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Ferizaj vs Llapi Result & Analysis

Date: 31/05/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 2-3
Ferizaj
Ferizaj
Vs
43%
29%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Llapi
Llapi
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U
10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Ferizaj a 43% win probability against Llapi in the Kosovo: Superliga on 2026-05-31, with 29% for the draw and 29% for Llapi. The model estimates around 2.6 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (26%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (13.7%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (74%), Under 3.5 (74%).

Results analysis

Ferizaj finished 2-3 against Llapi (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 43% home win, 29% draw and 29% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (74%). Missed: Under 3.5 (74%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferizaj win✗ Miss
42.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Llapi win✓ Hit
28.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FerizajFerizaj

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L12L11D03L12L11D11D33D23LH·DRE21/03A·LLA04/04A·DRI12/04H·PRI18/04A·BAL26/04H·DUK30/04A·GJI03/05H·MAL10/05A·PRI17/05A·DRE24/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.531.211.211.121.81
vs Stronger (6)0.831.831.001.000.752.25
vs Similar (17)1.181.651.001.751.331.56
vs Weaker (7)1.431.001.750.251.002.00
Clean sheet %13% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Llapi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LlapiLlapi

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L10W01L00D03L40W10W00D21W32WA·MAL22/03H·FER04/04H·DRE12/04H·PRI18/04A·DRI26/04H·PRI29/04A·BAL03/05H·DUK10/05A·GJI17/05H·MAL24/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.371.501.001.141.79
vs Stronger (6)1.171.331.001.001.251.50
vs Similar (18)1.221.441.300.901.122.12
vs Weaker (6)1.831.172.251.251.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferizaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.1%
Under 1.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.7%
Under 2.5
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.0%
Under 3.5
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.2%
No
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.8%
2-0
7.9%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
Ferizaj goals ↓
Llapi goals →
01234
08.8%7.4%4.9%1.9%0.5%
19.7%14%7.1%2.7%0.8%
27.9%9.0%5.1%1.9%0.6%
33.8%4.3%2.5%0.9%0.3%
41.4%1.6%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ferizaj goals (down), columns = Llapi goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Drita
1.83
Malisheva
1.64
Ballkani
1.61
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.50
Drenica Skënderaj
1.43
Dukagjini
1.42
Gjilani
1.42
Llapi
1.41
Prishtina
1.36
Ferizaj
1.00
Prishtina e Re
0.80
Liria Prizren
0.00
Ferizaj is 0.41 points worse than Llapi in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.41).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ballkani
1.69
Malisheva
1.61
Prishtina
1.44
Drita
1.39
Drenica Skënderaj
1.31
Gjilani
1.31
Llapi
1.30
Dukagjini
1.17
Ferizaj
1.11
Prishtina e Re
1.03
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.00
Liria Prizren
0.00
Ferizaj is 0.19 goals worse than Llapi in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.30).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Drita
0.97
Dukagjini
1.00
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.00
Ballkani
1.14
Gjilani
1.33
Llapi
1.35
Malisheva
1.39
Prishtina
1.42
Drenica Skënderaj
1.49
Ferizaj
1.53
Prishtina e Re
1.71
Liria Prizren
2.00
Ferizaj is 0.18 goals worse than Llapi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.35).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FerizajFerizaj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L11D00D01L01L00D10W11D01LH·DRE21/03A·LLA04/04A·DRI12/04H·PRI18/04A·BAL26/04H·DUK30/04A·GJI03/05H·MAL10/05A·PRI17/05A·DRE24/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.630.570.430.440.81
vs Stronger (6)0.670.831.000.500.501.00
vs Similar (17)0.470.650.500.620.440.67
vs Weaker (7)0.430.430.500.000.331.00
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Llapi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LlapiLlapi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W00D00D01L10W00D00D21W31WA·MAL22/03H·FER04/04H·DRE12/04H·PRI18/04A·DRI26/04H·PRI29/04A·BAL03/05H·DUK10/05A·GJI17/05H·MAL24/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.470.880.310.640.64
vs Stronger (6)0.830.501.000.000.750.75
vs Similar (18)0.780.390.900.200.620.62
vs Weaker (6)0.670.670.750.750.500.50
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferizaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ferizaj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
FER wins
4
Draws
2
LLA wins

Head-to-head

Ferizaj vs Llapi · H/A from FER
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/26ALlapi Vs FER1-0
20/12/25HFER Vs Llapi2-1
19/10/25ALlapi Vs FER1-1
08/05/25ALlapi Vs FER1-1
11/03/25HFER Vs Llapi2-1
30/11/24ALlapi Vs FER1-1
21/09/24HFER Vs Llapi0-1
07/05/23ALlapi Vs FER0-0

FerizajFerizaj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/26ADrenica Skënderaj Vs FER3-2
17/05/26APrishtina Vs FER3-3
10/05/26HFER Vs Malisheva1-1
03/05/26AGjilani Vs FER1-1
30/04/26HFER Vs Dukagjini1-2
26/04/26ABallkani Vs FER3-0
18/04/26HFER Vs Prishtina e Re1-1
12/04/26ADrita Vs FER2-1
04/04/26ALlapi Vs FER1-0
21/03/26HFER Vs Drenica Skënderaj1-0

LlapiLlapi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/26HLLA Vs Malisheva3-2
17/05/26AGjilani Vs LLA1-2
10/05/26HLLA Vs Dukagjini0-0
03/05/26ABallkani Vs LLA0-1
29/04/26HLLA Vs Prishtina e Re4-0
26/04/26ADrita Vs LLA3-0
18/04/26HLLA Vs Prishtina0-0
12/04/26HLLA Vs Drenica Skënderaj0-1
04/04/26HLLA Vs Ferizaj1-0
22/03/26AMalisheva Vs LLA2-0

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Ferizaj
Ferizaj
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDDL1.20
HomeWWDLD1.62
AwayLLDDL0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%50%15%
AVG goals2.582.622.54
Over 1.5 %76%75%77%
Over 2.5 %52%58%46%
Over 3.5 %22%21%23%
Scored1.161.380.96
Conceded1.421.251.58
BTTS60%54%65%
Clean Sheet18%25%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Llapi
Llapi
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW1.42
HomeLDWDW1.72
AwayWLLWW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%44%32%
AVG goals2.582.402.76
Over 1.5 %70%68%72%
Over 2.5 %46%32%60%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.281.481.08
Conceded1.300.921.68
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet26%36%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DritaDrita3666
56%
1.8
5035+15
2.4
75%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.41.0
-
2MalishevaMalisheva3659
50%
1.6
5850+8
3.0
83%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.4
-
3BallkaniBallkani3658
47%
1.6
6141+20
2.8
81%
53%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.71.1
-
4LlapiLlapi3752
38%
1.4
4850-2
2.6
73%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.4
-
5DukagjiniDukagjini3651
36%
1.4
4236+6
2.2
69%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
6GjilaniGjilani3651
39%
1.4
4748-1
2.6
78%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
7Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj3550
43%
1.4
4652-6
2.8
66%
49%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.5
-
8PrishtinaPrishtina3649
36%
1.4
5251+1
2.9
78%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.41.4
-
9FerizajFerizaj3636
25%
1.0
4055-15
2.6
78%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
10Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re3528
20%
0.8
3660-24
2.7
74%
46%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
11Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
12Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

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