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Ferizaj vs Dukagjini Result & Analysis

Date: 28/05/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 2-1
Ferizaj
Ferizaj
Vs
39%
31%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dukagjini
Dukagjini
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferizaj win✓ Hit
38.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini win✗ Miss
30.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FerizajFerizaj

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D13L20W02L12L03L20W00D10W02LH·BAL19/03A·DUK02/04H·GJI09/04A·PRI15/04H·MAL22/04A·DRI29/04H·DRE03/05A·LLA07/05H·TRE14/05A·BAL20/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.401.131.270.531.53
vs Stronger (7)0.291.710.671.330.002.00
vs Similar (23)1.001.301.251.250.731.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukagjini) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DukagjiniDukagjini

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L31W21W00D11D11D02L10W41W31WA·TRE19/03H·FER02/04A·PRI09/04H·DRI16/04A·LLA23/04H·BAL30/04A·GJI03/05H·MAL06/05A·DRE14/05H·TRE20/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.971.470.671.071.27
vs Stronger (6)0.671.500.500.751.003.00
vs Similar (24)1.420.831.820.641.081.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferizaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.4%
Under 1.5
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
39.4%
Under 2.5
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.3%
Under 3.5
80.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.0%
No
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.7%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
9.6%
2-1 ✓
8.0%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.7%
Ferizaj goals ↓
Dukagjini goals →
01234
012%9.6%5.7%2.0%0.5%
111%15%6.9%2.4%0.6%
27.7%8.0%4.2%1.5%0.4%
33.1%3.3%1.7%0.6%0.2%
40.9%1.0%0.5%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ferizaj goals (down), columns = Dukagjini goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ballkani
2.03
Drita
1.94
Gjilani
1.50
Dukagjini
1.39
Prishtina
1.33
Malisheva
1.28
Llapi
1.19
Ferizaj
1.14
Trepça'89
1.11
Liria Prizren
1.00
Drenica Skënderaj
0.64
Ferizaj is 0.25 points worse than Dukagjini in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Drita
1.75
Ballkani
1.72
Malisheva
1.44
Prishtina
1.28
Trepça'89
1.28
Llapi
1.22
Dukagjini
1.14
Gjilani
0.94
Ferizaj
0.84
Drenica Skënderaj
0.75
Liria Prizren
0.00
Ferizaj is 0.30 goals worse than Dukagjini in terms of goals scored per game (0.84 vs 1.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.00
Drita
0.86
Ballkani
0.89
Gjilani
0.94
Prishtina
1.00
Dukagjini
1.03
Ferizaj
1.35
Llapi
1.39
Malisheva
1.44
Trepça'89
1.72
Drenica Skënderaj
1.72
Ferizaj is 0.32 goals worse than Dukagjini in terms of goals conceded per game (1.35 vs 1.03).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FerizajFerizaj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D11D10W01L01L00D00D00D00D00DH·BAL19/03A·DUK02/04H·GJI09/04A·PRI15/04H·MAL22/04A·DRI29/04H·DRE03/05A·LLA07/05H·TRE14/05A·BAL20/05
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.330.430.210.250.44
vs Stronger (8)0.000.120.000.250.000.00
vs Similar (22)0.450.410.600.200.330.58
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukagjini) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DukagjiniDukagjini

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D11D00D11D00D01L00D31W20WA·TRE19/03H·FER02/04A·PRI09/04H·DRI16/04A·LLA23/04H·BAL30/04A·GJI03/05H·MAL06/05A·DRE14/05H·TRE20/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.600.500.570.560.62
vs Stronger (7)0.140.430.000.250.330.67
vs Similar (23)0.650.650.700.700.620.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferizaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ferizaj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FerizajFerizaj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L10W01L11D03L20W00D10W02LH·BAL19/03A·DUK02/04H·GJI09/04A·PRI15/04H·MAL22/04A·DRI29/04H·DRE03/05A·LLA07/05H·TRE14/05A·BAL20/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.870.640.500.251.19
vs Stronger (8)0.381.500.751.000.002.00
vs Similar (22)0.450.640.600.300.330.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukagjini) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DukagjiniDukagjini

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W10W00D00D11D01L10W10W11DA·TRE19/03H·FER02/04A·PRI09/04H·DRI16/04A·LLA23/04H·BAL30/04A·GJI03/05H·MAL06/05A·DRE14/05H·TRE20/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.430.860.210.440.62
vs Stronger (7)0.431.000.500.500.331.67
vs Similar (23)0.700.261.000.100.460.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferizaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ferizaj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.580.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
DS (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
DS (5)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
DS (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
DS (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
FER wins
1
Draws
2
DUK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ferizaj vs Dukagjini · H/A from FER
DateH/AGameScore
02/04/23ADukagjini Vs FER3-1
26/11/22HFER Vs Dukagjini0-0
01/10/22ADukagjini Vs FER4-1

FerizajFerizaj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/05/23ABallkani Vs FER2-0
14/05/23HFER Vs Trepça'891-0
07/05/23ALlapi Vs FER0-0
03/05/23HFER Vs Drenica Skënderaj2-0
29/04/23ADrita Vs FER3-0
22/04/23HFER Vs Malisheva1-2
15/04/23APrishtina Vs FER2-0
09/04/23HFER Vs Gjilani2-0
02/04/23ADukagjini Vs FER3-1
19/03/23HFER Vs Ballkani0-0

DukagjiniDukagjini

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/05/23HDUK Vs Trepça'893-1
14/05/23ADrenica Skënderaj Vs DUK1-4
06/05/23HDUK Vs Malisheva1-0
03/05/23AGjilani Vs DUK2-0
30/04/23HDUK Vs Ballkani1-1
23/04/23ALlapi Vs DUK1-1
16/04/23HDUK Vs Drita0-0
09/04/23APrishtina Vs DUK1-2
02/04/23HDUK Vs Ferizaj3-1
19/03/23ATrepça'89 Vs DUK2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ferizaj
Ferizaj
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWL1.09
HomeDWLWW1.59
AwayLLLDL0.61
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%41%11%
AVG goals2.232.242.22
Over 1.5 %69%71%67%
Over 2.5 %40%41%39%
Over 3.5 %17%12%22%
Scored0.831.060.61
Conceded1.401.181.61
BTTS46%47%44%
Clean Sheet31%41%22%
Corners---
Cards---
Dukagjini
Dukagjini
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW1.43
HomeWDDWW1.56
AwayLWDLW1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%44%35%
AVG goals2.142.112.18
Over 1.5 %57%56%59%
Over 2.5 %34%33%35%
Over 3.5 %17%22%12%
Scored1.141.330.94
Conceded1.000.781.24
BTTS46%44%47%
Clean Sheet29%33%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BallkaniBallkani3673
56%
2.0
6232+30
2.6
78%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.70.9
-
2DritaDrita3670
56%
1.9
6331+32
2.6
72%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.80.9
-
3GjilaniGjilani3654
36%
1.5
3434+0
1.9
56%
25%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2120.90.9
-
4DukagjiniDukagjini3650
39%
1.4
4137+4
2.2
58%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.11.0
-
5PrishtinaPrishtina3648
33%
1.3
4636+10
2.3
67%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.31.0
-
6MalishevaMalisheva3646
33%
1.3
5252+0
2.9
72%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.41.4
-
7LlapiLlapi3643
31%
1.2
4450-6
2.6
69%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.4
-
8FerizajFerizaj3742
27%
1.1
3150-19
2.2
68%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.4
-
9TrepçaTrepça'893640
28%
1.1
4662-16
3.0
72%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
10Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj3623
17%
0.6
2762-35
2.5
64%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.7
-
11Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

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