The model sees a clear edge for Sporting CP B, with a 39% chance of victory against Feirense’s 24% home-win probability and a 37% draw. The expected total is 1.7 goals, and the most likely total is one goal, a 29% chance that the match ends with a single goal. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 0-0, with a 20.3% probability, reflecting the defensive nature of both sides.
Feirense, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Sporting CP B, on the road against a weaker side, averages 0.9 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. Recent form shows Feirense struggling after three straight losses and a 0-2 defeat to AVS, while Sporting CP B comes off a win and a 2-1 victory over Farense.
Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (100%), Under 6.5 (99.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (99.4%, edge 8%), Under 5.5 (99.3%, edge 7%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.6%, edge 6%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.3%, edge 6%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.3%) and Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.8%, edge 4%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Feirense win
24.4%
Avg Implied 35.0% · @ 2.61
Edge
-10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.75
Pinnacle
2.73
Betano
2.70
Marathonbet
2.66
1xBet
2.66
Draw
36.7%
Avg Implied 29.9% · @ 3.05
Edge
+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.20
Betano
3.15
Pinnacle
3.14
Marathonbet
3.12
1xBet
3.12
Sporting CP B win
39.0%
Avg Implied 35.1% · @ 2.60
Edge
+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.75
Dafabet
2.70
Pinnacle
2.67
Betfair
2.63
Betano
2.62
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Feirense
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.20
0.62
0.75
1.21
1.71
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
1.75
0.60
1.20
1.67
2.67
vs Similar (21)
0.90
1.00
0.64
0.55
1.20
1.50
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting CP B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CP B
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.13
1.20
1.27
0.80
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.91
1.45
1.17
1.33
0.60
1.60
vs Weaker (19)
1.05
0.95
1.22
1.22
0.90
0.70
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Feirense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (29%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
50.7%
@ 1.39-15.7%
Under 1.5
49.3%
@ 2.75+15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Under
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.84
10Bet
2.80
Unibet
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
23.2%
@ 2.28-17.8%
Under 2.5
76.8%
@ 1.58+17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.37
Bet365
2.35
1xBet
2.33
Marathonbet
2.33
Betano
2.30
Under
Unibet
1.61
Betano
1.60
Betfair
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
8.7%
@ 4.25-13.1%
Under 3.5
91.3%
@ 1.19+13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Marathonbet
4.35
Pinnacle
4.35
1xBet
4.35
Under
Betano
1.22
Unibet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Both teams to score
Yes
32.3%
@ 1.91-15.8%
No
67.7%
@ 1.78+15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.94
1xBet
1.94
Betano
1.93
BetVictor
1.93
No
Unibet
1.82
William Hil
1.80
Betfair
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
Betano
1.78
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
20.3%@ 7.26+14.2%
0-1
17.0%@ 6.62+10.3%
1-1
14.1%@ 5.53+6.1%
1-0
12.0%@ 6.68+5.5%
0-2
8.8%@ 11.31+4.9%
1-2
6.1%@ 9.49+1.5%
2-0
4.7%@ 11.45+0.8%
2-1
4.5%@ 9.49-0.2%
Feirense goals ↓
Sporting CP B goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
20%
17%
8.8%
2.8%
0.7%
1
12%
14%
6.1%
2.0%
0.5%
2
4.7%
4.5%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
3
1.1%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
4
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Feirense goals (down), columns = Sporting CP B goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Torreense
1.74
AVS
1.50
Vizela
1.50
FC Porto B
1.50
Leixoes
1.47
União de Leiria
1.47
Tondela
1.36
Feirense
1.35
Chaves
1.32
Benfica B
1.29
Felgueiras 1932
1.29
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.26
Sporting CP B
1.24
Farense
1.22
Penafiel
1.21
Portimonense
1.18
Academica
0.98
Amarante
0.82
Feirense is 0.12 points better than Sporting CP B in terms of average points per game (1.35 vs 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
União de Leiria
1.53
Leixoes
1.35
Torreense
1.35
AVS
1.30
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.29
Benfica B
1.26
Chaves
1.24
Sporting CP B
1.21
FC Porto B
1.21
Tondela
1.17
Vizela
1.15
Portimonense
1.15
Penafiel
1.09
Feirense
1.09
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Farense
0.89
Academica
0.85
Amarante
0.71
Feirense is 0.12 goals worse than Sporting CP B in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.21).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Torreense
0.97
Sporting CP B
1.00
Farense
1.03
AVS
1.05
Felgueiras 1932
1.12
Penafiel
1.15
Tondela
1.16
Vizela
1.18
Feirense
1.18
Chaves
1.18
FC Porto B
1.24
Benfica B
1.29
União de Leiria
1.35
Portimonense
1.44
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.53
Academica
1.61
Leixoes
1.62
Amarante
1.92
Feirense is 0.18 goals worse than Sporting CP B in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Chaves
55%
Sporting CP B
54%
Benfica B
54%
Vizela
54%
Felgueiras 1932
54%
União de Leiria
51%
Leixoes
50%
Farense
49%
Penafiel
49%
Portimonense
48%
Lusitânia Lourosa
48%
FC Porto B
47%
Torreense
46%
Feirense
42%
Feirense is 12.6 percentage points worse than Sporting CP B in terms of average possession (42% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Feirense
For 4.5 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.2 · Against 11.5 · Total 29.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sporting CP B
For 3.8 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 3.6 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 11.9 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Feirense
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
10.3
7.0
5.6
6.0
5.3
21.5
21.9
21.0
vs Stronger (11)
11.7
12.5
10.0
4.6
4.4
5.0
19.2
17.0
26.0
vs Similar (38)
7.9
9.2
6.0
6.0
6.6
5.4
22.4
25.5
20.0
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
4.0
-
4.0
-
-
-
% over line
30%
33%
25%
74%
79%
69%
62%
57%
67%
% under line
70%
67%
75%
26%
21%
31%
38%
43%
33%
This opponent (Sporting CP B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CP B
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (38)
8.3
9.0
7.8
4.6
5.0
4.2
25.0
25.5
24.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
9.0
-
9.0
5.5
6.0
4.8
20.0
-
20.0
vs Weaker (25)
8.2
9.0
7.6
4.1
4.4
3.8
25.6
25.5
25.6
% over line
40%
75%
17%
53%
58%
47%
80%
100%
67%
% under line
60%
25%
83%
47%
42%
53%
20%
0%
33%
This opponent (Feirense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Penafiel
11.5
Portimonense
11.1
Torreense
11.0
Farense
10.9
Lusitânia Lourosa
10.4
FC Porto B
10.3
Felgueiras 1932
10.1
Vizela
9.9
União de Leiria
9.8
Benfica B
9.6
Tondela
9.6
AVS
9.6
Leixoes
9.0
Feirense
9.0
Chaves
8.8
Sporting CP B
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Benfica B
6.7
Feirense
6.5
Vizela
6.3
Chaves
6.1
Leixoes
6.1
FC Porto B
6.0
Sporting CP B
6.0
Lusitânia Lourosa
5.9
Felgueiras 1932
5.9
Farense
5.7
União de Leiria
5.6
Portimonense
5.4
Penafiel
5.3
Torreense
5.2
Tondela
5.2
AVS
5.1
Academica
4.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Farense
31.1
Lusitânia Lourosa
30.1
Leixoes
26.4
Tondela
25.7
AVS
25.5
Sporting CP B
25.0
União de Leiria
24.1
Felgueiras 1932
23.5
Penafiel
22.9
FC Porto B
21.9
Portimonense
21.8
Benfica B
21.2
Torreense
21.1
Chaves
20.9
Vizela
20.8
Feirense
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
43.2%
@ 2.25+2.2%
Under 9.5
56.8%
@ 1.56-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.29
Betano
2.25
Marathonbet
2.20
Under
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
83.6%
Under 3.5
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
79.1%
Under 21.5
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Feirense or Draw
61.0%
Avg Implied 64.7% · @ 1.43
Edge
-3.7%
24%
37%
39%
covers Feirense + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.45
William Hil
1.44
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Feirense or Sporting CP B
63.3%
Avg Implied 70.6% · @ 1.31
Edge
-7.2%
24%
37%
39%
covers Feirense + Sporting CP B
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.36
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Draw or Sporting CP B
75.6%
Avg Implied 64.7% · @ 1.43
Edge
+10.9%
24%
37%
39%
covers Draw + Sporting CP B
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Bet365
1.44
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Feirense over/under 0.5
Over
50.3%
@ 1.38-17.0%
Under
49.7%
@ 2.84+17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
BetVictor
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
2.97
BetVictor
2.88
10Bet
2.88
Marathonbet
2.84
Betano
2.80
Feirense over/under 1.5
Over
15.6%
@ 2.78-17.6%
Under
84.4%
@ 1.38+17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.93
Marathonbet
2.92
BetVictor
2.88
10Bet
2.80
Betano
2.80
Under
Unibet
1.43
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.38
10Bet
1.38
Feirense over/under 2.5
Over
3.4%
@ 7.25-9.4%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.07+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.80
1xBet
7.40
10Bet
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Feirense over/under 3.5
Over
0.6%
@ 16.12-5.3%
Under
99.4%
@ 1.01+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Sporting CP B over/under 0.5
Over
61.7%
@ 1.37-5.7%
Under
38.3%
@ 2.83+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.38
BetVictor
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
2.93
10Bet
2.88
BetVictor
2.88
Betano
2.87
Marathonbet
2.84
Sporting CP B over/under 1.5
Over
24.9%
@ 2.81-8.1%
Under
75.1%
@ 1.39+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.91
Marathonbet
2.89
BetVictor
2.88
Bet365
2.75
1xBet
2.75
Under
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.37
Sporting CP B over/under 2.5
Over
7.3%
@ 7.08-5.8%
Under
92.7%
@ 1.07+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.60
1xBet
7.20
BetVictor
7.00
10Bet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Sporting CP B over/under 3.5
Over
1.7%
@ 16.00-4.3%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Feirense, so a minus line means Feirense give that many goals of a start and Sporting CP B receive them. At -1, Feirense must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Feirense win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Feirense)
Feirense -2
1.5%
@ 15.00-4.6%
Draw -2
5.8%
@ 8.00-5.6%
Sporting CP B +2
92.7%
@ 1.11+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
15.00
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Away
Bet365
1.11
Handicap -1 (Feirense)
Feirense -1
7.3%
@ 5.41-9.0%
Draw -1
17.0%
@ 3.95-5.3%
Sporting CP B +1
75.6%
@ 1.44+14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
10Bet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Unibet
4.10
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.15
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.25
Away
10Bet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Unibet
1.42
Handicap +1 (Feirense)
Feirense +1
61.0%
@ 1.41-1.1%
Draw +1
23.8%
@ 4.00+1.9%
Sporting CP B -1
15.1%
@ 5.51-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Unibet
1.32
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.15
10Bet
3.95
Unibet
3.55
Away
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.80
10Bet
5.50
Unibet
4.75
Handicap +2 (Feirense)
Feirense +2
84.9%
@ 1.11+2.4%
Draw +2
10.9%
@ 8.00-0.5%
Sporting CP B -2
4.2%
@ 15.00-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Away
Bet365
15.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Feirense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.47
0.38
0.19
0.43
0.79
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
0.75
0.40
0.40
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (21)
0.38
0.33
0.36
0.09
0.40
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting CP B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CP B
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.60
0.60
0.53
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.55
0.73
0.67
0.50
0.40
1.00
vs Weaker (19)
0.47
0.53
0.56
0.56
0.40
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Feirense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
65.2%
@ 1.47+2.2%
Under 0.5
34.8%
@ 2.50-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.50
BetVictor
1.49
10Bet
1.48
1xBet
1.47
Under
Betfair
2.63
William Hil
2.62
Pinnacle
2.58
Bet365
2.50
Unibet
2.48
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
26.6%
@ 3.28-1.7%
Under 1.5
73.4%
@ 1.30+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
1xBet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.35
Betano
3.35
BetVictor
3.30
Under
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
8.2%
@ 9.00-2.3%
Under 2.5
91.8%
@ 1.05+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
9.50
1xBet
9.50
William Hil
9.00
BetVictor
9.00
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
William Hil
1.06
Betfair
1.05
BetVictor
1.03
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Feirense over/under 0.5 HT
Over
42.3%
@ 2.31+2.2%
Under
57.7%
@ 1.55-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
Pinnacle
2.34
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
10Bet
2.25
Under
10Bet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Feirense over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.2%
@ 8.25-3.1%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.05+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.20
1xBet
9.20
10Bet
7.50
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Feirense over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.3%
@ 12.50-6.1%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.01+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Sporting CP B over/under 0.5 HT
Over
40.5%
@ 2.30+0.2%
Under
59.5%
@ 1.55-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.32
Pinnacle
2.32
10Bet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.28
1xBet
2.28
Under
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
Marathonbet
1.54
1xBet
1.54
Sporting CP B over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.4%
@ 8.32-1.7%
Under
90.6%
@ 1.05+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
Marathonbet
9.10
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Sporting CP B over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Feirense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.73
0.25
0.56
0.79
0.93
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
1.00
0.20
0.80
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.67
0.27
0.45
0.80
0.90
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting CP B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CP B
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.53
0.60
0.73
0.40
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.36
0.73
0.50
0.83
0.20
0.60
vs Weaker (19)
0.58
0.42
0.67
0.67
0.50
0.20
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Feirense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
69.9%
@ 1.31-1.3%
Under 0.5
30.1%
@ 3.23+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Under
10Bet
3.30
Betano
3.30
Bet365
3.25
1xBet
3.22
Marathonbet
3.22
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
37.9%
@ 2.44-0.2%
Under 1.5
62.1%
@ 1.50+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.47
1xBet
2.47
William Hil
2.45
Betano
2.40
Under
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.50
William Hil
1.50
1xBet
1.47
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.9%
@ 5.78-3.2%
Under 2.5
87.1%
@ 1.10+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
1xBet
5.95
William Hil
5.80
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Feirense over/under 0.5 2H
Over
47.1%
@ 1.93-0.9%
Under
52.9%
@ 1.78+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.94
1xBet
1.94
Betano
1.93
10Bet
1.90
Under
Betano
1.82
10Bet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Feirense over/under 1.5 2H
Over
12.7%
@ 5.88-3.1%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.10+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.35
1xBet
6.35
10Bet
5.50
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Feirense over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.2%
@ 15.12-4.1%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.01+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Sporting CP B over/under 0.5 2H
Over
45.8%
@ 1.90-2.9%
Under
54.2%
@ 1.80+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Betano
1.90
10Bet
1.85
Under
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.83
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
Sporting CP B over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.4%
@ 5.76-2.7%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.10+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.30
Marathonbet
6.30
10Bet
5.25
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Sporting CP B over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.4%
@ 14.00-4.4%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.01+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
100.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
99.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+5.3%
Under 5.5
99.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+5.0%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.1%
Away under 3.5 goals
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+4.3%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.1%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.4%
Under 4.5
97.3%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.06
BetVictor
1.03
-
+7.8%
Home under 2.5 goals
96.6%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
+9.4%
Over 2.5 cards
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
92.7%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
1xBet
1.05
+5.8%
Away +2 handicap
92.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+10.2%
Under 2.5 HT goals
91.8%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
William Hil
1.06
Betfair
1.05
BetVictor
1.03
+2.3%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
91.8%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
+3.1%
Under 3.5
91.3%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Unibet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
+13.1%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.6%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
+1.7%
Over 19.5 fouls
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
87.3%
1.10
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
-
+3.1%
Under 2.5 2H goals
87.1%
1.10
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
+3.2%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.6%
1.10
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
-
+2.7%
Home +2 handicap
84.9%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+2.4%
Home under 1.5 goals
84.4%
1.38
Unibet
1.43
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.38
10Bet
1.38
+17.6%
Over 3.5 cards
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
78.9%
1.14
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
-0.6%
Under 2.5
76.8%
1.58
Unibet
1.61
Betano
1.60
Betfair
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Bet365
1.57
+17.8%
Draw or Away
75.6%
1.43
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Bet365
1.44
+10.9%
Away +1 handicap
75.6%
1.44
10Bet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Unibet
1.42
+14.3%
Away under 1.5 goals
75.1%
1.39
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.37
+8.1%
Under 1.5 HT goals
73.4%
1.30
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
+1.7%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Feirense · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jonny Arriba33%
João Lima25%
Guilherme Meira Ferreira Alves17%
Pedrinho0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Bruno Silva0%
Luiz Gustavo0%
Zé Ricardo0%
Diego Altube0%
Luís Santos0%
João Oliveira0%
Antonio Leal0%
Tiago Ribeiro0%
Desmond Nketia0%
André Lopes0%
Emanuel Fernandes0%
Daouda Doumbia0%
Gastón Novero0%
Pedrinho0%
Samad Popoola0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tiago Ribeiro60%
Samad Popoola60%
Zé Ricardo50%
André Lopes50%
João Lima50%
Emanuel Fernandes43%
João Oliveira33%
Jonny Arriba33%
Bruno Silva25%
Gastón Novero25%
Luiz Gustavo20%
Diego Altube20%
Guilherme Meira Ferreira Alves17%
Antonio Leal14%
Pedrinho0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Luís Santos0%
Desmond Nketia0%
Daouda Doumbia0%
Pedrinho0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
João Oliveira33%
Pedrinho0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Bruno Silva0%
Luiz Gustavo0%
Zé Ricardo0%
Diego Altube0%
Luís Santos0%
Antonio Leal0%
Tiago Ribeiro0%
Desmond Nketia0%
André Lopes0%
Jonny Arriba0%
João Lima0%
Emanuel Fernandes0%
Daouda Doumbia0%
Gastón Novero0%
Pedrinho0%
Guilherme Meira Ferreira Alves0%
Samad Popoola0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luiz Gustavo20%
Tiago Ribeiro20%
Pedrinho0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Bruno Silva0%
Zé Ricardo0%
Diego Altube0%
Luís Santos0%
João Oliveira0%
Antonio Leal0%
Desmond Nketia0%
André Lopes0%
Jonny Arriba0%
João Lima0%
Emanuel Fernandes0%
Daouda Doumbia0%
Gastón Novero0%
Pedrinho0%
Guilherme Meira Ferreira Alves0%
Samad Popoola0%
Sporting CP B · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Paulo Cardoso33%
Lucas Anjos25%
Salvador Blopa20%
Rafael Nel17%
Bruno Ramos14%
Flavio Goncalves14%
Samuel Justo10%
Mateo Tanlongo0%
Rômulo0%
Diego Callai0%
João Muniz0%
Manuel Mendonça0%
Mauro Couto0%
Zaid Bafdili0%
Rayan Lucas0%
David Moreira0%
Gabriel Silva0%
Eduardo Felicíssimo0%
José Silva0%
Rodrigo Dias0%
Kauã Oliveira0%
Daniel Costa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Salvador Blopa40%
Kauã Oliveira33%
Bruno Ramos29%
Flavio Goncalves29%
Mateo Tanlongo25%
Rafael Nel17%
João Muniz14%
Gabriel Silva14%
Diego Callai12%
Rodrigo Dias11%
Paulo Cardoso11%
Samuel Justo10%
Manuel Mendonça10%
Mauro Couto10%
David Moreira10%
Rômulo0%
Zaid Bafdili0%
Rayan Lucas0%
Lucas Anjos0%
Eduardo Felicíssimo0%
José Silva0%
Daniel Costa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Zaid Bafdili40%
José Silva33%
Mauro Couto20%
Rafael Nel17%
Flavio Goncalves14%
Rodrigo Dias11%
Paulo Cardoso11%
Manuel Mendonça10%
Mateo Tanlongo0%
Rômulo0%
Diego Callai0%
Samuel Justo0%
João Muniz0%
Bruno Ramos0%
Rayan Lucas0%
David Moreira0%
Lucas Anjos0%
Gabriel Silva0%
Eduardo Felicíssimo0%
Salvador Blopa0%
Kauã Oliveira0%
Daniel Costa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rafael Nel50%
Samuel Justo20%
Lucas Anjos12%
Manuel Mendonça10%
Mateo Tanlongo0%
Rômulo0%
Diego Callai0%
João Muniz0%
Mauro Couto0%
Zaid Bafdili0%
Bruno Ramos0%
Rayan Lucas0%
David Moreira0%
Gabriel Silva0%
Eduardo Felicíssimo0%
José Silva0%
Salvador Blopa0%
Flavio Goncalves0%
Rodrigo Dias0%
Paulo Cardoso0%
Kauã Oliveira0%
Daniel Costa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (26)
€31m
FPB (28)
€29m
TOR (32)
€19m
SCB (23)
€17m
VIZ (29)
€12m
TON (20)
€10m
UDL (25)
€10m
CHA (22)
€9m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
POR (20)
€6m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
F1 (20)
€5m
LL (19)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
ACA (11)
€2m
AMA (6)
€1m
Feirense's squad is €13m less valuable than Sporting CP B's (€4m vs €17m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FPB (10)
€13m
BB (9)
€9m
TOR (12)
€7m
VIZ (13)
€5m
SCB (9)
€5m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
CHA (5)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
POR (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
F1 (4)
€1m
ACA (6)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
LL (6)
€1m
AMA (1)
€0m
Feirense's attack is €4m less valuable than Sporting CP B's (€1m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (7)
€10m
FPB (6)
€7m
SCB (5)
€5m
CHA (5)
€2m
TOR (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
UDL (7)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
F1 (6)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
LL (2)
€1m
AMA (3)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PEN (2)
€0m
ACA (1)
€0m
Feirense's midfield is €4m less valuable than Sporting CP B's (€1m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (10)
€13m
TOR (15)
€10m
FPB (12)
€9m
SCB (9)
€7m
TON (9)
€6m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (11)
€3m
AVS (10)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
F1 (10)
€2m
ACA (4)
€1m
AMA (2)
€0m
Feirense's defence is €5m less valuable than Sporting CP B's (€3m vs €7m).
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lusitânia Lourosa
Academica
Penafiel
Farense
Vizela
Benfica B
Portimonense
União de Leiria
Felgueiras 1932
Leixoes
AVS
Amarante
Tondela
FC Porto B
Torreense
Chaves