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Feronikeli vs Drita Result & Analysis

Date: 14/03/2024
Time: 12:00
Final 0-1
Feronikeli
Feronikeli
Vs
23%
38%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Drita
Drita
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Feronikeli winâś— Miss
23.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
38.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drita winâś“ Hit
38.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

FeronikeliFeronikeli

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W13L10W10W02L22D00D12L01L20WH·LIR27/11A·DRI03/12H·DUK10/12A·FUS16/12A·PRI11/02A·BAL16/02H·GJI21/02A·MAL24/02H·LLA02/03A·LIR10/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.961.460.640.911.231.92
vs Stronger (8)0.622.250.001.671.002.60
vs Similar (16)1.121.060.880.621.381.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Drita) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DritaDrita

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W10W12L21W01L10W10W20W01L10WH·FER03/12A·GJI10/12H·MAL16/12H·BAL20/12H·LLA10/02A·LIR16/02H·BAL21/02H·DUK25/02A·FUS02/03H·PRI09/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.701.440.810.930.57
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (13)1.230.771.380.751.000.80
vs Weaker (15)1.270.601.570.711.000.50
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Feronikeli) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

8%15%23%31%23%031%127%213%35%41%50%6+
The model estimates around 1.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (31%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
46.3%
Under 1.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.7%
Under 2.5
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
6.9%
Under 3.5
93.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
28.9%
No
71.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
23.0%
0-1 âś“
18.1%
1-1
13.5%
1-0
12.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-0
4.4%
2-1
3.9%
Feronikeli goals ↓
Drita goals →
01234
023%18%8.6%2.5%0.6%
113%14%5.5%1.6%0.4%
24.4%3.9%1.7%0.5%0.1%
30.9%0.8%0.4%0.1%0.0%
40.1%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Feronikeli goals (down), columns = Drita goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ballkani
2.17
Llapi
1.97
Drita
1.86
Malisheva
1.58
Prishtina
1.36
Feronikeli
1.27
Dukagjini
1.25
Gjilani
1.25
Fushë Kosova
0.56
Liria Prizren
0.39
Prishtina e Re
0.00
Feronikeli is 0.59 points worse than Drita in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 1.86).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ballkani
1.72
Malisheva
1.61
Llapi
1.56
Drita
1.36
Gjilani
1.19
Prishtina
1.14
Feronikeli
1.08
Dukagjini
1.06
Liria Prizren
0.72
Fushë Kosova
0.56
Prishtina e Re
0.00
Feronikeli is 0.28 goals worse than Drita in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.36).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ballkani
0.72
Drita
0.75
Llapi
0.75
Prishtina
0.89
Prishtina e Re
1.00
Gjilani
1.06
Malisheva
1.25
Feronikeli
1.27
Dukagjini
1.33
Fushë Kosova
1.78
Liria Prizren
2.17
Feronikeli is 0.52 goals worse than Drita in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 0.75).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FeronikeliFeronikeli

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L10W10W01L21W00D00D00D00DH·LIR27/11A·DRI03/12H·DUK10/12A·FUS16/12A·PRI11/02A·BAL16/02H·GJI21/02A·MAL24/02H·LLA02/03A·LIR10/03
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.290.670.180.270.381.00
vs Stronger (8)0.380.880.000.670.601.00
vs Similar (16)0.250.560.250.120.251.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %46% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Drita) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DritaDrita

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D12L21W01L00D00D00D00D00DH·FER03/12A·GJI10/12H·MAL16/12H·BAL20/12H·LLA10/02A·LIR16/02H·BAL21/02H·DUK25/02A·FUS02/03H·PRI09/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.270.620.380.430.14
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (12)0.670.420.620.500.750.25
vs Weaker (16)0.500.190.710.290.330.11
Clean sheet %77% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Feronikeli) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Feronikeli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FeronikeliFeronikeli

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W11D00D00D01L01L00D12L01L20WH·LIR27/11A·DRI03/12H·DUK10/12A·FUS16/12A·PRI11/02A·BAL16/02H·GJI21/02A·MAL24/02H·LLA02/03A·LIR10/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.790.450.640.850.92
vs Stronger (8)0.251.380.001.000.401.60
vs Similar (16)0.880.500.620.501.120.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %46% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Drita) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DritaDrita

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W00D00D00D10W10W20W01L10WH·FER03/12A·GJI10/12H·MAL16/12H·BAL20/12H·LLA10/02A·LIR16/02H·BAL21/02H·DUK25/02A·FUS02/03H·PRI09/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.400.810.440.640.36
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (12)0.670.330.750.250.500.50
vs Weaker (16)0.810.380.860.430.780.33
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Feronikeli) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Feronikeli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.593.1%-------âś“ Hit
Under 2.580.3%-------âś“ Hit
BTTS No71.1%-------âś“ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Drita · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Blerim Krasniqi29%
Arb Manaj29%
Albert Dabiqaj20%
Liridon Balaj11%
Almir Ajzeraj10%
Faton Maloku0%
Vesel Limaj0%
Jorgo Pëllumbi0%
Kristal Abazaj0%
Besnik Krasniqi0%
Egzon Bejtulai0%
Rron Broja0%
Blerton Sheji0%
Veton Tusha0%
Ilir Mustafa0%
Raddy Ovouka0%
Mamadou Soumahoro0%
Mike Arthur0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mamadou Soumahoro60%
Blerton Sheji38%
Jorgo Pëllumbi25%
Vesel Limaj22%
Egzon Bejtulai20%
Albert Dabiqaj20%
Ilir Mustafa20%
Blerim Krasniqi14%
Besnik Krasniqi10%
Raddy Ovouka10%
Faton Maloku0%
Kristal Abazaj0%
Rron Broja0%
Almir Ajzeraj0%
Liridon Balaj0%
Arb Manaj0%
Veton Tusha0%
Mike Arthur0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Liridon Balaj22%
Besnik Krasniqi20%
Blerton Sheji12%
Vesel Limaj11%
Faton Maloku0%
Jorgo Pëllumbi0%
Blerim Krasniqi0%
Kristal Abazaj0%
Egzon Bejtulai0%
Rron Broja0%
Almir Ajzeraj0%
Albert Dabiqaj0%
Arb Manaj0%
Veton Tusha0%
Ilir Mustafa0%
Raddy Ovouka0%
Mamadou Soumahoro0%
Mike Arthur0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Blerim Krasniqi29%
Veton Tusha20%
Mamadou Soumahoro20%
Jorgo Pëllumbi12%
Vesel Limaj11%
Almir Ajzeraj10%
Albert Dabiqaj10%
Faton Maloku0%
Kristal Abazaj0%
Besnik Krasniqi0%
Egzon Bejtulai0%
Rron Broja0%
Liridon Balaj0%
Blerton Sheji0%
Arb Manaj0%
Ilir Mustafa0%
Raddy Ovouka0%
Mike Arthur0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
FER (14)
€3m
Feronikeli's squad is €6m less valuable than Drita's (€3m vs €8m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
FER (7)
€1m
Feronikeli's attack is €1m less valuable than Drita's (€1m vs €3m).

đź§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
FER (2)
€0m
Feronikeli's midfield is €2m less valuable than Drita's (€0m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
FER (5)
€1m
Feronikeli's defence is €3m less valuable than Drita's (€1m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
FER wins
0
Draws
2
DRI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Feronikeli vs Drita · H/A from FER
DateH/AGameScore
03/12/23ADrita Vs FER3-1
28/09/23HFER Vs Drita0-2

FeronikeliFeronikeli

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/03/24ALiria Prizren Vs FER0-2
02/03/24HFER Vs Llapi0-1
24/02/24AMalisheva Vs FER2-1
21/02/24HFER Vs Gjilani0-0
16/02/24ABallkani Vs FER2-2
11/02/24APrishtina Vs FER2-0
16/12/23AFushë Kosova Vs FER0-1
10/12/23HFER Vs Dukagjini1-0
03/12/23ADrita Vs FER3-1
27/11/23HFER Vs Liria Prizren2-1

DritaDrita

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/24HDRI Vs Prishtina1-0
02/03/24AFushë Kosova Vs DRI1-0
25/02/24HDRI Vs Dukagjini2-0
21/02/24HDRI Vs Ballkani1-0
16/02/24ALiria Prizren Vs DRI0-1
10/02/24HDRI Vs Llapi0-1
20/12/23HDRI Vs Ballkani2-1
16/12/23HDRI Vs Malisheva1-2
10/12/23AGjilani Vs DRI0-1
03/12/23HDRI Vs Feronikeli3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Feronikeli
Feronikeli
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLW1.08
HomeDWWDL1.36
AwayWLDLW0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%36%23%
AVG goals2.421.553.15
Over 1.5 %67%45%85%
Over 2.5 %46%36%54%
Over 3.5 %21%0%38%
Scored0.960.641.23
Conceded1.460.911.92
BTTS38%9%62%
Clean Sheet33%55%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Drita
Drita
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW1.80
HomeWLWWW2.12
AwayLLWWL1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%65%38%
AVG goals2.122.421.79
Over 1.5 %60%69%50%
Over 2.5 %36%46%25%
Over 3.5 %18%19%17%
Scored1.381.731.00
Conceded0.740.690.79
BTTS42%42%42%
Clean Sheet44%50%38%
Corners10.0010.00-
Cards8.009.007.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BallkaniBallkani3678
64%
2.2
6226+36
2.4
78%
44%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.70.7
-
2LlapiLlapi3671
58%
2.0
5627+29
2.3
64%
42%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.60.8
-
3DritaDrita3667
53%
1.9
4927+22
2.1
58%
33%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.40.8
-
4MalishevaMalisheva3657
47%
1.6
5845+13
2.9
67%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.2
-
5PrishtinaPrishtina3649
31%
1.4
4132+9
2.0
56%
39%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.10.9
-
6FeronikeliFeronikeli3747
35%
1.3
4047-7
2.4
62%
43%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.11.3
-
7GjilaniGjilani3645
31%
1.2
4338+5
2.2
69%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.21.1
-
8DukagjiniDukagjini3645
28%
1.2
3848-10
2.4
67%
44%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.11.3
-
9Fushë KosovaFushë Kosova3620
11%
0.6
2064-44
2.3
67%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.8
-
10Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren3614
6%
0.4
2678-52
2.9
72%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.2
-
11Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re10
0%
0.0
01-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.0
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Kosovo: Superliga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

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