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FCM Ungheni vs Vulturii Cutezători Prediction & Stats

Date: 24/10/2026
Time: 11:00
FCM Ungheni
FCM Ungheni
Vs
35%
19%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Vulturii Cutezători
Vulturii Cutezători
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

FCM Ungheni’s home form shows a potent attack, averaging 3.33 goals per game, yet they concede 1.5 against stronger opposition, and they are coming off a 2-3 defeat to Iskra. Vulturii Cutezători, meanwhile, have been unbeaten on the road, scoring 2.5 and conceding 2.5 against weaker teams, and they last beat Zimbru II 5-1. The model projects a high-scoring affair with an expected 4.9 goals and a 37% chance of six or more goals. The most likely scoreline is 2-2, with a 6.7% probability. The favoured result is an away win, with the away side winning 46%, a draw 19%, and the home side 35%. Suggested selections include Over 1.5 (96.1%), Away over 0.5 goals (92.7%), Home over 0.5 goals (89.8%), Under 7.5 (87.7%), Over 2.5 (86.7%), BTTS Yes (83.7%), Home or Away (80.7%), and Away +2 handicap (80.2%). Each selection carries its own probability, reflecting the model’s confidence in a lively, goal-rich match.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FCM Ungheni win
34.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
19.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători win
46.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-662W34L51W11D45L13L11D62W31W23LH·VIC10/04A·UNI17/04H·ZIM24/04H·VIC06/05A·FLO16/05H·VUL01/08A·SPA08/08H·UNI15/08A·ZIM21/08H·ISK28/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
5.5
Avg scored
3.2
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.531.773.071.572.061.94
vs Stronger (26)2.651.653.331.502.071.79
vs Similar (4)1.752.501.502.002.003.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Vulturii Cutezători) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vulturii CutezătoriVulturii Cutezători

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-603L01L11D24L02L31W31W62W33D51WH·SHE28/03A·ISK04/04H·GAG12/04A·FCM18/04H·SPE26/04A·FCM01/08A·ISK07/08H·SPA14/08A·UNI21/08H·ZIM28/08
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.592.521.642.141.542.92
vs Stronger (14)1.213.001.292.711.143.29
vs Similar (11)1.911.912.001.571.752.50
vs Weaker (2)2.502.50--2.502.50
Clean sheet %4% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (FCM Ungheni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

9%18%27%37%1%03%19%215%318%418%537%6+
The model estimates around 4.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (37%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
96.1%
Under 1.5
3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
86.7%
Under 2.5
13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
72.1%
Under 3.5
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
83.7%
No
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-2
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
5.1%
1-3
5.1%
1-1
4.9%
3-3
4.4%
FCM Ungheni goals ↓
Vulturii Cutezători goals →
01234
01.2%1.5%2.5%2.2%1.5%
11.3%4.9%5.8%5.1%3.3%
21.9%5.1%6.7%5.8%3.8%
31.5%3.9%5.1%4.4%2.9%
40.8%2.2%2.9%2.5%1.7%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FCM Ungheni goals (down), columns = Vulturii Cutezători goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Floreşti
2.07
Spartanii Selemet
1.94
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
FC National Ialoveni
1.49
Vulturii Cutezători
1.49
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Victoria Bardar
0.68
FCM Ungheni is 0.42 points better than Vulturii Cutezători in terms of average points per game (1.91 vs 1.49).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Spartanii Selemet
2.53
Univer Comrat
2.00
FC National Ialoveni
1.95
Vulturii Cutezători
1.95
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
FCM Ungheni is 0.64 goals better than Vulturii Cutezători in terms of goals scored per game (2.59 vs 1.95).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Spartanii Selemet
1.37
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Univer Comrat
1.68
FC National Ialoveni
1.78
Vulturii Cutezători
1.78
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Victoria Bardar
2.91
FCM Ungheni is 0.23 goals better than Vulturii Cutezători in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.78).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FCM Ungheni or Draw
53.9%
Avg Implied -
35%
19%
46%
covers FCM Ungheni + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni or Vulturii Cutezători
80.7%
Avg Implied -
35%
19%
46%
covers FCM Ungheni + Vulturii Cutezători
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Vulturii Cutezători
65.4%
Avg Implied -
35%
19%
46%
covers Draw + Vulturii Cutezători
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FCM Ungheni over/under 0.5
Over
89.8%
Under
10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 1.5
Over
66.6%
Under
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 2.5
Over
40.1%
Under
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 3.5
Over
19.8%
Under
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători over/under 0.5
Over
92.7%
Under
7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători over/under 1.5
Over
73.6%
Under
26.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători over/under 2.5
Over
48.5%
Under
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători over/under 3.5
Over
26.7%
Under
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FCM Ungheni, so a minus line means FCM Ungheni give that many goals of a start and Vulturii Cutezători receive them. At -1, FCM Ungheni must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FCM Ungheni win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FCM Ungheni)
FCM Ungheni -2
9.6%
Draw -2
10.2%
Vulturii Cutezători +2
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FCM Ungheni)
FCM Ungheni -1
19.8%
Draw -1
14.9%
Vulturii Cutezători +1
65.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FCM Ungheni)
FCM Ungheni +1
53.9%
Draw +1
17.1%
Vulturii Cutezători -1
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FCM Ungheni)
FCM Ungheni +2
70.9%
Draw +2
13.4%
Vulturii Cutezători -2
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W13L40W11D30W12L10W51W10W02LH·VIC10/04A·UNI17/04H·ZIM24/04H·VIC06/05A·FLO16/05H·VUL01/08A·SPA08/08H·UNI15/08A·ZIM21/08H·ISK28/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.470.801.790.861.190.75
vs Stronger (26)1.500.851.920.831.140.86
vs Similar (4)1.250.501.001.001.500.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Vulturii Cutezători) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vulturii CutezătoriVulturii Cutezători

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L01L01L01L01L21W31W30W13L41WH·SHE28/03A·ISK04/04H·GAG12/04A·FCM18/04H·SPE26/04A·FCM01/08A·ISK07/08H·SPA14/08A·UNI21/08H·ZIM28/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.040.851.000.821.09
vs Stronger (12)0.581.330.331.330.831.33
vs Similar (10)1.100.701.290.710.670.67
vs Weaker (2)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %21% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (FCM Ungheni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FCM Ungheni over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-541W21W11D00D15L01L01L11D21W21WH·VIC10/04A·UNI17/04H·ZIM24/04H·VIC06/05A·FLO16/05H·VUL01/08A·SPA08/08H·UNI15/08A·ZIM21/08H·ISK28/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.971.290.710.881.19
vs Stronger (26)1.150.811.420.670.930.93
vs Similar (4)0.502.000.501.000.503.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Vulturii Cutezători) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vulturii CutezătoriVulturii Cutezători

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D10W23L01L10W00D32W20W10WH·SHE28/03A·ISK04/04H·GAG12/04A·FCM18/04H·SPE26/04A·FCM01/08A·ISK07/08H·SPA14/08A·UNI21/08H·ZIM28/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.791.080.850.920.731.27
vs Stronger (12)0.671.001.001.000.331.00
vs Similar (10)0.801.100.710.861.001.67
vs Weaker (2)1.501.50--1.501.50
Clean sheet %38% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (FCM Ungheni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FCM Ungheni over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 1.596.1%-------
Away over 0.5 goals92.7%-------
Home over 0.5 goals89.8%-------
Under 7.587.7%-------
Over 2.586.7%-------
BTTS Yes83.7%-------
Home or Away80.7%-------
Away +2 handicap80.2%-------
Home under 3.5 goals80.2%-------
Under 6.577.6%-------
Away over 1.5 goals73.6%-------
Away under 3.5 goals73.3%-------
Over 3.572.1%-------
Home +2 handicap70.9%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (12)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
FU wins
0
Draws
1
VC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FCM Ungheni vs Vulturii Cutezători · H/A from FU
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26HFU Vs Vulturii Cutezători1-3
18/04/25HFU Vs Vulturii Cutezători4-2

FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26HFU Vs Iskra2-3
21/08/26AZimbru II Vs FU1-3
15/08/26HFU Vs Univer Comrat6-2
08/08/26ASpartanii Selemet Vs FU1-1
01/08/26HFU Vs Vulturii Cutezători1-3
16/05/26AFloreşti Vs FU5-4
06/05/26HFU Vs Victoria Bardar1-1
24/04/26HFU Vs Zimbru II5-1
17/04/26AUniver Comrat Vs FU4-3
10/04/26HFU Vs Victoria Bardar6-2

Vulturii CutezătoriVulturii Cutezători

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26HVC Vs Zimbru II5-1
21/08/26AUniver Comrat Vs VC3-3
14/08/26HVC Vs Spartanii Selemet6-2
07/08/26AIskra Vs VC1-3
01/08/26AFCM Ungheni Vs VC1-3
26/04/25HVC Vs Speranis Nisporeni0-2
18/04/25AFCM Ungheni Vs VC4-2
12/04/25HVC Vs Gagauziya-Oguzsport1-1
04/04/25AIskra Vs VC1-0
28/03/25HVC Vs Sheriff II0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FCM Ungheni
FCM Ungheni
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWL1.60
HomeWDLWL1.64
AwayWLLDW1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%48%48%
AVG goals4.364.763.96
Over 1.5 %92%100%84%
Over 2.5 %82%88%76%
Over 3.5 %68%80%56%
Scored2.402.722.08
Conceded1.962.041.88
BTTS80%88%72%
Clean Sheet12%8%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Vulturii Cutezători
Vulturii Cutezători
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW0.89
HomeLDLWW1.00
AwayLLWWD0.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%29%23%
AVG goals4.113.794.46
Over 1.5 %85%79%92%
Over 2.5 %70%57%85%
Over 3.5 %59%43%77%
Scored1.591.641.54
Conceded2.522.142.92
BTTS63%57%69%
Clean Sheet4%7%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Vulturii CutezătoriVulturii Cutezători513
80%
2.6
208+12
5.6
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0004.01.6
-
2IskraIskra512
80%
2.4
186+12
4.8
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.61.2
-
3FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni57
40%
1.4
1310+3
4.6
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.62.0
-
4OguzsportOguzsport47
50%
1.8
31+2
1.0
25%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.2
-
5Univer ComratUniver Comrat57
40%
1.4
1514+1
5.8
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.02.8
-
6FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni47
50%
1.8
65+1
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
7FăleştiFăleşti47
50%
1.8
32+1
1.2
25%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.5
-
8FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni44
25%
1.0
34-1
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
9Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar43
25%
0.8
36-3
2.2
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
10Zimbru IIZimbru II53
20%
0.6
914-5
4.6
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.8
-
11Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet51
0%
0.2
427-23
6.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.85.4
-
12FloreştiFloreşti00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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