This opponent (Inter Turku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Inter Turku
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.20
0.80
2.60
0.93
1.80
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
2.05
0.86
2.64
1.09
1.45
0.64
vs Weaker (8)
2.62
0.62
2.50
0.50
2.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (FF Jaro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.1%
Under 1.5
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.2%
Under 2.5
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.8%
Under 3.5
66.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.3%
No
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.4%
0-1 â
8.9%
0-0
6.4%
1-3
6.2%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
FF Jaro goals ↓
Inter Turku goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.4%
8.9%
9.4%
5.8%
2.7%
1
4.6%
12%
9.9%
6.2%
2.9%
2
3.0%
5.6%
5.2%
3.3%
1.5%
3
1.1%
2.0%
1.8%
1.2%
0.5%
4
0.3%
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FF Jaro goals (down), columns = Inter Turku goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Turku PS
3.00
KuPS
2.09
Inter Turku
1.91
Ilves
1.88
SJK
1.84
HJK Helsinki
1.53
FF Jaro
1.26
Mariehamn
1.19
VPS
1.15
Gnistan
1.03
AC Oulu
1.00
Kooteepee
0.72
Haka
0.63
FF Jaro is 0.65 points worse than Inter Turku in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.91).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Turku PS
3.00
HJK Helsinki
2.31
SJK
2.19
Ilves
2.12
KuPS
1.94
Inter Turku
1.88
Gnistan
1.47
VPS
1.37
FF Jaro
1.30
AC Oulu
1.30
Mariehamn
1.26
Kooteepee
1.14
Haka
1.11
FF Jaro is 0.58 goals worse than Inter Turku in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 1.88).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Turku PS
1.00
Inter Turku
1.03
KuPS
1.06
Ilves
1.41
VPS
1.56
SJK
1.59
HJK Helsinki
1.62
FF Jaro
1.63
Haka
1.85
Mariehamn
1.96
AC Oulu
1.96
Gnistan
2.03
Kooteepee
2.31
FF Jaro is 0.60 goals worse than Inter Turku in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 1.03).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
HJK Helsinki
58%
Ilves
54%
KuPS
53%
VPS
50%
Kooteepee
50%
Inter Turku
50%
SJK
49%
AC Oulu
49%
FF Jaro
49%
Mariehamn
48%
Gnistan
44%
Haka
44%
Turku PS
37%
FF Jaro is 0.8 percentage points worse than Inter Turku in terms of average possession (49% vs 50%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
FF Jaro
ðĐ Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
ðĻ Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
â ïļ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Inter Turku
ðĐ Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
ðĻ Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
â ïļ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
FF Jaro
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (42)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (33)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Inter Turku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Inter Turku
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
9.5
8.5
0.5
0.3
0.6
24.8
29.0
22.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (39)
8.8
9.5
8.5
0.6
0.4
0.8
24.8
29.0
22.8
vs Weaker (11)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
33%
50%
25%
6%
4%
7%
83%
100%
75%
% under line
67%
50%
75%
94%
96%
93%
17%
0%
25%
This opponent (FF Jaro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gnistan
12.5
Kooteepee
11.3
SJK
10.6
Haka
10.5
Mariehamn
10.4
VPS
9.9
KuPS
9.7
Inter Turku
9.7
Ilves
9.6
HJK Helsinki
9.3
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Kooteepee
4.8
Gnistan
4.5
Mariehamn
4.5
Inter Turku
4.4
Haka
4.4
KuPS
4.4
SJK
4.0
Ilves
3.9
VPS
3.7
HJK Helsinki
3.3
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ilves
25.2
Inter Turku
24.7
Mariehamn
24.5
SJK
24.0
KuPS
23.9
HJK Helsinki
23.1
Kooteepee
22.8
Haka
22.4
VPS
22.1
Gnistan
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.9%
Under 9.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
60.0%
Under 3.5
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
69.7%
Under 21.5
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FF Jaro
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.53
1.21
0.21
0.69
0.81
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
1.04
0.54
1.45
0.27
0.69
0.77
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.75
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Turku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Inter Turku
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.27
0.93
0.20
0.80
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.91
0.32
0.91
0.27
0.91
0.36
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
0.12
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (FF Jaro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FF Jaro over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FF Jaro over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FF Jaro over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Turku over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Turku over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Turku over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FF Jaro
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.60
1.14
0.86
0.94
0.38
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
1.00
0.46
1.09
0.64
0.92
0.31
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
0.75
2.00
1.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Turku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Inter Turku
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.53
1.67
0.73
1.00
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.14
0.55
1.73
0.82
0.55
0.27
vs Weaker (8)
1.88
0.50
1.50
0.50
2.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (FF Jaro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FF Jaro over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FF Jaro over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FF Jaro over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Turku over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Turku over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Turku over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 2.5 cards
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
FF Jaro
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kerfala Cissoko50%
Severi KÃĪhkÃķnen25%
Albin BjÃķrkskog25%
Sergei Eremenko12%
Michael Ogungbaro12%
Rudi Vikstrom12%
Guillermo Sotelo0%
Robin Polley0%
Miguel Santos0%
Samouil Izountouemoi0%
Manasse Kusu0%
Filip ValenÄiÄ0%
Adam Vidjeskog0%
Johan Brunell0%
Jim Myrevik0%
Joni Remesaho0%
Erik Gunnarsson0%
Sami Sipola0%
Aron BjonbÃĪck0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Guillermo Sotelo33%
Sami Sipola33%
Erik Gunnarsson20%
Kerfala Cissoko12%
Sergei Eremenko12%
Severi KÃĪhkÃķnen12%
Jim Myrevik12%
Albin BjÃķrkskog12%
Robin Polley0%
Miguel Santos0%
Samouil Izountouemoi0%
Manasse Kusu0%
Filip ValenÄiÄ0%
Adam Vidjeskog0%
Johan Brunell0%
Joni Remesaho0%
Michael Ogungbaro0%
Aron BjonbÃĪck0%
Rudi Vikstrom0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Guillermo Sotelo33%
Kerfala Cissoko12%
Sergei Eremenko12%
Severi KÃĪhkÃķnen12%
Jim Myrevik12%
Robin Polley0%
Miguel Santos0%
Samouil Izountouemoi0%
Manasse Kusu0%
Filip ValenÄiÄ0%
Adam Vidjeskog0%
Johan Brunell0%
Joni Remesaho0%
Michael Ogungbaro0%
Erik Gunnarsson0%
Sami Sipola0%
Aron BjonbÃĪck0%
Albin BjÃķrkskog0%
Rudi Vikstrom0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sergei Eremenko25%
Adam Vidjeskog14%
Albin BjÃķrkskog12%
Rudi Vikstrom12%
Guillermo Sotelo0%
Robin Polley0%
Miguel Santos0%
Kerfala Cissoko0%
Samouil Izountouemoi0%
Manasse Kusu0%
Filip ValenÄiÄ0%
Johan Brunell0%
Severi KÃĪhkÃķnen0%
Jim Myrevik0%
Joni Remesaho0%
Michael Ogungbaro0%
Erik Gunnarsson0%
Sami Sipola0%
Aron BjonbÃĪck0%
Inter Turku
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Florian Krebs25%
Christian Ouguehi Legbo23%
Antoin Loic Essomba20%
Jean Fiacre KouamÃĐ BotuÃĐ17%
Bismark Ampofo17%
Iiro JÃĪrvinen14%
Axel Kouame14%
Johannes Yli-Kokko11%
Jasse Tuominen10%
Joonas Kekarainen10%
Bart Straalman8%
Albin Granlund0%
Juuso HÃĪmÃĪlÃĪinen0%
Momodou Sarr0%
Julius Tauriainen0%
Seth Saarinen0%
Eetu Huuhtanen0%
Jussi Niska0%
Luka Kuittinen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Florian Krebs33%
Bart Straalman23%
Luka Kuittinen18%
Jean Fiacre KouamÃĐ BotuÃĐ17%
Bismark Ampofo17%
Iiro JÃĪrvinen14%
Axel Kouame14%
Jasse Tuominen10%
Antoin Loic Essomba10%
Momodou Sarr9%
Christian Ouguehi Legbo8%
Albin Granlund0%
Juuso HÃĪmÃĪlÃĪinen0%
Julius Tauriainen0%
Seth Saarinen0%
Johannes Yli-Kokko0%
Eetu Huuhtanen0%
Jussi Niska0%
Joonas Kekarainen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Axel Kouame29%
Seth Saarinen12%
Antoin Loic Essomba10%
Albin Granlund8%
Florian Krebs8%
Jean Fiacre KouamÃĐ BotuÃĐ8%
Christian Ouguehi Legbo8%
Jasse Tuominen0%
Bart Straalman0%
Iiro JÃĪrvinen0%
Juuso HÃĪmÃĪlÃĪinen0%
Momodou Sarr0%
Julius Tauriainen0%
Johannes Yli-Kokko0%
Eetu Huuhtanen0%
Jussi Niska0%
Luka Kuittinen0%
Joonas Kekarainen0%
Bismark Ampofo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Axel Kouame29%
Jean Fiacre KouamÃĐ BotuÃĐ25%
Florian Krebs17%
Antoin Loic Essomba10%
Bart Straalman8%
Christian Ouguehi Legbo8%
Jasse Tuominen0%
Albin Granlund0%
Iiro JÃĪrvinen0%
Juuso HÃĪmÃĪlÃĪinen0%
Momodou Sarr0%
Julius Tauriainen0%
Seth Saarinen0%
Johannes Yli-Kokko0%
Eetu Huuhtanen0%
Jussi Niska0%
Luka Kuittinen0%
Joonas Kekarainen0%
Bismark Ampofo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (30)
€7m
HH (28)
€7m
IT (25)
€5m
ILV (23)
€4m
SJK (26)
€4m
AO (23)
€4m
VPS (22)
€3m
GNI (21)
€3m
MAR (23)
€2m
TP (22)
€2m
FJ (20)
€2m
HAK (21)
€1m
KOO (19)
€1m
FF Jaro's squad is €3m less valuable than Inter Turku's (€2m vs €5m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (10)
€2m
KUP (9)
€2m
IT (9)
€2m
SJK (8)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
ILV (7)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
GNI (6)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
KOO (10)
€1m
HAK (7)
€0m
FF Jaro's attack is €1m less valuable than Inter Turku's (€1m vs €2m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (9)
€3m
HH (6)
€1m
ILV (5)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
SJK (9)
€1m
FJ (6)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
MAR (4)
€1m
GNI (5)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
HAK (5)
€0m
KOO (2)
€0m
FF Jaro and Inter Turku have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (12)
€3m
KUP (12)
€3m
IT (11)
€2m
ILV (11)
€2m
SJK (9)
€2m
VPS (12)
€1m
AO (11)
€1m
GNI (10)
€1m
TP (10)
€1m
MAR (10)
€1m
HAK (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
KOO (7)
€0m
FF Jaro's defence is €1m less valuable than Inter Turku's (€1m vs €2m).
Finland: Veikkausliiga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Veikkausliiga stats & trends →