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FCM Ungheni vs Zimbru II Result & Analysis

Date: 19/09/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 3-3
FCM Ungheni
FCM Ungheni
Vs
52%
21%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Zimbru II
Zimbru II
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FCM Ungheni win✗ Miss
52.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
21.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II win✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-442W30W13L12L31W23L32W23L31W22DH·VUL18/04A·SPE26/04A·VIC17/05A·ISK25/07H·OGU02/08A·ZIM08/08A·VIC15/08H·FLO22/08H·ISK29/08A·OGU12/09← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.132.202.362.431.942.00
vs Stronger (29)2.142.172.382.381.942.00
vs Similar (1)2.003.002.003.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Zimbru IIZimbru II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W12L32W04L22D21W31WA·OGU25/07A·VIC01/08H·FCM08/08A·FLO15/08H·ISK22/08H·OGU29/08H·VIC12/09
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.861.862.501.501.002.33
vs Stronger (3)2.001.672.501.501.002.00
vs Similar (2)2.001.002.001.002.001.00
vs Weaker (2)1.503.003.002.000.004.00
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (FCM Ungheni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%3%06%115%220%320%416%521%6+
The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
91.6%
Under 1.5
8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
76.2%
Under 2.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.7%
Under 3.5
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
73.9%
No
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
3-2
5.4%
2-0
5.0%
3-0
3.9%
FCM Ungheni goals ↓
Zimbru II goals →
01234
02.5%2.3%2.5%1.4%0.6%
13.6%7.8%5.9%3.3%1.4%
25.0%8.3%6.9%3.8%1.6%
33.9%6.5%5.4%3.0%1.2%
42.3%3.8%3.1%1.7%0.7%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FCM Ungheni goals (down), columns = Zimbru II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Sireți
2.33
Floreşti
2.07
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
Sheriff II
0.95
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Olimp Comrat
0.68
Victoria Bardar
0.68
FCM Ungheni is 0.27 points better than Zimbru II in terms of average points per game (1.91 vs 1.64).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sireți
3.47
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Univer Comrat
2.00
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Olimp Comrat
1.14
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
Sheriff II
1.05
FCM Ungheni is 0.73 goals better than Zimbru II in terms of goals scored per game (2.59 vs 1.86).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Sireți
1.33
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Sheriff II
1.68
Univer Comrat
1.68
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Olimp Comrat
2.82
Victoria Bardar
2.91
FCM Ungheni is 0.05 goals better than Zimbru II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.59).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W01L02L10W13L20W12L10W21WH·SPE11/04H·VUL18/04A·VIC17/05A·ISK25/07H·OGU02/08A·ZIM08/08A·VIC15/08H·FLO22/08H·ISK29/08A·OGU12/09← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.081.211.001.081.171.33
vs Stronger (23)1.091.171.001.001.171.33
vs Similar (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Zimbru IIZimbru II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D31W02L21W00D10WA·OGU25/07A·VIC01/08H·FCM08/08A·FLO15/08H·ISK22/08H·OGU29/08H·VIC12/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.571.500.500.330.67
vs Stronger (3)1.000.331.500.500.000.00
vs Similar (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
vs Weaker (2)1.501.503.001.000.002.00
Clean sheet %57% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (FCM Ungheni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FCM Ungheni over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L32W12L10W21W10W12L11D21W01LH·SPE11/04H·VUL18/04A·VIC17/05A·ISK25/07H·OGU02/08A·ZIM08/08A·VIC15/08H·FLO22/08H·ISK29/08A·OGU12/09← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.251.421.420.581.08
vs Stronger (23)1.001.261.451.450.581.08
vs Similar (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %21% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Zimbru IIZimbru II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D12L01L02L01L21W21WA·OGU25/07A·VIC01/08H·FCM08/08A·FLO15/08H·ISK22/08H·OGU29/08H·VIC12/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.861.291.001.000.671.67
vs Stronger (3)1.001.331.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (2)1.501.002.001.001.001.00
vs Weaker (2)0.001.500.001.000.002.00
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (FCM Ungheni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FCM Ungheni over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.591.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.576.2%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes73.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (7)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FCM Ungheni and Zimbru II have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
FCM Ungheni and Zimbru II have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (5)
€1m
ZI (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FU (2)
€0m
SIR (0)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
FCM Ungheni and Zimbru II have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
FU wins
0
Draws
1
ZI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FCM Ungheni vs Zimbru II · H/A from FU
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/25AZimbru II Vs FU3-2

FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/09/25AOguzsport Vs FU2-2
29/08/25HFU Vs Iskra3-1
22/08/25HFU Vs Floreşti2-3
15/08/25AVictoria Bardar Vs FU2-3
08/08/25AZimbru II Vs FU3-2
02/08/25HFU Vs Oguzsport3-1
25/07/25AIskra Vs FU2-1
17/05/25AVictoria Bardar Vs FU3-1
26/04/25ASperanța Drochia Vs FU0-3
18/04/25HFU Vs Vulturii Cutezători4-2

Zimbru IIZimbru II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/09/25HZI Vs Victoria Bardar3-1
29/08/25HZI Vs Oguzsport2-1
22/08/25HZI Vs Iskra2-2
15/08/25AFloreşti Vs ZI4-0
08/08/25HZI Vs FCM Ungheni3-2
01/08/25AVictoria Bardar Vs ZI2-1
25/07/25AOguzsport Vs ZI1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FCM Ungheni
FCM Ungheni
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWD1.22
HomeDWWLW1.44
AwayLLLWD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%44%28%
AVG goals4.104.084.12
Over 1.5 %92%92%92%
Over 2.5 %84%84%84%
Over 3.5 %64%64%64%
Scored1.862.041.68
Conceded2.242.042.44
BTTS68%68%68%
Clean Sheet12%8%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Zimbru II
Zimbru II
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWW1.86
HomeWDWW2.50
AwayWLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %57%75%33%
AVG goals3.714.003.33
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %100%100%100%
Over 3.5 %57%75%33%
Scored1.862.501.00
Conceded1.861.502.33
BTTS86%100%67%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni2242
59%
1.9
5734+23
4.1
91%
82%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.5
-
2FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni1538
80%
2.5
4512+33
3.8
80%
67%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.00.8
-
3Univer ComratUniver Comrat2238
55%
1.7
4437+7
3.7
100%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.7
-
4Zimbru IIZimbru II2236
50%
1.6
4135+6
3.5
82%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
5SirețiSireți1535
73%
2.3
5220+32
4.8
93%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0103.51.3
-
6FloreştiFloreşti1531
60%
2.1
4313+30
3.7
80%
60%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.90.9
-
7IskraIskra1527
53%
1.8
2929+0
3.9
80%
67%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.9
-
8Sheriff IISheriff II2221
23%
1.0
2337-14
2.7
73%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
9OguzsportOguzsport2219
18%
0.9
2436-12
2.7
82%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
10FăleştiFăleşti2216
18%
0.7
2556-31
3.7
77%
64%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.5
-
11Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar2215
18%
0.7
2764-37
4.1
91%
82%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.9
-
12Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat2215
18%
0.7
2562-37
4.0
77%
59%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.8
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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