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Ferizaj vs Trepça'89 Result & Analysis

Date: 09/11/2022
Time: 12:00
Final 2-3
Ferizaj
Ferizaj
Vs
33%
25%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Trepça
Trepça'89
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferizaj win✗ Miss
32.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Trepça'89 win✓ Hit
42.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FerizajFerizaj

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W11D03L14L11D12L06L01L11D21WH·LLA11/09A·TRE15/09H·BAL19/09A·DUK01/10H·GJI09/10A·PRI15/10H·MAL19/10A·DRI22/10H·DRE29/10A·LLA06/11
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.870.711.861.001.88
vs Stronger (3)0.331.670.502.000.001.00
vs Similar (12)1.001.920.801.801.142.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Trepça'89) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TrepçaTrepça'89

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-552W11D30W22D13L33D02L11D04L10WA·DRE10/09H·FER15/09H·DUK18/09A·PRI02/10A·DRI08/10H·LLA16/10A·BAL20/10H·GJI23/10A·MAL29/10H·DRE05/11
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.712.001.861.431.572.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.502.172.001.671.002.67
vs Weaker (2)3.001.001.000.005.002.00
Clean sheet %14% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferizaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.7%
Under 1.5
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.2%
Under 2.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.1%
Under 3.5
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.4%
No
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
5.9%
0-1
5.7%
1-3
5.2%
0-0
4.9%
Ferizaj goals ↓
Trepça'89 goals →
01234
04.9%5.7%5.9%3.4%1.5%
14.8%11%8.9%5.2%2.3%
24.4%7.7%6.7%3.9%1.7%
32.2%3.9%3.4%2.0%0.9%
40.8%1.5%1.3%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ferizaj goals (down), columns = Trepça'89 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ballkani
2.03
Drita
1.94
Gjilani
1.50
Dukagjini
1.39
Prishtina
1.33
Malisheva
1.28
Llapi
1.19
Ferizaj
1.14
Trepça'89
1.11
Liria Prizren
1.00
Drenica Skënderaj
0.64
Ferizaj is 0.02 points better than Trepça'89 in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Drita
1.75
Ballkani
1.72
Malisheva
1.44
Prishtina
1.28
Trepça'89
1.28
Llapi
1.22
Dukagjini
1.14
Gjilani
0.94
Ferizaj
0.84
Drenica Skënderaj
0.75
Liria Prizren
0.00
Ferizaj is 0.44 goals worse than Trepça'89 in terms of goals scored per game (0.84 vs 1.28).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.00
Drita
0.86
Ballkani
0.89
Gjilani
0.94
Prishtina
1.00
Dukagjini
1.03
Ferizaj
1.35
Llapi
1.39
Malisheva
1.44
Trepça'89
1.72
Drenica Skënderaj
1.72
Ferizaj is 0.37 goals better than Trepça'89 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.35 vs 1.72).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FerizajFerizaj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D20W00D01L12L10W01L00D10WH·DRI28/08A·DRE04/09H·LLA11/09A·TRE15/09H·BAL19/09A·DUK01/10H·GJI09/10A·PRI15/10A·DRI22/10A·LLA06/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.420.420.600.200.290.57
vs Stronger (3)0.000.330.000.500.000.00
vs Similar (9)0.560.441.000.000.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Trepça'89) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TrepçaTrepça'89

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D20W11D01L10W00D01L00D00DA·DRE10/09H·FER15/09H·DUK18/09A·PRI02/10A·DRI08/10H·LLA16/10A·BAL20/10H·GJI23/10A·MAL29/10H·DRE05/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.540.670.330.570.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.550.550.800.400.330.67
vs Weaker (2)1.000.500.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %46% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferizaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ferizaj over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça'89 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça'89 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça'89 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FerizajFerizaj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D01L11D02L02L01L11D01L11DH·DRI28/08A·DRE04/09H·LLA11/09A·TRE15/09H·BAL19/09A·DUK01/10H·GJI09/10A·PRI15/10A·DRI22/10A·LLA06/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.421.080.201.000.571.14
vs Stronger (3)0.331.330.501.500.001.00
vs Similar (9)0.441.000.000.670.671.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Trepça'89) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TrepçaTrepça'89

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W11D10W11D12L23L02L10W04L10WA·DRE10/09H·FER15/09H·DUK18/09A·PRI02/10A·DRI08/10H·LLA16/10A·BAL20/10H·GJI23/10A·MAL29/10H·DRE05/11
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.081.461.171.001.001.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.911.641.201.200.672.00
vs Weaker (2)2.000.501.000.003.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferizaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ferizaj over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça'89 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça'89 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça'89 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
DS (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
DS (5)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
DS (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
DS (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
FER wins
1
Draws
0
TRE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ferizaj vs Trepça'89 · H/A from FER
DateH/AGameScore
15/09/22ATrepça'89 Vs FER1-1

FerizajFerizaj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/11/22ALlapi Vs FER1-2
29/10/22HFER Vs Drenica Skënderaj1-1
22/10/22ADrita Vs FER1-0
19/10/22HFER Vs Malisheva0-6
15/10/22APrishtina Vs FER2-1
09/10/22HFER Vs Gjilani1-1
01/10/22ADukagjini Vs FER4-1
19/09/22HFER Vs Ballkani0-3
15/09/22ATrepça'89 Vs FER1-1
11/09/22HFER Vs Llapi2-1

TrepçaTrepça'89

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/11/22HTRE Vs Drenica Skënderaj1-0
29/10/22AMalisheva Vs TRE4-0
23/10/22HTRE Vs Gjilani1-1
20/10/22ABallkani Vs TRE2-0
16/10/22HTRE Vs Llapi3-3
08/10/22ADrita Vs TRE3-1
02/10/22APrishtina Vs TRE2-2
18/09/22HTRE Vs Dukagjini3-0
15/09/22HTRE Vs Ferizaj1-1
10/09/22ADrenica Skënderaj Vs TRE2-5

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ferizaj
Ferizaj
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDW0.80
HomeWLDLD1.00
AwayDLLLW0.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %13%14%12%
AVG goals2.732.572.88
Over 1.5 %80%86%75%
Over 2.5 %53%43%62%
Over 3.5 %27%14%38%
Scored0.870.711.00
Conceded1.871.861.88
BTTS67%57%75%
Clean Sheet13%14%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Trepça
Trepça'89
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLW1.07
HomeDWDDW1.43
AwayWDLLL0.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %21%29%14%
AVG goals3.713.294.14
Over 1.5 %93%86%100%
Over 2.5 %71%57%86%
Over 3.5 %64%43%86%
Scored1.711.861.57
Conceded2.001.432.57
BTTS71%71%71%
Clean Sheet14%29%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BallkaniBallkani3673
56%
2.0
6232+30
2.6
78%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.70.9
-
2DritaDrita3670
56%
1.9
6331+32
2.6
72%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.80.9
-
3GjilaniGjilani3654
36%
1.5
3434+0
1.9
56%
25%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2120.90.9
-
4DukagjiniDukagjini3650
39%
1.4
4137+4
2.2
58%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.11.0
-
5PrishtinaPrishtina3648
33%
1.3
4636+10
2.3
67%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.31.0
-
6MalishevaMalisheva3646
33%
1.3
5252+0
2.9
72%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.41.4
-
7LlapiLlapi3643
31%
1.2
4450-6
2.6
69%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.4
-
8FerizajFerizaj3742
27%
1.1
3150-19
2.2
68%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.4
-
9TrepçaTrepça'893640
28%
1.1
4662-16
3.0
72%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
10Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj3623
17%
0.6
2762-35
2.5
64%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.7
-
11Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

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