Fehérvár FC's recent form has seen them come off a defeat, losing 1-3 to Kazincbarcikai in their last match. This setback has left them with a defensive record of conceding 0.57 goals on average at home, while scoring 1.5 goals per game. Szeged 2011, on the other hand, has shown resilience away from home, conceding 1 goal on average against similar opponents. However, they have struggled to find the back of the net, scoring 0.78 goals per game in similar away matches.
The model predicts a low-scoring match, favouring Fehérvár FC to win with a 41% probability, followed by a draw at 32%, and Szeged 2011 to win at 27%. The expected total goals is 2.1, with the most likely total goals being 2. The most likely score is 1-1, occurring 14.6% of the time.
The model's selection is Under 3.5, with an 84% probability. The home win percentage is 41%, the draw percentage is 32%, and the away win percentage is 27%.
Results analysis
The win extends Fehérvár FC's run of form, having come off a win and now securing a home victory. The final score was 1-0, with Fehérvár FC claiming the actual result. The model's call was correct, as it had predicted a Home win with a probability of 41%. The model's selection of Home win was the favourite, and it landed.
The model's selection of Under 3.5 goals hit, with an 84% probability. The other suggested pick, Over 2.5 goals, missed, with no probability given. The most likely total goals was 2, with a 28% probability. The most likely scores were 1-1, 0-0, and 1-0, with probabilities of 14.6%, 13.7%, and 13.3% respectively.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Fehérvár FC win✓ Hit
41.0%
Avg Implied 47.1% · @ 1.90
Edge
-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.00
Betano
2.00
Dafabet
1.99
SBO
1.93
William Hil
1.91
Draw✗ Miss
32.3%
Avg Implied 28.9% · @ 3.09
Edge
+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.25
Marathonbet
3.22
1xBet
3.22
Pinnacle
3.21
Unibet
3.15
Szeged 2011 win✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied 24.0% · @ 3.73
Edge
+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.04
Marathonbet
3.95
Betfair
3.90
10Bet
3.90
Dafabet
3.85
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Fehérvár FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.03
1.57
0.71
1.25
1.31
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (12)
1.08
1.75
1.00
1.40
1.14
2.00
vs Weaker (17)
1.65
0.59
1.89
0.33
1.38
0.88
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Szeged 2011) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Szeged 2011
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.13
0.92
1.31
0.94
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.93
1.13
0.92
1.31
0.94
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Fehérvár FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
63.2%
@ 1.36-2.7%
Under 1.5
36.8%
@ 2.63+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Unibet
1.38
Superbet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.38
Marathonbet
1.35
Under
Pinnacle
2.78
Marathonbet
2.74
1xBet
2.74
Superbet
2.67
Unibet
2.65
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.9%
@ 2.13-7.5%
Under 2.5
65.1%
@ 1.57+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.22
Pinnacle
2.22
1xBet
2.19
Marathonbet
2.19
Unibet
2.16
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
10Bet
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
Superbet
1.57
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.0%
@ 3.75-7.8%
Under 3.5
84.0%
@ 1.17+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.05
1xBet
4.05
Unibet
3.90
Superbet
3.85
Betano
3.55
Under
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.18
Unibet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.7%
@ 1.91-4.4%
No
57.3%
@ 1.71+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
1.96
Marathonbet
1.96
William Hil
1.91
Betano
1.90
No
William Hil
1.75
1xBet
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.70
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%@ 5.59+7.1%
0-0
13.7%@ 6.95+7.7%
1-0 ✓
13.3%@ 5.46+5.7%
0-1
9.8%@ 8.40+4.9%
2-0
8.7%@ 7.62+3.2%
2-1
7.9%@ 7.62+2.4%
1-2
6.0%@ 11.84+2.5%
0-2
5.1%@ 17.59+2.7%
Fehérvár FC goals ↓
Szeged 2011 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
9.8%
5.1%
1.5%
0.3%
1
13%
15%
6.0%
1.8%
0.4%
2
8.7%
7.9%
3.6%
1.1%
0.2%
3
3.4%
3.1%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
4
1.0%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fehérvár FC goals (down), columns = Szeged 2011 goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Soroksar
2.67
Ajka
2.20
Kecskeméti TE
2.17
Kazincbarcikai
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.80
Karcag SE
1.67
Gyirmot SE
1.67
Szentlőrinc SE
1.40
Fehérvár FC
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Diosgyori VTK
0.80
BVSC
0.80
Nagykanizsai ULE
0.50
Csakvar
0.50
Kozarmisleny FC
0.00
Fehérvár FC and Szeged 2011 are level in average points per game (both 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Soroksar
2.83
Karcag SE
2.00
Kecskeméti TE
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Gyirmot SE
1.83
Kazincbarcikai
1.67
Ajka
1.60
Fehérvár FC
1.50
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.40
Szentlőrinc SE
1.20
Diosgyori VTK
1.00
Csakvar
1.00
Nagykanizsai ULE
0.83
Szeged 2011
0.80
BVSC
0.60
Kozarmisleny FC
0.50
Fehérvár FC is 0.70 goals better than Szeged 2011 in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 0.80).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajka
0.60
Soroksar
0.67
Kazincbarcikai
0.83
Kecskeméti TE
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.00
Tiszakecske FC
1.17
BVSC
1.20
Szentlőrinc SE
1.20
Karcag SE
1.33
Fehérvár FC
1.50
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.67
Gyirmot SE
2.00
Kozarmisleny FC
2.50
Diosgyori VTK
2.60
Csakvar
2.67
Fehérvár FC is 0.50 goals worse than Szeged 2011 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Fehérvár FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.30
0.86
0.29
0.62
0.31
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.42
0.80
0.40
0.71
0.43
vs Weaker (17)
0.76
0.24
0.89
0.22
0.62
0.25
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Szeged 2011) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Szeged 2011
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.53
0.31
0.54
0.41
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.37
0.53
0.31
0.54
0.41
0.53
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Fehérvár FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fehérvár FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fehérvár FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fehérvár FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szeged 2011 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szeged 2011 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szeged 2011 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Fehérvár FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.73
0.71
0.43
0.62
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (12)
0.33
1.33
0.20
1.00
0.43
1.57
vs Weaker (17)
0.88
0.35
1.00
0.11
0.75
0.62
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Szeged 2011) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Szeged 2011
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.62
0.77
0.53
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.57
0.60
0.62
0.77
0.53
0.47
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Fehérvár FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fehérvár FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fehérvár FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fehérvár FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szeged 2011 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szeged 2011 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szeged 2011 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
84.0%
1.17
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.18
Unibet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
+7.8%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Fehérvár FC · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ivan Šaponjić30%
Bálint Szabó24%
Patrik Kovács22%
Lirim Kastrati20%
Nejc Gradišar19%
Bence Babos17%
Tobias Christensen11%
Mátyás Katona10%
Zsolt Kalmár8%
Nicolás Stefanelli8%
Áron Csongvai6%
Filip Holender4%
Nikola Serafimov4%
Bogdan Melnyk4%
Csaba Spandler4%
Ivan Milićević0%
Bence Bedi0%
Balázs Tóth0%
András Huszti0%
Gergely Nagy0%
Szabolcs Schön0%
Kasper Larsen0%
Simeon Petrov0%
Aleksandre Kalandadze0%
Gergő Ominger0%
Mátyás Kovács0%
Martin Dala0%
Kristian Šekularac0%
Márió Simut0%
Milán Pető0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Šaponjić60%
Márió Simut40%
András Huszti38%
Szabolcs Schön33%
Kasper Larsen33%
Nikola Serafimov30%
Áron Csongvai28%
Bence Bedi25%
Aleksandre Kalandadze25%
Bogdan Melnyk23%
Lirim Kastrati20%
Csaba Spandler19%
Gergely Nagy17%
Filip Holender13%
Bálint Szabó12%
Mátyás Katona10%
Simeon Petrov9%
Ivan Milićević9%
Zsolt Kalmár8%
Nejc Gradišar6%
Milán Pető4%
Nicolás Stefanelli4%
Balázs Tóth0%
Tobias Christensen0%
Gergő Ominger0%
Mátyás Kovács0%
Martin Dala0%
Kristian Šekularac0%
Bence Babos0%
Patrik Kovács0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivan Milićević17%
Nejc Gradišar12%
Tobias Christensen11%
Áron Csongvai11%
Filip Holender9%
Nicolás Stefanelli8%
Mátyás Katona7%
Bálint Szabó6%
Márió Simut5%
Bence Bedi4%
Lirim Kastrati0%
Balázs Tóth0%
András Huszti0%
Csaba Spandler0%
Gergely Nagy0%
Bogdan Melnyk0%
Szabolcs Schön0%
Ivan Šaponjić0%
Kasper Larsen0%
Zsolt Kalmár0%
Simeon Petrov0%
Nikola Serafimov0%
Aleksandre Kalandadze0%
Gergő Ominger0%
Mátyás Kovács0%
Martin Dala0%
Kristian Šekularac0%
Bence Babos0%
Milán Pető0%
Patrik Kovács0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Szabolcs Schön33%
Tobias Christensen33%
Nejc Gradišar12%
Áron Csongvai11%
Patrik Kovács11%
Ivan Šaponjić10%
Nicolás Stefanelli8%
Mátyás Katona7%
Mátyás Kovács5%
Filip Holender4%
Bence Bedi4%
Milán Pető4%
Bálint Szabó0%
Lirim Kastrati0%
Ivan Milićević0%
Balázs Tóth0%
András Huszti0%
Csaba Spandler0%
Gergely Nagy0%
Bogdan Melnyk0%
Kasper Larsen0%
Zsolt Kalmár0%
Simeon Petrov0%
Nikola Serafimov0%
Aleksandre Kalandadze0%
Gergő Ominger0%
Martin Dala0%
Kristian Šekularac0%
Márió Simut0%
Bence Babos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KT (22)
€3m
DV (18)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
KS (16)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
Fehérvár FC and Szeged 2011 have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KT (9)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
DV (5)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
KS (7)
€0m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
Fehérvár FC and Szeged 2011 have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DV (4)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
KT (2)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
KS (1)
€0m
Fehérvár FC and Szeged 2011 have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DV (9)
€1m
KT (11)
€1m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
KS (8)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
Fehérvár FC and Szeged 2011 have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Hungary: NB II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →