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FC Winterthur vs Neuchatel Xamax FC Prediction & Stats

Date: 04/09/2026
Time: 18:15
FC Winterthur
FC Winterthur
Vs
57%
23%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Switzerland: Challenge League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

FC Winterthur’s recent draw against Stade Nyonnais leaves them looking for a win after a mixed start, while Neuchatel Xamax FC, fresh from a 1-2 loss to Yverdon Sport, has struggled in the last five outings. The model’s most confident pick is a home win, with a 57% chance versus a 23% draw and 20% away victory. The expected total is 3.2 goals, centring on a 3-goal outcome that carries a 22% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.5% chance.

FC Winterthur averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded at home against similarly ranked opposition, whereas Neuchatel Xamax scores 1.08 and concedes 1.83 on the road. The model’s suggested selections include an Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.4% with an 8% edge, Under 7.5 at 98.2%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.9% with a 9% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.8% with a 7% edge, Under 6.5 at 95.3% with a 7% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 94.4% with a 5% edge, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 93.2% with a 10% edge, and Home +2 handicap at 91.7%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Winterthur win
56.8%
Avg Implied 45.4% · @ 2.01
Edge
+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.08
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.07
10Bet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.03
Draw
22.9%
Avg Implied 24.8% · @ 3.68
Edge
-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.93
Betfair
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
Dafabet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Neuchatel Xamax FC win
20.3%
Avg Implied 29.8% · @ 3.06
Edge
-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.28
Bet365
3.20
1xBet
3.16
BetVictor
3.13
Dafabet
3.10

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC WinterthurFC Winterthur

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D21W23L03L22D02L50W20W11D22DH·FC 02/05H·LAU09/05A·GRA12/05H·FC 16/05H·YVE24/07A·SC 31/07H·FC 07/08A·RAP21/08H·STA28/08A·STA01/09← Super LeagueChallenge League →
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.332.201.272.001.402.40
vs Stronger (23)1.222.431.082.251.362.64
vs Similar (7)1.711.432.001.001.501.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Neuchatel Xamax FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L32W30W12L32W21W10W12L12L12LH·FC 01/05A·RAP08/05H·ÉTO11/05A·STA15/05H·SC 24/07A·FC 31/07A·ÉTO07/08H·STA21/08A·FC 28/08H·YVE01/09
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.631.801.471.071.80
vs Stronger (8)1.122.001.202.201.001.67
vs Similar (22)1.551.502.101.101.081.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Winterthur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.4%
@ 1.11+1.1%
Under 1.5
15.6%
@ 5.56-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.14
Pinnacle
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Under
Betfair
6.50
Pinnacle
5.90
BetVictor
5.75
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.40
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62.9%
@ 1.42-2.0%
Under 2.5
37.1%
@ 2.63+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.45
Superbet
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Under
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.70
BetVictor
2.70
10Bet
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
40.7%
@ 2.09-3.9%
Under 3.5
59.3%
@ 1.68+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.17
10Bet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Superbet
2.07
Under
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.70
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
Both teams to score
Yes
61.4%
@ 1.39-4.7%
No
38.6%
@ 2.72+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
Betano
1.40
William Hil
1.40
No
Betfair
2.88
BetVictor
2.75
1xBet
2.73
Betano
2.72
William Hil
2.70

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%@ 7.54+4.6%
2-1
9.8%@ 8.19+4.4%
2-0
8.3%@ 12.28+4.7%
1-0
7.1%@ 11.48+3.2%
3-1
6.7%@ 12.86+3.3%
2-2
5.8%@ 10.03+1.4%
3-0
5.7%@ 19.08+3.4%
1-2
5.6%@ 10.51+1.4%
FC Winterthur goals ↓
Neuchatel Xamax FC goals →
01234
04.8%3.7%2.7%1.1%0.3%
17.1%10%5.6%2.2%0.7%
28.3%9.8%5.8%2.3%0.7%
35.7%6.7%4.0%1.6%0.5%
43.0%3.5%2.1%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Winterthur goals (down), columns = Neuchatel Xamax FC goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2.33
Yverdon Sport
2.00
SC Kriens
1.67
FC Winterthur
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Étoile Carouge
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
FC WIL 1900
0.83
Rapperswil
0.67
Stade Nyonnais
0.33
FC Winterthur and Neuchatel Xamax FC are level in average points per game (both 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Winterthur
2.00
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.83
SC Kriens
1.67
Yverdon Sport
1.67
FC WIL 1900
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Rapperswil
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
Étoile Carouge
1.00
Stade Nyonnais
0.67
FC Winterthur is 0.50 goals better than Neuchatel Xamax FC in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
0.50
SC Kriens
1.00
Yverdon Sport
1.00
Étoile Carouge
1.00
FC Winterthur
1.17
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
FC Aarau
1.67
Stade Nyonnais
1.83
Rapperswil
2.17
FC WIL 1900
2.67
FC Winterthur is 0.33 goals better than Neuchatel Xamax FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Winterthur or Draw
79.7%
Avg Implied 70.4% · @ 1.31
Edge
+9.3%
57%
23%
20%
covers FC Winterthur + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Betfair
1.33
FC Winterthur or Neuchatel Xamax FC
77.1%
Avg Implied 76.0% · @ 1.22
Edge
+1.1%
57%
23%
20%
covers FC Winterthur + Neuchatel Xamax FC
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
Draw or Neuchatel Xamax FC
43.2%
Avg Implied 53.6% · @ 1.72
Edge
-10.4%
57%
23%
20%
covers Draw + Neuchatel Xamax FC
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.80
SBO
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Betano
1.75
Betfair
1.73

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Winterthur over/under 0.5
Over
87.3%
@ 1.12+4.4%
Under
12.7%
@ 5.41-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Under
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.50
Superbet
5.25
Betano
5.20
FC Winterthur over/under 1.5
Over
61.1%
@ 1.64+4.5%
Under
38.9%
@ 2.14-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.67
Superbet
1.66
10Bet
1.65
1xBet
1.63
Under
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Pinnacle
2.20
1xBet
2.14
Marathonbet
2.14
FC Winterthur over/under 2.5
Over
34.1%
@ 3.02+3.4%
Under
65.9%
@ 1.34-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.09
Betano
3.05
Superbet
3.05
Bet365
3.00
Under
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Betano
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
FC Winterthur over/under 3.5
Over
15.5%
@ 6.00-0.1%
Under
84.5%
@ 1.10+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
Betano
6.00
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.50
Under
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Betfair
1.08
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 0.5
Over
69.3%
@ 1.22-6.7%
Under
30.7%
@ 3.84+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Under
Betfair
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Pinnacle
3.86
Betano
3.85
10Bet
3.80
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 1.5
Over
33.0%
@ 2.09-11.4%
Under
67.0%
@ 1.67+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.22
Bet365
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Marathonbet
2.09
1xBet
2.09
Under
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.69
Bet365
1.67
Betfair
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 2.5
Over
11.6%
@ 4.38-9.5%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.17+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
1xBet
4.40
Superbet
4.25
Under
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 3.5
Over
3.2%
@ 8.92-7.3%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.04+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
9.00
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Bet365
1.04

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FC Winterthur, so a minus line means FC Winterthur give that many goals of a start and Neuchatel Xamax FC receive them. At -1, FC Winterthur must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Winterthur win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Winterthur)
FC Winterthur -2
17.5%
@ 6.67+4.1%
Draw -2
17.5%
@ 5.70+1.8%
Neuchatel Xamax FC +2
65.0%
@ 1.26-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.00
Draw
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.60
Bet365
5.50
Away
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
Betfair
1.22
Handicap -1 (FC Winterthur)
FC Winterthur -1
35.0%
@ 3.44+9.0%
Draw -1
21.8%
@ 4.06-0.2%
Neuchatel Xamax FC +1
43.2%
@ 1.72-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.20
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Marathonbet
3.95
Away
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Betfair
1.67
Handicap +1 (FC Winterthur)
FC Winterthur +1
79.7%
@ 1.30+11.2%
Draw +1
12.1%
@ 5.25-5.0%
Neuchatel Xamax FC -1
8.3%
@ 6.15-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.28
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.00
Away
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
5.80
Handicap +2 (FC Winterthur)
FC Winterthur +2
91.7%
@ 1.11+8.2%
Draw +2
5.7%
@ 9.00-4.6%
Neuchatel Xamax FC -2
2.5%
@ 15.00-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Away
Bet365
15.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC WinterthurFC Winterthur

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W20W01L00D01L30W10W01L21WH·FC 02/05H·LAU09/05A·GRA12/05H·FC 16/05H·YVE24/07A·SC 31/07H·FC 07/08A·RAP21/08H·STA28/08A·STA01/09← Super LeagueChallenge League →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.830.470.730.930.93
vs Stronger (23)0.570.910.330.750.821.09
vs Similar (7)1.140.571.000.671.250.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Neuchatel Xamax FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L20W01L31W11D10W02L00D11DH·FC 01/05A·RAP08/05H·ÉTO11/05A·STA15/05H·SC 24/07A·FC 31/07A·ÉTO07/08H·STA21/08A·FC 28/08H·YVE01/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.930.930.800.331.07
vs Stronger (8)0.250.750.401.000.000.33
vs Similar (22)0.771.001.200.700.421.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Winterthur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
73.5%
@ 1.22-2.1%
Under 0.5
26.5%
@ 3.77+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
BetVictor
1.22
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
William Hil
3.90
BetVictor
3.90
Superbet
3.80
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.2%
@ 2.08-9.2%
Under 1.5
64.8%
@ 1.67+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.15
Betano
2.15
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Under
Pinnacle
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.68
William Hil
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.1%
@ 4.42-6.8%
Under 2.5
85.9%
@ 1.17+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.80
BetVictor
4.60
William Hil
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.30
Under
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Betano
1.18
BetVictor
1.17

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Winterthur over/under 0.5 HT
Over
54.6%
@ 1.65-1.9%
Under
45.4%
@ 2.14+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.64
Superbet
1.64
1xBet
1.62
Under
Pinnacle
2.24
1xBet
2.16
Superbet
2.12
Betano
2.05
FC Winterthur over/under 1.5 HT
Over
20.2%
@ 4.07-2.5%
Under
79.8%
@ 1.19+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
4.00
Under
1xBet
1.20
Betano
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
FC Winterthur over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.7%
@ 9.00-4.6%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.03+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 0.5 HT
Over
34.5%
@ 1.91-13.9%
Under
65.5%
@ 1.79+13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.96
Betano
1.93
Marathonbet
1.91
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.87
Under
1xBet
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.78
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.76
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.0%
@ 5.43-10.0%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.11+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.70
1xBet
5.40
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.7%
@ 10.25-8.3%
Under
99.3%
@ 1.02+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.02

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC WinterthurFC Winterthur

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D03L02L22D01L20W10W10W01LH·FC 02/05H·LAU09/05A·GRA12/05H·FC 16/05H·YVE24/07A·SC 31/07H·FC 07/08A·RAP21/08H·STA28/08A·STA01/09← Super LeagueChallenge League →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.370.801.270.471.47
vs Stronger (23)0.651.520.751.500.551.55
vs Similar (7)0.570.861.000.330.251.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Neuchatel Xamax FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L30W10W11D01L10W00D10W12L01LH·FC 01/05A·RAP08/05H·ÉTO11/05A·STA15/05H·SC 24/07A·FC 31/07A·ÉTO07/08H·STA21/08A·FC 28/08H·YVE01/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.700.870.670.730.73
vs Stronger (8)0.881.250.801.201.001.33
vs Similar (22)0.770.500.900.400.670.58
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Winterthur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
83.2%
@ 1.11+0.7%
Under 0.5
16.8%
@ 5.25-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Under
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.25
Superbet
5.25
Betano
5.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
53.3%
@ 1.63-3.4%
Under 1.5
46.7%
@ 2.14+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.65
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
Betano
1.62
Under
10Bet
2.20
Betano
2.18
1xBet
2.13
Marathonbet
2.13
Superbet
2.10
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
24.9%
@ 2.89-6.9%
Under 2.5
75.1%
@ 1.35+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.00
Bet365
3.00
1xBet
2.83
Marathonbet
2.83
Betano
2.77
Under
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Winterthur over/under 0.5 2H
Over
67.4%
@ 1.43+2.8%
Under
32.6%
@ 2.62-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.45
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Under
1xBet
2.65
Betano
2.65
Superbet
2.55
FC Winterthur over/under 1.5 2H
Over
31.1%
@ 2.92-0.4%
Under
68.9%
@ 1.34+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.93
Betano
2.92
1xBet
2.90
Under
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
FC Winterthur over/under 2.5 2H
Over
9.4%
@ 7.10-3.6%
Under
90.6%
@ 1.06+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.70
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.04
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 0.5 2H
Over
39.8%
@ 1.62-17.5%
Under
60.2%
@ 2.17+17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.63
1xBet
1.62
Betano
1.60
Under
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.16
Superbet
2.15
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.3%
@ 3.93-13.1%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.20+13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
4.00
Betano
3.70
Under
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.4%
@ 8.25-8.8%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.04+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.04

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.3%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+8.3%
Under 7.598.2%1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
---+4.9%
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.6%1.04
Betano
1.04
----+8.8%
Away under 3.5 goals96.8%1.04
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Bet365
1.04
--+7.3%
Under 6.595.3%1.04
1xBet
1.04
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
--+5.9%
Home under 2.5 HT goals94.3%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+4.6%
Away under 1.5 HT goals93.0%1.11
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
--+10.0%
Home +2 handicap91.7%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+8.2%
Home under 2.5 2H goals90.6%1.06
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.04
---+3.6%
Away under 1.5 2H goals89.7%1.20
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
--+13.1%
Under 5.588.9%1.09
Betano
1.12
Pinnacle
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
+4.3%
Away under 2.5 goals88.4%1.17
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
+9.5%
Home over 0.5 goals87.3%1.12
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
+4.4%
Under 2.5 HT goals85.9%1.17
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Betano
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
+6.8%
Home under 3.5 goals84.5%1.10
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Betfair
1.08
-+0.1%
Over 1.584.4%1.11
Betano
1.14
Pinnacle
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
+1.1%
Over 0.5 2H goals83.2%1.11
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
+0.7%
Home under 1.5 HT goals79.8%1.19
1xBet
1.20
Betano
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
--+2.5%
Home or Draw79.7%1.31
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Betfair
1.33
+9.3%
Home +1 handicap79.7%1.30
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.28
---+11.2%
Under 4.577.3%1.27
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
Superbet
1.27
+4.4%
Home or Away77.1%1.22
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
+1.1%
Under 2.5 2H goals75.1%1.35
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
+6.9%
Over 0.5 HT goals73.5%1.22
Betano
1.27
BetVictor
1.22
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
10Bet
1.22
-2.1%

🎽 13. Player market rates

FC Winterthur · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christian Gomis40%
Andrin Hunziker31%
Nishan Burkart18%
Pajtim Kasami17%
Roman Buess12%
Elias Maluvunu11%
Theo Golliard9%
Brian Beyer7%
Randy Schneider6%
Alexandre Jankewitz6%
Tibault Citherlet6%
Bafode Dansoko5%
Souleymane Diaby5%
Luca Zuffi4%
Silvan Sidler4%
Remo Arnold3%
Mirlind Kryeziu0%
Fabian Rohner0%
Stefanos Kapino0%
Lukas Mühl0%
Basil Stillhart0%
Dario Ulrich0%
Marvin Martins0%
Francis Momoh0%
Adrian Durrer0%
Stéphane Cueni0%
Carmine Chiappetta0%
Loïc Lüthi0%
Ledjan Sahitaj0%
Rhodri Smith0%
Leandro Maksutaj0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fabian Rohner47%
Mirlind Kryeziu44%
Carmine Chiappetta33%
Adrian Durrer22%
Alexandre Jankewitz22%
Silvan Sidler21%
Pajtim Kasami21%
Stéphane Cueni20%
Christian Gomis20%
Andrin Hunziker19%
Marvin Martins18%
Roman Buess17%
Ledjan Sahitaj17%
Tibault Citherlet17%
Luca Zuffi14%
Bafode Dansoko14%
Lukas Mühl13%
Remo Arnold13%
Randy Schneider13%
Elias Maluvunu11%
Francis Momoh9%
Souleymane Diaby9%
Stefanos Kapino8%
Dario Ulrich8%
Rhodri Smith8%
Theo Golliard6%
Basil Stillhart0%
Nishan Burkart0%
Brian Beyer0%
Loïc Lüthi0%
Leandro Maksutaj0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Theo Golliard17%
Fabian Rohner12%
Andrin Hunziker11%
Silvan Sidler11%
Randy Schneider10%
Nishan Burkart9%
Dario Ulrich8%
Rhodri Smith8%
Elias Maluvunu7%
Brian Beyer7%
Alexandre Jankewitz6%
Adrian Durrer6%
Tibault Citherlet6%
Bafode Dansoko5%
Souleymane Diaby5%
Roman Buess4%
Mirlind Kryeziu0%
Stefanos Kapino0%
Lukas Mühl0%
Luca Zuffi0%
Basil Stillhart0%
Pajtim Kasami0%
Remo Arnold0%
Marvin Martins0%
Francis Momoh0%
Stéphane Cueni0%
Christian Gomis0%
Carmine Chiappetta0%
Loïc Lüthi0%
Ledjan Sahitaj0%
Leandro Maksutaj0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andrin Hunziker33%
Christian Gomis20%
Pajtim Kasami12%
Fabian Rohner12%
Theo Golliard11%
Bafode Dansoko10%
Nishan Burkart9%
Dario Ulrich8%
Silvan Sidler4%
Elias Maluvunu4%
Randy Schneider3%
Mirlind Kryeziu0%
Stefanos Kapino0%
Lukas Mühl0%
Luca Zuffi0%
Basil Stillhart0%
Roman Buess0%
Remo Arnold0%
Marvin Martins0%
Francis Momoh0%
Alexandre Jankewitz0%
Adrian Durrer0%
Stéphane Cueni0%
Souleymane Diaby0%
Carmine Chiappetta0%
Brian Beyer0%
Loïc Lüthi0%
Ledjan Sahitaj0%
Rhodri Smith0%
Tibault Citherlet0%
Leandro Maksutaj0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (25)
€6m
SL (24)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
YS (22)
€5m
NXF (26)
€5m
FW1 (26)
€5m
RAP (24)
€4m
ÉC (23)
€4m
SN (21)
€3m
SK (16)
€3m
FC Winterthur's squad is €1m more valuable than Neuchatel Xamax FC's (€6m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SL (9)
€3m
YS (10)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
NXF (10)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
FW1 (9)
€1m
ÉC (6)
€1m
RAP (8)
€1m
SK (5)
€0m
FC Winterthur and Neuchatel Xamax FC have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (7)
€2m
FW1 (7)
€2m
RAP (6)
€2m
SL (5)
€1m
NXF (5)
€1m
ÉC (5)
€1m
FA (4)
€1m
SK (3)
€1m
YS (3)
€1m
SN (3)
€0m
FC Winterthur's midfield is €1m more valuable than Neuchatel Xamax FC's (€2m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€3m
SL (10)
€2m
FW (9)
€2m
YS (9)
€2m
NXF (11)
€2m
ÉC (12)
€2m
SK (8)
€2m
RAP (10)
€2m
FW1 (10)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
FC Winterthur and Neuchatel Xamax FC have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
FW wins
0
Draws
0
NXF wins

Head-to-head

FC Winterthur vs Neuchatel Xamax FC · H/A from FW
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

FC WinterthurFC Winterthur

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26AStade Nyonnais Vs FW2-2
28/08/26HFW Vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1-1
21/08/26ARapperswil Vs FW0-2
07/08/26HFW Vs FC WIL 19005-0
31/07/26ASC Kriens Vs FW2-0
24/07/26HFW Vs Yverdon Sport2-2
16/05/26HFW Vs FC Luzern0-3
12/05/26AGrasshoppers Vs FW3-2
09/05/26HFW Vs Lausanne2-1
02/05/26HFW Vs FC Zurich2-2

Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26HNXF Vs Yverdon Sport1-2
28/08/26AFC Aarau Vs NXF2-1
21/08/26HNXF Vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1-2
07/08/26AÉtoile Carouge Vs NXF0-1
31/07/26AFC WIL 1900 Vs NXF1-2
24/07/26HNXF Vs SC Kriens3-2
15/05/26AStade Lausanne-Ouchy Vs NXF2-1
11/05/26HNXF Vs Étoile Carouge3-0
08/05/26ARapperswil Vs NXF2-3
01/05/26HNXF Vs FC Aarau1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Winterthur
FC Winterthur
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDD0.90
HomeWLDWD1.04
AwayLLLWD0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%24%20%
AVG goals3.643.403.88
Over 1.5 %96%96%96%
Over 2.5 %72%64%80%
Over 3.5 %50%44%56%
Scored1.361.481.24
Conceded2.281.922.64
BTTS64%68%60%
Clean Sheet10%12%8%
Corners10.099.9110.27
Cards4.504.914.09
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.26
HomeLWWLL1.40
AwayWLWWL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%40%32%
AVG goals3.043.083.00
Over 1.5 %84%92%76%
Over 2.5 %68%72%64%
Over 3.5 %36%32%40%
Scored1.461.601.32
Conceded1.581.481.68
BTTS68%76%60%
Clean Sheet16%16%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy614
67%
2.3
113+8
2.3
100%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.80.5
-
2Yverdon SportYverdon Sport612
50%
2.0
106+4
2.7
100%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3121.71.0
-
3SC KriensSC Kriens610
50%
1.7
106+4
2.7
100%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.71.0
-
4FC WinterthurFC Winterthur69
33%
1.5
127+5
3.2
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2222.01.2
-
5Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC69
50%
1.5
99+0
3.0
83%
83%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.51.5
-
6Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge68
33%
1.3
66+0
2.0
67%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.01.0
-
7FC AarauFC Aarau68
33%
1.3
810-2
3.0
100%
83%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.31.7
-
8FC WIL 1900FC WIL 190065
17%
0.8
916-7
4.2
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.52.7
-
9RapperswilRapperswil64
17%
0.7
813-5
3.5
100%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1221.32.2
-
10Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais62
0%
0.3
411-7
2.5
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.71.8
-
Switzerland: Challenge League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Challenge League stats & trends →

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