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Fgura United vs Birzebbuga Result & Analysis

Date: 23/11/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 0-3
Fgura United
Fgura United
Vs
45%
26%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Birzebbuga
Birzebbuga
Malta: Challenge League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fgura United win✗ Miss
45.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Birzebbuga win✓ Hit
29.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Fgura UnitedFgura United

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W20W32W51W23L10W20W31W23L21WH·ZEB02/03H·SEN09/03A·LIJ29/03H·SIR05/04A·MTA12/04A·ZEB14/09H·SAN20/09A·MAR27/09H·MEL25/10A·ST.02/11
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.101.731.131.671.07
vs Stronger (23)1.571.131.541.081.601.20
vs Similar (2)2.501.00--2.501.00
vs Weaker (5)2.001.003.001.501.330.67
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Birzebbuga) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BirzebbugaBirzebbuga

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-832W01L01L32W82WH·PIE13/09A·MGA21/09H·SWI28/09A·ZUR25/10H·MTA02/11
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.801.603.671.671.501.50
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (3)3.671.673.671.67--
vs Weaker (1)3.002.00--3.002.00
Clean sheet %0% (-26pp vs league)
This opponent (Fgura United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.7%
Under 1.5
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.1%
Under 2.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.7%
Under 3.5
62.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.6%
No
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
6.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
Fgura United goals ↓
Birzebbuga goals →
01234
05.5%5.1%4.2%1.9%0.7%
16.7%12%7.3%3.4%1.2%
26.7%9.2%6.3%2.9%1.0%
33.9%5.3%3.7%1.7%0.6%
41.7%2.3%1.6%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fgura United goals (down), columns = Birzebbuga goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Balzan FC
2.18
Swieqi United
2.14
Birzebbuga
2.04
Melita
1.67
Sirens
1.59
Pietà Hotspurs
1.59
Mgarr United
1.50
Fgura United
1.45
Gudja United
1.45
Santa Lucía
1.36
Zurrieq
1.23
St. Andrews
1.23
Vittoriosa Stars
0.95
Zebbug Rangers
0.91
Marsa
0.86
Mtarfa
0.18
Fgura United is 0.59 points worse than Birzebbuga in terms of average points per game (1.45 vs 2.04).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sirens
2.27
Balzan FC
2.27
Swieqi United
2.23
Birzebbuga
2.09
Pietà Hotspurs
1.91
Fgura United
1.86
Mgarr United
1.86
Melita
1.86
Santa Lucía
1.82
Zurrieq
1.64
Marsa
1.45
Gudja United
1.32
St. Andrews
1.18
Vittoriosa Stars
1.18
Zebbug Rangers
1.05
Mtarfa
0.45
Fgura United is 0.22 goals worse than Birzebbuga in terms of goals scored per game (1.86 vs 2.09).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Balzan FC
0.95
Gudja United
1.14
Swieqi United
1.18
Birzebbuga
1.22
Melita
1.33
Santa Lucía
1.41
Sirens
1.50
Mgarr United
1.50
Vittoriosa Stars
1.50
Pietà Hotspurs
1.55
Fgura United
1.68
Zurrieq
1.73
St. Andrews
1.73
Marsa
1.73
Zebbug Rangers
2.05
Mtarfa
4.27
Fgura United is 0.46 goals worse than Birzebbuga in terms of goals conceded per game (1.68 vs 1.22).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Fgura UnitedFgura United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W10W31W01L10W00D21W02L10WH·ZEB02/03H·SEN09/03A·LIJ29/03H·SIR05/04A·MTA12/04A·ZEB14/09H·SAN20/09A·MAR27/09H·MEL25/10A·ST.02/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.530.530.731.070.33
vs Stronger (23)0.700.610.620.690.800.50
vs Similar (2)2.000.00--2.000.00
vs Weaker (5)0.800.400.001.001.330.00
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Birzebbuga) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BirzebbugaBirzebbuga

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D00D10W41WH·PIE13/09A·MGA21/09H·SWI28/09A·ZUR25/10H·MTA02/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.401.330.670.500.00
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (3)1.330.671.330.67--
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Fgura United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fgura United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fgura United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fgura United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birzebbuga over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birzebbuga over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birzebbuga over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Fgura UnitedFgura United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W10W22D20W22D00D20W10W21W11DH·ZEB02/03H·SEN09/03A·LIJ29/03H·SIR05/04A·MTA12/04A·ZEB14/09H·SAN20/09A·MAR27/09H·MEL25/10A·ST.02/11
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.571.200.400.600.73
vs Stronger (23)0.870.520.920.380.800.70
vs Similar (2)0.501.00--0.501.00
vs Weaker (5)1.200.603.000.500.000.67
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Birzebbuga) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BirzebbugaBirzebbuga

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W01L01L22D41WH·PIE13/09A·MGA21/09H·SWI28/09A·ZUR25/10H·MTA02/11
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.202.331.001.001.50
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (3)2.331.002.331.00--
vs Weaker (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
Clean sheet %0% (-26pp vs league)
This opponent (Fgura United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fgura United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fgura United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fgura United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birzebbuga over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birzebbuga over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birzebbuga over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BIR (14)
€3m
BF (10)
€2m
SU (2)
€0m
GU (1)
€0m
ZUR (1)
€0m
ZR (1)
€0m
FU (1)
€0m
Fgura United's squad is €3m less valuable than Birzebbuga's (€0m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BF (4)
€1m
BIR (4)
€1m
SU (2)
€0m
FU (1)
€0m
GU (0)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
Fgura United and Birzebbuga have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BIR (6)
€2m
BF (2)
€0m
GU (1)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Fgura United's midfield is €2m less valuable than Birzebbuga's (€0m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BIR (4)
€1m
BF (4)
€1m
ZUR (1)
€0m
ZR (1)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
GU (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Fgura United and Birzebbuga have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
FU wins
0
Draws
0
BIR wins

Head-to-head

Fgura United vs Birzebbuga · H/A from FU
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Fgura UnitedFgura United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/11/25ASt. Andrews Vs FU1-2
25/10/25HFU Vs Melita2-3
27/09/25AMarsa Vs FU1-3
20/09/25HFU Vs Santa Lucía2-0
14/09/25AZebbug Rangers Vs FU0-1
12/04/25AMtarfa Vs FU3-2
05/04/25HFU Vs Sirens5-1
29/03/25ALija Athletic Vs FU2-3
09/03/25HFU Vs Senglea Athletic2-0
02/03/25HFU Vs Zebbug Rangers5-1

BirzebbugaBirzebbuga

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/11/25HBIR Vs Mtarfa8-2
25/10/25AZurrieq Vs BIR2-3
28/09/25HBIR Vs Swieqi United0-1
21/09/25AMgarr United Vs BIR1-0
13/09/25HBIR Vs Pietà Hotspurs3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Fgura United
Fgura United
Malta: Challenge League
Recent: 8 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW1.64
HomeWWWWL1.08
AwayWLWWW2.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%29%65%
AVG goals2.903.082.73
Over 1.5 %68%75%62%
Over 2.5 %58%54%62%
Over 3.5 %34%33%35%
Scored1.681.621.73
Conceded1.221.461.00
BTTS54%58%50%
Clean Sheet32%21%42%
Corners---
Cards---
Birzebbuga
Birzebbuga
Malta: Challenge League
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWW1.80
HomeWLW2.00
AwayLW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%67%50%
AVG goals4.405.333.00
Over 1.5 %60%67%50%
Over 2.5 %60%67%50%
Over 3.5 %60%67%50%
Scored2.803.671.50
Conceded1.601.671.50
BTTS60%67%50%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Balzan FCBalzan FC2248
68%
2.2
5021+29
3.2
86%
64%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.31.0
-
2Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United2247
64%
2.1
4926+23
3.4
91%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
3BirzebbugaBirzebbuga2347
61%
2.0
4828+20
3.3
78%
65%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1212.11.2
-
4SirensSirens2235
50%
1.6
5033+17
3.8
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.5
-
5MelitaMelita2135
52%
1.7
3928+11
3.2
81%
62%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.3
-
6Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs2235
45%
1.6
4234+8
3.5
82%
64%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.5
-
7Mgarr UnitedMgarr United2233
41%
1.5
4133+8
3.4
82%
55%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.5
-
8Fgura UnitedFgura United2232
45%
1.5
4137+4
3.5
86%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.7
-
9Gudja UnitedGudja United2232
36%
1.5
2925+4
2.5
73%
45%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.1
-
10Santa LucíaSanta Lucía2230
32%
1.4
4031+9
3.2
82%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.4
-
11ZurrieqZurrieq2227
36%
1.2
3638-2
3.4
82%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
12St. AndrewsSt. Andrews2227
36%
1.2
2638-12
2.9
82%
64%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
13Vittoriosa StarsVittoriosa Stars2221
23%
1.0
2633-7
2.7
68%
41%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
14Zebbug RangersZebbug Rangers2220
23%
0.9
2345-22
3.1
77%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
15MarsaMarsa2219
18%
0.9
3238-6
3.2
82%
64%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.7
-
16MtarfaMtarfa224
5%
0.2
1094-84
4.7
95%
77%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.54.3
-
Malta: Challenge League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Malta: Challenge League stats & trends →

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