PythiaFootballBETA
Feirense and Felgueiras 1932 meet in the Portugal Segunda Liga on August 9, 2026. The recent form of both teams is worth noting, with Feirense coming off a draw against União de Leiria, while Felgueiras 1932 is riding a win against Oliveirense.
The model predicts a home win, with a probability of 33%. The expected total goals are 2.0, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 14.9%.
Feirense's home form against similar opponents is underwhelming, scoring 0.8 goals and conceding 0.8 goals on average. Felgueiras 1932's away form against similar opponents is slightly better, scoring 0.9 goals and conceding 1 goal on average.
The model's selections include Under 21.5 fouls (100% probability), Under 9.5 corners (99.9% probability with a 50% edge), Over 3.5 cards (85.6% probability), and Under 3.5 (85.4% probability with a 5% edge).
The probabilities for the match result are 33% for a home win, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an away win. The home win percentage is 33%, the draw percentage is 33%, and the away win percentage is 33%.
The draw between Feirense and Felgueiras 1932 extends the recent form storyline for both teams, who have been coming off consecutive draws. The 0-0 final score delivered a surprise result, as the pre-match favourite, the model's selection of a Home win, came up short. The model's call was incorrect, given the final outcome. The model's selection of a Home win had a pre-match probability of 33%. Meanwhile, the suggested picks performed well, with both the Over 3.5 cards and Under 3.5 selections hitting. The Over 3.5 cards pick had a probability of 85.6%, while the Under 3.5 pick had a probability of 85.4%.
Feirense| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.00 | 1.27 | 0.73 | 0.87 | 1.27 | 1.67 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 1.14 | 1.86 | 0.75 | 1.25 | 1.67 | 2.67 |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.96 | 1.09 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 1.17 | 1.42 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (+2pp vs league) | |||||
Felgueiras 1932| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.93 | 1.10 | 0.79 | 0.93 | 1.06 | 1.25 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 0.83 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.75 | 1.75 |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.96 | 1.00 | 0.75 | 0.92 | 1.17 | 1.08 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+8pp vs league) | |||||
| Felgueiras 1932 goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 15% | 12% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 12% | 15% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 6.8% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
FeirenseFelgueiras 1932Feirense| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.0 | 10.3 | 7.0 | 5.7 | 6.2 | 5.3 | 19.0 | 19.8 | 18.1 |
| vs Stronger (11) | 11.7 | 12.5 | 10.0 | 4.6 | 5.2 | 4.0 | 15.6 | 17.0 | 13.5 |
| vs Similar (39) | 7.9 | 9.2 | 6.0 | 6.1 | 6.6 | 5.6 | 20.7 | 21.4 | 20.0 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 30% | 33% | 25% | 74% | 79% | 69% | 53% | 50% | 57% |
| % under line | 70% | 67% | 75% | 26% | 21% | 31% | 47% | 50% | 43% |
Felgueiras 1932| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.1 | 12.2 | 8.8 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 23.5 | 20.0 | 25.9 |
| vs Stronger (9) | 11.7 | 13.0 | 9.0 | 5.2 | 6.2 | 4.0 | 33.7 | 28.0 | 45.0 |
| vs Similar (41) | 9.6 | 11.7 | 8.7 | 5.2 | 4.9 | 5.4 | 21.3 | 16.8 | 23.8 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 54% | 100% | 25% | 70% | 75% | 65% | 71% | 57% | 80% |
| % under line | 46% | 0% | 75% | 30% | 25% | 35% | 29% | 43% | 20% |
Feirense| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.47 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.53 | 0.80 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 0.57 | 0.71 | 0.50 | 0.25 | 0.67 | 1.33 |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.43 | 0.43 | 0.36 | 0.18 | 0.50 | 0.67 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+28pp vs league) | |||||
Felgueiras 1932| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.37 | 0.47 | 0.36 | 0.43 | 0.38 | 0.50 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 0.17 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.75 |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.42 | 0.46 | 0.33 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.42 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+35pp vs league) | |||||
Feirense| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.53 | 0.77 | 0.33 | 0.67 | 0.73 | 0.87 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 0.57 | 1.14 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.52 | 0.65 | 0.36 | 0.55 | 0.67 | 0.75 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+8pp vs league) | |||||
Felgueiras 1932| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.57 | 0.63 | 0.43 | 0.50 | 0.69 | 0.75 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.54 | 0.54 | 0.42 | 0.42 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 60% (+32pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 95.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 19.5 fouls | 91.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 3.5 cards | 87.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 3.5 | 85.4% | 1.15 | 1.18 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.17 | +4.7% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 82.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 11.5 corners | 77.8% | 1.30 | 1.45 | 1.27 | 1.25 | 1.24 | - | +6.9% | - |
| Over 4.5 cards | 75.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✗ Miss |
| Over 23.5 fouls | 70.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 05/10/25 | A | 2-0 | |
| 01/02/25 | H | 3-2 | |
| 24/08/24 | A | 0-0 |
Feirense| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 09/05/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 28/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 17/04/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 12/04/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 04/04/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 22/03/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 15/03/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 09/03/26 | A | 3-0 |
Felgueiras 1932| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 | A | 1-5 | |
| 09/05/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 04/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 20/04/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 10/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 04/04/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 22/03/26 | H | 0-3 | |
| 13/03/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 08/03/26 | H | 0-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 |  Lusitânia Lourosa | 4 | 10 | 75% | 2.5 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 2.2 | 75% | 25% | 25% | - | 0% | 8.0 | 100% | - | 0% | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 48% |
| 2 |  Academica | 4 | 9 | 75% | 2.2 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 2.5 | 75% | 25% | 25% | - | 0% | 4.7 | 67% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.8 | 0.8 | - |
| 3 |  Sporting CP B | 4 | 9 | 75% | 2.2 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 1.8 | 50% | 25% | 0% | - | 0% | 6.0 | 50% | - | 0% | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 54% |
| 4 |  Penafiel | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 2.5 | 75% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | 5.0 | 50% | - | 0% | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 49% |
| 5 |  Farense | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 3.0 | 100% | 75% | 25% | - | 0% | 5.0 | 67% | - | 0% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 49% |
| 6 |  Vizela | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 0% | - | 0% | 4.5 | 100% | - | 0% | 12 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 54% |
| 7 |  Benfica B | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 1.8 | 50% | 25% | 0% | - | 0% | 9.0 | 100% | - | 0% | 31 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 54% |
| 8 |  Portimonense | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 1.8 | 75% | 0% | 0% | 10.0 | 100% | 4.5 | 50% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 48% |
| 9 |  União de Leiria | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 3.0 | 75% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | 4.0 | 50% | - | 0% | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 51% |
| 10 | Felgueiras 1932 | 4 | 6 | 25% | 1.5 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 1.8 | 75% | 25% | 0% | - | 0% | 5.7 | 100% | - | 0% | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 54% |
| 11 |  Leixoes | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 5 | 5 | +0 | 2.5 | 50% | 25% | 25% | 10.0 | 100% | 7.3 | 100% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 50% |
| 12 |  AVS | 4 | 5 | 25% | 1.2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 2.2 | 75% | 25% | 25% | - | 0% | 3.7 | 33% | - | 0% | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 13 |  Amarante | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1.2 | 25% | 25% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | - |
| 14 |  Tondela | 4 | 3 | 25% | 0.8 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 2.0 | 75% | 25% | 0% | - | 0% | 5.0 | 50% | - | 0% | 10 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0.5 | 1.5 | - |
| 15 |  FC Porto B | 4 | 3 | 25% | 0.8 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2.5 | 75% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | 6.3 | 100% | - | 0% | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 47% |
| 16 |  Torreense | 4 | 2 | 0% | 0.5 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3.5 | 100% | 100% | 50% | - | 0% | 3.0 | 50% | - | 0% | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 46% |
| 17 | Feirense | 4 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1.0 | 25% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | 3.3 | 67% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 42% |
| 18 |  Chaves | 4 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3.2 | 75% | 75% | 50% | - | 0% | 4.5 | 50% | - | 0% | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 55% |