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Feronikeli vs Malisheva Result & Analysis

Date: 27/04/2024
Time: 13:00
Final 2-1
Feronikeli
Feronikeli
Vs
21%
34%
45%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Malisheva
Malisheva
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Feronikeli winâś“ Hit
20.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
33.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Malisheva winâś— Miss
45.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

FeronikeliFeronikeli

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L01L20W01L01L10W00D02L11DH·GJI21/02A·MAL24/02H·LLA02/03A·LIR10/03H·DRI14/03A·DUK17/03H·FUS31/03H·PRI07/04H·BAL13/04A·GJI20/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.330.530.871.131.80
vs Stronger (10)0.502.100.001.601.002.60
vs Similar (20)1.000.950.800.501.201.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Malisheva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MalishevaMalisheva

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W21W32W02L21W30W11D11D31W01LA·PRI21/02H·FER24/02A·GJI03/03A·BAL10/03H·LLA13/03A·LIR16/03H·DRI30/03H·DUK06/04A·FUS14/04H·PRI21/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.171.931.331.331.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.301.301.181.451.421.17
vs Weaker (7)2.710.714.001.001.000.33
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Feronikeli) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%17%027%128%216%38%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
56.1%
Under 1.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
28.0%
Under 2.5
72.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
11.5%
Under 3.5
88.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
35.3%
No
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
17.1%
0-1
17.0%
1-1
13.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-1 âś“
4.4%
0-3
4.0%
Feronikeli goals ↓
Malisheva goals →
01234
017%17%10%4.0%1.2%
19.7%14%7.2%2.8%0.8%
23.8%4.4%2.5%1.0%0.3%
30.9%1.0%0.6%0.2%0.1%
40.2%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Feronikeli goals (down), columns = Malisheva goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ballkani
2.17
Llapi
1.97
Drita
1.86
Malisheva
1.58
Prishtina
1.36
Feronikeli
1.27
Dukagjini
1.25
Gjilani
1.25
Fushë Kosova
0.56
Liria Prizren
0.39
Prishtina e Re
0.00
Feronikeli is 0.31 points worse than Malisheva in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 1.58).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ballkani
1.72
Malisheva
1.61
Llapi
1.56
Drita
1.36
Gjilani
1.19
Prishtina
1.14
Feronikeli
1.08
Dukagjini
1.06
Liria Prizren
0.72
Fushë Kosova
0.56
Prishtina e Re
0.00
Feronikeli is 0.53 goals worse than Malisheva in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.61).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ballkani
0.72
Drita
0.75
Llapi
0.75
Prishtina
0.89
Prishtina e Re
1.00
Gjilani
1.06
Malisheva
1.25
Feronikeli
1.27
Dukagjini
1.33
Fushë Kosova
1.78
Liria Prizren
2.17
Feronikeli is 0.02 goals worse than Malisheva in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.25).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FeronikeliFeronikeli

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D00D00D00D01L10W00D01L11DH·GJI21/02A·MAL24/02H·LLA02/03A·LIR10/03H·DRI14/03A·DUK17/03H·FUS31/03H·PRI07/04H·BAL13/04A·GJI20/04
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.630.200.270.401.00
vs Stronger (10)0.300.800.000.600.601.00
vs Similar (20)0.300.550.300.100.301.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Malisheva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MalishevaMalisheva

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W00D21W00D10W11D00D10W00DH·FUS18/02A·PRI21/02H·FER24/02A·GJI03/03A·BAL10/03A·LIR16/03H·DRI30/03H·DUK06/04A·FUS14/04H·PRI21/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.470.600.530.670.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.610.520.450.550.750.50
vs Weaker (7)0.710.291.000.500.330.00
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Feronikeli) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Feronikeli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FeronikeliFeronikeli

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L01L20W01L00D00D00D01L00DH·GJI21/02A·MAL24/02H·LLA02/03A·LIR10/03H·DRI14/03A·DUK17/03H·FUS31/03H·PRI07/04H·BAL13/04A·GJI20/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.700.330.600.730.80
vs Stronger (10)0.201.300.001.000.401.60
vs Similar (20)0.700.400.500.400.900.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Malisheva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MalishevaMalisheva

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W21W11D02L20W00D11D21W01LH·FUS18/02A·PRI21/02H·FER24/02A·GJI03/03A·BAL10/03A·LIR16/03H·DRI30/03H·DUK06/04A·FUS14/04H·PRI21/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.731.400.870.670.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.740.830.821.000.670.67
vs Weaker (7)2.000.433.000.500.670.33
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Feronikeli) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Feronikeli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.588.5%-------âś“ Hit
Under 2.572.0%-------âś— Miss

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
FER (14)
€3m
Feronikeli's squad is €2m less valuable than Malisheva's (€3m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
FER (7)
€1m
Feronikeli and Malisheva have a similar attack value (both €1m).

đź§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
FER (2)
€0m
Feronikeli and Malisheva have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
FER (5)
€1m
Feronikeli's defence is €1m less valuable than Malisheva's (€1m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
FER wins
1
Draws
2
MAL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Feronikeli vs Malisheva · H/A from FER
DateH/AGameScore
24/02/24AMalisheva Vs FER2-1
04/11/23HFER Vs Malisheva0-0
02/09/23AMalisheva Vs FER4-1

FeronikeliFeronikeli

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/04/24AGjilani Vs FER1-1
13/04/24HFER Vs Ballkani0-2
07/04/24HFER Vs Prishtina0-0
31/03/24HFER Vs Fushë Kosova1-0
17/03/24ADukagjini Vs FER1-0
14/03/24HFER Vs Drita0-1
10/03/24ALiria Prizren Vs FER0-2
02/03/24HFER Vs Llapi0-1
24/02/24AMalisheva Vs FER2-1
21/02/24HFER Vs Gjilani0-0

MalishevaMalisheva

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/04/24HMAL Vs Prishtina0-1
14/04/24AFushë Kosova Vs MAL1-3
06/04/24HMAL Vs Dukagjini1-1
30/03/24HMAL Vs Drita1-1
16/03/24ALiria Prizren Vs MAL0-3
13/03/24HMAL Vs Llapi2-1
10/03/24ABallkani Vs MAL2-0
03/03/24AGjilani Vs MAL2-3
24/02/24HMAL Vs Feronikeli2-1
21/02/24APrishtina Vs MAL0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Feronikeli
Feronikeli
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLD1.03
HomeLLWDL1.27
AwayDLWLD0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%33%20%
AVG goals2.171.402.93
Over 1.5 %60%40%80%
Over 2.5 %37%27%47%
Over 3.5 %17%0%33%
Scored0.830.531.13
Conceded1.330.871.80
BTTS33%7%60%
Clean Sheet33%53%13%
Corners---
Cards---
Malisheva
Malisheva
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWL1.60
HomeWWDDL1.56
AwayWWLWW1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%44%48%
AVG goals2.662.962.36
Over 1.5 %66%72%60%
Over 2.5 %50%48%52%
Over 3.5 %32%36%28%
Scored1.461.641.28
Conceded1.201.321.08
BTTS56%64%48%
Clean Sheet30%24%36%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BallkaniBallkani3678
64%
2.2
6226+36
2.4
78%
44%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.70.7
-
2LlapiLlapi3671
58%
2.0
5627+29
2.3
64%
42%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.60.8
-
3DritaDrita3667
53%
1.9
4927+22
2.1
58%
33%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.40.8
-
4MalishevaMalisheva3657
47%
1.6
5845+13
2.9
67%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.2
-
5PrishtinaPrishtina3649
31%
1.4
4132+9
2.0
56%
39%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.10.9
-
6FeronikeliFeronikeli3747
35%
1.3
4047-7
2.4
62%
43%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.11.3
-
7GjilaniGjilani3645
31%
1.2
4338+5
2.2
69%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.21.1
-
8DukagjiniDukagjini3645
28%
1.2
3848-10
2.4
67%
44%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.11.3
-
9Fushë KosovaFushë Kosova3620
11%
0.6
2064-44
2.3
67%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.8
-
10Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren3614
6%
0.4
2678-52
2.9
72%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.2
-
11Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re10
0%
0.0
01-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.0
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

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