Defensive solidity will shape this tight encounter, as Feirense has been conceding 1.25 goals per game against stronger opposition while only scoring 0.75. FC Porto B, meanwhile, averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on the road against weaker teams. The model therefore favours an away win, with a 35 % chance versus 33 % for a home win and 33 % for a draw. The expected total is 2.1 goals, centring on a 2-goal total that carries a 28 % probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.9 % chance.
The model’s selections reflect a low-scoring theme: Under 7.5 (99.9 %), Under 6.5 (99.4 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.9 %), Under 5.5 (98.0 % with a 4 % edge), Home under 3.5 goals (97.9 % with a 6 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.9 % with a 3 % edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.7 % with a 2 % edge), and Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.6 % with a 3 % edge).
Results analysis
The win for FC Porto B extends their recent run, adding a second straight victory to a five-match sequence that already included two wins. The model had picked an away win with a 35 % probability, and the prediction proved correct as the final score read 0-1. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 (99.9 %) hit, Under 6.5 (99.4 %) hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.9 %) hit, Under 5.5 (98.0 %) hit, Home under 3.5 goals (97.9 %) hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.9 %) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (97.7 %) hit, and Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.6 %) hit. The match confirmed the model’s overall assessment, with the favoured result and most of the suggested picks coming through.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Feirense win✗ Miss
32.7%
Avg Implied 41.4% · @ 2.21
Edge
-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.34
Betano
2.32
Superbet
2.30
10Bet
2.25
William Hil
2.25
Draw✗ Miss
32.8%
Avg Implied 29.8% · @ 3.07
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.25
Pinnacle
3.20
Marathonbet
3.14
1xBet
3.14
Betfair
3.10
FC Porto B win✓ Hit
34.6%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.19
Edge
+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.65
Unibet
3.40
888Sport
3.40
1xBet
3.24
Pinnacle
3.24
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Feirense
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.20
0.67
0.73
1.27
1.67
vs Stronger (7)
1.14
1.86
0.75
1.25
1.67
2.67
vs Similar (22)
0.95
1.00
0.64
0.55
1.27
1.45
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Porto B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Porto B
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.17
1.33
0.87
1.27
1.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
2.00
1.30
2.00
1.60
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (20)
0.95
1.10
1.00
0.50
0.90
1.70
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Feirense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
63.1%
@ 1.38-3.8%
Under 1.5
36.9%
@ 2.79+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.41
10Bet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.91
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.85
Superbet
2.82
888Sport
2.80
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.7%
@ 2.23-7.2%
Under 2.5
65.3%
@ 1.61+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.31
Marathonbet
2.25
Unibet
2.25
Bet365
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Under
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.63
10Bet
1.62
888Sport
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.9%
@ 4.10-6.7%
Under 3.5
84.1%
@ 1.20+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
Pinnacle
4.31
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
Under
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
Betfair
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.3%
@ 1.90-5.3%
No
56.7%
@ 1.80+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.94
Bet365
1.91
BetVictor
1.91
William Hil
1.91
888Sport
1.91
No
Betfair
1.87
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.9%@ 5.63+7.0%
0-0
13.8%@ 7.48+7.9%
0-1 ✓
11.8%@ 7.67+6.1%
1-0
11.4%@ 6.18+4.2%
1-2
7.2%@ 10.65+3.0%
0-2
7.0%@ 14.55+4.0%
2-1
6.9%@ 8.42+1.7%
2-0
6.5%@ 9.46+1.9%
Feirense goals ↓
FC Porto B goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
12%
7.0%
2.5%
0.7%
1
11%
15%
7.2%
2.5%
0.7%
2
6.5%
6.9%
3.7%
1.3%
0.3%
3
2.2%
2.4%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.6%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Feirense goals (down), columns = FC Porto B goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Torreense
1.74
AVS
1.50
Vizela
1.50
FC Porto B
1.50
Leixoes
1.47
União de Leiria
1.47
Tondela
1.36
Feirense
1.35
Chaves
1.32
Benfica B
1.29
Felgueiras 1932
1.29
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.26
Sporting CP B
1.24
Farense
1.22
Penafiel
1.21
Portimonense
1.18
Academica
0.98
Amarante
0.82
Feirense is 0.15 points worse than FC Porto B in terms of average points per game (1.35 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
União de Leiria
1.53
Leixoes
1.35
Torreense
1.35
AVS
1.30
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.29
Benfica B
1.26
Chaves
1.24
Sporting CP B
1.21
FC Porto B
1.21
Tondela
1.17
Vizela
1.15
Portimonense
1.15
Penafiel
1.09
Feirense
1.09
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Farense
0.89
Academica
0.85
Amarante
0.71
Feirense is 0.12 goals worse than FC Porto B in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.21).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Torreense
0.97
Sporting CP B
1.00
Farense
1.03
AVS
1.05
Felgueiras 1932
1.12
Penafiel
1.15
Tondela
1.16
Vizela
1.18
Feirense
1.18
Chaves
1.18
FC Porto B
1.24
Benfica B
1.29
União de Leiria
1.35
Portimonense
1.44
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.53
Academica
1.61
Leixoes
1.62
Amarante
1.92
Feirense is 0.06 goals better than FC Porto B in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 1.24).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Chaves
55%
Sporting CP B
54%
Benfica B
54%
Vizela
54%
Felgueiras 1932
54%
União de Leiria
51%
Leixoes
50%
Farense
49%
Penafiel
49%
Portimonense
48%
Lusitânia Lourosa
48%
FC Porto B
47%
Torreense
46%
Feirense
42%
Feirense is 5.0 percentage points worse than FC Porto B in terms of average possession (42% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Feirense
For 4.5 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 6.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.2 · Against 11.5 · Total 29.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Porto B
For 3.5 · Against 6.1 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.9 · Against 14.8 · Total 29.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Feirense
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
10.3
7.0
5.9
6.4
5.5
21.5
21.9
21.0
vs Stronger (10)
11.7
12.5
10.0
5.1
5.2
5.0
19.2
17.0
26.0
vs Similar (39)
7.9
9.2
6.0
6.2
6.8
5.6
22.4
25.5
20.0
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
4.0
-
4.0
-
-
-
% over line
30%
33%
25%
78%
83%
73%
62%
57%
67%
% under line
70%
67%
75%
22%
17%
27%
38%
43%
33%
This opponent (FC Porto B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Porto B
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.2
10.3
5.4
5.3
5.4
21.9
19.0
24.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
8.4
11.0
6.7
6.6
6.9
6.4
27.8
29.0
27.0
vs Weaker (34)
11.3
9.7
12.2
4.8
4.6
4.9
19.8
15.7
22.9
% over line
64%
80%
56%
72%
72%
72%
74%
62%
82%
% under line
36%
20%
44%
28%
28%
28%
26%
38%
18%
This opponent (Feirense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Penafiel
11.5
Portimonense
11.2
Torreense
11.0
Farense
10.8
Lusitânia Lourosa
10.4
FC Porto B
10.3
Felgueiras 1932
10.1
Vizela
9.9
União de Leiria
9.8
Benfica B
9.6
Tondela
9.6
AVS
9.5
Feirense
9.0
Leixoes
8.9
Chaves
8.8
Sporting CP B
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Benfica B
6.7
Feirense
6.6
Vizela
6.3
Leixoes
6.0
FC Porto B
6.0
Chaves
5.9
Sporting CP B
5.9
Lusitânia Lourosa
5.9
Felgueiras 1932
5.8
União de Leiria
5.6
Farense
5.6
Portimonense
5.4
Penafiel
5.3
Tondela
5.2
Torreense
5.2
AVS
5.1
Academica
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Farense
31.3
Lusitânia Lourosa
30.1
Leixoes
26.4
AVS
25.7
Tondela
25.1
Sporting CP B
25.0
Felgueiras 1932
23.5
União de Leiria
23.1
FC Porto B
21.9
Penafiel
21.8
Benfica B
21.2
Torreense
21.1
Chaves
20.9
Portimonense
20.8
Vizela
20.8
Feirense
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
45.3%
@ 1.74-8.0%
Under 9.5
54.7%
@ 1.98+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.78
Pinnacle
1.76
Superbet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.72
Under
Betano
2.02
Pinnacle
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
86.2%
Under 3.5
13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
80.4%
Under 21.5
19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Feirense or Draw✗ Miss
65.4%
Avg Implied 71.2% · @ 1.30
Edge
-5.8%
33%
33%
35%
covers Feirense + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.38
10Bet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Feirense or FC Porto B✓ Hit
67.2%
Avg Implied 70.7% · @ 1.31
Edge
-3.5%
33%
33%
35%
covers Feirense + FC Porto B
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.36
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.33
888Sport
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Draw or FC Porto B✓ Hit
67.3%
Avg Implied 58.1% · @ 1.60
Edge
+9.3%
33%
33%
35%
covers Draw + FC Porto B
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.73
SBO
1.63
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Feirense over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
64.1%
@ 1.29-7.8%
Under
35.9%
@ 3.31+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
BetVictor
1.30
Superbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.50
888Sport
3.50
Pinnacle
3.39
Marathonbet
3.34
BetVictor
3.25
Feirense over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
27.4%
@ 2.42-11.0%
Under
72.6%
@ 1.51+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.58
Betfair
2.50
BetVictor
2.50
Betano
2.45
Marathonbet
2.45
Under
888Sport
1.53
Bet365
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Feirense over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.5%
@ 5.58-8.1%
Under
91.5%
@ 1.11+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
BetVictor
5.75
1xBet
5.70
Superbet
5.55
Under
Bet365
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Feirense over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 12.42-5.6%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.02+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
888Sport
15.00
Superbet
14.00
1xBet
10.50
Betfair
10.00
Under
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
FC Porto B over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
65.4%
@ 1.45+1.3%
Under
34.6%
@ 2.58-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.46
1xBet
1.45
Betano
1.44
Under
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.73
Betano
2.65
10Bet
2.65
BetVictor
2.60
FC Porto B over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
28.7%
@ 3.18-0.6%
Under
71.3%
@ 1.31+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.33
Marathonbet
3.26
BetVictor
3.20
Betfair
3.20
Under
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
FC Porto B over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.2%
@ 8.63-1.6%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.05+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
9.20
Betfair
8.50
1xBet
8.50
Superbet
7.60
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
FC Porto B over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 20.67-2.4%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Superbet
21.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Feirense, so a minus line means Feirense give that many goals of a start and FC Porto B receive them. At -1, Feirense must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Feirense win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Feirense)Actual: FC Porto B
Feirense -2
3.8%
@ 9.55-5.4%
Draw -2
9.2%
@ 6.16-5.1%
FC Porto B +2
87.0%
@ 1.15+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
11.00
Superbet
9.80
Marathonbet
6.40
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Superbet
6.20
Marathonbet
4.45
Away
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Handicap -1 (Feirense)Actual: FC Porto B
Feirense -1
13.0%
@ 4.36-7.2%
Draw -1
19.7%
@ 3.67-4.4%
FC Porto B +1
67.3%
@ 1.58+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.55
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Superbet
4.45
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.70
Away
Marathonbet
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Betfair
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Handicap +1 (Feirense)Actual: Draw
Feirense +1
65.4%
@ 1.33-2.2%
Draw +1
20.4%
@ 4.66+1.1%
FC Porto B -1
14.1%
@ 6.90+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Draw
Marathonbet
4.80
Bet365
4.75
Superbet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Away
Marathonbet
7.60
Bet365
7.00
10Bet
6.50
Superbet
6.50
Handicap +2 (Feirense)Actual: Feirense
Feirense +2
85.9%
@ 1.08+1.1%
Draw +2
9.9%
@ 9.15-0.1%
FC Porto B -2
4.2%
@ 17.50-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Superbet
8.30
Away
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
16.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Feirense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.50
0.40
0.13
0.53
0.87
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.71
0.50
0.25
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (22)
0.45
0.41
0.36
0.09
0.55
0.73
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Porto B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Porto B
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.53
0.67
0.40
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.80
0.50
0.80
0.60
0.80
0.40
vs Weaker (20)
0.50
0.55
0.60
0.30
0.40
0.80
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Feirense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
66.4%
@ 1.47+3.2%
Under 0.5
33.6%
@ 2.52-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
BetVictor
1.49
Marathonbet
1.47
Under
Betfair
2.75
10Bet
2.65
Pinnacle
2.58
Superbet
2.52
William Hil
2.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
28.2%
@ 3.23-0.6%
Under 1.5
71.8%
@ 1.31+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.35
BetVictor
3.30
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.28
Under
10Bet
1.35
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.9%
@ 8.65-0.9%
Under 2.5
90.1%
@ 1.04+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
1xBet
9.00
William Hil
9.00
BetVictor
9.00
Marathonbet
9.00
Under
Betano
1.07
William Hil
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Feirense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
45.2%
@ 2.11+1.2%
Under
54.8%
@ 1.66-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.18
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.10
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Under
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
Superbet
1.66
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.65
Feirense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.2%
@ 6.79-2.4%
Under
88.8%
@ 1.07+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.50
1xBet
7.50
Superbet
6.40
Betano
6.30
10Bet
6.25
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Feirense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 19.17-2.9%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.01+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
FC Porto B over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
38.6%
@ 2.45+0.6%
Under
61.4%
@ 1.50-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.59
Marathonbet
2.49
Betano
2.47
Superbet
2.45
1xBet
2.38
Under
10Bet
1.55
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.49
FC Porto B over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.3%
@ 8.89-1.1%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.04+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
9.50
Superbet
8.40
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
FC Porto B over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.1%
@ 34.00-98.9%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
34.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Feirense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.27
0.60
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.14
0.25
1.00
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.59
0.27
0.45
0.73
0.73
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Porto B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Porto B
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
0.67
0.47
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.20
0.80
1.20
1.00
1.20
0.60
vs Weaker (20)
0.45
0.55
0.40
0.20
0.50
0.90
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Feirense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
73.1%
@ 1.30+1.5%
Under 0.5
26.9%
@ 3.27-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Under
Betano
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.28
Superbet
3.25
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
37.9%
@ 2.40-0.7%
Under 1.5
62.1%
@ 1.51+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.40
Superbet
2.40
William Hil
2.40
1xBet
2.39
Under
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.51
10Bet
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.2%
@ 5.51-2.6%
Under 2.5
85.8%
@ 1.11+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.60
1xBet
5.60
William Hil
5.50
Superbet
5.35
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.08
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Feirense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
51.5%
@ 1.78-0.4%
Under
48.5%
@ 1.92+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
Under
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
10Bet
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Feirense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.3%
@ 5.00-3.2%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.14+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.20
Superbet
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Betano
4.60
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
Feirense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.3%
@ 13.42-3.7%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.02+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
10Bet
15.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
FC Porto B over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
43.6%
@ 2.05-1.5%
Under
56.4%
@ 1.69+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.06
1xBet
2.06
Superbet
2.05
Betano
2.00
Under
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.70
10Bet
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.66
FC Porto B over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.1%
@ 6.60-2.0%
Under
87.9%
@ 1.08+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.30
1xBet
7.30
10Bet
6.50
Superbet
6.20
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
FC Porto B over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 19.58-2.6%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.01+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
21.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Betfair
1.01
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.9%
1.02
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.9%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
94.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
93.9%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
888Sport
1.06
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
91.5%
1.11
Bet365
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
+8.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
90.8%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.7%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.1%
1.04
Betano
1.07
William Hil
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.8%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.9%
1.08
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
87.0%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
-
+10.5%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
85.9%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
-
-
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
85.8%
1.11
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.08
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.7%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
84.1%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
Betfair
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
77.3%
1.35
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.31
-
+9.1%
-
Over 4.5 cards
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
73.1%
1.30
Betano
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
+1.5%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 goals
72.6%
1.51
888Sport
1.53
Bet365
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
+11.0%
✓ Hit
Under 1.5 HT goals
71.8%
1.31
10Bet
1.35
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Bet365
1.30
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
71.3%
1.31
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
+0.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Feirense · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jonny Arriba33%
João Lima25%
Guilherme Meira Ferreira Alves17%
Pedrinho0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Bruno Silva0%
Luiz Gustavo0%
Zé Ricardo0%
Diego Altube0%
Luís Santos0%
João Oliveira0%
Antonio Leal0%
Tiago Ribeiro0%
Desmond Nketia0%
André Lopes0%
Emanuel Fernandes0%
Daouda Doumbia0%
Gastón Novero0%
Pedrinho0%
Samad Popoola0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tiago Ribeiro60%
Samad Popoola60%
Zé Ricardo50%
André Lopes50%
João Lima50%
Emanuel Fernandes43%
João Oliveira33%
Jonny Arriba33%
Bruno Silva25%
Gastón Novero25%
Luiz Gustavo20%
Diego Altube20%
Guilherme Meira Ferreira Alves17%
Antonio Leal14%
Pedrinho0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Luís Santos0%
Desmond Nketia0%
Daouda Doumbia0%
Pedrinho0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
João Oliveira33%
Pedrinho0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Bruno Silva0%
Luiz Gustavo0%
Zé Ricardo0%
Diego Altube0%
Luís Santos0%
Antonio Leal0%
Tiago Ribeiro0%
Desmond Nketia0%
André Lopes0%
Jonny Arriba0%
João Lima0%
Emanuel Fernandes0%
Daouda Doumbia0%
Gastón Novero0%
Pedrinho0%
Guilherme Meira Ferreira Alves0%
Samad Popoola0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luiz Gustavo20%
Tiago Ribeiro20%
Pedrinho0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Bruno Silva0%
Zé Ricardo0%
Diego Altube0%
Luís Santos0%
João Oliveira0%
Antonio Leal0%
Desmond Nketia0%
André Lopes0%
Jonny Arriba0%
João Lima0%
Emanuel Fernandes0%
Daouda Doumbia0%
Gastón Novero0%
Pedrinho0%
Guilherme Meira Ferreira Alves0%
Samad Popoola0%
FC Porto B · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Duarte Cunha40%
Leonardo Vonić33%
Brayan Caicedo33%
André Miranda25%
Tiago Andrade22%
Gonçalo Sousa22%
Bernardo Lima20%
Mateus Mide20%
Kauê14%
Domingos Andrade11%
João Teixeira10%
Yann Karamoh0%
João Costa0%
Lipe0%
Gabriel Brás0%
Luis Gomes0%
António Ribeiro0%
Gonçalo Ribeiro0%
Dinis Rodrigues0%
André Oliveira0%
Trofim Melnichenko0%
Pedro Lima0%
Kaio Henrique0%
Tiago Silva0%
Yoan Pereira0%
Eduardo Ferreira0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Brayan Caicedo67%
Pedro Lima67%
Luis Gomes40%
André Oliveira40%
Mateus Mide40%
Yann Karamoh33%
Yoan Pereira33%
Dinis Rodrigues29%
Kaio Henrique27%
André Miranda25%
Leonardo Vonić22%
Bernardo Lima20%
Trofim Melnichenko12%
Domingos Andrade11%
Tiago Andrade11%
Gonçalo Sousa11%
Lipe10%
João Costa0%
Gabriel Brás0%
António Ribeiro0%
Gonçalo Ribeiro0%
João Teixeira0%
Kauê0%
Tiago Silva0%
Duarte Cunha0%
Eduardo Ferreira0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pedro Lima33%
André Miranda25%
Gonçalo Sousa22%
Gabriel Brás20%
Luis Gomes20%
Bernardo Lima20%
Mateus Mide20%
Yann Karamoh0%
João Costa0%
Domingos Andrade0%
Leonardo Vonić0%
Lipe0%
António Ribeiro0%
Gonçalo Ribeiro0%
Tiago Andrade0%
Dinis Rodrigues0%
André Oliveira0%
Trofim Melnichenko0%
João Teixeira0%
Kauê0%
Brayan Caicedo0%
Kaio Henrique0%
Tiago Silva0%
Yoan Pereira0%
Duarte Cunha0%
Eduardo Ferreira0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Trofim Melnichenko12%
Tiago Andrade11%
Yann Karamoh0%
João Costa0%
Domingos Andrade0%
Leonardo Vonić0%
Lipe0%
Gabriel Brás0%
Luis Gomes0%
António Ribeiro0%
Gonçalo Ribeiro0%
Dinis Rodrigues0%
André Oliveira0%
João Teixeira0%
Gonçalo Sousa0%
Kauê0%
Brayan Caicedo0%
Pedro Lima0%
Kaio Henrique0%
Bernardo Lima0%
Tiago Silva0%
André Miranda0%
Yoan Pereira0%
Duarte Cunha0%
Eduardo Ferreira0%
Mateus Mide0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (26)
€31m
FPB (28)
€29m
TOR (32)
€19m
SCB (23)
€17m
VIZ (29)
€12m
TON (20)
€10m
UDL (25)
€10m
CHA (22)
€9m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
POR (20)
€6m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
F1 (20)
€5m
LL (19)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
ACA (11)
€2m
AMA (6)
€1m
Feirense's squad is €24m less valuable than FC Porto B's (€4m vs €29m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FPB (10)
€13m
BB (9)
€9m
TOR (12)
€7m
VIZ (13)
€5m
SCB (9)
€5m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
CHA (5)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
POR (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
F1 (4)
€1m
ACA (6)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
LL (6)
€1m
AMA (1)
€0m
Feirense's attack is €12m less valuable than FC Porto B's (€1m vs €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (7)
€10m
FPB (6)
€7m
SCB (5)
€5m
CHA (5)
€2m
TOR (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
UDL (7)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
F1 (6)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
LL (2)
€1m
AMA (3)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PEN (2)
€0m
ACA (1)
€0m
Feirense's midfield is €6m less valuable than FC Porto B's (€1m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (10)
€13m
TOR (15)
€10m
FPB (12)
€9m
SCB (9)
€7m
TON (9)
€6m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (11)
€3m
AVS (10)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
F1 (10)
€2m
ACA (4)
€1m
AMA (2)
€0m
Feirense's defence is €6m less valuable than FC Porto B's (€3m vs €9m).
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →
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Lusitânia Lourosa
Academica
Sporting CP B
Penafiel
Farense
Vizela
Benfica B
Portimonense
União de Leiria
Felgueiras 1932
Leixoes
AVS
Amarante
Tondela
Torreense
Chaves