This opponent (Vizela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vizela
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.23
1.67
1.33
1.00
1.13
vs Stronger (5)
1.60
0.80
2.50
1.00
1.00
0.67
vs Similar (25)
1.28
1.32
1.54
1.38
1.00
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Feirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
58.7%
Under 1.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
30.3%
Under 2.5
69.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.9%
Under 3.5
87.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
39.5%
No
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.9%
1-1
14.9%
1-0 ✓
12.8%
0-1
12.6%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
Feirense goals ↓
Vizela goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
13%
6.7%
2.1%
0.5%
1
13%
15%
6.5%
2.1%
0.5%
2
6.8%
6.5%
3.1%
1.0%
0.2%
3
2.2%
2.1%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.5%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Feirense goals (down), columns = Vizela goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maritimo
1.94
Torreense
1.74
Academico Viseu
1.74
Vizela
1.50
FC Porto B
1.50
Leixoes
1.47
União de Leiria
1.47
Feirense
1.35
Chaves
1.32
Benfica B
1.29
Felgueiras 1932
1.29
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.26
Sporting CP B
1.24
Farense
1.22
Penafiel
1.21
Portimonense
1.18
Pacos Ferreira
1.15
Oliveirense
1.00
CF Os Belenenses
0.50
Feirense is 0.15 points worse than Vizela in terms of average points per game (1.35 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Academico Viseu
1.71
União de Leiria
1.53
Maritimo
1.47
Torreense
1.35
Leixoes
1.35
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.29
Benfica B
1.26
Chaves
1.24
Sporting CP B
1.21
FC Porto B
1.21
Vizela
1.15
Portimonense
1.15
Penafiel
1.09
Feirense
1.09
Pacos Ferreira
1.00
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Oliveirense
1.00
Farense
0.89
CF Os Belenenses
0.00
Feirense is 0.06 goals worse than Vizela in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.15).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
CF Os Belenenses
0.50
Maritimo
0.85
Torreense
0.97
Academico Viseu
0.97
Sporting CP B
1.00
Farense
1.03
Felgueiras 1932
1.12
Penafiel
1.15
Vizela
1.18
Chaves
1.18
Feirense
1.18
FC Porto B
1.24
Benfica B
1.29
União de Leiria
1.35
Pacos Ferreira
1.41
Portimonense
1.44
Oliveirense
1.44
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.53
Leixoes
1.62
Feirense and Vizela are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.18).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Chaves
55%
Sporting CP B
54%
Benfica B
54%
Vizela
54%
Felgueiras 1932
54%
Maritimo
52%
União de Leiria
51%
Leixoes
50%
Academico Viseu
49%
Farense
49%
Penafiel
49%
Oliveirense
49%
Portimonense
48%
Lusitânia Lourosa
48%
FC Porto B
47%
Pacos Ferreira
46%
Torreense
46%
Feirense
42%
Feirense is 11.8 percentage points worse than Vizela in terms of average possession (42% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Feirense
For 4.8 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.0 · Against 3.2 · Total 7.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.3 · Against 11.5 · Total 28.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Vizela
For 5.8 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 15.6 · Total 30.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Feirense
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
10.1
6.3
5.3
5.8
4.9
17.3
19.5
14.1
vs Stronger (12)
11.7
12.5
10.0
4.2
4.2
4.3
13.3
13.2
13.5
vs Similar (38)
7.9
9.2
4.5
5.7
6.4
5.0
19.5
23.7
14.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
30%
29%
33%
70%
75%
65%
47%
50%
43%
% under line
70%
71%
67%
30%
25%
35%
53%
50%
57%
This opponent (Vizela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vizela
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.4
11.0
5.0
5.1
4.8
18.2
22.0
14.5
vs Stronger (8)
17.0
-
17.0
4.9
3.0
6.8
10.7
2.0
15.0
vs Similar (42)
9.4
9.4
9.5
5.0
5.5
4.5
19.4
24.0
14.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
25%
80%
66%
68%
64%
50%
64%
36%
% under line
54%
75%
20%
34%
32%
36%
50%
36%
64%
This opponent (Feirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Penafiel
12.1
Portimonense
11.2
Farense
11.0
Lusitânia Lourosa
10.7
FC Porto B
10.6
Torreense
10.2
Academico Viseu
10.1
Benfica B
10.1
Felgueiras 1932
10.1
Oliveirense
10.1
Vizela
10.0
Pacos Ferreira
9.9
União de Leiria
9.8
Chaves
9.4
CF Os Belenenses
9.3
Feirense
9.0
Leixoes
8.9
Maritimo
8.6
Sporting CP B
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Benfica B
6.5
Feirense
6.3
Chaves
6.2
Felgueiras 1932
6.2
Vizela
6.1
Sporting CP B
6.1
Pacos Ferreira
6.1
Lusitânia Lourosa
6.0
Leixoes
5.9
FC Porto B
5.8
Farense
5.8
Maritimo
5.8
Academico Viseu
5.7
União de Leiria
5.7
Oliveirense
5.6
Portimonense
5.5
Penafiel
5.5
Torreense
5.3
CF Os Belenenses
4.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lusitânia Lourosa
30.2
Farense
30.1
Sporting CP B
25.4
CF Os Belenenses
25.0
Leixoes
23.5
Pacos Ferreira
22.6
União de Leiria
20.7
Academico Viseu
20.5
Oliveirense
20.0
Maritimo
19.0
Vizela
18.2
Felgueiras 1932
18.1
Chaves
18.0
Portimonense
17.8
Penafiel
17.6
Feirense
17.3
FC Porto B
16.9
Benfica B
16.0
Torreense
15.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
54.6%
Under 9.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
90.0%
Under 3.5
10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
67.6%
Under 21.5
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Feirense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.50
0.36
0.29
0.44
0.69
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.71
0.67
0.33
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.35
0.43
0.27
0.27
0.42
0.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Vizela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vizela
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.40
0.53
0.33
0.27
0.47
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.60
1.00
1.00
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (25)
0.32
0.36
0.46
0.23
0.17
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Feirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Feirense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feirense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feirense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vizela over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vizela over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vizela over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Feirense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.71
0.57
0.56
0.75
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.14
0.33
1.33
0.75
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.52
0.82
0.36
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Vizela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vizela
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.83
1.13
1.00
0.73
0.67
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.20
1.50
0.00
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (25)
0.96
0.96
1.08
1.15
0.83
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Feirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Feirense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feirense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feirense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vizela over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vizela over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vizela over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 4.5 cards
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Feirense
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jonny Arriba33%
João Lima25%
Guilherme Meira Ferreira Alves17%
Pedrinho0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Bruno Silva0%
Luiz Gustavo0%
Zé Ricardo0%
Diego Altube0%
Luís Santos0%
João Oliveira0%
Antonio Leal0%
Tiago Ribeiro0%
Desmond Nketia0%
André Lopes0%
Emanuel Fernandes0%
Daouda Doumbia0%
Gastón Novero0%
Pedrinho0%
Samad Popoola0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tiago Ribeiro60%
Samad Popoola60%
Zé Ricardo50%
André Lopes50%
João Lima50%
Emanuel Fernandes43%
João Oliveira33%
Jonny Arriba33%
Bruno Silva25%
Gastón Novero25%
Luiz Gustavo20%
Diego Altube20%
Guilherme Meira Ferreira Alves17%
Antonio Leal14%
Pedrinho0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Luís Santos0%
Desmond Nketia0%
Daouda Doumbia0%
Pedrinho0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
João Oliveira33%
Pedrinho0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Bruno Silva0%
Luiz Gustavo0%
Zé Ricardo0%
Diego Altube0%
Luís Santos0%
Antonio Leal0%
Tiago Ribeiro0%
Desmond Nketia0%
André Lopes0%
Jonny Arriba0%
João Lima0%
Emanuel Fernandes0%
Daouda Doumbia0%
Gastón Novero0%
Pedrinho0%
Guilherme Meira Ferreira Alves0%
Samad Popoola0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luiz Gustavo20%
Tiago Ribeiro20%
Pedrinho0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Bruno Silva0%
Zé Ricardo0%
Diego Altube0%
Luís Santos0%
João Oliveira0%
Antonio Leal0%
Desmond Nketia0%
André Lopes0%
Jonny Arriba0%
João Lima0%
Emanuel Fernandes0%
Daouda Doumbia0%
Gastón Novero0%
Pedrinho0%
Guilherme Meira Ferreira Alves0%
Samad Popoola0%
Vizela
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Heinz Mörschel57%
Jose Sampaio40%
Luís Rocha20%
Matías Lacava20%
Yassin Fortune17%
Angel Bastunov14%
Thio14%
Leverton Pierre0%
Damien Loppy0%
Andrea Hristov0%
Miguel Tavares0%
Aleksandar Busnić0%
Jean-Pierre Rhyner0%
Hristo Ivanov0%
Yann Kitala0%
Moha Moukhliss0%
Bright Osuoha Godwin0%
Jójó0%
Antonio Gomis0%
Rodrigo Ramos0%
Ítalo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksandar Busnić57%
Thio43%
Moha Moukhliss43%
Jean-Pierre Rhyner40%
Antonio Gomis38%
Heinz Mörschel29%
Bright Osuoha Godwin25%
Ítalo25%
Matías Lacava20%
Rodrigo Ramos20%
Yassin Fortune17%
Angel Bastunov14%
Leverton Pierre0%
Damien Loppy0%
Andrea Hristov0%
Miguel Tavares0%
Luís Rocha0%
Hristo Ivanov0%
Yann Kitala0%
Jójó0%
Jose Sampaio0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matías Lacava40%
Moha Moukhliss29%
Jójó20%
Rodrigo Ramos20%
Yassin Fortune17%
Heinz Mörschel14%
Angel Bastunov0%
Leverton Pierre0%
Damien Loppy0%
Andrea Hristov0%
Miguel Tavares0%
Luís Rocha0%
Aleksandar Busnić0%
Jean-Pierre Rhyner0%
Hristo Ivanov0%
Thio0%
Yann Kitala0%
Bright Osuoha Godwin0%
Antonio Gomis0%
Ítalo0%
Jose Sampaio0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Heinz Mörschel71%
Luís Rocha20%
Thio14%
Angel Bastunov0%
Leverton Pierre0%
Damien Loppy0%
Andrea Hristov0%
Miguel Tavares0%
Aleksandar Busnić0%
Yassin Fortune0%
Jean-Pierre Rhyner0%
Hristo Ivanov0%
Matías Lacava0%
Yann Kitala0%
Moha Moukhliss0%
Bright Osuoha Godwin0%
Jójó0%
Antonio Gomis0%
Rodrigo Ramos0%
Ítalo0%
Jose Sampaio0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (26)
€31m
FPB (28)
€29m
TOR (32)
€19m
SCB (23)
€17m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
VIZ (29)
€12m
UDL (25)
€10m
CHA (22)
€9m
FAR (24)
€8m
POR (20)
€6m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
F1 (20)
€5m
LL (19)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
PF (13)
€2m
OLI (7)
€1m
Feirense's squad is €7m less valuable than Vizela's (€4m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FPB (10)
€13m
BB (9)
€9m
AV (11)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
MAR (10)
€7m
VIZ (13)
€5m
SCB (9)
€5m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (10)
€3m
CHA (5)
€3m
POR (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
F1 (4)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
LL (6)
€1m
PF (3)
€1m
OLI (1)
€0m
Feirense's attack is €4m less valuable than Vizela's (€1m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (7)
€10m
FPB (6)
€7m
SCB (5)
€5m
MAR (6)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
CHA (5)
€2m
TOR (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
UDL (7)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
F1 (6)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
LL (2)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
PEN (2)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
Feirense's midfield is €1m less valuable than Vizela's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (10)
€13m
TOR (15)
€10m
FPB (12)
€9m
SCB (9)
€7m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (11)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
F1 (10)
€2m
OLI (5)
€1m
PF (8)
€1m
Feirense's defence is €2m less valuable than Vizela's (€3m vs €4m).
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →
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Maritimo
Academico Viseu
Torreense
FC Porto B
União de Leiria
Leixoes
Chaves
Benfica B
Felgueiras 1932
Farense
Lusitânia Lourosa
Sporting CP B
Penafiel
Portimonense
Pacos Ferreira
Oliveirense
CF Os Belenenses