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Feronikeli vs Gjilani Result & Analysis

Date: 14/08/2026
Time: 14:30
Final 1-3
Feronikeli
Feronikeli
Vs
25%
30%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Gjilani
Gjilani
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Feronikeli is set to face Gjilani in the Kosovo: Superliga on August 15. The storyline here is that Gjilani's recent form is on a 2-game winning run, following a 3-2 win against Prishtina e Re, while Feronikeli is on a 5-game winning run, having beaten Ramiz Sadiku 2-0 in their last match.

The model predicts an away win for Gjilani, with a 44% chance of this happening, while Feronikeli has a 25% chance of winning and a 30% chance of drawing. The expected total number of goals in this match is 2.3, with a most likely total of 2 goals.

The most likely score is 1-1, with a 14.2% probability. Feronikeli has been scoring an average of 1.86 goals at home against similar opponents, while conceding 0.43 goals. Gjilani has been scoring 1.33 goals away against similar opponents, while conceding 1.33 goals.

The model's selection is Under 3.5, with an 80.4% probability. The suggested picks are Under 3.5 (80.4%), with no other selections provided. Feronikeli has a 25% chance of winning, a 30% chance of drawing, and a 44% chance of losing.

Results analysis

Today's match between Feronikeli and Gjilani saw the away team's winning streak extend to four games, with a 1-3 scoreline. The actual result was an away win, which was the model's correct call. The model had selected the away win with a 44% probability.

In the model's selections, the under 3.5 total goals prediction missed, despite having an 80.4% probability. The model's selection was correct, but several other selections did not come to fruition, including the under 3.5 total goals. The most likely score was a 1-1 draw, but the actual result was a 1-3 away win.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Feronikeli win✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied 31.2% · @ 2.87
Edge
-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.03
Pinnacle
3.01
10Bet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.97
Betfair
2.88
Draw✗ Miss
30.5%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.20
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.26
Marathonbet
3.26
Betfair
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Gjilani win✓ Hit
44.1%
Avg Implied 40.8% · @ 2.20
Edge
+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.32
Dafabet
2.32
William Hil
2.25
10Bet
2.25
Betfair
2.20

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FeronikeliFeronikeli

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W31W20W11D22D30W31W30W30W20WA·TEF23/03H·VJO29/03A·KEK04/04H·VUS11/04H·TRE18/04A·2 K25/04H·IST03/05A·PRI09/05H·TRE16/05A·RAM23/05← Liga E PareSuperliga →
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.730.572.000.471.470.67
vs Stronger (7)1.430.711.500.501.331.00
vs Similar (21)1.950.482.300.401.640.55
vs Weaker (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Gjilani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GjilaniGjilani

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W11D23L11D13L11D12L12L20W32WA·PRI04/04A·BAL12/04H·DUK19/04A·PRI25/04A·MAL29/04H·FER03/05A·DRE09/05H·LLA17/05A·DRI24/05H·PRI31/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.331.431.501.311.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.371.331.431.501.311.19
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Feronikeli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.7%
@ 1.30-2.7%
Under 1.5
32.3%
@ 3.09+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.35
Betfair
1.30
Pinnacle
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.11
Marathonbet
3.08
1xBet
3.08
10Bet
3.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
39.8%
@ 2.00-6.4%
Under 2.5
60.2%
@ 1.72+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.05
Bet365
2.05
Betfair
2.00
Betano
1.98
Marathonbet
1.97
Under
Bet365
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Pinnacle
1.73
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
19.6%
@ 3.62-5.7%
Under 3.5
80.4%
@ 1.23+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.80
10Bet
3.70
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
Under
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.3%
@ 1.78-5.0%
No
53.7%
@ 1.88+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
10Bet
1.80
Betfair
1.80
William Hil
1.80
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
No
Betfair
1.91
1xBet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.88
William Hil
1.85
10Bet
1.85

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%@ 5.92+7.1%
0-1
12.3%@ 6.64+6.0%
0-0
11.6%@ 8.52+6.6%
0-2
9.0%@ 9.61+4.7%
1-2
8.6%@ 8.46+3.6%
1-0
8.4%@ 7.79+3.0%
2-1
6.1%@ 9.77+1.8%
2-0
4.6%@ 12.66+1.3%
Feronikeli goals ↓
Gjilani goals →
01234
012%12%9.0%4.0%1.3%
18.4%14%8.6%3.8%1.3%
24.6%6.1%4.1%1.8%0.6%
31.5%1.9%1.3%0.6%0.2%
40.3%0.5%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Feronikeli goals (down), columns = Gjilani goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Drita
1.83
Malisheva
1.64
Ballkani
1.61
Drenica Skënderaj
1.43
Dukagjini
1.42
Gjilani
1.42
Llapi
1.41
Prishtina
1.36
Feronikeli
1.04
Vushtrria
0.45
Feronikeli is 0.38 points worse than Gjilani in terms of average points per game (1.04 vs 1.42).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ballkani
1.69
Malisheva
1.61
Prishtina
1.44
Drita
1.39
Drenica Skënderaj
1.31
Gjilani
1.31
Llapi
1.30
Dukagjini
1.17
Feronikeli
0.97
Vushtrria
0.42
Feronikeli is 0.34 goals worse than Gjilani in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.31).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Drita
0.97
Dukagjini
1.00
Ballkani
1.14
Gjilani
1.33
Llapi
1.35
Malisheva
1.39
Prishtina
1.42
Drenica Skënderaj
1.49
Feronikeli
1.68
Vushtrria
3.89
Feronikeli is 0.35 goals worse than Gjilani in terms of goals conceded per game (1.68 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FeronikeliFeronikeli

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W10W00D11D00D20W20W20W10WH·LIR15/03A·TEF23/03A·KEK04/04H·VUS11/04H·TRE18/04A·2 K25/04H·IST03/05A·PRI09/05H·TRE16/05A·RAM23/05← Liga E PareSuperliga →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.230.800.130.600.33
vs Stronger (7)0.570.430.500.250.670.67
vs Similar (21)0.810.191.000.100.640.27
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %83% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Gjilani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GjilaniGjilani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L01L00D02L00D02L12L10W21WA·PRI04/04A·BAL12/04H·DUK19/04A·PRI25/04A·MAL29/04H·FER03/05A·DRE09/05H·LLA17/05A·DRI24/05H·PRI31/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.730.710.790.380.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.530.730.710.790.380.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Feronikeli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Feronikeli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FeronikeliFeronikeli

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W11D11D30W11D10W10W10WH·LIR15/03A·TEF23/03A·KEK04/04H·VUS11/04H·TRE18/04A·2 K25/04H·IST03/05A·PRI09/05H·TRE16/05A·RAM23/05← Liga E PareSuperliga →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.301.130.270.870.33
vs Stronger (7)0.860.291.000.250.670.33
vs Similar (21)1.100.241.200.201.000.27
vs Weaker (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Gjilani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GjilaniGjilani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W22D11D11D11D10W00D10W11DA·PRI04/04A·BAL12/04H·DUK19/04A·PRI25/04A·MAL29/04H·FER03/05A·DRE09/05H·LLA17/05A·DRI24/05H·PRI31/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.600.710.710.940.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.830.600.710.710.940.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Feronikeli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Feronikeli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.580.4%1.23
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-+5.7%✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
FER (14)
€3m
DS (8)
€1m
VUS (3)
€0m
Feronikeli's squad is €2m less valuable than Gjilani's (€3m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
FER (7)
€1m
DS (5)
€0m
VUS (0)
€0m
Feronikeli and Gjilani have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
FER (2)
€0m
DS (1)
€0m
VUS (0)
€0m
Feronikeli and Gjilani have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
FER (5)
€1m
VUS (3)
€0m
DS (2)
€0m
Feronikeli and Gjilani have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
FER wins
2
Draws
5
GJI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Feronikeli vs Gjilani · H/A from FER
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/25HFER Vs Gjilani2-3
09/03/25AGjilani Vs FER1-0
23/11/24HFER Vs Gjilani0-3
16/09/24AGjilani Vs FER2-0
20/04/24AGjilani Vs FER1-1
21/02/24HFER Vs Gjilani0-0
01/11/23AGjilani Vs FER2-1
26/08/23HFER Vs Gjilani1-0

FeronikeliFeronikeli

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26ARamiz Sadiku Vs FER0-2
16/05/26HFER Vs Trepça Mitrovicë3-0
09/05/26APrizreni Vs FER0-3
03/05/26HFER Vs Istogu3-1
25/04/26A2 Korriku Vs FER0-3
18/04/26HFER Vs Trepça'892-2
11/04/26HFER Vs Vushtrria1-1
04/04/26AKEK-u Vs FER0-2
29/03/26HFER Vs Vjosa3-1
23/03/26ATefik Canga Vs FER0-1

GjilaniGjilani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/05/26HGJI Vs Prishtina e Re3-2
24/05/26ADrita Vs GJI0-2
17/05/26HGJI Vs Llapi1-2
09/05/26ADrenica Skënderaj Vs GJI2-1
03/05/26HGJI Vs Ferizaj1-1
29/04/26AMalisheva Vs GJI3-1
25/04/26APrishtina Vs GJI1-1
19/04/26HGJI Vs Dukagjini2-3
12/04/26ABallkani Vs GJI1-1
04/04/26APrishtina e Re Vs GJI1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Feronikeli
Feronikeli
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.60
HomeWDDWW2.00
AwayWWWWW1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%60%32%
AVG goals2.382.442.32
Over 1.5 %64%68%60%
Over 2.5 %46%48%44%
Over 3.5 %22%24%20%
Scored1.421.641.20
Conceded0.960.801.12
BTTS40%40%40%
Clean Sheet44%48%40%
Corners---
Cards---
Gjilani
Gjilani
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWW1.42
HomeLLDLW1.31
AwayDDLLW1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%35%42%
AVG goals2.622.542.71
Over 1.5 %74%69%79%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %28%27%29%
Scored1.281.311.25
Conceded1.341.231.46
BTTS62%58%67%
Clean Sheet24%27%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1MalishevaMalisheva37
67%
2.3
102+8
4.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2123.30.7
-
2GjilaniGjilani37
67%
2.3
73+4
3.3
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.31.0
-
3PrishtinaPrishtina26
100%
3.0
82+6
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4124.01.0
-
4DritaDrita26
100%
3.0
63+3
4.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3233.01.5
-
5BallkaniBallkani36
67%
2.0
65+1
3.7
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3222.01.7
-
6DukagjiniDukagjini35
33%
1.7
32+1
1.7
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.00.7
-
7Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj32
0%
0.7
13-2
1.3
67%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.31.0
-
8FeronikeliFeronikeli30
0%
0.0
17-6
2.7
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.32.3
-
9VushtrriaVushtrria30
0%
0.0
29-7
3.7
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.73.0
-
10LlapiLlapi30
0%
0.0
311-8
4.7
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.03.7
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

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