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FCM Ungheni vs Sheriff II Result & Analysis

Date: 13/03/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 4-0
FCM Ungheni
FCM Ungheni
Vs
42%
25%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sheriff II
Sheriff II
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FCM Ungheni win✓ Hit
42.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sheriff II win✗ Miss
33.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D33D31W01L01L30W20W21W11D21WA·OGU12/09H·ZIM19/09H·VIC26/09A·FLO03/10A·ISK17/10H·OGU24/10A·ZIM02/11A·VIC07/11H·FLO21/11A·FĂL07/03
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.972.272.131.601.80
vs Stronger (27)2.042.002.382.151.711.86
vs Similar (3)1.001.671.502.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheriff II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sheriff IISheriff II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D32W02L12L11D41W12L13L02LH·OLI12/09A·FĂL19/09H·UNI26/09A·SIR03/10H·FC 17/10A·OLI24/10H·FĂL31/10A·UNI07/11H·SIR22/11H·OGU07/03
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.202.121.251.571.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.301.501.670.830.752.50
vs Weaker (20)2.151.052.401.501.900.60
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (FCM Ungheni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%121%222%318%412%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.9%
Under 1.5
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.4%
Under 2.5
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.5%
Under 3.5
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
67.1%
No
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
6.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
1-0
5.2%
0-1
4.5%
FCM Ungheni goals ↓
Sheriff II goals →
01234
04.4%4.5%4.3%2.3%0.9%
15.2%11%7.7%4.1%1.6%
25.5%8.7%6.9%3.6%1.4%
33.3%5.2%4.1%2.2%0.9%
41.5%2.3%1.8%1.0%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FCM Ungheni goals (down), columns = Sheriff II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Sireți
2.33
Floreşti
2.07
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
Sheriff II
0.95
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Olimp Comrat
0.68
Victoria Bardar
0.68
FCM Ungheni is 0.95 points better than Sheriff II in terms of average points per game (1.91 vs 0.95).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sireți
3.47
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Univer Comrat
2.00
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Olimp Comrat
1.14
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
Sheriff II
1.05
FCM Ungheni is 1.55 goals better than Sheriff II in terms of goals scored per game (2.59 vs 1.05).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Sireți
1.33
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Sheriff II
1.68
Univer Comrat
1.68
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Olimp Comrat
2.82
Victoria Bardar
2.91
FCM Ungheni is 0.14 goals better than Sheriff II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.68).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W23L20W00D01L20W10W10W10W10WA·OGU12/09H·ZIM19/09H·VIC26/09A·FLO03/10A·ISK17/10H·OGU24/10A·ZIM02/11A·VIC07/11H·FLO21/11A·FĂL07/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.031.191.000.791.07
vs Stronger (27)1.041.071.211.000.851.15
vs Similar (3)0.670.671.001.000.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheriff II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sheriff IISheriff II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D11D01L10W10W11D01L02L02LH·OLI12/09A·FĂL19/09H·UNI26/09A·SIR03/10H·FC 17/10A·OLI24/10H·FĂL31/10A·UNI07/11H·SIR22/11H·OGU07/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.571.060.690.500.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.500.400.830.170.000.75
vs Weaker (20)0.950.651.201.000.700.30
Clean sheet %63% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (FCM Ungheni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FCM Ungheni over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L10W11D01L00D10W10W11D01L11DA·OGU12/09H·ZIM19/09H·VIC26/09A·FLO03/10A·ISK17/10H·OGU24/10A·ZIM02/11A·VIC07/11H·FLO21/11A·FĂL07/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.031.251.190.710.86
vs Stronger (27)1.071.041.361.210.770.85
vs Similar (3)0.331.000.501.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheriff II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sheriff IISheriff II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D21W01L02L01L30W11D11D00DH·OLI12/09A·FĂL19/09H·UNI26/09A·SIR03/10H·FC 17/10A·OLI24/10H·FĂL31/10A·UNI07/11H·SIR22/11H·OGU07/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.701.000.671.070.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.821.090.830.670.801.60
vs Weaker (19)1.160.471.110.671.200.30
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (FCM Ungheni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FCM Ungheni over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (7)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (5)
€1m
ZI (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FU (2)
€0m
SIR (0)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
0
FU wins
1
Draws
4
SI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FCM Ungheni vs Sheriff II · H/A from FU
DateH/AGameScore
14/03/25ASheriff II Vs FU5-2
15/03/24ASheriff II Vs FU6-1
18/03/23ASheriff II Vs FU4-0
08/10/22HFU Vs Sheriff II1-1
27/08/22ASheriff II Vs FU2-1

FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/03/26AFăleşti Vs FU1-2
21/11/25HFU Vs Floreşti1-1
07/11/25AVictoria Bardar Vs FU1-2
02/11/25AZimbru II Vs FU0-2
24/10/25HFU Vs Oguzsport3-0
17/10/25AIskra Vs FU1-0
03/10/25AFloreşti Vs FU1-0
26/09/25HFU Vs Victoria Bardar3-1
19/09/25HFU Vs Zimbru II3-3
12/09/25AOguzsport Vs FU2-2

Sheriff IISheriff II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/03/26HSI Vs Oguzsport0-2
22/11/25HSI Vs Sireți1-3
07/11/25AUniver Comrat Vs SI2-1
31/10/25HSI Vs Făleşti4-1
24/10/25AOlimp Comrat Vs SI1-1
17/10/25HSI Vs FC Stăuceni1-2
03/10/25ASireți Vs SI2-0
26/09/25HSI Vs Univer Comrat3-2
19/09/25AFăleşti Vs SI0-0
12/09/25HSI Vs Olimp Comrat0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FCM Ungheni
FCM Ungheni
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW1.38
HomeWDWWD1.58
AwayLLWWW1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%46%35%
AVG goals3.964.123.81
Over 1.5 %90%96%85%
Over 2.5 %82%88%77%
Over 3.5 %58%62%54%
Scored1.922.171.69
Conceded2.041.962.12
BTTS74%79%69%
Clean Sheet12%8%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Sheriff II
Sheriff II
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLL2.00
HomeWLWLL2.19
AwayLDLDL1.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%69%54%
AVG goals3.463.883.00
Over 1.5 %78%81%75%
Over 2.5 %60%62%58%
Over 3.5 %38%50%25%
Scored2.422.851.96
Conceded1.041.041.04
BTTS48%54%42%
Clean Sheet40%38%42%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni2242
59%
1.9
5734+23
4.1
91%
82%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.5
-
2FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni1538
80%
2.5
4512+33
3.8
80%
67%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.00.8
-
3Univer ComratUniver Comrat2238
55%
1.7
4437+7
3.7
100%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.7
-
4Zimbru IIZimbru II2236
50%
1.6
4135+6
3.5
82%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
5SirețiSireți1535
73%
2.3
5220+32
4.8
93%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0103.51.3
-
6FloreştiFloreşti1531
60%
2.1
4313+30
3.7
80%
60%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.90.9
-
7IskraIskra1527
53%
1.8
2929+0
3.9
80%
67%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.9
-
8Sheriff IISheriff II2221
23%
1.0
2337-14
2.7
73%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
9OguzsportOguzsport2219
18%
0.9
2436-12
2.7
82%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
10FăleştiFăleşti2216
18%
0.7
2556-31
3.7
77%
64%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.5
-
11Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar2215
18%
0.7
2764-37
4.1
91%
82%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.9
-
12Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat2215
18%
0.7
2562-37
4.0
77%
59%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.8
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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