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FC WIL 1900 vs Stade Nyonnais Result & Analysis

Date: 10/08/2024
Time: 16:00
Final 0-3
FC WIL 1900
FC WIL 1900
Vs
43%
29%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stade Nyonnais
Stade Nyonnais
Switzerland: Challenge League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC WIL 1900 win✗ Miss
42.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stade Nyonnais win✓ Hit
28.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC WIL 1900FC WIL 1900

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L22D01L04L31W40W03L12L22D23LA·FC 20/04A·NEU23/04H·FC 27/04A·FC 03/05H·BAD09/05A·FC 17/05H·FC 20/05A·BEL20/07H·FC 26/07A·FC 04/08
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.631.131.271.332.00
vs Stronger (6)0.333.170.333.330.333.00
vs Similar (24)1.461.251.330.751.581.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Nyonnais) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L02L00D11D13L04L43W00D21W03LA·FC 19/04H·FC 24/04H·FC 27/04A·FC 03/05H·BEL09/05A·NEU17/05H·FC 20/05A·FC 21/07H·BEL26/07H·FC 02/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.731.251.751.211.71
vs Stronger (9)1.672.222.201.801.002.75
vs Similar (21)1.051.520.821.731.301.30
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (FC WIL 1900) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.9%
Under 1.5
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.1%
Under 2.5
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.7%
Under 3.5
75.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.9%
No
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
10.1%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
4.9%
FC WIL 1900 goals ↓
Stade Nyonnais goals →
01234
09.3%7.6%4.9%1.8%0.5%
110%14%6.9%2.6%0.7%
28.1%8.9%4.9%1.8%0.5%
33.8%4.2%2.3%0.9%0.2%
41.3%1.5%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC WIL 1900 goals (down), columns = Stade Nyonnais goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Thun
2.00
FC Aarau
1.69
Étoile Carouge
1.50
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.47
FC Vaduz
1.42
FC WIL 1900
1.39
Bellinzona
1.31
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.14
Stade Nyonnais
1.00
FC Schaffhausen
0.78
FC WIL 1900 is 0.39 points better than Stade Nyonnais in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Thun
1.94
FC Aarau
1.75
Étoile Carouge
1.61
FC WIL 1900
1.61
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.58
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.50
Bellinzona
1.33
FC Vaduz
1.33
Stade Nyonnais
1.22
FC Schaffhausen
1.11
FC WIL 1900 is 0.39 goals better than Stade Nyonnais in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.22).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Thun
1.08
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.19
FC Aarau
1.25
Étoile Carouge
1.31
FC Vaduz
1.36
Bellinzona
1.58
FC WIL 1900
1.58
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.81
FC Schaffhausen
1.92
Stade Nyonnais
1.92
FC WIL 1900 is 0.33 goals better than Stade Nyonnais in terms of goals conceded per game (1.58 vs 1.92).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC WIL 1900FC WIL 1900

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W00D02L11D30W00D11D20W10WA·FC 20/04A·NEU23/04H·FC 27/04A·FC 03/05H·BAD09/05A·FC 17/05H·FC 20/05A·BEL20/07H·FC 26/07A·FC 04/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.500.330.330.670.67
vs Stronger (6)0.170.830.000.670.331.00
vs Similar (24)0.580.420.420.250.750.58
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Nyonnais) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L00D00D11D01L21W00D01L01LA·FC 19/04H·FC 24/04H·FC 27/04A·FC 03/05H·BEL09/05A·NEU17/05H·FC 20/05A·FC 21/07H·BEL26/07H·FC 02/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.630.440.690.210.57
vs Stronger (9)0.560.780.800.600.251.00
vs Similar (21)0.240.570.270.730.200.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (FC WIL 1900) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC WIL 1900 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC WIL 1900 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC WIL 1900 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Nyonnais over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Nyonnais over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Nyonnais over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC WIL 1900FC WIL 1900

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L12L01L02L20W10W03L01L02L13LA·FC 20/04A·NEU23/04H·FC 27/04A·FC 03/05H·BAD09/05A·FC 17/05H·FC 20/05A·BEL20/07H·FC 26/07A·FC 04/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.130.800.930.671.33
vs Stronger (6)0.172.330.332.670.002.00
vs Similar (24)0.880.830.920.500.831.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Nyonnais) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D11D02L03L22D00D20W02LA·FC 19/04H·FC 24/04H·FC 27/04A·FC 03/05H·BEL09/05A·NEU17/05H·FC 20/05A·FC 21/07H·BEL26/07H·FC 02/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.100.811.061.001.14
vs Stronger (9)1.111.441.401.200.751.75
vs Similar (21)0.810.950.551.001.100.90
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (FC WIL 1900) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC WIL 1900 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC WIL 1900 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC WIL 1900 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Nyonnais over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Nyonnais over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Nyonnais over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (25)
€17m
SL (24)
€6m
FV (26)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
NXF (26)
€5m
BEL (34)
€5m
FW1 (26)
€5m
ÉC (23)
€4m
SN (21)
€3m
FC WIL 1900's squad is €2m more valuable than Stade Nyonnais's (€5m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (7)
€4m
SL (9)
€3m
FV (9)
€2m
NXF (10)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
BEL (11)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
FW1 (9)
€1m
ÉC (6)
€1m
FC WIL 1900 and Stade Nyonnais have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (8)
€5m
FV (8)
€2m
FW1 (7)
€2m
BEL (8)
€1m
SL (5)
€1m
NXF (5)
€1m
ÉC (5)
€1m
FA (4)
€1m
SN (3)
€0m
FC WIL 1900's midfield is €1m more valuable than Stade Nyonnais's (€2m vs €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (10)
€8m
FA (13)
€3m
SL (10)
€2m
BEL (15)
€2m
NXF (11)
€2m
ÉC (12)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
FW1 (10)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
FC WIL 1900 and Stade Nyonnais have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
FW1 wins
2
Draws
1
SN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC WIL 1900 vs Stade Nyonnais · H/A from FW1
DateH/AGameScore
14/04/24HFW1 Vs Stade Nyonnais0-0
01/03/24AStade Nyonnais Vs FW11-1
15/12/23HFW1 Vs Stade Nyonnais3-2
26/09/23AStade Nyonnais Vs FW12-0

FC WIL 1900FC WIL 1900

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/08/24AFC Vaduz Vs FW13-2
26/07/24HFW1 Vs FC Aarau2-2
20/07/24ABellinzona Vs FW12-1
20/05/24HFW1 Vs FC Thun0-3
17/05/24AFC Aarau Vs FW10-4
09/05/24HFW1 Vs Baden3-1
03/05/24AFC Sion Vs FW14-0
27/04/24HFW1 Vs FC Schaffhausen0-1
23/04/24ANeuchatel Xamax FC Vs FW12-2
20/04/24AFC Vaduz Vs FW13-1

Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/08/24HSN Vs FC Schaffhausen0-3
26/07/24HSN Vs Bellinzona2-1
21/07/24AFC Vaduz Vs SN0-0
20/05/24HSN Vs FC Aarau4-3
17/05/24ANeuchatel Xamax FC Vs SN4-0
09/05/24HSN Vs Bellinzona1-3
03/05/24AFC Schaffhausen Vs SN1-1
27/04/24HSN Vs FC Thun0-0
24/04/24HSN Vs FC Vaduz0-2
19/04/24AFC Sion Vs SN1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC WIL 1900
FC WIL 1900
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDL1.10
HomeDLWLD1.32
AwayDLWLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%36%20%
AVG goals2.842.483.20
Over 1.5 %80%72%88%
Over 2.5 %58%48%68%
Over 3.5 %40%28%52%
Scored1.281.161.40
Conceded1.561.321.80
BTTS50%40%60%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Stade Nyonnais
Stade Nyonnais
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWL1.21
HomeDLWWL1.40
AwayDLDLD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%40%21%
AVG goals2.792.902.68
Over 1.5 %82%85%79%
Over 2.5 %46%55%37%
Over 3.5 %31%30%32%
Scored1.211.301.11
Conceded1.591.601.58
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet23%25%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC ThunFC Thun3672
58%
2.0
7039+31
3.0
83%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
17
4581.91.1
-
2FC AarauFC Aarau3661
44%
1.7
6345+18
3.0
83%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.81.2
-
3Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge3654
42%
1.5
5847+11
2.9
75%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.3
-
4Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy3653
39%
1.5
5443+11
2.7
72%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.51.2
-
5FC VaduzFC Vaduz3651
36%
1.4
4849-1
2.7
69%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.31.4
-
6FC WIL 1900FC WIL 19003650
36%
1.4
5857+1
3.2
89%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.61.6
-
7BellinzonaBellinzona3647
33%
1.3
4857-9
2.9
92%
67%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.6
-
8Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC3641
33%
1.1
5765-8
3.4
92%
75%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.8
-
9Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais3636
28%
1.0
4469-25
3.1
83%
67%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.21.9
-
10FC SchaffhausenFC Schaffhausen3628
19%
0.8
4069-29
3.0
78%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
Switzerland: Challenge League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Challenge League stats & trends →

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