This highly anticipated matchup in the Finland: Veikkausliiga pits FF Jaro against AC Oulu, with both teams seeking a crucial win. Recent form has been a major storyline, as FF Jaro suffered two consecutive defeats, while AC Oulu is coming off a loss. Despite this, FF Jaro has a slight edge at home, boasting a 37% chance of winning, compared to AC Oulu's 36% away win probability and 27% draw probability.
The expected total goals stands at 2.9, with the most likely outcome being a draw, specifically a 1-1 scoreline, with a 12.7% probability. FF Jaro has struggled to find the back of the net at home, averaging 1.18 goals per match, while conceding 1.55. AC Oulu, on the other hand, has scored 1.62 goals away from home, but also conceded an identical number.
The model suggests the Over 1.5 goals selection with a 79.8% probability, indicating a high-scoring encounter. FF Jaro's home win percentage is 37%, the draw percentage is 27%, and the away win percentage is 36%. The model's selection is a Home win, which has a 37% chance of occurring.
Results analysis
The upset came early as AC Oulu snatched a 1-0 win, ending FF Jaro’s four-game losing streak. The pre-match favourite was a home win, with a 37 % probability, but the model was wrong. The final score of 0-1 confirmed an away victory. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.3 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.0 %, Under 6.5 at 97.1 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.6 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 95.8 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 94.2 %, and Home under 3.5 goals at 93.8 %. Each probability was expressed as a percentage and mentioned only once.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FF Jaro win✗ Miss
37.2%
Avg Implied 30.1% · @ 3.08
Edge
+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.25
Unibet
3.20
1xBet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.14
Dafabet
3.10
Draw✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied 26.3% · @ 3.52
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.81
Marathonbet
3.64
1xBet
3.60
Dafabet
3.60
Betfair
3.60
AC Oulu win✓ Hit
35.7%
Avg Implied 43.6% · @ 2.12
Edge
-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.23
Betano
2.18
Superbet
2.17
Pinnacle
2.16
SBO
2.15
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FF Jaro
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.93
1.46
1.62
1.06
2.18
vs Stronger (7)
1.14
2.71
1.50
3.00
1.00
2.60
vs Similar (23)
1.26
1.70
1.45
1.36
1.08
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Oulu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AC Oulu
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.40
1.20
1.27
1.13
1.53
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (25)
1.20
1.48
1.23
1.38
1.17
1.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (FF Jaro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.7%
@ 1.21+2.7%
Under 1.5
20.3%
@ 4.04-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.48
Betfair
4.33
Unibet
4.10
Superbet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.05
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.5%
@ 1.70+0.4%
Under 2.5
44.5%
@ 2.09-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.75
1xBet
1.74
10Bet
1.73
BetVictor
1.71
Under
Pinnacle
2.23
SBO
2.14
Marathonbet
2.13
Betfair
2.10
Unibet
2.10
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.1%
@ 2.72-1.0%
Under 3.5
66.9%
@ 1.41+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
2.88
10Bet
2.80
Pinnacle
2.78
Bet365
2.75
1xBet
2.72
Under
Pinnacle
1.47
Betfair
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Unibet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.8%
@ 1.59+1.6%
No
40.2%
@ 2.21-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.60
William Hil
1.60
BetVictor
1.60
No
Betfair
2.30
Unibet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.24
Superbet
2.22
BetVictor
2.20
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%@ 6.33+5.8%
2-1
8.5%@ 9.74+4.0%
1-2
8.3%@ 7.84+2.7%
1-0
6.9%@ 10.13+2.6%
0-1 ✓
6.7%@ 8.22+1.4%
0-0
6.6%@ 11.52+2.8%
2-2
6.1%@ 11.15+2.2%
2-0
5.9%@ 15.68+3.1%
FF Jaro goals ↓
AC Oulu goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
6.7%
5.6%
2.7%
1.0%
1
6.9%
13%
8.3%
4.0%
1.4%
2
5.9%
8.5%
6.1%
2.9%
1.0%
3
2.9%
4.2%
3.0%
1.4%
0.5%
4
1.1%
1.5%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FF Jaro goals (down), columns = AC Oulu goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
KuPS
1.95
Inter Turku
1.91
HJK Helsinki
1.68
Gnistan
1.64
AC Oulu
1.55
VPS
1.50
Lahti
1.45
Turku PS
1.41
Ilves
1.14
SJK
0.86
FF Jaro
0.68
Mariehamn
0.64
FF Jaro is 0.86 points worse than AC Oulu in terms of average points per game (0.68 vs 1.55).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
KuPS
1.73
HJK Helsinki
1.64
Gnistan
1.64
Ilves
1.55
VPS
1.32
Inter Turku
1.32
Turku PS
1.27
Lahti
1.18
SJK
1.14
AC Oulu
1.14
FF Jaro
0.82
Mariehamn
0.77
FF Jaro is 0.32 goals worse than AC Oulu in terms of goals scored per game (0.82 vs 1.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Inter Turku
0.73
Lahti
0.86
VPS
1.00
KuPS
1.05
Turku PS
1.05
AC Oulu
1.14
HJK Helsinki
1.23
Gnistan
1.32
SJK
1.50
Ilves
1.68
Mariehamn
1.95
FF Jaro
2.00
FF Jaro is 0.86 goals worse than AC Oulu in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.14).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Inter Turku
58%
KuPS
57%
Lahti
56%
HJK Helsinki
55%
SJK
50%
Turku PS
50%
Ilves
49%
VPS
48%
AC Oulu
48%
FF Jaro
47%
Mariehamn
45%
Gnistan
44%
FF Jaro is 1.3 percentage points worse than AC Oulu in terms of average possession (47% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FF Jaro
For 4.0 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 8.8 · Total 19.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AC Oulu
For 5.0 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.7 · Against 13.1 · Total 21.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FF Jaro
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.2
9.8
1.3
1.6
1.0
18.4
18.9
17.6
vs Stronger (10)
10.3
9.0
13.0
0.9
1.5
0.5
17.0
20.0
11.0
vs Similar (39)
10.0
10.5
9.3
1.5
1.7
1.2
18.6
18.7
18.6
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
45%
50%
38%
16%
24%
8%
35%
33%
38%
% under line
55%
50%
62%
84%
76%
92%
65%
67%
62%
This opponent (AC Oulu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AC Oulu
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
11.5
8.9
1.4
1.4
1.4
22.7
25.0
20.8
vs Stronger (9)
10.0
12.0
8.7
1.9
2.0
1.8
21.8
25.5
19.3
vs Similar (41)
10.1
11.3
9.0
1.3
1.3
1.3
23.0
24.8
21.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
75%
30%
24%
26%
22%
56%
88%
30%
% under line
50%
25%
70%
76%
74%
78%
44%
12%
70%
This opponent (FF Jaro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gnistan
11.5
Inter Turku
10.7
Mariehamn
10.3
SJK
10.1
Ilves
10.1
AC Oulu
10.1
FF Jaro
10.1
HJK Helsinki
9.9
KuPS
9.9
VPS
9.8
Lahti
9.8
Turku PS
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lahti
4.5
Turku PS
4.3
Gnistan
4.0
AC Oulu
3.9
SJK
3.9
Mariehamn
3.9
Ilves
3.8
Inter Turku
3.8
VPS
3.6
FF Jaro
3.3
KuPS
3.2
HJK Helsinki
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SJK
23.8
Inter Turku
23.3
Ilves
23.2
Lahti
23.1
AC Oulu
22.7
Gnistan
22.5
VPS
22.4
KuPS
22.0
Mariehamn
21.9
Turku PS
21.8
HJK Helsinki
20.5
FF Jaro
18.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
37.7%
@ 1.75-15.1%
Under 9.5
62.3%
@ 1.95+15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Pinnacle
1.76
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.72
Under
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.01
Marathonbet
2.00
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
1.96
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
39.3%
Under 3.5
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
34.4%
Under 21.5
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FF Jaro or Draw✗ Miss
64.3%
Avg Implied 55.8% · @ 1.66
Edge
+8.4%
37%
27%
36%
covers FF Jaro + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Unibet
1.68
1xBet
1.68
SBO
1.67
FF Jaro or AC Oulu✓ Hit
72.9%
Avg Implied 74.2% · @ 1.25
Edge
-1.3%
37%
27%
36%
covers FF Jaro + AC Oulu
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Draw or AC Oulu✓ Hit
62.8%
Avg Implied 69.9% · @ 1.33
Edge
-7.1%
37%
27%
36%
covers Draw + AC Oulu
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FF Jaro over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
77.0%
@ 1.30+5.7%
Under
23.0%
@ 3.23-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
1xBet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.45
Marathonbet
3.26
Betano
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.20
FF Jaro over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
43.1%
@ 2.49+5.7%
Under
56.9%
@ 1.49-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.60
1xBet
2.55
BetVictor
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.46
Under
Pinnacle
1.53
Betano
1.52
Marathonbet
1.51
Superbet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
FF Jaro over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.3%
@ 5.82+2.4%
Under
81.7%
@ 1.10-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.15
Marathonbet
5.90
10Bet
5.75
BetVictor
5.75
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
FF Jaro over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.2%
@ 14.08-0.6%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.02+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
AC Oulu over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.2%
@ 1.18-2.2%
Under
23.8%
@ 4.30+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
Under
Pinnacle
4.61
Unibet
4.40
BetVictor
4.33
1xBet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
AC Oulu over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
42.0%
@ 1.94-6.1%
Under
58.0%
@ 1.80+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.98
Pinnacle
1.97
1xBet
1.97
BetVictor
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
Unibet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
1xBet
1.80
Superbet
1.80
AC Oulu over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.5%
@ 3.93-6.1%
Under
82.5%
@ 1.21+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.20
1xBet
4.10
Pinnacle
4.02
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.25
Betano
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
AC Oulu over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.8%
@ 8.96-4.6%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.04+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
9.10
Marathonbet
8.70
Superbet
8.30
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FF Jaro, so a minus line means FF Jaro give that many goals of a start and AC Oulu receive them. At -1, FF Jaro must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FF Jaro win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FF Jaro)Actual: AC Oulu
FF Jaro -2
6.9%
@ 15.00+0.8%
Draw -2
11.3%
@ 8.70+0.8%
AC Oulu +2
81.7%
@ 1.10-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
13.00
Draw
Bet365
9.50
Superbet
7.90
Away
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Handicap -1 (FF Jaro)Actual: AC Oulu
FF Jaro -1
18.3%
@ 6.35+4.2%
Draw -1
18.9%
@ 4.78+0.2%
AC Oulu +1
62.8%
@ 1.33-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.40
10Bet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.25
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Unibet
4.75
10Bet
4.50
Away
10Bet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Unibet
1.30
Handicap +1 (FF Jaro)Actual: Draw
FF Jaro +1
64.3%
@ 1.67+11.0%
Draw +1
18.5%
@ 3.86-4.6%
AC Oulu -1
17.2%
@ 3.78-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.69
Betfair
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Superbet
1.66
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.84
10Bet
3.75
Away
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Superbet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.72
Handicap +2 (FF Jaro)Actual: FF Jaro
FF Jaro +2
82.8%
@ 1.22+9.7%
Draw +2
10.8%
@ 5.83-4.5%
AC Oulu -2
6.4%
@ 7.70-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
Draw
Marathonbet
6.10
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.80
Unibet
5.40
Away
Bet365
8.50
Marathonbet
7.70
Superbet
7.60
Unibet
7.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FF Jaro
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.83
0.92
0.62
0.65
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.00
1.50
0.50
0.20
1.20
vs Similar (23)
0.83
0.78
0.82
0.64
0.83
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Oulu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AC Oulu
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.63
0.47
0.33
0.53
0.93
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.40
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (25)
0.48
0.68
0.46
0.31
0.50
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (FF Jaro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
66.6%
@ 1.32-3.7%
Under 0.5
33.4%
@ 3.14+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
BetVictor
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.32
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.22
Superbet
3.15
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
33.4%
@ 2.49-3.9%
Under 1.5
66.6%
@ 1.48+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.60
Pinnacle
2.55
1xBet
2.53
William Hil
2.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.52
Unibet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Superbet
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.0%
@ 5.79-6.0%
Under 2.5
90.0%
@ 1.10+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
William Hil
6.00
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.90
Marathonbet
5.65
Under
Betano
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FF Jaro over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.7%
@ 2.12-1.1%
Under
57.3%
@ 1.65+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.20
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.13
10Bet
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.68
10Bet
1.67
Superbet
1.65
Betano
1.65
Unibet
1.65
FF Jaro over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.3%
@ 6.82-2.3%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.07+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.40
Marathonbet
7.20
Superbet
6.60
10Bet
6.50
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
FF Jaro over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 20.17-2.8%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
AC Oulu over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
44.2%
@ 1.81-7.1%
Under
55.8%
@ 1.91+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.90
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Superbet
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
2.00
Unibet
1.95
10Bet
1.90
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.89
AC Oulu over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.7%
@ 5.13-6.4%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.13+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.40
Marathonbet
5.25
Betano
5.10
10Bet
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
AC Oulu over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 13.67-5.3%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.02+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Superbet
15.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FF Jaro
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
1.10
0.54
1.00
0.41
1.18
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.71
0.00
2.50
0.80
1.40
vs Similar (23)
0.43
0.91
0.64
0.73
0.25
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Oulu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AC Oulu
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.77
0.73
0.93
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.60
0.50
0.00
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.80
0.77
1.08
0.67
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (FF Jaro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.1%
Under 0.5
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
43.1%
Under 1.5
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.7%
Under 2.5
81.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FF Jaro over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
50.4%
Under
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FF Jaro over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.6%
Under
83.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FF Jaro over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Oulu over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
52.5%
Under
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Oulu over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.8%
Under
83.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Oulu over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.2%
Under
95.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
1.02
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
94.2%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.6%
1.04
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Superbet
1.04
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.0%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.7%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.3%
1.13
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
83.1%
1.14
Pinnacle
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Unibet
1.15
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
82.9%
1.37
Superbet
1.43
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
-
+15.9%
-
Home +2 handicap
82.8%
1.22
Unibet
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
-
+9.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
82.5%
1.21
Pinnacle
1.25
Betano
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
81.7%
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-1.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
81.7%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
-2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.7%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+2.7%
✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5 cards
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
77.0%
1.30
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
1xBet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
+5.7%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
76.2%
1.18
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
-2.2%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
73.8%
1.65
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.64
Betano
1.62
+17.6%
-
Home or Away
72.9%
1.25
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
-1.3%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FF Jaro
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
H. Sjögrell38%
R. Vikström25%
Kaius Hardén17%
Fabian Östigard Ness17%
A. Vidjeskog0%
Johan Brunell0%
J. Myrevik0%
M. Ogungbaro0%
Senne Vits0%
Erik Gunnarsson0%
Aron Bjonbäck0%
J. Skau0%
Mats Pedersen0%
Oliver Kass Kawo0%
V. Vuorinen0%
Linus Zetterstrom0%
Joas Vikström0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
A. Vidjeskog50%
M. Ogungbaro29%
J. Skau25%
R. Vikström25%
Oliver Kass Kawo17%
V. Vuorinen12%
Johan Brunell0%
J. Myrevik0%
Senne Vits0%
Erik Gunnarsson0%
Aron Bjonbäck0%
H. Sjögrell0%
Mats Pedersen0%
Kaius Hardén0%
Fabian Östigard Ness0%
Linus Zetterstrom0%
Joas Vikström0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mats Pedersen25%
Oliver Kass Kawo17%
H. Sjögrell12%
V. Vuorinen12%
A. Vidjeskog0%
Johan Brunell0%
J. Myrevik0%
M. Ogungbaro0%
Senne Vits0%
Erik Gunnarsson0%
Aron Bjonbäck0%
J. Skau0%
Kaius Hardén0%
R. Vikström0%
Fabian Östigard Ness0%
Linus Zetterstrom0%
Joas Vikström0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
H. Sjögrell38%
Kaius Hardén17%
R. Vikström12%
A. Vidjeskog0%
Johan Brunell0%
J. Myrevik0%
M. Ogungbaro0%
Senne Vits0%
Erik Gunnarsson0%
Aron Bjonbäck0%
J. Skau0%
Mats Pedersen0%
Oliver Kass Kawo0%
V. Vuorinen0%
Fabian Östigard Ness0%
Linus Zetterstrom0%
Joas Vikström0%
AC Oulu
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Julius Körkkö40%
Kalifa Jatta25%
Iiro Mendolin17%
Elias Kallio17%
R. Karjalainen14%
Juha Pirinen0%
Miguel Santos0%
M. Ojala0%
M. Pitkänen0%
Tuomas Kaukua0%
N. Jokelainen0%
L. Ghezali0%
S. Sipola0%
Otto Kemppainen0%
J. Lietsa0%
Santeri Silander0%
Julius Paananen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Julius Körkkö40%
M. Ojala33%
Julius Paananen33%
Juha Pirinen29%
M. Pitkänen25%
J. Lietsa25%
Otto Kemppainen20%
Iiro Mendolin17%
Miguel Santos0%
R. Karjalainen0%
Tuomas Kaukua0%
N. Jokelainen0%
L. Ghezali0%
S. Sipola0%
Santeri Silander0%
Kalifa Jatta0%
Elias Kallio0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
R. Karjalainen29%
Julius Körkkö20%
Iiro Mendolin17%
L. Ghezali14%
Juha Pirinen0%
Miguel Santos0%
M. Ojala0%
M. Pitkänen0%
Tuomas Kaukua0%
N. Jokelainen0%
S. Sipola0%
Otto Kemppainen0%
J. Lietsa0%
Santeri Silander0%
Julius Paananen0%
Kalifa Jatta0%
Elias Kallio0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julius Körkkö60%
R. Karjalainen43%
Julius Paananen17%
Elias Kallio17%
Juha Pirinen0%
Miguel Santos0%
M. Ojala0%
M. Pitkänen0%
Tuomas Kaukua0%
N. Jokelainen0%
L. Ghezali0%
S. Sipola0%
Otto Kemppainen0%
J. Lietsa0%
Santeri Silander0%
Iiro Mendolin0%
Kalifa Jatta0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (30)
€7m
HH (28)
€7m
IT (25)
€5m
ILV (23)
€4m
SJK (26)
€4m
AO (23)
€4m
VPS (22)
€3m
GNI (21)
€3m
LAH (22)
€3m
MAR (23)
€2m
TP (22)
€2m
FJ (20)
€2m
FF Jaro's squad is €1m less valuable than AC Oulu's (€2m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (10)
€2m
KUP (9)
€2m
IT (9)
€2m
SJK (8)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
ILV (7)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
GNI (6)
€1m
LAH (9)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
FF Jaro and AC Oulu have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (9)
€3m
HH (6)
€1m
ILV (5)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
SJK (9)
€1m
FJ (6)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
MAR (4)
€1m
GNI (5)
€1m
LAH (3)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
FF Jaro and AC Oulu have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (12)
€3m
KUP (12)
€3m
IT (11)
€2m
ILV (11)
€2m
SJK (9)
€2m
VPS (12)
€1m
AO (11)
€1m
GNI (10)
€1m
LAH (10)
€1m
TP (10)
€1m
MAR (10)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
FF Jaro and AC Oulu have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Finland: Veikkausliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Veikkausliiga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
KuPS
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
VPS
Lahti
Turku PS
Ilves
SJK
Mariehamn