Fenerbahçe are the clear favourites, with a 42% chance of victory versus 26% for a draw and 32% for a Beşiktaş win. The model expects an average of 3.1 goals, yet the most likely total is 2 goals at 22%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.7% probability. Fenerbahçe, playing at home against an opponent of similar strength, average 0.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Beşiktaş, on the road, averages 1.0 goal scored and 0.5 conceded against similar teams. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.5%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.1%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.3% with a 6% edge), Under 6.5 (95.9% with a 1% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.6% with a 5% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.6% with a 6% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (94.0%), and Home under 3.5 goals (90.9% with a 4% edge). The recent form shows Fenerbahçe on a three-game winning streak after a 2-0 win over Samsunspor, while Beşiktaş comes off a 6-2 victory against Çorum FK.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Fenerbahçe win
42.2%
Avg Implied 51.7% · @ 1.80
Edge
-9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.86
1xBet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
Betano
1.82
SBO
1.82
Draw
25.6%
Avg Implied 24.9% · @ 3.73
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.90
Betfair
3.90
Pinnacle
3.87
Betano
3.80
Dafabet
3.80
Beşiktaş win
32.1%
Avg Implied 23.4% · @ 3.98
Edge
+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
4.30
1xBet
4.26
Marathonbet
4.10
Pinnacle
4.03
Dafabet
4.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Fenerbahçe
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
1.13
2.21
1.36
1.75
0.94
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.00
1.50
0.67
1.33
1.33
1.67
vs Weaker (24)
2.21
1.04
2.64
1.36
1.85
0.77
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Beşiktaş) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beşiktaş
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
0.83
2.06
0.76
1.31
0.92
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.80
0.80
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (25)
1.92
0.84
2.36
0.71
1.36
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Fenerbahçe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.2%
@ 1.20+5.6%
Under 1.5
16.8%
@ 4.15-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.20
Pinnacle
4.20
10Bet
4.20
BetVictor
4.10
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60.8%
@ 1.71+5.4%
Under 2.5
39.2%
@ 2.12-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.76
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.73
Marathonbet
1.71
10Bet
1.70
Under
Betfair
2.20
1xBet
2.16
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.13
10Bet
2.10
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
38.5%
@ 2.73+4.3%
Under 3.5
61.5%
@ 1.42-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.82
Pinnacle
2.81
10Bet
2.80
BetVictor
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Under
Betfair
1.47
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.43
Unibet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Both teams to score
Yes
63.5%
@ 1.64+7.0%
No
36.5%
@ 2.14-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Unibet
1.66
10Bet
1.65
William Hil
1.65
No
Betfair
2.30
William Hil
2.15
BetVictor
2.15
1xBet
2.14
Betano
2.12
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%@ 7.00+5.3%
2-1
8.9%@ 7.70+3.1%
1-2
7.7%@ 12.13+4.0%
2-2
6.5%@ 12.50+2.9%
1-0
6.2%@ 7.89+0.5%
2-0
6.2%@ 8.88+1.1%
0-0
5.4%@ 12.32+1.7%
0-1
5.2%@ 12.45+1.6%
Fenerbahçe goals ↓
Beşiktaş goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.4%
5.2%
4.6%
2.2%
0.8%
1
6.2%
12%
7.7%
3.7%
1.4%
2
6.2%
8.9%
6.5%
3.2%
1.1%
3
3.5%
5.0%
3.7%
1.8%
0.6%
4
1.5%
2.1%
1.5%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fenerbahçe goals (down), columns = Beşiktaş goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Galatasaray
2.26
Fenerbahçe
2.18
Trabzonspor
2.03
Beşiktaş
1.76
Başakşehir
1.68
Göztepe
1.62
Samsunspor
1.50
Rizespor
1.21
Konyaspor
1.18
Gaziantep FK
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.09
Alanyaspor
1.09
Amed
1.05
Kasımpaşa
1.03
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.00
Eyüpspor
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.96
Çorum FK
0.95
Fenerbahçe is 0.41 points better than Beşiktaş in terms of average points per game (2.18 vs 1.76).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Fenerbahçe
2.26
Galatasaray
2.26
Trabzonspor
1.79
Beşiktaş
1.74
Başakşehir
1.71
Samsunspor
1.35
Rizespor
1.35
Gaziantep FK
1.26
Konyaspor
1.26
Göztepe
1.24
Alanyaspor
1.21
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.06
Amed
1.03
Eyüpspor
0.97
Kasımpaşa
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.94
Çorum FK
0.93
Kocaelispor
0.76
Fenerbahçe is 0.53 goals better than Beşiktaş in terms of goals scored per game (2.26 vs 1.74).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Galatasaray
0.88
Göztepe
0.94
Başakşehir
1.03
Fenerbahçe
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.12
Trabzonspor
1.15
Beşiktaş
1.18
Alanyaspor
1.21
Samsunspor
1.32
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.38
Eyüpspor
1.41
Kasımpaşa
1.44
Konyaspor
1.47
Rizespor
1.53
Gaziantep FK
1.71
Amed
1.71
Erzurumspor FK
1.88
Çorum FK
1.89
Fenerbahçe is 0.09 goals better than Beşiktaş in terms of goals conceded per game (1.09 vs 1.18).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Galatasaray
62%
Fenerbahçe
59%
Beşiktaş
56%
Trabzonspor
55%
Başakşehir
54%
Samsunspor
54%
Konyaspor
52%
Rizespor
50%
Gaziantep FK
50%
Kocaelispor
50%
Alanyaspor
48%
Eyüpspor
48%
Kasımpaşa
44%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
43%
Göztepe
38%
Fenerbahçe is 3.4 percentage points better than Beşiktaş in terms of average possession (59% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Fenerbahçe
For 5.8 · Against 3.4 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 12.3 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Beşiktaş
For 7.4 · Against 5.0 · Total 12.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 12.1 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Fenerbahçe
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
10.4
11.9
5.1
5.8
4.3
25.5
26.4
24.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
9.9
10.3
9.2
6.0
6.0
6.0
27.3
28.3
25.8
vs Weaker (39)
11.5
10.4
12.4
4.8
5.8
4.0
24.9
25.6
24.4
% over line
70%
64%
75%
68%
75%
62%
76%
82%
71%
% under line
30%
36%
25%
32%
25%
38%
24%
18%
29%
This opponent (Beşiktaş) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beşiktaş
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.9
10.3
4.5
5.0
4.0
25.5
27.2
23.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
10.5
9.3
11.7
5.9
5.5
6.2
24.2
25.0
23.3
vs Weaker (41)
10.6
11.1
10.1
4.2
4.9
3.5
25.7
27.5
23.8
% over line
56%
64%
48%
64%
69%
58%
77%
82%
71%
% under line
44%
36%
52%
36%
31%
42%
23%
18%
29%
This opponent (Fenerbahçe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Fenerbahçe
11.1
Beşiktaş
10.3
Başakşehir
9.7
Samsunspor
9.7
Trabzonspor
9.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
9.6
Konyaspor
9.6
Gaziantep FK
9.5
Göztepe
9.4
Çorum FK
9.4
Rizespor
9.3
Amed
9.0
Galatasaray
8.9
Kasımpaşa
8.9
Eyüpspor
8.9
Erzurumspor FK
8.5
Kocaelispor
8.3
Alanyaspor
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Gaziantep FK
5.8
Fenerbahçe
5.6
Beşiktaş
5.1
Kasımpaşa
5.0
Konyaspor
5.0
Başakşehir
5.0
Göztepe
5.0
Çorum FK
5.0
Eyüpspor
4.9
Amed
4.9
Alanyaspor
4.9
Kocaelispor
4.8
Trabzonspor
4.7
Erzurumspor FK
4.7
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.5
Galatasaray
4.5
Samsunspor
4.4
Rizespor
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Gaziantep FK
28.9
Kasımpaşa
27.7
Kocaelispor
27.4
Alanyaspor
27.1
Başakşehir
26.9
Göztepe
26.6
Eyüpspor
26.6
Trabzonspor
26.5
Samsunspor
26.2
Rizespor
26.1
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
25.5
Fenerbahçe
25.3
Beşiktaş
25.2
Konyaspor
24.8
Galatasaray
23.5
Erzurumspor FK
23.5
Çorum FK
22.9
Amed
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.7%
@ 1.62-5.0%
Under 9.5
48.3%
@ 2.12+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.75
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Under
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.16
Unibet
1.92
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
76.5%
Under 3.5
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
80.3%
Under 21.5
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Fenerbahçe or Draw
67.9%
Avg Implied 76.9% · @ 1.22
Edge
-9.1%
42%
26%
32%
covers Fenerbahçe + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Fenerbahçe or Beşiktaş
74.4%
Avg Implied 75.5% · @ 1.25
Edge
-1.1%
42%
26%
32%
covers Fenerbahçe + Beşiktaş
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Draw or Beşiktaş
57.8%
Avg Implied 47.6% · @ 1.98
Edge
+10.2%
42%
26%
32%
covers Draw + Beşiktaş
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.07
1xBet
2.02
Betano
2.00
Betfair
2.00
SBO
1.98
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Fenerbahçe over/under 0.5
Over
81.5%
@ 1.14-0.4%
Under
18.5%
@ 5.16+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.30
Unibet
5.10
BetVictor
5.00
Fenerbahçe over/under 1.5
Over
50.3%
@ 1.74-3.3%
Under
49.7%
@ 2.01+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.79
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
10Bet
1.75
BetVictor
1.75
Under
Betfair
2.10
Unibet
2.07
Pinnacle
2.03
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
2.01
Fenerbahçe over/under 2.5
Over
24.0%
@ 3.32-4.0%
Under
76.0%
@ 1.29+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.49
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
Marathonbet
3.35
1xBet
3.35
Under
Unibet
1.32
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Fenerbahçe over/under 3.5
Over
9.1%
@ 7.06-4.0%
Under
90.9%
@ 1.07+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.60
1xBet
7.60
Betfair
6.50
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Unibet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.04
Beşiktaş over/under 0.5
Over
76.6%
@ 1.40+10.2%
Under
23.4%
@ 2.76-10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.44
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.92
Betfair
2.88
BetVictor
2.80
Marathonbet
2.76
10Bet
2.75
Beşiktaş over/under 1.5
Over
42.7%
@ 2.96+11.2%
Under
57.3%
@ 1.36-11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.10
Pinnacle
3.02
1xBet
3.00
Marathonbet
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Under
Betano
1.39
BetVictor
1.36
10Bet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Beşiktaş over/under 2.5
Over
18.0%
@ 7.39+5.4%
Under
82.0%
@ 1.06-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.10
1xBet
8.10
Bet365
8.00
Unibet
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
Beşiktaş over/under 3.5
Over
6.0%
@ 17.12+0.4%
Under
94.0%
@ 1.01-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
23.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Fenerbahçe, so a minus line means Fenerbahçe give that many goals of a start and Beşiktaş receive them. At -1, Fenerbahçe must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Fenerbahçe win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Fenerbahçe)
Fenerbahçe -2
9.5%
@ 5.97-5.5%
Draw -2
13.0%
@ 5.19-4.3%
Beşiktaş +2
77.5%
@ 1.33+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.15
10Bet
6.00
Unibet
5.25
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.45
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
4.80
Away
Unibet
1.37
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
Handicap -1 (Fenerbahçe)
Fenerbahçe -1
22.5%
@ 3.01-7.3%
Draw -1
19.7%
@ 3.67-4.7%
Beşiktaş +1
57.8%
@ 1.96+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.04
10Bet
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Unibet
2.75
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.72
10Bet
3.60
Unibet
3.55
Away
Unibet
2.05
Marathonbet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Betfair
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Handicap +1 (Fenerbahçe)
Fenerbahçe +1
67.9%
@ 1.22-6.7%
Draw +1
16.8%
@ 5.86+1.3%
Beşiktaş -1
15.3%
@ 9.15+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Unibet
1.19
Draw
Unibet
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
10Bet
5.50
Away
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
9.10
Unibet
9.00
10Bet
8.50
Handicap +2 (Fenerbahçe)
Fenerbahçe +2
84.7%
@ 1.05-2.4%
Draw +2
9.7%
@ 11.00+1.3%
Beşiktaş -2
5.7%
@ 20.00+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Draw
Bet365
13.00
10Bet
9.00
Away
Bet365
23.00
10Bet
17.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Fenerbahçe
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.63
0.86
0.79
0.81
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.50
0.67
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (24)
0.92
0.62
1.09
0.73
0.77
0.54
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Beşiktaş) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beşiktaş
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.33
1.24
0.35
0.31
0.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.40
0.67
0.67
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (25)
0.92
0.32
1.36
0.29
0.36
0.36
Clean sheet %
73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Fenerbahçe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
73.8%
@ 1.30+2.4%
Under 0.5
26.2%
@ 3.27-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Pinnacle
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Unibet
1.30
Under
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.30
Pinnacle
3.26
BetVictor
3.25
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
40.0%
@ 2.46+2.3%
Under 1.5
60.0%
@ 1.50-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.60
Pinnacle
2.57
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Under
William Hil
1.53
Unibet
1.50
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.0%
@ 5.89-1.7%
Under 2.5
86.0%
@ 1.10+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
6.50
1xBet
6.05
Marathonbet
6.05
Bet365
6.00
William Hil
6.00
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Unibet
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fenerbahçe over/under 0.5 HT
Over
57.5%
@ 1.69+2.4%
Under
42.5%
@ 2.08-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.69
10Bet
1.67
Under
10Bet
2.15
Unibet
2.12
Pinnacle
2.11
1xBet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.02
Fenerbahçe over/under 1.5 HT
Over
20.4%
@ 4.39-0.6%
Under
79.6%
@ 1.17+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.75
Betano
4.45
10Bet
4.33
1xBet
4.30
Unibet
4.10
Under
Unibet
1.19
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
Fenerbahçe over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.1%
@ 10.00-5.2%
Under
95.9%
@ 1.03+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Beşiktaş over/under 0.5 HT
Over
41.1%
@ 2.37+1.8%
Under
58.9%
@ 1.53-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.46
Unibet
2.43
Betano
2.37
Marathonbet
2.35
10Bet
2.35
Under
1xBet
1.56
10Bet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
Beşiktaş over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.8%
@ 8.10-0.6%
Under
89.2%
@ 1.04+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.30
Unibet
8.00
1xBet
7.90
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.07
Unibet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
Beşiktaş over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Fenerbahçe
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.50
1.36
0.57
0.94
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.50
0.83
0.67
0.33
0.33
1.33
vs Weaker (24)
1.29
0.42
1.55
0.64
1.08
0.23
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Beşiktaş) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beşiktaş
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.50
0.82
0.41
1.00
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.40
0.00
0.33
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (25)
1.00
0.52
1.00
0.43
1.00
0.64
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Fenerbahçe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.8%
@ 1.18+1.3%
Under 0.5
20.2%
@ 4.32-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Unibet
1.18
Under
Marathonbet
4.45
1xBet
4.45
Betano
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
50.0%
@ 1.91+1.2%
Under 1.5
50.0%
@ 1.82-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
William Hil
1.91
10Bet
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Under
Betano
1.88
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Unibet
1.81
10Bet
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.1%
@ 3.85-4.0%
Under 2.5
79.9%
@ 1.22+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
3.90
1xBet
3.88
Marathonbet
3.88
Unibet
3.80
Under
Betano
1.27
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Unibet
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fenerbahçe over/under 0.5 2H
Over
62.2%
@ 1.48-0.7%
Under
37.8%
@ 2.50+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.55
1xBet
2.46
Fenerbahçe over/under 1.5 2H
Over
23.0%
@ 3.27-5.2%
Under
77.0%
@ 1.29+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.40
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.20
Betano
3.15
Under
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Fenerbahçe over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.8%
@ 8.10-5.7%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.04+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.90
Betano
7.30
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.02
Beşiktaş over/under 0.5 2H
Over
48.0%
@ 1.95+0.6%
Under
52.0%
@ 1.76-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.97
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Under
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.73
Beşiktaş over/under 1.5 2H
Over
14.4%
@ 5.85-1.4%
Under
85.6%
@ 1.10+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.45
1xBet
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
Beşiktaş over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.1%
@ 11.25-5.3%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.02+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.9%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.3%
Under 6.5
95.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+1.0%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.9%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+5.2%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.2%
1.04
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.7%
Away under 3.5 goals
94.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-0.4%
Home under 3.5 goals
90.9%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Unibet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.04
+4.0%
Under 5.5
90.1%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.05
BetVictor
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-0.1%
Over 19.5 fouls
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.2%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Unibet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
-
+0.6%
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.0%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Unibet
1.11
+1.7%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.6%
1.10
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
-
+1.4%
Home +2 handicap
84.7%
1.05
Bet365
1.06
10Bet
1.05
-
-
-
-2.4%
Over 1.5
83.2%
1.20
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
+5.6%
Away under 2.5 goals
82.0%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
-5.4%
Home over 0.5 goals
81.5%
1.14
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
-0.4%
Over 21.5 fouls
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.9%
1.22
Betano
1.27
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Unibet
1.22
+4.0%
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.8%
1.18
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Unibet
1.18
+1.3%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
79.6%
1.17
Unibet
1.19
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
+0.6%
Under 4.5
79.1%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
10Bet
1.15
-2.5%
Away +2 handicap
77.5%
1.33
Unibet
1.37
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
-
+9.9%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
77.0%
1.29
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
-
+5.2%
Away over 0.5 goals
76.6%
1.40
Unibet
1.44
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
+10.2%
Over 3.5 cards
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
76.0%
1.29
Unibet
1.32
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
+4.0%
Home or Away
74.4%
1.25
1xBet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
-1.1%
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.8%
1.30
Betano
1.37
Pinnacle
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Unibet
1.30
+2.4%
Under 11.5 corners
71.9%
1.42
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Unibet
1.38
-
+7.1%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Fenerbahçe
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Talisca67%
Vedat Muriqi50%
Mason Greenwood38%
Marco Asensio17%
Archie Brown17%
Oğuz Aydın14%
Nélson Semedo0%
Milan Škriniar0%
Ederson0%
Fred0%
Romelu Lukaku0%
Mattéo Guendouzi0%
Mert Müldür0%
N'Golo Kanté0%
Nathan Aké0%
Mert Günok0%
İrfan Can Kahveci0%
Levent Mercan0%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu0%
İsmail Yüksek0%
Dorgeles Nene0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fred33%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu33%
Nélson Semedo25%
Milan Škriniar25%
Romelu Lukaku25%
Mattéo Guendouzi25%
Dorgeles Nene25%
Archie Brown17%
N'Golo Kanté14%
Mason Greenwood12%
Ederson0%
Marco Asensio0%
Mert Müldür0%
Talisca0%
Nathan Aké0%
Mert Günok0%
İrfan Can Kahveci0%
Vedat Muriqi0%
Levent Mercan0%
Oğuz Aydın0%
İsmail Yüksek0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Levent Mercan33%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu33%
Mason Greenwood25%
İrfan Can Kahveci20%
Marco Asensio17%
Vedat Muriqi17%
Oğuz Aydın14%
Nélson Semedo0%
Milan Škriniar0%
Ederson0%
Fred0%
Romelu Lukaku0%
Mattéo Guendouzi0%
Mert Müldür0%
N'Golo Kanté0%
Talisca0%
Nathan Aké0%
Mert Günok0%
Archie Brown0%
İsmail Yüksek0%
Dorgeles Nene0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Talisca67%
Vedat Muriqi33%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu33%
Mason Greenwood25%
İsmail Yüksek17%
Oğuz Aydın14%
Nélson Semedo0%
Milan Škriniar0%
Ederson0%
Marco Asensio0%
Fred0%
Romelu Lukaku0%
Mattéo Guendouzi0%
Mert Müldür0%
N'Golo Kanté0%
Nathan Aké0%
Mert Günok0%
İrfan Can Kahveci0%
Levent Mercan0%
Archie Brown0%
Dorgeles Nene0%
Beşiktaş
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Václav Černý67%
İlhan Fakılı33%
Alexander Nübel0%
Leandro Trossard0%
Rıdvan Yılmaz0%
Wilfred Ndidi0%
Salih Özcan0%
Hyeon-gyu Oh0%
Orkun Kökçü0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Junior Olaitan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Leandro Trossard33%
Orkun Kökçü33%
Alexander Nübel0%
Václav Černý0%
Rıdvan Yılmaz0%
Wilfred Ndidi0%
Salih Özcan0%
Hyeon-gyu Oh0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Junior Olaitan0%
İlhan Fakılı0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Junior Olaitan67%
Emmanuel Agbadou33%
İlhan Fakılı33%
Alexander Nübel0%
Václav Černý0%
Leandro Trossard0%
Rıdvan Yılmaz0%
Wilfred Ndidi0%
Salih Özcan0%
Hyeon-gyu Oh0%
Orkun Kökçü0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Václav Černý33%
Leandro Trossard33%
Orkun Kökçü33%
Alexander Nübel0%
Rıdvan Yılmaz0%
Wilfred Ndidi0%
Salih Özcan0%
Hyeon-gyu Oh0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Junior Olaitan0%
İlhan Fakılı0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
SAM (30)
€50m
ÇF (28)
€47m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
GF (28)
€28m
AME (22)
€27m
EF (26)
€26m
KOC (26)
€24m
GS (19)
€15m
EYÜ (24)
€14m
Fenerbahçe's squad is €130m more valuable than Beşiktaş's (€332m vs €202m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
SAM (12)
€20m
AME (7)
€15m
KAS (13)
€14m
GF (14)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
ÇF (9)
€12m
EF (9)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
KOC (8)
€9m
EYÜ (10)
€5m
GS (4)
€4m
Fenerbahçe's attack is €92m more valuable than Beşiktaş's (€162m vs €70m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
ÇF (7)
€14m
SAM (6)
€12m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
KOC (8)
€9m
GF (5)
€8m
EF (4)
€7m
RIZ (4)
€7m
GS (6)
€5m
KAS (7)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
AME (4)
€3m
EYÜ (4)
€2m
Fenerbahçe's midfield is €12m more valuable than Beşiktaş's (€62m vs €50m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
ÇF (12)
€21m
SAM (12)
€18m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
AME (11)
€9m
EF (13)
€8m
KOC (10)
€7m
EYÜ (10)
€7m
GF (9)
€6m
GS (9)
€5m
Fenerbahçe's defence is €26m more valuable than Beşiktaş's (€108m vs €82m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Galatasaray
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Amed
Kocaelispor
Rizespor
Kasımpaşa
Başakşehir
Samsunspor
Trabzonspor
Alanyaspor
Gaziantep FK
Eyüpspor
Göztepe
Çorum FK
Erzurumspor FK
Konyaspor