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Fgura United vs Pietà Hotspurs Result & Analysis

Date: 26/10/2024
Time: 17:30
Final 1-2
Fgura United
Fgura United
Vs
36%
29%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Pietà Hotspurs
Pietà Hotspurs
Malta: Challenge League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fgura United win✗ Miss
36.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs win✓ Hit
35.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Fgura UnitedFgura United

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D10W11D22D11D01L21W12L10WA·ST.09/03H·LIJ16/03A·TAR07/04H·ZEJ14/04A·MSI21/04H·SWI26/04H·ST.14/09A·MTA22/09H·MAR28/09A·SWI20/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.331.331.531.801.13
vs Stronger (25)1.481.401.331.531.701.20
vs Similar (3)2.331.00--2.331.00
vs Weaker (2)1.501.00--1.501.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Pietà Hotspurs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L03L31W03L42W15L21W12L10W31WH·MEL09/03A·ZUR16/03H·ZAB06/04A·MAR14/04H·SEN20/04A·MEL27/04A·LIJ14/09H·ZUR22/09A·SAN29/09H·TAR19/10
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.171.600.931.201.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.271.321.601.201.001.42
vs Weaker (8)1.750.751.600.402.001.33
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Fgura United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%016%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.1%
Under 1.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.9%
Under 2.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.1%
Under 3.5
72.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.8%
No
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
0-0
8.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
8.1%
1-2 ✓
8.1%
2-0
6.3%
0-2
6.1%
Fgura United goals ↓
Pietà Hotspurs goals →
01234
08.4%8.1%6.1%2.7%0.9%
18.3%14%8.1%3.5%1.1%
26.3%8.3%5.4%2.3%0.8%
32.8%3.7%2.4%1.0%0.3%
40.9%1.2%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fgura United goals (down), columns = Pietà Hotspurs goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Valletta FC
2.68
Tarxien Rainbows
1.77
Fgura United
1.64
Swieqi United
1.64
Pietà Hotspurs
1.59
Zurrieq
1.45
Santa Lucía
1.45
Mgarr United
1.41
St. Andrews
1.32
Marsa
1.32
Sirens
1.23
Gudja United
1.23
Zebbug Rangers
0.95
Mtarfa
0.91
Lija Athletic
0.86
Senglea Athletic
0.64
Fgura United is 0.05 points better than Pietà Hotspurs in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 1.59).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Valletta FC
2.23
Fgura United
1.68
Sirens
1.68
Santa Lucía
1.64
Pietà Hotspurs
1.55
Swieqi United
1.50
Zurrieq
1.45
Mgarr United
1.45
Marsa
1.45
Gudja United
1.36
Zebbug Rangers
1.32
Tarxien Rainbows
1.32
Lija Athletic
1.14
St. Andrews
1.09
Mtarfa
1.05
Senglea Athletic
0.91
Fgura United is 0.14 goals better than Pietà Hotspurs in terms of goals scored per game (1.68 vs 1.55).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Valletta FC
0.32
Tarxien Rainbows
1.00
Fgura United
1.09
St. Andrews
1.23
Mgarr United
1.27
Swieqi United
1.32
Pietà Hotspurs
1.36
Zurrieq
1.41
Gudja United
1.55
Marsa
1.55
Lija Athletic
1.73
Senglea Athletic
1.73
Mtarfa
1.77
Zebbug Rangers
1.82
Sirens
1.82
Santa Lucía
1.86
Fgura United is 0.27 goals better than Pietà Hotspurs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.09 vs 1.36).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Fgura UnitedFgura United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D00D01L20W01L01L11D11D10WA·ST.09/03H·LIJ16/03A·TAR07/04H·ZEJ14/04A·MSI21/04H·SWI26/04H·ST.14/09A·MTA22/09H·MAR28/09A·SWI20/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.700.500.640.810.75
vs Stronger (25)0.520.760.500.640.550.91
vs Similar (3)1.670.33--1.670.33
vs Weaker (2)1.000.50--1.000.50
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Pietà Hotspurs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L10W01L11D01L00D11D10W10WH·MEL09/03A·ZUR16/03H·ZAB06/04A·MAR14/04H·SEN20/04A·MEL27/04A·LIJ14/09H·ZUR22/09A·SAN29/09H·TAR19/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.570.690.440.430.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.570.610.640.550.500.67
vs Weaker (7)0.570.430.800.200.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Fgura United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fgura United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fgura United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fgura United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Fgura UnitedFgura United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W10W02L10W00D10W01L00DA·ST.09/03H·LIJ16/03A·TAR07/04H·ZEJ14/04A·MSI21/04H·SWI26/04H·ST.14/09A·MTA22/09H·MAR28/09A·SWI20/10
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.600.860.791.120.44
vs Stronger (25)1.080.600.860.791.360.36
vs Similar (3)0.670.67--0.670.67
vs Weaker (2)0.500.50--0.500.50
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Pietà Hotspurs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L02L21W02L31W14L21W01L00D21WH·MEL09/03A·ZUR16/03H·ZAB06/04A·MAR14/04H·SEN20/04A·MEL27/04A·LIJ14/09H·ZUR22/09A·SAN29/09H·TAR19/10
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.770.880.690.640.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.740.870.910.910.580.83
vs Weaker (7)0.860.430.800.201.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Fgura United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fgura United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fgura United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fgura United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VF (20)
€4m
TR (8)
€1m
SU (2)
€0m
GU (1)
€0m
ZUR (1)
€0m
ZR (1)
€0m
FU (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VF (7)
€2m
TR (2)
€0m
SU (2)
€0m
FU (1)
€0m
GU (0)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VF (5)
€1m
TR (2)
€0m
GU (1)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VF (8)
€2m
TR (4)
€0m
ZUR (1)
€0m
ZR (1)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
GU (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
FU wins
0
Draws
1
PH wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Fgura United vs Pietà Hotspurs · H/A from FU
DateH/AGameScore
30/09/23HFU Vs Pietà Hotspurs0-4

Fgura UnitedFgura United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/10/24ASwieqi United Vs FU0-1
28/09/24HFU Vs Marsa1-2
22/09/24AMtarfa Vs FU1-2
14/09/24HFU Vs St. Andrews0-1
26/04/24HFU Vs Swieqi United1-1
21/04/24AMsida St. Joseph Vs FU2-2
14/04/24HFU Vs Zejtun Corinthians1-1
07/04/24ATarxien Rainbows Vs FU0-1
16/03/24HFU Vs Lija Athletic1-1
09/03/24ASt. Andrews Vs FU0-0

Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/10/24HPH Vs Tarxien Rainbows3-1
29/09/24ASanta Lucía Vs PH0-1
22/09/24HPH Vs Zurrieq1-2
14/09/24ALija Athletic Vs PH1-2
27/04/24AMelita Vs PH5-1
20/04/24HPH Vs Senglea Athletic4-2
14/04/24AMarsa Vs PH3-0
06/04/24HPH Vs Zabbar St. Patrick3-1
16/03/24AZurrieq Vs PH3-0
09/03/24HPH Vs Melita0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Fgura United
Fgura United
Malta: Challenge League
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLW1.46
HomeDDDLL1.20
AwayDWDWW1.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%28%52%
AVG goals2.962.763.16
Over 1.5 %74%76%72%
Over 2.5 %54%40%68%
Over 3.5 %34%28%40%
Scored1.641.481.80
Conceded1.321.281.36
BTTS60%56%64%
Clean Sheet28%28%28%
Corners---
Cards---
Pietà Hotspurs
Pietà Hotspurs
Malta: Challenge League
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWW1.18
HomeLWWLW1.19
AwayLLLWW1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%35%33%
AVG goals2.903.042.75
Over 1.5 %74%77%71%
Over 2.5 %58%54%62%
Over 3.5 %36%42%29%
Scored1.261.351.17
Conceded1.641.691.58
BTTS56%58%54%
Clean Sheet20%19%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Valletta FCValletta FC2259
86%
2.7
497+42
2.5
73%
59%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.20.3
-
2Tarxien RainbowsTarxien Rainbows2239
50%
1.8
2922+7
2.3
77%
45%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.0
-
3Fgura UnitedFgura United2236
50%
1.6
3724+13
2.8
64%
59%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.1
-
4Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United2236
45%
1.6
3329+4
2.8
77%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
5Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs2235
45%
1.6
3430+4
2.9
73%
64%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
6ZurrieqZurrieq2232
41%
1.5
3231+1
2.9
82%
45%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
7Santa LucíaSanta Lucía2232
41%
1.5
3641-5
3.5
82%
68%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.9
-
8Mgarr UnitedMgarr United2231
32%
1.4
3228+4
2.7
82%
41%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
9MarsaMarsa2229
36%
1.3
3234-2
3.0
77%
55%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.5
-
10St. AndrewsSt. Andrews2229
36%
1.3
2427-3
2.3
59%
32%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
11SirensSirens2227
32%
1.2
3740-3
3.5
100%
86%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
12Gudja UnitedGudja United2227
32%
1.2
3034-4
2.9
77%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
13Zebbug RangersZebbug Rangers2221
18%
1.0
2940-11
3.1
86%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
14MtarfaMtarfa2220
27%
0.9
2339-16
2.8
86%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
15Lija AthleticLija Athletic2219
23%
0.9
2538-13
2.9
77%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
16Senglea AthleticSenglea Athletic2214
14%
0.6
2038-18
2.6
82%
55%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
Malta: Challenge League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Malta: Challenge League stats & trends →

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