Feronikeli’s defensive record at home shows a modest 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Drita’s away form is even tighter, averaging 0.83 scored and 0.5 conceded against weaker opposition. The model projects a tight, low-scoring affair with an average of 2.2 goals, the most likely total being 2 with a 28% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 0-1, giving the away side a 15.4% probability of winning that exact result. The probabilities for the match outcome are 17% for a home win, 29% for a draw and 54% for an away win, making an away win the favoured result. The suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (99.4%), Under 6.5 (99.3%), Under 5.5 (97.6%), Home under 2.5 goals (96.4%), Away +2 handicap (94.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (93.9%) and Under 4.5 (93.0%).
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Feronikeli win
17.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drita win
53.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Feronikeli
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
0.77
1.81
0.75
1.57
0.79
vs Stronger (7)
1.43
1.14
1.20
1.00
2.00
1.50
vs Similar (21)
1.90
0.62
2.20
0.60
1.64
0.64
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Drita) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drita
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.03
2.20
0.87
1.07
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.56
1.28
1.89
0.89
1.22
1.67
vs Weaker (12)
1.75
0.67
2.67
0.83
0.83
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Feronikeli) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
65.1%
Under 1.5
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
37.1%
Under 2.5
62.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
17.6%
Under 3.5
82.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
40.4%
No
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
15.4%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
12.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
6.9%
0-3
5.9%
2-1
4.2%
Feronikeli goals ↓
Drita goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
15%
12%
5.9%
2.2%
1
6.9%
13%
8.7%
4.2%
1.5%
2
2.9%
4.2%
3.1%
1.5%
0.6%
3
0.7%
1.0%
0.7%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Feronikeli goals (down), columns = Drita goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Drita
1.83
Malisheva
1.64
Ballkani
1.61
Drenica Skënderaj
1.43
Dukagjini
1.42
Gjilani
1.42
Llapi
1.41
Prishtina
1.36
Feronikeli
1.04
Vushtrria
0.45
Feronikeli is 0.79 points worse than Drita in terms of average points per game (1.04 vs 1.83).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ballkani
1.69
Malisheva
1.61
Prishtina
1.44
Drita
1.39
Drenica Skënderaj
1.31
Gjilani
1.31
Llapi
1.30
Dukagjini
1.17
Feronikeli
0.97
Vushtrria
0.42
Feronikeli is 0.42 goals worse than Drita in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.39).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Drita
0.97
Dukagjini
1.00
Ballkani
1.14
Gjilani
1.33
Llapi
1.35
Malisheva
1.39
Prishtina
1.42
Drenica Skënderaj
1.49
Feronikeli
1.68
Vushtrria
3.89
Feronikeli is 0.71 goals worse than Drita in terms of goals conceded per game (1.68 vs 0.97).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Feronikeli or Draw
46.1%
Avg Implied -
17%
29%
54%
covers Feronikeli + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli or Drita
71.0%
Avg Implied -
17%
29%
54%
covers Feronikeli + Drita
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Drita
83.0%
Avg Implied -
17%
29%
54%
covers Draw + Drita
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Feronikeli over/under 0.5
Over
51.0%
Under
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 1.5
Over
16.0%
Under
84.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 2.5
Over
3.6%
Under
96.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 3.5
Over
0.6%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 0.5
Over
76.8%
Under
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 1.5
Over
42.9%
Under
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 2.5
Over
18.2%
Under
81.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 3.5
Over
6.1%
Under
93.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Feronikeli, so a minus line means Feronikeli give that many goals of a start and Drita receive them. At -1, Feronikeli must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Feronikeli win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Feronikeli)
Feronikeli -2
1.1%
Draw -2
4.0%
Drita +2
94.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Feronikeli)
Feronikeli -1
5.1%
Draw -1
11.9%
Drita +1
83.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Feronikeli)
Feronikeli +1
46.1%
Draw +1
25.7%
Drita -1
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Feronikeli)
Feronikeli +2
71.8%
Draw +2
16.9%
Drita -2
11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Feronikeli
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.37
0.73
0.33
0.60
0.40
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.71
0.40
0.60
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.76
0.29
1.00
0.22
0.58
0.33
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Drita) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drita
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
1.07
0.53
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.61
1.00
0.44
0.44
0.78
vs Weaker (12)
0.67
0.58
1.17
0.67
0.17
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Feronikeli) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
67.5%
Under 0.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
30.8%
Under 1.5
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.3%
Under 2.5
88.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Feronikeli over/under 0.5 HT
Over
27.4%
Under
72.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 1.5 HT
Over
4.1%
Under
95.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 0.5 HT
Over
53.9%
Under
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 1.5 HT
Over
20.0%
Under
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 2.5 HT
Over
8.7%
Under
91.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Feronikeli
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.37
1.00
0.40
0.87
0.33
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
0.43
0.80
0.40
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (21)
1.00
0.29
1.11
0.33
0.92
0.25
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Drita) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drita
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.43
1.13
0.33
0.73
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.83
0.67
0.89
0.44
0.78
0.89
vs Weaker (12)
1.08
0.08
1.50
0.17
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Feronikeli) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.2%
Under 0.5
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
44.5%
Under 1.5
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.7%
Under 2.5
79.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Feronikeli over/under 0.5 2H
Over
33.9%
Under
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 1.5 2H
Over
8.1%
Under
91.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 0.5 2H
Over
66.9%
Under
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 1.5 2H
Over
28.4%
Under
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.9%
Under
93.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
91.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 0.5 HT goals
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Drita · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Blerim Krasniqi29%
Arb Manaj29%
Albert Dabiqaj20%
Liridon Balaj11%
Almir Ajzeraj10%
Faton Maloku0%
Vesel Limaj0%
Jorgo Pëllumbi0%
Kristal Abazaj0%
Besnik Krasniqi0%
Egzon Bejtulai0%
Rron Broja0%
Blerton Sheji0%
Veton Tusha0%
Ilir Mustafa0%
Raddy Ovouka0%
Mamadou Soumahoro0%
Mike Arthur0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mamadou Soumahoro60%
Blerton Sheji38%
Jorgo Pëllumbi25%
Vesel Limaj22%
Egzon Bejtulai20%
Albert Dabiqaj20%
Ilir Mustafa20%
Blerim Krasniqi14%
Besnik Krasniqi10%
Raddy Ovouka10%
Faton Maloku0%
Kristal Abazaj0%
Rron Broja0%
Almir Ajzeraj0%
Liridon Balaj0%
Arb Manaj0%
Veton Tusha0%
Mike Arthur0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Liridon Balaj22%
Besnik Krasniqi20%
Blerton Sheji12%
Vesel Limaj11%
Faton Maloku0%
Jorgo Pëllumbi0%
Blerim Krasniqi0%
Kristal Abazaj0%
Egzon Bejtulai0%
Rron Broja0%
Almir Ajzeraj0%
Albert Dabiqaj0%
Arb Manaj0%
Veton Tusha0%
Ilir Mustafa0%
Raddy Ovouka0%
Mamadou Soumahoro0%
Mike Arthur0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Blerim Krasniqi29%
Veton Tusha20%
Mamadou Soumahoro20%
Jorgo Pëllumbi12%
Vesel Limaj11%
Almir Ajzeraj10%
Albert Dabiqaj10%
Faton Maloku0%
Kristal Abazaj0%
Besnik Krasniqi0%
Egzon Bejtulai0%
Rron Broja0%
Liridon Balaj0%
Blerton Sheji0%
Arb Manaj0%
Ilir Mustafa0%
Raddy Ovouka0%
Mike Arthur0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
FER (14)
€3m
DS (8)
€1m
VUS (3)
€0m
Feronikeli's squad is €6m less valuable than Drita's (€3m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
FER (7)
€1m
DS (5)
€0m
VUS (0)
€0m
Feronikeli's attack is €1m less valuable than Drita's (€1m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
FER (2)
€0m
DS (1)
€0m
VUS (0)
€0m
Feronikeli's midfield is €2m less valuable than Drita's (€0m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
FER (5)
€1m
VUS (3)
€0m
DS (2)
€0m
Feronikeli's defence is €3m less valuable than Drita's (€1m vs €3m).
Kosovo: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →