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FC Winterthur vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Result & Analysis

Date: 28/08/2026
Time: 17:30
Final 1-1
FC Winterthur
FC Winterthur
Vs
50%
25%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Switzerland: Challenge League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

FC Winterthur’s recent 2-game winning streak fuels confidence at home, while Stade Lausanne-Ouchy also enter the match on a 2-game run. The model favours a home win, assigning a 50% chance to FC Winterthur, 25% to a draw and 26% to an away victory. The expected total goals hover at 3.1, yet the most likely total is 2, a 22% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.3% chance, signalling a tight contest.

Home form shows FC Winterthur scoring 1.67 goals and conceding 1.0 against similar opposition, whereas Stade Lausanne-Ouchy averages 1.14 goals scored and 1.36 conceded on the road. The model’s suggested picks, all with high probabilities, include Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.4% with a 9% edge), Under 7.5 (98.5%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.7% with a 9% edge), Under 6.5 (95.9% with a 5% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (95.8% with a 9% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (93.8% with a 3% edge), Away under 1.5 HT goals (93.0% with a 12% edge) and Home under 2.5 2H goals (91.0% with a 1% edge).

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, a home win for FC Winterthur at 50% probability, failed to materialise as the match finished 1-1, a draw that extended both sides’ recent form narratives. The model’s call was therefore incorrect. The model’s selection of “Away under 2.5 HT goals” at 99.3% hit, “Under 7.5” at 98.5% hit, “Away under 2.5 2H goals” at 97.2% hit, “Under 6.5” at 95.9% hit, “Away under 3.5 goals” at 95.8% hit, “Home under 2.5 HT goals” at 93.0% hit, “Away under 1.5 HT goals” at 92.4% hit and “Home under 2.5 2H goals” at 91.0% hit all proved accurate. The game’s low-scoring nature matched the model’s expectation of a 2-goal total, with the most likely scoreline of 1-1 confirmed.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Winterthur win✗ Miss
49.7%
Avg Implied 36.4% · @ 2.51
Edge
+13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.67
Dafabet
2.60
Betano
2.60
Superbet
2.57
Bet365
2.55
Draw✓ Hit
24.8%
Avg Implied 26.1% · @ 3.49
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.70
Betfair
3.60
Dafabet
3.60
Pinnacle
3.53
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied 37.4% · @ 2.44
Edge
-11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.56
Dafabet
2.48
Superbet
2.47
BetVictor
2.45
Bet365
2.45

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC WinterthurFC Winterthur

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L35L22D21W23L03L22D02L50W20WH·GRA11/04A·SER26/04H·FC 02/05H·LAU09/05A·GRA12/05H·FC 16/05H·YVE24/07A·SC 31/07H·FC 07/08A·RAP21/08← Super LeagueChallenge League →
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.232.301.202.001.272.60
vs Stronger (24)1.172.541.082.251.252.83
vs Similar (6)1.501.331.671.001.331.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Lausanne-Ouchy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L03L22D50W31W21W20W11D20W21WA·FC 22/04H·YVE26/04A·FC 02/05H·BEL08/05A·STA11/05H·NEU15/05H·STA24/07A·FC 01/08H·RAP07/08A·NEU21/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.302.131.271.271.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.621.312.171.251.141.36
vs Weaker (4)2.251.252.001.333.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Winterthur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.1%
@ 1.13+1.4%
Under 1.5
16.9%
@ 5.06-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.17
Pinnacle
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Under
Pinnacle
5.66
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.8%
@ 1.49-1.3%
Under 2.5
39.2%
@ 2.44+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Superbet
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Under
Betfair
2.60
Pinnacle
2.55
Unibet
2.50
10Bet
2.50
Betano
2.40
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.5%
@ 2.21-3.5%
Under 3.5
61.5%
@ 1.60+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.28
Betano
2.27
Superbet
2.25
Bet365
2.25
1xBet
2.21
Under
Pinnacle
1.64
10Bet
1.62
Unibet
1.62
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.1%
@ 1.42-2.7%
No
37.9%
@ 2.62+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.44
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
No
Betfair
2.75
BetVictor
2.70
1xBet
2.66
William Hil
2.62
10Bet
2.60

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.3%@ 6.97+5.0%
2-1
9.6%@ 8.99+4.7%
2-0
7.4%@ 14.91+4.5%
1-0
7.0%@ 11.84+3.3%
1-2
6.6%@ 8.94+1.7%
2-2
6.2%@ 9.86+1.7%
3-1
5.9%@ 16.40+3.2%
0-0
5.4%@ 15.06+2.4%
FC Winterthur goals ↓
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy goals →
01234
05.4%4.5%3.6%1.5%0.5%
17.0%11%6.6%2.8%0.9%
27.4%9.6%6.2%2.6%0.8%
34.6%5.9%3.8%1.6%0.5%
42.1%2.7%1.8%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Winterthur goals (down), columns = Stade Lausanne-Ouchy goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2.33
Yverdon Sport
2.00
SC Kriens
1.67
FC Winterthur
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Étoile Carouge
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
FC WIL 1900
0.83
Rapperswil
0.67
Stade Nyonnais
0.33
FC Winterthur is 0.83 points worse than Stade Lausanne-Ouchy in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Winterthur
2.00
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.83
SC Kriens
1.67
Yverdon Sport
1.67
FC WIL 1900
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Rapperswil
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
Étoile Carouge
1.00
Stade Nyonnais
0.67
FC Winterthur is 0.17 goals better than Stade Lausanne-Ouchy in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.83).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
0.50
SC Kriens
1.00
Yverdon Sport
1.00
Étoile Carouge
1.00
FC Winterthur
1.17
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
FC Aarau
1.67
Stade Nyonnais
1.83
Rapperswil
2.17
FC WIL 1900
2.67
FC Winterthur is 0.67 goals worse than Stade Lausanne-Ouchy in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 0.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Winterthur or Draw✓ Hit
74.5%
Avg Implied 62.4% · @ 1.48
Edge
+12.1%
50%
25%
26%
covers FC Winterthur + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.55
William Hil
1.53
Bet365
1.53
10Bet
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
FC Winterthur or Stade Lausanne-Ouchy✗ Miss
75.2%
Avg Implied 74.3% · @ 1.24
Edge
+0.9%
50%
25%
26%
covers FC Winterthur + Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Draw or Stade Lausanne-Ouchy✓ Hit
50.3%
Avg Implied 63.3% · @ 1.46
Edge
-13.0%
50%
25%
26%
covers Draw + Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.53
10Bet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Betano
1.50
BetVictor
1.45

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Winterthur over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.4%
@ 1.19+6.5%
Under
15.6%
@ 4.17-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.30
Superbet
4.20
10Bet
4.20
FC Winterthur over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
55.3%
@ 1.90+6.7%
Under
44.7%
@ 1.80-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.01
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Under
Unibet
1.84
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.80
10Bet
1.80
FC Winterthur over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
28.4%
@ 3.95+5.0%
Under
71.6%
@ 1.21-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.31
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.90
Superbet
3.90
1xBet
3.90
Under
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.20
FC Winterthur over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
11.8%
@ 8.10+0.2%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.06-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
8.50
Bet365
8.00
Betano
7.80
Under
Bet365
1.06
Betano
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.4%
@ 1.18-6.3%
Under
27.6%
@ 4.35+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Under
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Superbet
4.35
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.30
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
36.8%
@ 1.88-12.4%
Under
63.2%
@ 1.82+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
Bet365
1.91
Betano
1.90
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Under
Pinnacle
1.87
Betano
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Superbet
1.82
1xBet
1.81
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.0%
@ 3.78-10.5%
Under
86.0%
@ 1.23+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
Pinnacle
3.82
Betano
3.75
1xBet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Under
Pinnacle
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.2%
@ 7.55-8.2%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.07+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
8.50
Bet365
8.00
Betano
7.50
1xBet
6.20
Under
1xBet
1.09
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FC Winterthur, so a minus line means FC Winterthur give that many goals of a start and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy receive them. At -1, FC Winterthur must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Winterthur win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Winterthur)Actual: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
FC Winterthur -2
13.1%
@ 8.00+2.3%
Draw -2
15.4%
@ 5.92+0.9%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy +2
71.5%
@ 1.15-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
6.00
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.12
Handicap -1 (FC Winterthur)Actual: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
FC Winterthur -1
28.5%
@ 4.33+8.4%
Draw -1
21.2%
@ 4.31+1.0%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy +1
50.3%
@ 1.46-9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.70
10Bet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Unibet
3.60
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.60
10Bet
4.33
Unibet
3.55
Away
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Unibet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.41
Handicap +1 (FC Winterthur)Actual: FC Winterthur
FC Winterthur +1
74.5%
@ 1.44+14.5%
Draw +1
14.4%
@ 4.35-5.4%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy -1
11.1%
@ 4.27-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Unibet
1.38
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
Unibet
3.65
Away
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
Bet365
4.33
Unibet
3.80
Handicap +2 (FC Winterthur)Actual: FC Winterthur
FC Winterthur +2
88.9%
@ 1.16+11.0%
Draw +2
7.4%
@ 7.03-5.4%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy -2
3.7%
@ 9.60-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Draw
Marathonbet
7.10
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Away
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
8.80

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC WinterthurFC Winterthur

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L23L11D10W20W01L00D01L30W10WH·GRA11/04A·SER26/04H·FC 02/05H·LAU09/05A·GRA12/05H·FC 16/05H·YVE24/07A·SC 31/07H·FC 07/08A·RAP21/08← Super LeagueChallenge League →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.900.470.670.801.13
vs Stronger (24)0.541.040.330.750.751.33
vs Similar (6)1.000.331.000.331.000.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Lausanne-Ouchy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L22D20W10W10W10W01L10W20WA·FC 22/04H·YVE26/04A·FC 02/05H·BEL08/05A·STA11/05H·NEU15/05H·STA24/07A·FC 01/08H·RAP07/08A·NEU21/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.601.070.670.470.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.770.581.170.580.430.57
vs Weaker (4)0.750.750.671.001.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Winterthur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.0%
@ 1.25-0.0%
Under 0.5
26.0%
@ 3.55+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Under
Betfair
4.00
William Hil
3.80
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
Superbet
3.60
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
33.9%
@ 2.17-8.7%
Under 1.5
66.1%
@ 1.61+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.27
Pinnacle
2.24
Marathonbet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.65
Unibet
1.63
Superbet
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.5%
@ 4.76-3.9%
Under 2.5
84.5%
@ 1.15+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.25
1xBet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.80
Betfair
4.80
Superbet
4.70
Under
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Winterthur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
53.6%
@ 1.83+2.8%
Under
46.4%
@ 1.88-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.87
Betano
1.87
Marathonbet
1.83
Superbet
1.82
1xBet
1.75
Under
1xBet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.92
Superbet
1.88
Betano
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
FC Winterthur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
20.1%
@ 5.25+2.6%
Under
79.9%
@ 1.12-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.35
Betano
4.90
Under
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
FC Winterthur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.0%
@ 10.00-2.3%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.02+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
35.5%
@ 1.79-16.1%
Under
64.5%
@ 1.91+16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
Marathonbet
1.81
Superbet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
1xBet
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.00
Superbet
1.92
1xBet
1.91
Betano
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.6%
@ 5.00-10.8%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.12+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.20
1xBet
5.00
Betano
4.80
Under
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.7%
@ 9.75-8.8%
Under
99.3%
@ 1.02+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.02

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC WinterthurFC Winterthur

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L12L11D11D03L02L22D01L20W10WH·GRA11/04A·SER26/04H·FC 02/05H·LAU09/05A·GRA12/05H·FC 16/05H·YVE24/07A·SC 31/07H·FC 07/08A·RAP21/08← Super LeagueChallenge League →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.400.731.330.471.47
vs Stronger (24)0.621.500.751.500.501.50
vs Similar (6)0.501.000.670.670.331.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Lausanne-Ouchy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L01L00D30W21W11D10W10W10W01LA·FC 22/04H·YVE26/04A·FC 02/05H·BEL08/05A·STA11/05H·NEU15/05H·STA24/07A·FC 01/08H·RAP07/08A·NEU21/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.701.070.600.800.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.850.731.000.670.710.79
vs Weaker (4)1.500.501.330.332.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Winterthur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
84.7%
@ 1.13+3.0%
Under 0.5
15.3%
@ 5.04-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Under
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.05
1xBet
5.05
Superbet
4.90
Betano
4.70
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
57.9%
@ 1.69+3.2%
Under 1.5
42.1%
@ 2.04-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.71
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
1xBet
1.68
Under
10Bet
2.10
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
1xBet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
26.5%
@ 3.10-3.3%
Under 2.5
73.5%
@ 1.31+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.15
1xBet
3.04
Marathonbet
3.04
Betano
3.00
Under
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Winterthur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
66.7%
@ 1.58+8.4%
Under
33.3%
@ 2.22-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.63
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Under
Betano
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Superbet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.09
FC Winterthur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
28.7%
@ 3.60+3.2%
Under
71.3%
@ 1.23-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.65
1xBet
3.60
Betano
3.55
Under
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
FC Winterthur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.0%
@ 8.90-1.3%
Under
91.0%
@ 1.03+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
40.1%
@ 1.54-20.0%
Under
59.9%
@ 2.32+20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.56
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.53
Under
1xBet
2.35
Betano
2.35
Superbet
2.27
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.1%
@ 3.49-16.3%
Under
89.9%
@ 1.25+16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.56
1xBet
3.50
Betano
3.40
Under
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 8.65-7.9%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.03+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.70
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.3%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+8.8%✓ Hit
Under 7.598.5%1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
---+4.8%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.2%1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
---+7.9%✓ Hit
Under 6.595.9%1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
--+5.5%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals95.8%1.07
1xBet
1.09
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
-+8.2%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals93.0%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+2.3%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals92.4%1.12
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
--+10.8%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals91.0%1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
---+1.3%✓ Hit
Under 5.590.1%1.07
Pinnacle
1.10
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
+3.8%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals89.9%1.25
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
--+16.3%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap88.9%1.16
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
--+11.0%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals88.2%1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betano
1.06
Betfair
1.05
---0.2%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals86.0%1.23
Pinnacle
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+10.5%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals84.7%1.13
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
+3.0%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals84.5%1.15
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
+3.9%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals84.4%1.19
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
+6.5%✓ Hit
Over 1.583.1%1.13
Betano
1.17
Pinnacle
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
+1.4%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals79.9%1.12
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
---2.6%✓ Hit
Under 4.579.1%1.23
Pinnacle
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.22
+3.9%✓ Hit
Home or Away75.2%1.24
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+0.9%✗ Miss
Home or Draw74.5%1.48
Betano
1.55
William Hil
1.53
Bet365
1.53
10Bet
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
+12.1%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap74.5%1.44
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Unibet
1.38
-+14.5%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals74.0%1.25
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
-0.0%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals73.5%1.31
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
+3.3%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals72.4%1.18
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
-6.3%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals71.6%1.21
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.20
-5.0%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap71.5%1.15
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.12
----3.3%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals71.3%1.23
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
---3.2%✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

FC Winterthur · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christian Gomis40%
Andrin Hunziker31%
Nishan Burkart18%
Pajtim Kasami17%
Roman Buess12%
Elias Maluvunu11%
Theo Golliard9%
Brian Beyer7%
Randy Schneider6%
Alexandre Jankewitz6%
Tibault Citherlet6%
Bafode Dansoko5%
Souleymane Diaby5%
Luca Zuffi4%
Silvan Sidler4%
Remo Arnold3%
Mirlind Kryeziu0%
Fabian Rohner0%
Stefanos Kapino0%
Lukas Mühl0%
Basil Stillhart0%
Dario Ulrich0%
Marvin Martins0%
Francis Momoh0%
Adrian Durrer0%
Stéphane Cueni0%
Carmine Chiappetta0%
Loïc Lüthi0%
Ledjan Sahitaj0%
Rhodri Smith0%
Leandro Maksutaj0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fabian Rohner47%
Mirlind Kryeziu44%
Carmine Chiappetta33%
Adrian Durrer22%
Alexandre Jankewitz22%
Silvan Sidler21%
Pajtim Kasami21%
Stéphane Cueni20%
Christian Gomis20%
Andrin Hunziker19%
Marvin Martins18%
Roman Buess17%
Ledjan Sahitaj17%
Tibault Citherlet17%
Luca Zuffi14%
Bafode Dansoko14%
Lukas Mühl13%
Remo Arnold13%
Randy Schneider13%
Elias Maluvunu11%
Francis Momoh9%
Souleymane Diaby9%
Stefanos Kapino8%
Dario Ulrich8%
Rhodri Smith8%
Theo Golliard6%
Basil Stillhart0%
Nishan Burkart0%
Brian Beyer0%
Loïc Lüthi0%
Leandro Maksutaj0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Theo Golliard17%
Fabian Rohner12%
Andrin Hunziker11%
Silvan Sidler11%
Randy Schneider10%
Nishan Burkart9%
Dario Ulrich8%
Rhodri Smith8%
Elias Maluvunu7%
Brian Beyer7%
Alexandre Jankewitz6%
Adrian Durrer6%
Tibault Citherlet6%
Bafode Dansoko5%
Souleymane Diaby5%
Roman Buess4%
Mirlind Kryeziu0%
Stefanos Kapino0%
Lukas Mühl0%
Luca Zuffi0%
Basil Stillhart0%
Pajtim Kasami0%
Remo Arnold0%
Marvin Martins0%
Francis Momoh0%
Stéphane Cueni0%
Christian Gomis0%
Carmine Chiappetta0%
Loïc Lüthi0%
Ledjan Sahitaj0%
Leandro Maksutaj0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andrin Hunziker33%
Christian Gomis20%
Pajtim Kasami12%
Fabian Rohner12%
Theo Golliard11%
Bafode Dansoko10%
Nishan Burkart9%
Dario Ulrich8%
Silvan Sidler4%
Elias Maluvunu4%
Randy Schneider3%
Mirlind Kryeziu0%
Stefanos Kapino0%
Lukas Mühl0%
Luca Zuffi0%
Basil Stillhart0%
Roman Buess0%
Remo Arnold0%
Marvin Martins0%
Francis Momoh0%
Alexandre Jankewitz0%
Adrian Durrer0%
Stéphane Cueni0%
Souleymane Diaby0%
Carmine Chiappetta0%
Brian Beyer0%
Loïc Lüthi0%
Ledjan Sahitaj0%
Rhodri Smith0%
Tibault Citherlet0%
Leandro Maksutaj0%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ismael Gharbi21%
Alban Ajdini19%
Vitalie Damașcan12%
Mischa Eberhard12%
Elies Mahmoud12%
Ibrahim Diakité10%
Liridon Mulaj10%
Mergim Qarri9%
Gabriel Kyeremateng8%
Lucas Pos7%
Florian Danho7%
Giovani Bamba5%
Ryan Kadima4%
Sahmkou Camara4%
Dylan Ouedraogo0%
Abdallah Ali Mohamed0%
Lamine Gassama0%
Ogou Akichi0%
Jeremy Vachoux0%
Romain Bayard0%
Dany Da Silva0%
Linus Obexer0%
Valon Hamdiu0%
Charles Abi0%
Zachary Marvin Hadji0%
Lavdrim Hajrulahu0%
Nathan Garcia0%
Emmanuel Essiam0%
Michael Heule0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Linus Obexer33%
Ogou Akichi32%
Giovani Bamba32%
Dylan Ouedraogo31%
Valon Hamdiu28%
Lucas Pos25%
Mischa Eberhard25%
Ryan Kadima24%
Mergim Qarri24%
Elies Mahmoud22%
Florian Danho20%
Sahmkou Camara20%
Abdallah Ali Mohamed19%
Ismael Gharbi17%
Jeremy Vachoux16%
Lamine Gassama15%
Emmanuel Essiam14%
Vitalie Damașcan12%
Romain Bayard10%
Alban Ajdini8%
Michael Heule8%
Nathan Garcia7%
Liridon Mulaj6%
Lavdrim Hajrulahu3%
Dany Da Silva0%
Charles Abi0%
Zachary Marvin Hadji0%
Gabriel Kyeremateng0%
Ibrahim Diakité0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ismael Gharbi21%
Elies Mahmoud16%
Mergim Qarri15%
Lamine Gassama10%
Gabriel Kyeremateng8%
Florian Danho7%
Liridon Mulaj6%
Vitalie Damașcan6%
Alban Ajdini6%
Ryan Kadima4%
Abdallah Ali Mohamed4%
Ogou Akichi3%
Dylan Ouedraogo0%
Jeremy Vachoux0%
Romain Bayard0%
Dany Da Silva0%
Lucas Pos0%
Linus Obexer0%
Valon Hamdiu0%
Charles Abi0%
Zachary Marvin Hadji0%
Lavdrim Hajrulahu0%
Giovani Bamba0%
Nathan Garcia0%
Mischa Eberhard0%
Emmanuel Essiam0%
Michael Heule0%
Ibrahim Diakité0%
Sahmkou Camara0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Florian Danho33%
Alban Ajdini14%
Ismael Gharbi14%
Liridon Mulaj6%
Vitalie Damașcan6%
Elies Mahmoud3%
Dylan Ouedraogo0%
Abdallah Ali Mohamed0%
Lamine Gassama0%
Ogou Akichi0%
Jeremy Vachoux0%
Romain Bayard0%
Ryan Kadima0%
Dany Da Silva0%
Lucas Pos0%
Linus Obexer0%
Valon Hamdiu0%
Charles Abi0%
Zachary Marvin Hadji0%
Lavdrim Hajrulahu0%
Giovani Bamba0%
Mergim Qarri0%
Nathan Garcia0%
Mischa Eberhard0%
Gabriel Kyeremateng0%
Emmanuel Essiam0%
Michael Heule0%
Ibrahim Diakité0%
Sahmkou Camara0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (25)
€6m
SL (24)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
YS (22)
€5m
NXF (26)
€5m
FW1 (26)
€5m
RAP (24)
€4m
ÉC (23)
€4m
SN (21)
€3m
SK (16)
€3m
FC Winterthur and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy have a similar squad value (both €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SL (9)
€3m
YS (10)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
NXF (10)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
FW1 (9)
€1m
ÉC (6)
€1m
RAP (8)
€1m
SK (5)
€0m
FC Winterthur and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (7)
€2m
FW1 (7)
€2m
RAP (6)
€2m
SL (5)
€1m
NXF (5)
€1m
ÉC (5)
€1m
FA (4)
€1m
SK (3)
€1m
YS (3)
€1m
SN (3)
€0m
FC Winterthur's midfield is €1m more valuable than Stade Lausanne-Ouchy's (€2m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€3m
SL (10)
€2m
FW (9)
€2m
YS (9)
€2m
NXF (11)
€2m
ÉC (12)
€2m
SK (8)
€2m
RAP (10)
€2m
FW1 (10)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
FC Winterthur and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
3
FW wins
0
Draws
0
SL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Winterthur vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy · H/A from FW
DateH/AGameScore
14/04/24AStade Lausanne-Ouchy Vs FW0-1
27/01/24AStade Lausanne-Ouchy Vs FW1-3
23/09/23HFW Vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy2-1

FC WinterthurFC Winterthur

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26ARapperswil Vs FW0-2
07/08/26HFW Vs FC WIL 19005-0
31/07/26ASC Kriens Vs FW2-0
24/07/26HFW Vs Yverdon Sport2-2
16/05/26HFW Vs FC Luzern0-3
12/05/26AGrasshoppers Vs FW3-2
09/05/26HFW Vs Lausanne2-1
02/05/26HFW Vs FC Zurich2-2
26/04/26AServette FC Vs FW5-3
11/04/26HFW Vs Grasshoppers0-2

Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26ANeuchatel Xamax FC Vs SL1-2
07/08/26HSL Vs Rapperswil2-0
01/08/26AFC Aarau Vs SL1-1
24/07/26HSL Vs Stade Nyonnais2-0
15/05/26HSL Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC2-1
11/05/26AStade Nyonnais Vs SL1-3
08/05/26HSL Vs Bellinzona5-0
02/05/26AFC Vaduz Vs SL2-2
26/04/26HSL Vs Yverdon Sport0-3
22/04/26AFC Aarau Vs SL3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Winterthur
FC Winterthur
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWW0.94
HomeDWLDW1.12
AwayLLLLW0.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%27%21%
AVG goals3.543.233.88
Over 1.5 %92%88%96%
Over 2.5 %70%62%79%
Over 3.5 %48%42%54%
Scored1.321.421.21
Conceded2.221.812.67
BTTS60%62%58%
Clean Sheet14%19%8%
Corners10.099.9210.27
Cards4.394.674.09
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW1.62
HomeLWWWW1.60
AwayLDWDW1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%44%48%
AVG goals2.842.882.80
Over 1.5 %86%88%84%
Over 2.5 %56%48%64%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored1.641.801.48
Conceded1.201.081.32
BTTS50%44%56%
Clean Sheet30%36%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy614
67%
2.3
113+8
2.3
100%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.80.5
-
2Yverdon SportYverdon Sport612
50%
2.0
106+4
2.7
100%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3121.71.0
-
3SC KriensSC Kriens610
50%
1.7
106+4
2.7
100%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.71.0
-
4FC WinterthurFC Winterthur69
33%
1.5
127+5
3.2
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2222.01.2
-
5Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC69
50%
1.5
99+0
3.0
83%
83%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.51.5
-
6Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge68
33%
1.3
66+0
2.0
67%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.01.0
-
7FC AarauFC Aarau68
33%
1.3
810-2
3.0
100%
83%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.31.7
-
8FC WIL 1900FC WIL 190065
17%
0.8
916-7
4.2
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.52.7
-
9RapperswilRapperswil64
17%
0.7
813-5
3.5
100%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1221.32.2
-
10Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais62
0%
0.3
411-7
2.5
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.71.8
-
Switzerland: Challenge League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Challenge League stats & trends →

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