PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Ferizaj vs Gjilani Result & Analysis

Date: 21/09/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 0-1
Ferizaj
Ferizaj
Vs
44%
26%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Gjilani
Gjilani
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferizaj win✗ Miss
43.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gjilani win✓ Hit
29.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FerizajFerizaj

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W21W11D23L13L22D10W10W13L02LH·DRI28/04A·SUH04/05A·LLA08/05H·BAL11/05A·DUK17/05H·GJI25/05H·DRI17/08A·PRI24/08H·BAL31/08A·DUK14/09
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.201.671.200.671.20
vs Stronger (8)1.121.751.331.670.502.00
vs Similar (22)1.181.001.890.890.691.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Gjilani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GjilaniGjilani

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W32W00D21W00D22D11D02L31W13LH·SUH26/04A·FER02/05H·MAL06/05A·PRI11/05H·DRI17/05A·FER25/05H·BAL18/08A·DUK24/08H·PRI31/08H·MAL14/09
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.331.190.941.431.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.301.331.190.941.431.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferizaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.3%
Under 1.5
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.9%
Under 2.5
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.5%
Under 3.5
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.0%
No
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
0-1 ✓
5.5%
Ferizaj goals ↓
Gjilani goals →
01234
06.0%5.5%4.5%2.0%0.7%
17.1%12%7.4%3.3%1.1%
26.8%9.2%6.2%2.8%0.9%
33.8%5.1%3.4%1.5%0.5%
41.6%2.1%1.4%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ferizaj goals (down), columns = Gjilani goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Drita
1.83
Malisheva
1.64
Ballkani
1.61
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.50
Drenica Skënderaj
1.43
Dukagjini
1.42
Gjilani
1.42
Llapi
1.41
Prishtina
1.36
Ferizaj
1.00
Prishtina e Re
0.80
Liria Prizren
0.00
Ferizaj is 0.42 points worse than Gjilani in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.42).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ballkani
1.69
Malisheva
1.61
Prishtina
1.44
Drita
1.39
Drenica Skënderaj
1.31
Gjilani
1.31
Llapi
1.30
Dukagjini
1.17
Ferizaj
1.11
Prishtina e Re
1.03
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.00
Liria Prizren
0.00
Ferizaj is 0.19 goals worse than Gjilani in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.31).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Drita
0.97
Dukagjini
1.00
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.00
Ballkani
1.14
Gjilani
1.33
Llapi
1.35
Malisheva
1.39
Prishtina
1.42
Drenica Skënderaj
1.49
Ferizaj
1.53
Prishtina e Re
1.71
Liria Prizren
2.00
Ferizaj is 0.19 goals worse than Gjilani in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FerizajFerizaj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D11D02L10W10W00D11D01LH·DRI28/04A·SUH04/05A·LLA08/05H·BAL11/05A·DUK17/05H·GJI25/05H·DRI17/08A·PRI24/08H·BAL31/08A·DUK14/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.270.860.290.190.25
vs Stronger (7)0.430.430.500.500.000.00
vs Similar (23)0.520.221.120.120.200.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %77% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Gjilani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GjilaniGjilani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L00D10W00D01L10W01L20W11DH·SUH26/04A·FER02/05H·MAL06/05A·PRI11/05H·DRI17/05A·FER25/05H·BAL18/08A·DUK24/08H·PRI31/08H·MAL14/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.730.290.470.461.08
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.370.730.290.470.461.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferizaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ferizaj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FerizajFerizaj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W21W11D12L11D12L00D10W02L01LH·DRI28/04A·SUH04/05A·LLA08/05H·BAL11/05A·DUK17/05H·GJI25/05H·DRI17/08A·PRI24/08H·BAL31/08A·DUK14/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.870.790.930.560.81
vs Stronger (7)0.711.290.831.170.002.00
vs Similar (23)0.650.740.750.750.600.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Gjilani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GjilaniGjilani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W30W00D11D00D21W01L01L11D02LH·SUH26/04A·FER02/05H·MAL06/05A·PRI11/05H·DRI17/05A·FER25/05H·BAL18/08A·DUK24/08H·PRI31/08H·MAL14/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.530.940.470.850.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.900.530.940.470.850.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferizaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ferizaj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
DS (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
DS (5)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
DS (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
DS (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
FER wins
3
Draws
2
GJI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ferizaj vs Gjilani · H/A from FER
DateH/AGameScore
25/05/25HFER Vs Gjilani2-2
05/04/25AGjilani Vs FER1-0
21/12/24HFER Vs Gjilani3-1
18/10/24AGjilani Vs FER1-2
09/04/23HFER Vs Gjilani2-0
11/02/23AGjilani Vs FER0-0
09/10/22HFER Vs Gjilani1-1
13/08/22AGjilani Vs FER3-2

FerizajFerizaj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/09/25ADukagjini Vs FER2-0
31/08/25HFER Vs Ballkani1-3
24/08/25APrishtina e Re Vs FER0-1
17/08/25HFER Vs Drita1-0
25/05/25HFER Vs Gjilani2-2
17/05/25ADukagjini Vs FER3-1
11/05/25HFER Vs Ballkani2-3
08/05/25ALlapi Vs FER1-1
04/05/25ASuhareka Vs FER1-2
28/04/25HFER Vs Drita2-1

GjilaniGjilani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/09/25HGJI Vs Malisheva1-3
31/08/25HGJI Vs Prishtina3-1
24/08/25ADukagjini Vs GJI2-0
18/08/25HGJI Vs Ballkani1-1
25/05/25AFerizaj Vs GJI2-2
17/05/25HGJI Vs Drita0-0
11/05/25APrishtina Vs GJI1-2
06/05/25HGJI Vs Malisheva0-0
02/05/25AFeronikeli Vs GJI2-3
26/04/25HGJI Vs Suhareka3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ferizaj
Ferizaj
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLL1.40
HomeWLDWL1.92
AwayWDLWL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%60%20%
AVG goals2.302.641.96
Over 1.5 %68%76%60%
Over 2.5 %46%60%32%
Over 3.5 %20%24%16%
Scored1.061.520.60
Conceded1.241.121.36
BTTS52%68%36%
Clean Sheet26%24%28%
Corners---
Cards---
Gjilani
Gjilani
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLWL1.48
HomeDDDWL1.59
AwayLWWDL1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%41%35%
AVG goals2.722.303.22
Over 1.5 %80%78%83%
Over 2.5 %54%41%70%
Over 3.5 %30%15%48%
Scored1.441.331.57
Conceded1.280.961.65
BTTS66%63%70%
Clean Sheet24%30%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DritaDrita3666
56%
1.8
5035+15
2.4
75%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.41.0
-
2MalishevaMalisheva3659
50%
1.6
5850+8
3.0
83%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.4
-
3BallkaniBallkani3658
47%
1.6
6141+20
2.8
81%
53%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.71.1
-
4LlapiLlapi3752
38%
1.4
4850-2
2.6
73%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.4
-
5DukagjiniDukagjini3651
36%
1.4
4236+6
2.2
69%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.21.0
-
6GjilaniGjilani3651
39%
1.4
4748-1
2.6
78%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.31.3
-
7Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj3550
43%
1.4
4652-6
2.8
66%
49%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.5
-
8PrishtinaPrishtina3649
36%
1.4
5251+1
2.9
78%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.41.4
-
9FerizajFerizaj3636
25%
1.0
4055-15
2.6
78%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
10Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re3528
20%
0.8
3660-24
2.7
74%
46%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
11Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
12Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

← all matches