This opponent (Mariehamn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mariehamn
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.83
1.25
1.75
1.00
1.89
vs Stronger (16)
0.88
2.25
1.25
2.25
0.50
2.25
vs Similar (14)
1.36
1.36
1.25
0.75
1.40
1.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (FF Jaro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.2%
Under 1.5
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.7%
Under 2.5
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.0%
Under 3.5
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.5%
No
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.8%
1-0
9.4%
0-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
0-2
5.2%
FF Jaro goals ↓
Mariehamn goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.8%
7.6%
5.2%
2.1%
0.6%
1
9.4%
14%
7.4%
2.9%
0.9%
2
7.5%
8.8%
5.2%
2.0%
0.6%
3
3.5%
4.1%
2.4%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.2%
1.4%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FF Jaro goals (down), columns = Mariehamn goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Turku PS
3.00
KuPS
2.09
Inter Turku
1.91
Ilves
1.88
SJK
1.84
HJK Helsinki
1.53
FF Jaro
1.26
Mariehamn
1.19
VPS
1.15
Gnistan
1.03
AC Oulu
1.00
Kooteepee
0.72
Haka
0.63
FF Jaro is 0.07 points better than Mariehamn in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.19).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Turku PS
3.00
HJK Helsinki
2.31
SJK
2.19
Ilves
2.12
KuPS
1.94
Inter Turku
1.88
Gnistan
1.47
VPS
1.37
FF Jaro
1.30
AC Oulu
1.30
Mariehamn
1.26
Kooteepee
1.14
Haka
1.11
FF Jaro is 0.04 goals better than Mariehamn in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 1.26).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Turku PS
1.00
Inter Turku
1.03
KuPS
1.06
Ilves
1.41
VPS
1.56
SJK
1.59
HJK Helsinki
1.62
FF Jaro
1.63
Haka
1.85
Mariehamn
1.96
AC Oulu
1.96
Gnistan
2.03
Kooteepee
2.31
FF Jaro is 0.33 goals better than Mariehamn in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 1.96).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
HJK Helsinki
58%
Ilves
54%
KuPS
53%
VPS
50%
Kooteepee
50%
Inter Turku
50%
SJK
49%
AC Oulu
49%
FF Jaro
49%
Mariehamn
48%
Gnistan
44%
Haka
44%
Turku PS
37%
FF Jaro is 0.8 percentage points better than Mariehamn in terms of average possession (49% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FF Jaro
For 3.5 · Against 7.5 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.5 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 6.5 · Against 6.0 · Total 12.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Mariehamn
For 9.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 16.0 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FF Jaro
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (49)
11.0
-
11.0
0.2
0.0
0.3
12.5
-
12.5
vs Stronger (4)
13.0
-
13.0
0.8
0.0
1.0
11.0
-
11.0
vs Similar (38)
9.0
-
9.0
0.1
0.0
0.2
14.0
-
14.0
vs Weaker (7)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
-
50%
2%
0%
4%
0%
-
0%
% under line
50%
-
50%
98%
100%
96%
100%
-
100%
This opponent (Mariehamn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mariehamn
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
12.0
13.0
10.0
0.3
0.4
0.1
22.7
26.0
16.0
vs Stronger (27)
11.0
11.0
-
0.1
0.3
0.0
26.0
26.0
-
vs Similar (23)
12.5
15.0
10.0
0.4
0.8
0.2
21.0
26.0
16.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
100%
100%
100%
4%
9%
0%
67%
100%
0%
% under line
0%
0%
0%
96%
91%
100%
33%
0%
100%
This opponent (FF Jaro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AC Oulu
12.0
Gnistan
11.7
Kooteepee
11.3
FF Jaro
11.0
SJK
10.6
Haka
10.5
Mariehamn
10.4
VPS
10.0
KuPS
9.8
Ilves
9.7
Inter Turku
9.7
HJK Helsinki
9.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Gnistan
6.0
AC Oulu
5.0
Kooteepee
4.9
Inter Turku
4.5
Mariehamn
4.4
Haka
4.4
KuPS
4.3
SJK
4.1
FF Jaro
4.0
Ilves
4.0
VPS
3.6
HJK Helsinki
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
AC Oulu
25.5
Ilves
25.0
Inter Turku
24.6
Mariehamn
24.5
SJK
23.9
KuPS
23.8
HJK Helsinki
22.9
Kooteepee
22.9
Haka
22.5
Gnistan
22.3
VPS
22.2
FF Jaro
12.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
62.9%
Under 9.5
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
65.0%
Under 3.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
59.2%
Under 21.5
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FF Jaro
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.73
0.92
0.38
0.76
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.88
0.75
1.00
0.45
0.77
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Mariehamn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mariehamn
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.70
0.58
0.33
0.28
0.94
vs Stronger (16)
0.38
0.69
0.75
0.25
0.00
1.12
vs Similar (14)
0.43
0.71
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (FF Jaro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FF Jaro over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FF Jaro over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FF Jaro over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FF Jaro
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.70
1.23
0.85
1.06
0.59
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.67
0.00
3.00
1.50
1.00
vs Similar (24)
1.08
0.46
1.27
0.55
0.92
0.38
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
1.67
2.00
2.00
1.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Mariehamn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mariehamn
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.13
0.67
1.42
0.72
0.94
vs Stronger (16)
0.50
1.56
0.50
2.00
0.50
1.12
vs Similar (14)
0.93
0.64
1.00
0.25
0.90
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (FF Jaro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FF Jaro over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FF Jaro over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FF Jaro over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FF Jaro
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kerfala Cissoko50%
Severi Kähkönen25%
Albin Björkskog25%
Sergei Eremenko12%
Michael Ogungbaro12%
Rudi Vikstrom12%
Guillermo Sotelo0%
Robin Polley0%
Miguel Santos0%
Samouil Izountouemoi0%
Manasse Kusu0%
Filip Valenčič0%
Adam Vidjeskog0%
Johan Brunell0%
Jim Myrevik0%
Joni Remesaho0%
Erik Gunnarsson0%
Sami Sipola0%
Aron Bjonbäck0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Guillermo Sotelo33%
Sami Sipola33%
Erik Gunnarsson20%
Kerfala Cissoko12%
Sergei Eremenko12%
Severi Kähkönen12%
Jim Myrevik12%
Albin Björkskog12%
Robin Polley0%
Miguel Santos0%
Samouil Izountouemoi0%
Manasse Kusu0%
Filip Valenčič0%
Adam Vidjeskog0%
Johan Brunell0%
Joni Remesaho0%
Michael Ogungbaro0%
Aron Bjonbäck0%
Rudi Vikstrom0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Guillermo Sotelo33%
Kerfala Cissoko12%
Sergei Eremenko12%
Severi Kähkönen12%
Jim Myrevik12%
Robin Polley0%
Miguel Santos0%
Samouil Izountouemoi0%
Manasse Kusu0%
Filip Valenčič0%
Adam Vidjeskog0%
Johan Brunell0%
Joni Remesaho0%
Michael Ogungbaro0%
Erik Gunnarsson0%
Sami Sipola0%
Aron Bjonbäck0%
Albin Björkskog0%
Rudi Vikstrom0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sergei Eremenko25%
Adam Vidjeskog14%
Albin Björkskog12%
Rudi Vikstrom12%
Guillermo Sotelo0%
Robin Polley0%
Miguel Santos0%
Kerfala Cissoko0%
Samouil Izountouemoi0%
Manasse Kusu0%
Filip Valenčič0%
Johan Brunell0%
Severi Kähkönen0%
Jim Myrevik0%
Joni Remesaho0%
Michael Ogungbaro0%
Erik Gunnarsson0%
Sami Sipola0%
Aron Bjonbäck0%
Mariehamn
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Korede Adedoyin55%
Leo Andersson40%
Olawale Muhamed Tehe29%
Emmanuel Okereke20%
Jelle van der Heyden10%
Jiri Nissinen9%
Daniel Enqvist8%
Niilo Kujasalo8%
Noah Nurmi0%
Matias Riikonen0%
Sebastian Dahlström0%
Anttoni Huttunen0%
Hugo Alexandre Santos Cardoso0%
Admiral Muskwe0%
Pontus Lindgren0%
Jayden Reid0%
Michael Fonsell0%
Emmanuel Patut0%
Arvid Lundberg0%
Wille Nuñez0%
Emir El Kathemi0%
Rasmus Holmberg0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Korede Adedoyin27%
Emmanuel Patut27%
Hugo Alexandre Santos Cardoso20%
Jayden Reid20%
Olawale Muhamed Tehe14%
Matias Riikonen12%
Pontus Lindgren11%
Emmanuel Okereke10%
Jiri Nissinen9%
Sebastian Dahlström9%
Daniel Enqvist8%
Noah Nurmi0%
Jelle van der Heyden0%
Anttoni Huttunen0%
Admiral Muskwe0%
Michael Fonsell0%
Niilo Kujasalo0%
Arvid Lundberg0%
Leo Andersson0%
Wille Nuñez0%
Emir El Kathemi0%
Rasmus Holmberg0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anttoni Huttunen33%
Hugo Alexandre Santos Cardoso20%
Jayden Reid20%
Jiri Nissinen9%
Korede Adedoyin9%
Emmanuel Patut9%
Daniel Enqvist8%
Niilo Kujasalo8%
Noah Nurmi0%
Jelle van der Heyden0%
Matias Riikonen0%
Sebastian Dahlström0%
Olawale Muhamed Tehe0%
Admiral Muskwe0%
Pontus Lindgren0%
Michael Fonsell0%
Arvid Lundberg0%
Leo Andersson0%
Emmanuel Okereke0%
Wille Nuñez0%
Emir El Kathemi0%
Rasmus Holmberg0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Korede Adedoyin27%
Hugo Alexandre Santos Cardoso20%
Leo Andersson20%
Niilo Kujasalo17%
Olawale Muhamed Tehe14%
Jayden Reid10%
Noah Nurmi0%
Jelle van der Heyden0%
Matias Riikonen0%
Jiri Nissinen0%
Sebastian Dahlström0%
Anttoni Huttunen0%
Admiral Muskwe0%
Pontus Lindgren0%
Daniel Enqvist0%
Michael Fonsell0%
Emmanuel Patut0%
Arvid Lundberg0%
Emmanuel Okereke0%
Wille Nuñez0%
Emir El Kathemi0%
Rasmus Holmberg0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (30)
€7m
HH (28)
€7m
IT (25)
€5m
ILV (23)
€4m
SJK (26)
€4m
AO (23)
€4m
VPS (22)
€3m
GNI (21)
€3m
MAR (23)
€2m
TP (22)
€2m
FJ (20)
€2m
HAK (21)
€1m
KOO (19)
€1m
FF Jaro and Mariehamn have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (10)
€2m
KUP (9)
€2m
IT (9)
€2m
SJK (8)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
ILV (7)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
GNI (6)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
KOO (10)
€1m
HAK (7)
€0m
FF Jaro and Mariehamn have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (9)
€3m
HH (6)
€1m
ILV (5)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
SJK (9)
€1m
FJ (6)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
MAR (4)
€1m
GNI (5)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
HAK (5)
€0m
KOO (2)
€0m
FF Jaro and Mariehamn have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (12)
€3m
KUP (12)
€3m
IT (11)
€2m
ILV (11)
€2m
SJK (9)
€2m
VPS (12)
€1m
AO (11)
€1m
GNI (10)
€1m
TP (10)
€1m
MAR (10)
€1m
HAK (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
KOO (7)
€0m
FF Jaro and Mariehamn have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Finland: Veikkausliiga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Veikkausliiga stats & trends →