ÉTO11/05A·STA15/05H·SC 24/07
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.601.801.401.201.80
vs Stronger (6)1.172.001.252.251.001.50
vs Similar (23)1.521.481.901.001.231.85
vs Weaker (1)3.002.003.002.00--
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (FC WIL 1900) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.6%
@ 1.13-0.2%
Under 1.5
18.4%
@ 5.10+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
Superbet
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Under
Pinnacle
5.60
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.40
Superbet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.3%
@ 1.48-4.5%
Under 2.5
41.7%
@ 2.49+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.49
Under
Pinnacle
2.61
BetVictor
2.55
Betfair
2.55
10Bet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.9%
@ 2.19-6.5%
Under 3.5
64.1%
@ 1.62+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.23
10Bet
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.67
Marathonbet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.9%
@ 1.42-2.9%
No
38.1%
@ 2.63+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.45
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.44
10Bet
1.42
No
Betfair
2.75
BetVictor
2.70
1xBet
2.66
Bet365
2.62
William Hil
2.62

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%@ 7.12+6.0%
2-1
8.6%@ 8.51+3.4%
1-2 ✓
8.2%@ 9.66+3.6%
1-0
6.4%@ 11.31+2.5%
2-2
6.4%@ 9.99+1.9%
0-1
6.0%@ 12.75+2.5%
0-0
5.9%@ 15.86+3.2%
2-0
5.9%@ 13.33+2.6%
FC WIL 1900 goals ↓
Neuchatel Xamax FC goals →
01234
05.9%6.0%5.2%2.6%0.9%
16.4%12%8.2%4.0%1.5%
25.9%8.6%6.4%3.1%1.1%
33.0%4.5%3.3%1.6%0.6%
41.2%1.7%1.3%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC WIL 1900 goals (down), columns = Neuchatel Xamax FC goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Aarau
2.22
Yverdon Sport
1.86
FC Winterthur
1.51
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.39
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.36
SC Kriens
1.24
Rapperswil
1.22
FC WIL 1900
1.11
Étoile Carouge
1.11
Stade Nyonnais
0.78
FC WIL 1900 is 0.25 points worse than Neuchatel Xamax FC in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.36).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Aarau
2.14
Yverdon Sport
2.08
FC Winterthur
1.66
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.64
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.53
Rapperswil
1.44
SC Kriens
1.36
Étoile Carouge
1.28
FC WIL 1900
1.08
Stade Nyonnais
0.92
FC WIL 1900 is 0.44 goals worse than Neuchatel Xamax FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.53).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Aarau
1.31
Yverdon Sport
1.33
FC Winterthur
1.41
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.42
Étoile Carouge
1.50
FC WIL 1900
1.53
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.56
Stade Nyonnais
1.67
SC Kriens
1.72
Rapperswil
1.72
FC WIL 1900 is 0.03 goals better than Neuchatel Xamax FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.56).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC WIL 1900FC WIL 1900

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W32W01L02L21W00D01L11D02L32WA·STA03/04H·NEU07/04A·RAP11/04A·ÉTO17/04H·FC 25/04A·STA01/05H·YVE08/05A·BEL11/05H·FC 15/05A·RAP24/07
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.700.670.600.600.80
vs Stronger (6)0.670.501.330.670.000.33
vs Similar (20)0.700.800.500.700.900.90
vs Weaker (4)0.250.500.500.000.001.00
Clean sheet %53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Neuchatel Xamax FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L23L21W01L11D01L02L20W01L31WH·FC 03/04A·FC 07/04H·STA10/04A·YVE22/04H·BEL26/04H·FC 01/05A·RAP08/05H·ÉTO11/05A·STA15/05H·SC 24/07
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.901.000.730.401.07
vs Stronger (6)0.170.830.251.000.000.50
vs Similar (23)0.740.911.100.600.461.15
vs Weaker (1)3.001.003.001.00--
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (FC WIL 1900) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC WIL 1900 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC WIL 1900 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC WIL 1900 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.6%1.13
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
Superbet
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
-0.2%✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (33)
€11m
FA (24)
€7m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (9)
€5m
FA (5)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (9)
€2m
FA (8)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (15)
€4m
FA (11)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
FW1 wins
1
Draws
1
NXF wins

Head-to-head

FC WIL 1900 vs Neuchatel Xamax FC · H/A from FW1
DateH/AGameScore
07/04/26HFW1 Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC5-2
01/03/26ANeuchatel Xamax FC Vs FW10-0
02/11/25HFW1 Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC2-1
12/09/25ANeuchatel Xamax FC Vs FW13-1
23/05/25ANeuchatel Xamax FC Vs FW12-3
31/01/25HFW1 Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC2-0
01/11/24ANeuchatel Xamax FC Vs FW11-4
23/08/24HFW1 Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC4-0

FC WIL 1900FC WIL 1900

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/07/26ARapperswil Vs FW14-5
15/05/26HFW1 Vs FC Vaduz1-3
11/05/26ABellinzona Vs FW12-4
08/05/26HFW1 Vs Yverdon Sport0-1
01/05/26AStade Nyonnais Vs FW10-1
25/04/26HFW1 Vs FC Aarau2-2
17/04/26AÉtoile Carouge Vs FW12-0
11/04/26ARapperswil Vs FW12-0
07/04/26HFW1 Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC5-2
03/04/26AStade Lausanne-Ouchy Vs FW10-2

Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/07/26HNXF Vs SC Kriens3-2
15/05/26AStade Lausanne-Ouchy Vs NXF2-1
11/05/26HNXF Vs Étoile Carouge3-0
08/05/26ARapperswil Vs NXF2-3
01/05/26HNXF Vs FC Aarau1-3
26/04/26HNXF Vs Bellinzona2-1
22/04/26AYverdon Sport Vs NXF2-2
10/04/26HNXF Vs Stade Nyonnais4-1
07/04/26AFC WIL 1900 Vs NXF5-2
03/04/26HNXF Vs FC Vaduz1-3

📊 13. Overall Statistics

FC WIL 1900
FC WIL 1900
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW1.28
HomeLWDLL1.08
AwayLLWWW1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%25%42%
AVG goals3.082.963.19
Over 1.5 %78%71%85%
Over 2.5 %58%58%58%
Over 3.5 %44%50%38%
Scored1.381.251.50
Conceded1.701.711.69
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet28%25%31%
Corners---
Cards---
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW1.28
HomeWWLWW1.62
AwayLLDWL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%46%25%
AVG goals3.163.273.04
Over 1.5 %86%92%79%
Over 2.5 %66%69%62%
Over 3.5 %40%38%42%
Scored1.581.881.25
Conceded1.581.381.79
BTTS66%73%58%
Clean Sheet16%19%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy410
75%
2.5
72+5
2.2
100%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.5
-
2Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC49
75%
2.2
75+2
3.0
75%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
3FC WinterthurFC Winterthur47
50%
1.8
94+5
3.2
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
5242.21.0
-
4Yverdon SportYverdon Sport35
33%
1.7
53+2
2.7
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.0
-
5Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge45
25%
1.2
42+2
1.5
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.5
-
6FC AarauFC Aarau34
33%
1.3
35-2
2.7
100%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.01.7
-
7SC KriensSC Kriens33
33%
1.0
45-1
3.0
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
8RapperswilRapperswil43
25%
0.8
610-4
4.0
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.5
-
9FC WIL 1900FC WIL 190033
33%
1.0
611-5
5.7
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.7
-
10Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais41
0%
0.2
26-4
2.0
75%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
Switzerland: Challenge League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Challenge League stats & trends →

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