PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Feronikeli vs Gjilani Result & Analysis

Date: 02/05/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 2-3
Feronikeli
Feronikeli
Vs
30%
30%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Gjilani
Gjilani
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Feronikeli win✗ Miss
30.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gjilani win✓ Hit
39.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

FeronikeliFeronikeli

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L12L00D12L01L01L01L33D12LH·DUK01/03A·GJI09/03A·SUH13/03H·MAL16/03A·PRI28/03H·DRI04/04H·FER11/04A·LLA16/04H·BAL21/04A·DUK27/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.600.671.470.671.73
vs Stronger (10)0.801.500.831.500.751.50
vs Similar (20)0.601.650.561.440.641.82
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Gjilani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GjilaniGjilani

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W10W14L11D04L10W23L01L11D30WA·SUH01/03H·FER09/03A·MAL12/03H·PRI15/03A·DRI27/03H·FER05/04H·LLA13/04A·BAL17/04H·DUK21/04H·SUH26/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.371.380.941.291.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.331.371.380.941.291.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Feronikeli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.1%
Under 1.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.8%
Under 2.5
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.8%
Under 3.5
77.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.4%
No
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-1
10.3%
0-0
10.1%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.5%
Feronikeli goals ↓
Gjilani goals →
01234
010%10%7.6%3.3%1.1%
18.5%14%8.5%3.7%1.2%
25.5%7.2%4.7%2.1%0.7%
32.0%2.7%1.8%0.8%0.3%
40.6%0.7%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Feronikeli goals (down), columns = Gjilani goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Drita
2.06
Ballkani
1.67
Malisheva
1.47
Gjilani
1.42
Ferizaj
1.39
Prishtina
1.33
Dukagjini
1.33
Llapi
1.30
Suhareka
1.19
Vushtrria
1.00
Feronikeli
0.44
Feronikeli is 0.97 points worse than Gjilani in terms of average points per game (0.44 vs 1.42).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ballkani
1.64
Drita
1.64
Suhareka
1.36
Gjilani
1.33
Malisheva
1.22
Prishtina
1.17
Ferizaj
1.17
Llapi
1.14
Dukagjini
0.97
Feronikeli
0.69
Vushtrria
0.00
Feronikeli is 0.64 goals worse than Gjilani in terms of goals scored per game (0.69 vs 1.33).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vushtrria
0.00
Drita
0.72
Prishtina
1.00
Malisheva
1.08
Llapi
1.11
Ballkani
1.11
Dukagjini
1.25
Ferizaj
1.31
Gjilani
1.31
Feronikeli
1.72
Suhareka
1.72
Feronikeli is 0.42 goals worse than Gjilani in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 1.31).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FeronikeliFeronikeli

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L00D11D01L00D01L12L10WH·DUK01/03A·GJI09/03A·SUH13/03H·MAL16/03A·PRI28/03H·DRI04/04H·FER11/04A·LLA16/04H·BAL21/04A·DUK27/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.600.200.600.330.60
vs Stronger (10)0.300.500.170.830.500.00
vs Similar (20)0.250.650.220.440.270.82
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Gjilani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GjilaniGjilani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D01L01L04L00D00D01L01L00DA·SUH01/03H·FER09/03A·MAL12/03H·PRI15/03A·DRI27/03H·FER05/04H·LLA13/04A·BAL17/04H·DUK21/04H·SUH26/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.830.310.690.711.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.500.830.310.690.711.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Feronikeli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Feronikeli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FeronikeliFeronikeli

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L11D00D01L00D01L00D21W02LH·DUK01/03A·GJI09/03A·SUH13/03H·MAL16/03A·PRI28/03H·DRI04/04H·FER11/04A·LLA16/04H·BAL21/04A·DUK27/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.000.470.870.331.13
vs Stronger (10)0.501.000.670.670.251.50
vs Similar (20)0.351.000.331.000.361.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Gjilani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GjilaniGjilani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W13L10W00D10W23L00D10W30WA·SUH01/03H·FER09/03A·MAL12/03H·PRI15/03A·DRI27/03H·FER05/04H·LLA13/04A·BAL17/04H·DUK21/04H·SUH26/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.471.060.250.430.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.770.471.060.250.430.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Feronikeli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Feronikeli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.571.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
FER (14)
€3m
VUS (3)
€0m
Feronikeli's squad is €2m less valuable than Gjilani's (€3m vs €4m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
FER (7)
€1m
VUS (0)
€0m
Feronikeli and Gjilani have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
FER (2)
€0m
VUS (0)
€0m
Feronikeli and Gjilani have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
FER (5)
€1m
VUS (3)
€0m
Feronikeli and Gjilani have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
1
FER wins
2
Draws
4
GJI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Feronikeli vs Gjilani · H/A from FER
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/25AGjilani Vs FER1-0
23/11/24HFER Vs Gjilani0-3
16/09/24AGjilani Vs FER2-0
20/04/24AGjilani Vs FER1-1
21/02/24HFER Vs Gjilani0-0
01/11/23AGjilani Vs FER2-1
26/08/23HFER Vs Gjilani1-0

FeronikeliFeronikeli

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/25ADukagjini Vs FER2-1
21/04/25HFER Vs Ballkani3-3
16/04/25ALlapi Vs FER1-0
11/04/25HFER Vs Ferizaj0-1
04/04/25HFER Vs Drita0-1
28/03/25APrishtina Vs FER2-1
16/03/25HFER Vs Malisheva0-0
13/03/25ASuhareka Vs FER2-1
09/03/25AGjilani Vs FER1-0
01/03/25HFER Vs Dukagjini1-0

GjilaniGjilani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/25HGJI Vs Suhareka3-0
21/04/25HGJI Vs Dukagjini1-1
17/04/25ABallkani Vs GJI1-0
13/04/25HGJI Vs Llapi2-3
05/04/25HGJI Vs Ferizaj1-0
27/03/25ADrita Vs GJI4-0
15/03/25HGJI Vs Prishtina1-1
12/03/25AMalisheva Vs GJI4-1
09/03/25HGJI Vs Feronikeli1-0
01/03/25ASuhareka Vs GJI1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Feronikeli
Feronikeli
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL0.84
HomeWDLLD1.20
AwayLLLLL0.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%32%8%
AVG goals2.242.042.44
Over 1.5 %64%48%80%
Over 2.5 %42%32%52%
Over 3.5 %18%20%16%
Scored0.860.840.88
Conceded1.381.201.56
BTTS42%28%56%
Clean Sheet24%32%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Gjilani
Gjilani
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDW1.40
HomeDWLDW1.62
AwayDWLLL1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%42%25%
AVG goals2.662.382.96
Over 1.5 %80%81%79%
Over 2.5 %52%42%62%
Over 3.5 %26%12%42%
Scored1.421.421.42
Conceded1.240.961.54
BTTS66%62%71%
Clean Sheet26%31%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DritaDrita3674
61%
2.1
5926+33
2.4
69%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.60.7
-
2BallkaniBallkani3660
44%
1.7
5940+19
2.8
72%
44%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.61.1
-
3MalishevaMalisheva3653
39%
1.5
4439+5
2.3
61%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.1
-
4GjilaniGjilani3651
36%
1.4
4847+1
2.6
75%
56%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.31.3
-
5FerizajFerizaj3650
39%
1.4
4247-5
2.5
69%
53%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
6PrishtinaPrishtina3648
31%
1.3
4236+6
2.2
61%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.21.0
-
7LlapiLlapi3748
32%
1.3
4241+1
2.2
62%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.1
-
8DukagjiniDukagjini3648
36%
1.3
3545-10
2.2
67%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.01.2
-
9SuharekaSuhareka3643
33%
1.2
4962-13
3.1
89%
72%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
10FeronikeliFeronikeli3616
8%
0.4
2562-37
2.4
67%
47%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.71.7
-
11VushtrriaVushtrria11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

← all matches