Felgueiras 1932 are set to defend their home turf against Chaves with a tight, low-scoring outlook. The model projects a 34 % chance of a home win, 32 % for a draw and 34 % for an away win, making a home victory the favourite result. The expected total of 2.2 goals translates to an average of just over two goals, with the single most likely scoreline being 1-1 at 14.7 %. Felgueiras have been modest at home, scoring 0.77 and conceding 0.92 against similar opposition, while Chaves, on the road, have managed 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. The model’s selections include a 99.8 % chance of Under 7.5, 99.2 % for Under 6.5, 98.5 % for Away under 2.5 HT goals, 97.9 % for Home under 2.5 HT goals, 97.5 % for Away under 2.5 2H goals, 97.4 % for Under 5.5 with a 2 % edge, 97.3 % for Home under 3.5 goals with a 3 % edge, and 97.3 % for Away under 3.5 goals. Both sides have recently drawn, with Felgueiras 1932 ending 1-1 against AVS and Chaves 2-2 against the same opponent.
Results analysis
Felgueiras 1932 extended their unbeaten run in the last five matches with a 2-1 victory over Chaves, confirming the model’s prediction that the home side would win. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was assigned a 36% probability, and the outcome matched the forecast. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.8%, Under 6.5 at 99.2%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.8%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.7%, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.5%, Under 5.5 at 97.4%, and Home under 3.5 goals at 97.1%. Each pick was settled as a hit, underscoring the model’s strong performance.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Felgueiras 1932 win✓ Hit
35.6%
Avg Implied 40.5% · @ 2.26
Edge
-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.36
Superbet
2.32
Betano
2.32
Pinnacle
2.32
1xBet
2.30
Draw✗ Miss
31.6%
Avg Implied 29.6% · @ 3.10
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.25
Pinnacle
3.21
10Bet
3.15
Superbet
3.15
Betano
3.15
Chaves win✗ Miss
32.8%
Avg Implied 29.9% · @ 3.07
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.26
1xBet
3.16
Dafabet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.14
Bet365
3.10
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Felgueiras 1932
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.03
0.71
1.00
1.12
1.06
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.40
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.67
vs Similar (25)
0.92
0.96
0.67
1.00
1.15
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Chaves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chaves
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.40
1.13
1.27
1.20
1.53
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
0.75
0.67
0.33
0.60
1.00
vs Similar (21)
1.38
1.52
1.27
1.27
1.50
1.80
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
4.00
1.00
4.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Felgueiras 1932) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.6%
@ 1.36-1.7%
Under 1.5
33.4%
@ 2.92+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.40
Betano
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
Superbet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Under
Unibet
3.10
Betfair
3.10
Pinnacle
3.05
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
38.5%
@ 2.14-5.0%
Under 2.5
61.5%
@ 1.65+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.30
Pinnacle
2.22
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.18
Marathonbet
2.16
Under
Unibet
1.71
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
1xBet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.66
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.6%
@ 3.89-5.2%
Under 3.5
81.4%
@ 1.22+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
4.33
Betfair
4.10
BetVictor
4.10
Pinnacle
4.06
Bet365
4.00
Under
Unibet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.4%
@ 1.84-3.6%
No
53.6%
@ 1.85+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
888Sport
1.95
Superbet
1.87
William Hil
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
No
Unibet
1.95
Betfair
1.91
1xBet
1.86
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%@ 5.58+6.8%
0-0
12.1%@ 7.78+6.5%
1-0
11.0%@ 6.41+4.1%
0-1
10.4%@ 7.80+4.7%
2-1 ✓
7.6%@ 8.63+2.6%
1-2
7.3%@ 10.34+3.0%
2-0
7.0%@ 9.84+2.6%
0-2
6.4%@ 14.27+3.3%
Felgueiras 1932 goals ↓
Chaves goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
10%
6.4%
2.3%
0.6%
1
11%
15%
7.3%
2.6%
0.7%
2
7.0%
7.6%
4.1%
1.5%
0.4%
3
2.7%
2.9%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.8%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Felgueiras 1932 goals (down), columns = Chaves goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Torreense
1.74
AVS
1.50
Vizela
1.50
FC Porto B
1.50
Leixoes
1.47
União de Leiria
1.47
Tondela
1.36
Feirense
1.35
Chaves
1.32
Benfica B
1.29
Felgueiras 1932
1.29
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.26
Sporting CP B
1.24
Farense
1.22
Penafiel
1.21
Portimonense
1.18
Academica
0.98
Amarante
0.82
Felgueiras 1932 is 0.03 points worse than Chaves in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.32).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
União de Leiria
1.53
Leixoes
1.35
Torreense
1.35
AVS
1.30
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.29
Benfica B
1.26
Chaves
1.24
Sporting CP B
1.21
FC Porto B
1.21
Tondela
1.17
Vizela
1.15
Portimonense
1.15
Penafiel
1.09
Feirense
1.09
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Farense
0.89
Academica
0.85
Amarante
0.71
Felgueiras 1932 is 0.24 goals worse than Chaves in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Torreense
0.97
Sporting CP B
1.00
Farense
1.03
AVS
1.05
Felgueiras 1932
1.12
Penafiel
1.15
Tondela
1.16
Vizela
1.18
Feirense
1.18
Chaves
1.18
FC Porto B
1.24
Benfica B
1.29
União de Leiria
1.35
Portimonense
1.44
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.53
Academica
1.61
Leixoes
1.62
Amarante
1.92
Felgueiras 1932 is 0.06 goals better than Chaves in terms of goals conceded per game (1.12 vs 1.18).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Chaves
55%
Sporting CP B
54%
Benfica B
54%
Vizela
54%
Felgueiras 1932
54%
União de Leiria
51%
Leixoes
50%
Farense
49%
Penafiel
49%
Portimonense
48%
Lusitânia Lourosa
48%
FC Porto B
47%
Torreense
46%
Feirense
42%
Felgueiras 1932 is 1.5 percentage points worse than Chaves in terms of average possession (54% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Felgueiras 1932
For 6.2 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 3.0 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 17.0 · Total 29.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chaves
For 4.3 · Against 3.1 · Total 7.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 14.4 · Total 27.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Felgueiras 1932
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
12.2
8.8
5.2
5.3
5.0
23.5
20.0
25.9
vs Stronger (8)
11.7
13.0
9.0
5.4
6.8
4.0
33.7
28.0
45.0
vs Similar (42)
9.6
11.7
8.7
5.1
5.1
5.2
21.3
16.8
23.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
54%
100%
25%
70%
78%
63%
71%
57%
80%
% under line
46%
0%
75%
30%
22%
37%
29%
43%
20%
This opponent (Chaves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chaves
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
10.3
6.9
4.7
4.5
5.0
20.9
19.7
22.6
vs Stronger (13)
7.8
8.8
6.0
4.0
3.9
4.2
18.7
18.8
18.3
vs Similar (36)
9.4
11.6
7.2
5.1
4.9
5.2
22.4
20.4
24.7
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
2.0
2.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
67%
14%
60%
62%
58%
59%
46%
78%
% under line
56%
33%
86%
40%
38%
42%
41%
54%
22%
This opponent (Felgueiras 1932) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Penafiel
11.5
Portimonense
11.1
Torreense
11.0
Farense
10.8
Lusitânia Lourosa
10.4
FC Porto B
10.3
Felgueiras 1932
10.1
Vizela
9.9
União de Leiria
9.8
Benfica B
9.6
Tondela
9.6
AVS
9.5
Leixoes
9.0
Feirense
9.0
Chaves
8.8
Sporting CP B
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Benfica B
6.7
Feirense
6.6
Vizela
6.3
Leixoes
6.1
FC Porto B
6.0
Lusitânia Lourosa
5.9
Chaves
5.9
Sporting CP B
5.9
Felgueiras 1932
5.8
União de Leiria
5.6
Farense
5.6
Portimonense
5.4
Penafiel
5.3
Torreense
5.2
Tondela
5.2
AVS
5.1
Academica
4.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Farense
31.3
Lusitânia Lourosa
30.1
Leixoes
26.4
Tondela
25.7
AVS
25.7
Sporting CP B
25.0
União de Leiria
24.1
Felgueiras 1932
23.5
FC Porto B
21.9
Portimonense
21.8
Penafiel
21.8
Benfica B
21.2
Torreense
21.1
Chaves
20.9
Vizela
20.8
Feirense
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.98
Pinnacle
1.95
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.92
Under
Superbet
1.83
Bet365
1.82
Betano
1.82
Pinnacle
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Felgueiras 1932 or Draw✓ Hit
67.2%
Avg Implied 69.9% · @ 1.33
Edge
-2.8%
36%
32%
33%
covers Felgueiras 1932 + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.38
10Bet
1.35
William Hil
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Felgueiras 1932 or Chaves✓ Hit
68.4%
Avg Implied 70.5% · @ 1.32
Edge
-2.1%
36%
32%
33%
covers Felgueiras 1932 + Chaves
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.36
888Sport
1.36
Betano
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Draw or Chaves✗ Miss
64.4%
Avg Implied 59.6% · @ 1.56
Edge
+4.8%
36%
32%
33%
covers Draw + Chaves
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.60
1xBet
1.57
888Sport
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Felgueiras 1932 over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.1%
@ 1.29-4.1%
Under
31.9%
@ 3.33+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Pinnacle
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Under
Pinnacle
3.51
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.34
Marathonbet
3.34
Felgueiras 1932 over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
31.6%
@ 2.41-7.0%
Under
68.4%
@ 1.51+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.51
888Sport
2.50
Betfair
2.50
BetVictor
2.45
Marathonbet
2.42
Under
1xBet
1.54
10Bet
1.53
Unibet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Felgueiras 1932 over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.8%
@ 5.55-5.9%
Under
89.2%
@ 1.12+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
6.00
Marathonbet
5.70
1xBet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Under
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
Felgueiras 1932 over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 14.60-3.6%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.02+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
17.00
888Sport
17.00
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
888Sport
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Chaves over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
66.3%
@ 1.41+0.7%
Under
33.7%
@ 2.69-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.44
888Sport
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
1xBet
1.42
Under
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.77
BetVictor
2.75
10Bet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.68
Chaves over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
29.6%
@ 3.01-1.2%
Under
70.4%
@ 1.34+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.18
Marathonbet
3.10
Betano
3.00
Under
Unibet
1.38
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.35
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Chaves over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.7%
@ 8.07-1.9%
Under
90.3%
@ 1.05+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
9.50
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
8.40
1xBet
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Chaves over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 18.25-2.8%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
23.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Felgueiras 1932, so a minus line means Felgueiras 1932 give that many goals of a start and Chaves receive them. At -1, Felgueiras 1932 must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Felgueiras 1932 win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Chaves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chaves
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.53
0.47
0.40
0.73
0.67
vs Stronger (8)
0.12
0.38
0.00
0.33
0.20
0.40
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.52
0.64
0.27
1.00
0.80
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Felgueiras 1932) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.2%
@ 1.44+2.9%
Under 0.5
32.8%
@ 2.59-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.48
BetVictor
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
1xBet
1.46
Under
Betfair
2.75
William Hil
2.70
Unibet
2.65
10Bet
2.65
Pinnacle
2.63
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
28.3%
@ 3.10-1.7%
Under 1.5
71.7%
@ 1.33+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.31
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.25
Marathonbet
3.16
1xBet
3.16
Under
10Bet
1.36
William Hil
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.0%
@ 8.36-1.1%
Under 2.5
90.0%
@ 1.05+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
William Hil
9.00
Marathonbet
8.50
1xBet
8.50
BetVictor
8.50
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
William Hil
1.06
Superbet
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Felgueiras 1932 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
43.2%
@ 2.08-1.6%
Under
56.8%
@ 1.69+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.14
Marathonbet
2.10
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.00
Under
10Bet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.70
Superbet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Felgueiras 1932 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.4%
@ 6.79-3.3%
Under
89.6%
@ 1.08+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.40
Superbet
6.50
Betano
6.30
10Bet
6.25
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Felgueiras 1932 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 19.17-2.8%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.01+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Chaves over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
37.8%
@ 2.40-0.9%
Under
62.2%
@ 1.52+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.54
Betano
2.45
Marathonbet
2.43
Superbet
2.37
10Bet
2.30
Under
10Bet
1.55
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Chaves over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.4%
@ 8.50-2.5%
Under
91.6%
@ 1.05+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.90
1xBet
9.00
Superbet
8.00
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
Chaves over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 31.00-98.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
31.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Felgueiras 1932
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.57
0.43
0.57
0.69
0.56
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.80
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.67
vs Similar (25)
0.52
0.52
0.42
0.50
0.62
0.54
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Chaves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chaves
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.87
0.67
0.87
0.47
0.87
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
0.38
0.67
0.00
0.40
0.60
vs Similar (21)
0.57
1.00
0.64
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Felgueiras 1932) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.9%
@ 1.28+2.5%
Under 0.5
25.1%
@ 3.37-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Under
Bet365
3.50
Betano
3.45
10Bet
3.40
1xBet
3.36
Marathonbet
3.36
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
38.9%
@ 2.30-1.5%
Under 1.5
61.1%
@ 1.56+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.32
Superbet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
William Hil
2.30
Under
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
10Bet
1.55
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.3%
@ 5.30-3.2%
Under 2.5
85.7%
@ 1.12+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
William Hil
5.50
1xBet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.30
Superbet
5.20
Under
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Felgueiras 1932 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
50.8%
@ 1.77-1.6%
Under
49.2%
@ 1.95+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.80
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Under
Betano
1.98
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
Superbet
1.92
Felgueiras 1932 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.6%
@ 4.86-3.4%
Under
84.4%
@ 1.15+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.05
1xBet
5.05
Superbet
4.90
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.55
Under
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
Felgueiras 1932 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.6%
@ 12.75-3.8%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.02+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Chaves over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
47.2%
@ 1.98+0.5%
Under
52.8%
@ 1.73-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
1xBet
1.99
Betano
1.98
10Bet
1.95
Under
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.75
Superbet
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Chaves over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.4%
@ 6.25-1.4%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.09+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.70
Marathonbet
6.70
10Bet
6.25
Superbet
6.00
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Chaves over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 18.17-3.0%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.4%
1.01
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Betfair
1.01
1xBet
1.01
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
888Sport
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
92.4%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.07
Superbet
1.06
888Sport
1.05
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.6%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
90.3%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
888Sport
1.05
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.0%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
William Hil
1.06
Superbet
1.06
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.6%
1.08
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
89.2%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.6%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
86.5%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
Superbet
1.09
-
-
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
85.7%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
84.7%
1.15
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
-
+8.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.4%
1.15
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
81.4%
1.22
Unibet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.23
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.9%
1.28
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Under 1.5 HT goals
71.7%
1.33
10Bet
1.36
William Hil
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
70.4%
1.34
Unibet
1.38
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.35
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.35
+1.2%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Felgueiras 1932 · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mario Rivas44%
Pedro Rosas20%
Lucas Duarte11%
Gabi Pereira11%
Mateus Pasinato0%
Feliz Vaz0%
Diogo Casimiro0%
Landinho0%
Léo Teixeira0%
Filipe Cruz0%
Mathys Jean-Marie0%
Vasco Moreira0%
Eirô0%
Tiago Leite0%
João Reis Pinto0%
Felipe Scheibig0%
Berna0%
Dário0%
Tiago Parente0%
Afonso Silva0%
Beni Jetour0%
Michel Costa0%
Henrique Martins0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Filipe Cruz25%
Landinho20%
Vasco Moreira20%
Pedro Rosas20%
Léo Teixeira17%
Michel Costa17%
Henrique Martins17%
Dário14%
Lucas Duarte11%
Mateus Pasinato0%
Feliz Vaz0%
Diogo Casimiro0%
Mario Rivas0%
Mathys Jean-Marie0%
Gabi Pereira0%
Eirô0%
Tiago Leite0%
João Reis Pinto0%
Felipe Scheibig0%
Berna0%
Tiago Parente0%
Afonso Silva0%
Beni Jetour0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Feliz Vaz25%
Vasco Moreira20%
Pedro Rosas20%
Mateus Pasinato0%
Diogo Casimiro0%
Landinho0%
Léo Teixeira0%
Mario Rivas0%
Filipe Cruz0%
Lucas Duarte0%
Mathys Jean-Marie0%
Gabi Pereira0%
Eirô0%
Tiago Leite0%
João Reis Pinto0%
Felipe Scheibig0%
Berna0%
Dário0%
Tiago Parente0%
Afonso Silva0%
Beni Jetour0%
Michel Costa0%
Henrique Martins0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tiago Leite25%
Mario Rivas22%
Lucas Duarte22%
Vasco Moreira20%
Gabi Pereira11%
Mateus Pasinato0%
Feliz Vaz0%
Diogo Casimiro0%
Landinho0%
Léo Teixeira0%
Filipe Cruz0%
Mathys Jean-Marie0%
Eirô0%
João Reis Pinto0%
Felipe Scheibig0%
Berna0%
Pedro Rosas0%
Dário0%
Tiago Parente0%
Afonso Silva0%
Beni Jetour0%
Michel Costa0%
Henrique Martins0%
Chaves · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jorge Delgado20%
David Kusso20%
Reinaldo18%
Pedro Pinho18%
André Rodrigues17%
Robyn Esajas14%
Aarón Romero12%
Tiago Simões11%
Roberto9%
Vozinha0%
Carraça0%
Wellington Carvalho0%
João Teixeira0%
Ricardo Alves0%
Zach Muscat0%
Federico Bikoro0%
Henrique Pereira0%
Mamadou Tounkara0%
Bruno Rodrigues0%
Uroš Milovanović0%
Paulo Victor0%
Tiago Almeida0%
Kiko Pereira0%
Marko Gudžulić0%
Ktatau0%
Gabriel Rodrigues0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pedro Pinho36%
Ricardo Alves33%
Paulo Victor33%
Bruno Rodrigues31%
Zach Muscat29%
Robyn Esajas29%
Reinaldo27%
Wellington Carvalho22%
David Kusso20%
Marko Gudžulić17%
Kiko Pereira11%
Tiago Almeida10%
Roberto9%
Ktatau8%
Vozinha0%
Carraça0%
João Teixeira0%
Federico Bikoro0%
André Rodrigues0%
Henrique Pereira0%
Mamadou Tounkara0%
Uroš Milovanović0%
Aarón Romero0%
Tiago Simões0%
Jorge Delgado0%
Gabriel Rodrigues0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Reinaldo18%
Robyn Esajas14%
Kiko Pereira11%
Tiago Almeida10%
David Kusso10%
Roberto9%
Pedro Pinho9%
Carraça8%
Bruno Rodrigues8%
Vozinha0%
Wellington Carvalho0%
João Teixeira0%
Ricardo Alves0%
Zach Muscat0%
Federico Bikoro0%
André Rodrigues0%
Henrique Pereira0%
Mamadou Tounkara0%
Uroš Milovanović0%
Paulo Victor0%
Aarón Romero0%
Tiago Simões0%
Marko Gudžulić0%
Jorge Delgado0%
Ktatau0%
Gabriel Rodrigues0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Reinaldo27%
Roberto27%
Jorge Delgado20%
André Rodrigues17%
Aarón Romero12%
Wellington Carvalho11%
Pedro Pinho9%
Vozinha0%
Carraça0%
João Teixeira0%
Ricardo Alves0%
Zach Muscat0%
Federico Bikoro0%
Henrique Pereira0%
Mamadou Tounkara0%
Bruno Rodrigues0%
Uroš Milovanović0%
Paulo Victor0%
Tiago Almeida0%
Kiko Pereira0%
Robyn Esajas0%
Tiago Simões0%
Marko Gudžulić0%
Ktatau0%
David Kusso0%
Gabriel Rodrigues0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (26)
€31m
FPB (28)
€29m
TOR (32)
€19m
SCB (23)
€17m
VIZ (29)
€12m
TON (20)
€10m
UDL (25)
€10m
CHA (22)
€9m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
POR (20)
€6m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
F1 (20)
€5m
LL (19)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
ACA (11)
€2m
AMA (6)
€1m
Felgueiras 1932's squad is €4m less valuable than Chaves's (€5m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FPB (10)
€13m
BB (9)
€9m
TOR (12)
€7m
VIZ (13)
€5m
SCB (9)
€5m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
CHA (5)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
POR (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
F1 (4)
€1m
ACA (6)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
LL (6)
€1m
AMA (1)
€0m
Felgueiras 1932's attack is €1m less valuable than Chaves's (€1m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (7)
€10m
FPB (6)
€7m
SCB (5)
€5m
CHA (5)
€2m
TOR (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
UDL (7)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
F1 (6)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
LL (2)
€1m
AMA (3)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PEN (2)
€0m
ACA (1)
€0m
Felgueiras 1932 and Chaves have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (10)
€13m
TOR (15)
€10m
FPB (12)
€9m
SCB (9)
€7m
TON (9)
€6m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (11)
€3m
AVS (10)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
F1 (10)
€2m
ACA (4)
€1m
AMA (2)
€0m
Felgueiras 1932's defence is €2m less valuable than Chaves's (€2m vs €4m).
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lusitânia Lourosa
Academica
Sporting CP B
Penafiel
Farense
Vizela
Benfica B
Portimonense
União de Leiria
Leixoes
AVS
Amarante
Tondela
FC Porto B
Torreense
Feirense