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Finn Harps vs Cobh Ramblers Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2024
Time: 18:45
Final 2-0
Finn Harps
Finn Harps
Vs
43%
30%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Cobh Ramblers
Cobh Ramblers
Ireland: First Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Finn Harps are tipped to take the match at home, with the model assigning a 43% chance to a win, 30% for a draw and 27% for a Cobh Ramblers victory. The average goal tally sits at 2.4, so a 2-goal total is the most likely outcome, with a 1-1 scoreline emerging as the single most probable result at 14.2%. Finn Harps have been scoring 1.33 goals and conceding 0.56 against similar opposition at home, while Cobh Ramblers average 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded on the road to comparable teams. The model’s selection list contains only one pick: Under 3.5 goals, with a 78.8% probability. The match is expected to end in a Finn Harps win, 1-1 the most likely scoreline, and the overall probabilities for a home win, draw and away win are 43%, 30% and 27% respectively.

Results analysis

After a five-match losing streak, Finn Harps’ win over Cobh Ramblers extended their poor run, but the home side finally broke through. The Pythia model’s pre-match favourite was a home win at 43 percent, and it proved correct as Finn Harps secured a 2-0 victory. The model’s single suggested pick, Under 3.5 goals, hit with a 78.8 percent probability. The most likely scoreline of 1-1 fell short, but the 2-0 result still matched the model’s overall prediction. Finn Harps’ 2-0 win was the sole decisive outcome, confirming the model’s forecast while the selected under-3.5 goal market also delivered.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Finn Harps win✓ Hit
42.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers win✗ Miss
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Finn HarpsFinn Harps

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D02L11D11D10W01L01L12L02L02LH·ATH03/06A·COB07/06H·UCD13/06A·LON28/06H·KER04/07A·COR12/07A·TRE26/07H·BRA02/08A·WEX09/08A·UCD23/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.131.270.800.731.47
vs Stronger (13)1.231.461.171.171.291.71
vs Similar (17)0.820.881.330.560.251.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Cobh Ramblers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L20W14L22D10W03L12L10W20W01LA·BRA03/06H·FIN07/06A·COR13/06H·UCD28/06A·TRE04/07A·WEX12/07H·ATH26/07H·LON02/08A·KER09/08H·COR23/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.501.331.401.001.60
vs Stronger (15)0.871.801.001.750.711.86
vs Similar (9)1.441.111.750.501.201.60
vs Weaker (6)1.501.331.671.671.331.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Finn Harps) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.5%
Under 1.5
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.9%
Under 2.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.2%
Under 3.5
78.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.4%
No
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
2-0 ✓
8.5%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
4.9%
Finn Harps goals ↓
Cobh Ramblers goals →
01234
011%8.3%4.9%1.7%0.4%
111%14%6.5%2.2%0.6%
28.5%8.7%4.4%1.5%0.4%
33.8%3.9%2.0%0.7%0.2%
41.3%1.3%0.7%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Finn Harps goals (down), columns = Cobh Ramblers goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cork City
2.17
UCD
1.55
Athlone Town
1.54
Wexford
1.50
Bray Wanderers
1.41
Finn Harps
1.28
Cobh Ramblers
1.22
Treaty United
1.22
Longford Town
0.81
Kerry
0.75
Finn Harps is 0.06 points better than Cobh Ramblers in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 1.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cork City
1.78
Wexford
1.61
Bray Wanderers
1.49
Athlone Town
1.38
UCD
1.26
Longford Town
1.14
Cobh Ramblers
1.14
Treaty United
1.14
Finn Harps
1.08
Kerry
0.94
Finn Harps is 0.06 goals worse than Cobh Ramblers in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cork City
0.64
UCD
1.03
Treaty United
1.19
Finn Harps
1.19
Bray Wanderers
1.28
Athlone Town
1.31
Wexford
1.50
Kerry
1.53
Cobh Ramblers
1.56
Longford Town
1.78
Finn Harps is 0.36 goals better than Cobh Ramblers in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 1.56).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Finn HarpsFinn Harps

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L01L10W10W00D00D11D01L01LH·ATH03/06A·COB07/06H·UCD13/06A·LON28/06H·KER04/07A·COR12/07A·TRE26/07H·BRA02/08A·WEX09/08A·UCD23/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.570.730.400.330.73
vs Stronger (13)0.690.690.830.500.570.86
vs Similar (17)0.410.470.670.330.120.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Cobh Ramblers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W02L11D00D00D11D00D10W00DA·BRA03/06H·FIN07/06A·COR13/06H·UCD28/06A·TRE04/07A·WEX12/07H·ATH26/07H·LON02/08A·KER09/08H·COR23/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.630.530.600.270.67
vs Stronger (15)0.130.730.120.620.140.86
vs Similar (9)0.780.441.250.250.400.60
vs Weaker (6)0.500.670.671.000.330.33
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Finn Harps) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Finn Harps over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Finn Harps over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Finn Harps over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Finn HarpsFinn Harps

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D01L10W01L00D01L01L01L01L01LH·ATH03/06A·COB07/06H·UCD13/06A·LON28/06H·KER04/07A·COR12/07A·TRE26/07H·BRA02/08A·WEX09/08A·UCD23/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.570.530.400.400.73
vs Stronger (13)0.540.770.330.670.710.86
vs Similar (17)0.410.410.670.220.120.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Cobh Ramblers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L10W12L11D10W03L01L10W10W01LA·BRA03/06H·FIN07/06A·COR13/06H·UCD28/06A·TRE04/07A·WEX12/07H·ATH26/07H·LON02/08A·KER09/08H·COR23/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.870.800.800.730.93
vs Stronger (15)0.731.070.881.120.571.00
vs Similar (9)0.670.670.500.250.801.00
vs Weaker (6)1.000.671.000.671.000.67
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Finn Harps) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Finn Harps over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Finn Harps over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Finn Harps over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FH (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
Finn Harps and Cobh Ramblers have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
FH (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
Finn Harps and Cobh Ramblers have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FH (1)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
Finn Harps and Cobh Ramblers have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CR (2)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
FH (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
Finn Harps and Cobh Ramblers have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
1
FH wins
1
Draws
5
CR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Finn Harps vs Cobh Ramblers · H/A from FH
DateH/AGameScore
07/06/24ACobh Ramblers Vs FH2-0
19/04/24ACobh Ramblers Vs FH2-0
08/03/24HFH Vs Cobh Ramblers0-1
22/09/23ACobh Ramblers Vs FH5-1
14/07/23HFH Vs Cobh Ramblers4-3
05/05/23ACobh Ramblers Vs FH4-1
24/03/23HFH Vs Cobh Ramblers2-2

Finn HarpsFinn Harps

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/24AUCD Vs FH2-0
09/08/24AWexford Vs FH2-0
02/08/24HFH Vs Bray Wanderers1-2
26/07/24ATreaty United Vs FH1-0
12/07/24ACork City Vs FH1-0
04/07/24HFH Vs Kerry1-0
28/06/24ALongford Town Vs FH1-1
13/06/24HFH Vs UCD1-1
07/06/24ACobh Ramblers Vs FH2-0
03/06/24HFH Vs Athlone Town1-1

Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/24HCR Vs Cork City0-1
09/08/24AKerry Vs CR0-2
02/08/24HCR Vs Longford Town1-0
26/07/24HCR Vs Athlone Town1-2
12/07/24AWexford Vs CR3-0
04/07/24ATreaty United Vs CR0-1
28/06/24HCR Vs UCD2-2
13/06/24ACork City Vs CR4-1
07/06/24HCR Vs Finn Harps2-0
03/06/24ABray Wanderers Vs CR3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Finn Harps
Finn Harps
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.14
HomeWDDWL1.40
AwayDLLLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%36%24%
AVG goals2.582.242.92
Over 1.5 %68%60%76%
Over 2.5 %36%32%40%
Over 3.5 %26%24%28%
Scored1.001.080.92
Conceded1.581.162.00
BTTS42%40%44%
Clean Sheet20%32%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Cobh Ramblers
Cobh Ramblers
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL1.52
HomeWDLWL1.68
AwayLLWLW1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%44%36%
AVG goals2.822.682.96
Over 1.5 %74%72%76%
Over 2.5 %48%40%56%
Over 3.5 %30%24%36%
Scored1.421.521.32
Conceded1.401.161.64
BTTS58%56%60%
Clean Sheet34%36%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Cork CityCork City3678
61%
2.2
6423+41
2.4
67%
33%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.6
-
2Athlone TownAthlone Town3960
41%
1.5
5451+3
2.7
69%
54%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
3UCDUCD3859
39%
1.6
4839+9
2.3
71%
42%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.0
-
4WexfordWexford3857
39%
1.5
6157+4
3.1
87%
63%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
5Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3955
38%
1.4
5850+8
2.8
74%
54%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
6Finn HarpsFinn Harps3646
33%
1.3
3943-4
2.3
69%
28%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
7Treaty UnitedTreaty United3644
31%
1.2
4143-2
2.3
64%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
8Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3644
33%
1.2
4156-15
2.7
83%
56%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
9Longford TownLongford Town3629
17%
0.8
4164-23
2.9
81%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
10KerryKerry3627
14%
0.8
3455-21
2.5
81%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
Ireland: First Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →

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