This opponent (Cremonese) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cremonese
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.27
1.06
1.12
1.57
1.43
vs Stronger (6)
1.17
2.00
0.50
2.50
1.50
1.75
vs Similar (16)
1.06
1.25
1.00
1.00
1.20
1.80
vs Weaker (8)
1.88
0.75
1.67
0.67
2.00
0.80
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (FeralpiSalo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.5%
Under 1.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.6%
@ 1.93+3.8%
Under 2.5
47.4%
@ 1.84-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.4%
Under 3.5
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.5%
No
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
12.5%
0-1
11.5%
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
8.4%
0-0
7.2%
1-3
6.5%
0-4
4.2%
FeralpiSalo goals ↓
Cremonese goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
11%
13%
8.4%
4.2%
1
3.8%
11%
9.7%
6.5%
3.2%
2
1.8%
3.7%
3.7%
2.5%
1.3%
3
0.5%
1.0%
1.0%
0.6%
0.3%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FeralpiSalo goals (down), columns = Cremonese goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Parma
2.00
Como
1.92
Venezia
1.90
Cremonese
1.71
Catanzaro
1.51
Sampdoria
1.46
Palermo
1.44
Brescia
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.24
Modena
1.24
Reggiana
1.24
Cittadella
1.21
Pisa
1.21
Spezia
1.16
Bari
1.12
Ternana
1.10
Ascoli
1.08
FeralpiSalo
0.87
Lecco
0.68
FeralpiSalo is 0.85 points worse than Cremonese in terms of average points per game (0.87 vs 1.71).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Venezia
1.74
Parma
1.74
Palermo
1.59
Catanzaro
1.56
Como
1.53
Sampdoria
1.36
Pisa
1.34
Cremonese
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.21
Brescia
1.18
FeralpiSalo
1.16
Ternana
1.10
Modena
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Bari
1.05
Ascoli
1.00
Reggiana
1.00
Spezia
0.95
Lecco
0.92
FeralpiSalo is 0.18 goals worse than Cremonese in terms of goals scored per game (1.16 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cremonese
0.86
Parma
0.92
Como
1.05
Brescia
1.08
Cosenza
1.11
Ascoli
1.11
Venezia
1.12
Reggiana
1.18
Cittadella
1.24
Modena
1.24
Bari
1.25
Sudtirol
1.26
Spezia
1.29
Sampdoria
1.33
Ternana
1.35
Palermo
1.37
Catanzaro
1.41
Pisa
1.42
FeralpiSalo
1.71
Lecco
1.95
FeralpiSalo is 0.85 goals worse than Cremonese in terms of goals conceded per game (1.71 vs 0.86).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Catanzaro
58%
Pisa
56%
Cremonese
56%
Venezia
52%
Reggiana
52%
Como
51%
Spezia
51%
Sampdoria
51%
Parma
50%
Bari
50%
Palermo
50%
Modena
50%
Cosenza
49%
Brescia
48%
Sudtirol
48%
Cittadella
47%
Lecco
47%
FeralpiSalo
45%
Ascoli
45%
Ternana
44%
FeralpiSalo is 10.6 percentage points worse than Cremonese in terms of average possession (45% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FeralpiSalo
For 4.1 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 14.9 · Total 27.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cremonese
For 6.0 · Against 5.9 · Total 11.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 12.5 · Total 25.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FeralpiSalo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (16)
8.9
7.7
9.8
5.4
6.3
4.7
27.2
30.7
24.4
vs Stronger (10)
8.8
7.7
10.5
5.8
6.7
4.5
27.7
30.8
23.0
vs Similar (6)
9.0
8.0
9.2
4.7
4.0
4.8
26.3
30.0
25.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
14%
56%
81%
86%
78%
94%
100%
89%
% under line
62%
86%
44%
19%
14%
22%
6%
0%
11%
This opponent (Cremonese) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cremonese
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
10.0
12.6
1.6
1.8
1.4
24.6
25.3
23.6
vs Stronger (14)
16.0
-
16.0
0.3
0.0
0.7
20.0
-
20.0
vs Similar (27)
9.4
9.4
9.0
1.5
2.1
0.6
24.2
24.1
25.0
vs Weaker (9)
12.4
12.0
12.6
4.1
5.0
3.7
25.6
29.5
24.0
% over line
62%
44%
86%
28%
30%
26%
69%
78%
57%
% under line
38%
56%
14%
72%
70%
74%
31%
22%
43%
This opponent (FeralpiSalo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brescia
11.0
Parma
11.0
Pisa
10.7
Ascoli
10.4
Modena
10.3
Venezia
10.3
Bari
10.2
Cremonese
9.9
Como
9.9
Ternana
9.9
Palermo
9.7
Lecco
9.5
Reggiana
9.4
Spezia
9.4
Sudtirol
9.2
Sampdoria
9.1
Catanzaro
8.9
Cittadella
8.9
FeralpiSalo
8.9
Cosenza
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cittadella
6.0
Pisa
6.0
Lecco
6.0
Cosenza
5.8
Modena
5.8
Sudtirol
5.7
Parma
5.7
Ascoli
5.6
Spezia
5.5
Cremonese
5.4
Reggiana
5.4
FeralpiSalo
5.4
Palermo
5.4
Como
5.3
Sampdoria
5.3
Brescia
5.1
Bari
5.1
Ternana
5.0
Venezia
4.9
Catanzaro
4.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cittadella
32.6
Ascoli
31.0
Reggiana
30.9
Palermo
30.8
Pisa
30.6
Como
29.8
Bari
29.5
Sudtirol
28.9
Parma
28.7
Sampdoria
28.7
Cremonese
28.4
Catanzaro
28.0
Ternana
27.9
Modena
27.9
Cosenza
27.8
Spezia
27.7
Brescia
27.7
Lecco
27.6
FeralpiSalo
27.2
Venezia
25.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
50.0%
Under 9.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
83.4%
Under 3.5
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
89.0%
Under 21.5
11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FeralpiSalo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.12
0.94
0.14
1.14
0.11
0.78
vs Stronger (10)
0.10
1.00
0.17
1.17
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (6)
0.17
0.83
0.00
1.00
0.20
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
25% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Cremonese) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cremonese
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.57
0.56
0.44
0.36
0.71
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (16)
0.44
0.62
0.55
0.36
0.20
1.20
vs Weaker (8)
0.62
0.38
1.00
0.33
0.40
0.40
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (FeralpiSalo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FeralpiSalo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FeralpiSalo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FeralpiSalo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FeralpiSalo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.56
1.00
0.57
0.71
0.56
1.22
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
1.20
0.67
0.83
0.25
1.75
vs Similar (6)
0.67
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.80
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
25% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Cremonese) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cremonese
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.70
0.50
0.69
1.21
0.71
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.33
0.50
1.50
1.00
1.25
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.62
0.45
0.64
1.00
0.60
vs Weaker (8)
1.25
0.38
0.67
0.33
1.60
0.40
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (FeralpiSalo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FeralpiSalo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FeralpiSalo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FeralpiSalo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FeralpiSalo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Edgaras Dubickas29%
Andrea La Mantia19%
Mattia Compagnon14%
Karlo Butić12%
Mattia Felici11%
Davide Balestrero10%
Christos Kourfalidis10%
Mattia Zennaro10%
Mattia Tonetto10%
Marco Sau9%
Alessandro Pietrelli7%
Federico Bergonzi6%
Davide Di Molfetta4%
Bruno Martella3%
Vittorio Parigini0%
Luca Ceppitelli0%
Gaetano Letizia0%
Luca Fiordilino0%
Semuel Pizzignacco0%
Denis Hergheligiu0%
Luca Giudici0%
Federico Carraro0%
Loris Bacchetti0%
Gabriele Ferrarini0%
Dimo Krastev0%
Christopher Attys0%
Giacomo Manzari0%
Alessandro Pilati0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Davide Balestrero38%
Luca Ceppitelli37%
Christopher Attys33%
Luca Fiordilino24%
Vittorio Parigini23%
Federico Carraro20%
Mattia Felici17%
Mattia Compagnon14%
Christos Kourfalidis14%
Mattia Zennaro13%
Federico Bergonzi12%
Andrea La Mantia11%
Semuel Pizzignacco11%
Bruno Martella10%
Giacomo Manzari10%
Alessandro Pilati10%
Karlo Butić9%
Loris Bacchetti9%
Davide Di Molfetta7%
Denis Hergheligiu6%
Mattia Tonetto5%
Gaetano Letizia4%
Marco Sau0%
Luca Giudici0%
Edgaras Dubickas0%
Gabriele Ferrarini0%
Dimo Krastev0%
Alessandro Pietrelli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gaetano Letizia22%
Giacomo Manzari20%
Davide Di Molfetta15%
Mattia Felici14%
Bruno Martella10%
Vittorio Parigini8%
Christos Kourfalidis7%
Luca Ceppitelli7%
Mattia Zennaro6%
Alessandro Pilati5%
Davide Balestrero3%
Federico Bergonzi3%
Marco Sau0%
Luca Fiordilino0%
Semuel Pizzignacco0%
Andrea La Mantia0%
Denis Hergheligiu0%
Luca Giudici0%
Federico Carraro0%
Edgaras Dubickas0%
Karlo Butić0%
Loris Bacchetti0%
Gabriele Ferrarini0%
Dimo Krastev0%
Christopher Attys0%
Mattia Compagnon0%
Mattia Tonetto0%
Alessandro Pietrelli0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andrea La Mantia16%
Karlo Butić12%
Mattia Compagnon10%
Alessandro Pietrelli7%
Davide Di Molfetta4%
Luca Ceppitelli3%
Luca Fiordilino3%
Mattia Felici3%
Marco Sau0%
Vittorio Parigini0%
Gaetano Letizia0%
Bruno Martella0%
Mattia Zennaro0%
Semuel Pizzignacco0%
Denis Hergheligiu0%
Luca Giudici0%
Federico Carraro0%
Edgaras Dubickas0%
Davide Balestrero0%
Loris Bacchetti0%
Gabriele Ferrarini0%
Dimo Krastev0%
Federico Bergonzi0%
Christopher Attys0%
Giacomo Manzari0%
Mattia Tonetto0%
Alessandro Pilati0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
Cremonese
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Massimo Coda38%
Dennis Johnsen15%
Michele Collocolo13%
Daniel Ciofani12%
David Okereke12%
Franco Vázquez10%
Michele Castagnetti10%
Luca Ravanelli10%
Frank Tsadjout8%
Paolo Ghiglione8%
Charles Pickel6%
Matteo Bianchetti5%
César Falletti5%
Luca Zanimacchia5%
Leonardo Sernicola5%
Cristian Buonaiuto5%
Gonzalo Abrego4%
Valentin Antov3%
Andrea Bertolacci0%
Alessandro Tuia0%
Gianluca Saro0%
Žan Majer0%
Mouhamadou Sarr0%
Luka Lochoshvili0%
Giacomo Quagliata0%
Andreas Jungdal0%
Felix Afena-Gyan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Žan Majer39%
Andrea Bertolacci33%
Charles Pickel32%
Franco Vázquez28%
Alessandro Tuia25%
Matteo Bianchetti24%
David Okereke24%
Michele Collocolo23%
Luka Lochoshvili21%
Valentin Antov20%
Michele Castagnetti18%
Luca Ravanelli16%
Giacomo Quagliata15%
Felix Afena-Gyan14%
César Falletti11%
Gonzalo Abrego9%
Frank Tsadjout8%
Dennis Johnsen8%
Luca Zanimacchia8%
Leonardo Sernicola8%
Daniel Ciofani6%
Massimo Coda5%
Paolo Ghiglione4%
Cristian Buonaiuto0%
Gianluca Saro0%
Mouhamadou Sarr0%
Andreas Jungdal0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Franco Vázquez15%
Dennis Johnsen15%
Leonardo Sernicola12%
Frank Tsadjout8%
Massimo Coda8%
Luca Zanimacchia8%
Charles Pickel6%
Giacomo Quagliata6%
David Okereke6%
Valentin Antov6%
Michele Castagnetti5%
Žan Majer4%
Paolo Ghiglione4%
Luca Ravanelli3%
Andrea Bertolacci0%
Alessandro Tuia0%
Cristian Buonaiuto0%
Matteo Bianchetti0%
Gianluca Saro0%
Daniel Ciofani0%
César Falletti0%
Mouhamadou Sarr0%
Luka Lochoshvili0%
Michele Collocolo0%
Andreas Jungdal0%
Gonzalo Abrego0%
Felix Afena-Gyan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Massimo Coda41%
Cristian Buonaiuto24%
Franco Vázquez23%
César Falletti21%
Dennis Johnsen15%
Luca Zanimacchia15%
Leonardo Sernicola12%
Frank Tsadjout12%
Michele Collocolo10%
Gonzalo Abrego9%
David Okereke6%
Michele Castagnetti5%
Andrea Bertolacci0%
Valentin Antov0%
Alessandro Tuia0%
Matteo Bianchetti0%
Gianluca Saro0%
Paolo Ghiglione0%
Daniel Ciofani0%
Luca Ravanelli0%
Žan Majer0%
Charles Pickel0%
Mouhamadou Sarr0%
Luka Lochoshvili0%
Giacomo Quagliata0%
Andreas Jungdal0%
Felix Afena-Gyan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Venezia
Parma
Como
Catanzaro
Palermo
Sampdoria
Brescia
Cosenza
Sudtirol
Modena
Reggiana
Pisa
Cittadella
Bari
Ternana
Spezia
Ascoli
Lecco