The encounter between First Vienna and Admira Wacker is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win but leaving room for a draw or an away victory. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a modestly high-scoring game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.6% chance. First Vienna’s home form shows they average 1.38 goals scored and 1.38 conceded against similar opposition, while Admira Wacker, on the road, averages 1.23 goals for and 1.62 against. The probabilities of a home win, draw and away win are 41%, 29% and 31% respectively. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls (89.6%), Over 2.5 cards (86.4%), Over 21.5 fouls (79.8%), Over 8.5 corners (76.0%), Over 1.5 (74.9%), Under 3.5 (73.2%) and Over 3.5 cards (71.7%). The match is finely balanced, but the model’s favourite outcome remains a First Vienna victory.
Results analysis
First Vienna extended its two-game winning run with a 2-1 triumph over Admira Wacker, matching the Pythia model’s predicted outcome. The model had named a home win as the favourite, assigning it a 41% probability, and this call proved correct. The match’s final score of 2-1 confirmed the actual result as a home victory. All of the model’s suggested selections hit: over 19.5 fouls at 89.6%, over 2.5 cards at 86.4%, over 21.5 fouls at 79.8%, over 8.5 corners at 76.0%, over 1.5 goals at 74.9%, under 3.5 cards at 73.2%, and over 3.5 cards at 71.7%. The game delivered on every predicted figure, underscoring the model’s accuracy.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
First Vienna win✓ Hit
40.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker win✗ Miss
30.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
First Vienna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.43
1.33
1.33
1.13
1.53
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.25
1.46
1.38
1.38
1.13
1.53
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Admira Wacker
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.27
1.07
1.00
1.13
1.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
-
-
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (28)
1.14
1.29
1.07
1.00
1.23
1.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.9%
Under 1.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.6%
Under 2.5
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.8%
Under 3.5
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.2%
No
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1 ✓
8.8%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
2-2
5.3%
First Vienna goals ↓
Admira Wacker goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.5%
7.5%
5.2%
2.1%
0.6%
1
9.1%
14%
7.4%
3.0%
0.9%
2
7.4%
8.8%
5.3%
2.1%
0.6%
3
3.5%
4.2%
2.5%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.2%
1.5%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = First Vienna goals (down), columns = Admira Wacker goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Grazer AK
2.30
Ried
1.97
First Vienna
1.70
Leoben
1.70
Floridsdorfer AC
1.63
FC Liefering
1.57
Admira Wacker
1.57
SV Horn
1.37
SKN ST. Polten
1.33
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.30
SV Lafnitz
1.23
SV Kapfenberg
1.17
Stripfing
1.17
Dornbirn
1.10
Sturm Graz II
0.77
SKU Amstetten
0.53
First Vienna is 0.13 points better than Admira Wacker in terms of average points per game (1.70 vs 1.57).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ried
2.23
Grazer AK
1.90
First Vienna
1.73
FC Liefering
1.70
SV Lafnitz
1.60
Leoben
1.57
SKN ST. Polten
1.53
Floridsdorfer AC
1.50
SV Kapfenberg
1.40
Admira Wacker
1.40
Stripfing
1.33
SV Horn
1.33
Sturm Graz II
1.30
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.27
Dornbirn
1.07
SKU Amstetten
1.00
First Vienna is 0.33 goals better than Admira Wacker in terms of goals scored per game (1.73 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ried
0.73
Grazer AK
0.90
Admira Wacker
1.03
Leoben
1.03
Floridsdorfer AC
1.10
First Vienna
1.30
FC Liefering
1.33
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.50
SV Horn
1.60
Dornbirn
1.70
SKN ST. Polten
1.73
SV Kapfenberg
1.80
SV Lafnitz
1.90
Stripfing
1.93
SKU Amstetten
2.03
Sturm Graz II
2.23
First Vienna is 0.27 goals worse than Admira Wacker in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 1.03).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ried
56%
SKN ST. Polten
55%
Floridsdorfer AC
54%
Leoben
51%
FC Liefering
51%
First Vienna
50%
Admira Wacker
50%
SV Horn
49%
SV Lafnitz
48%
SKU Amstetten
48%
Grazer AK
48%
SV Kapfenberg
45%
Dornbirn
43%
First Vienna is 0.2 percentage points better than Admira Wacker in terms of average possession (50% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
First Vienna
For 6.1 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 14.2 · Total 26.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Admira Wacker
For 4.6 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 11.7 · Total 23.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
First Vienna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (43)
11.9
12.3
11.5
2.2
2.0
2.4
26.3
28.0
25.1
vs Stronger (3)
17.5
17.5
-
3.3
5.0
0.0
23.5
23.5
-
vs Similar (40)
11.3
10.9
11.5
2.1
1.7
2.5
26.6
29.3
25.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
81%
89%
75%
33%
33%
32%
81%
89%
75%
% under line
19%
11%
25%
67%
67%
68%
19%
11%
25%
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Admira Wacker
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (43)
10.3
9.9
10.6
3.2
3.3
3.1
25.7
26.2
25.2
vs Stronger (3)
11.3
11.0
11.5
4.7
5.0
4.5
26.3
29.0
25.0
vs Similar (40)
10.2
9.8
10.5
3.1
3.2
2.9
25.6
26.0
25.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
69%
57%
80%
40%
36%
43%
76%
79%
73%
% under line
31%
43%
20%
60%
64%
57%
24%
21%
27%
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
First Vienna
11.9
Dornbirn
11.2
Floridsdorfer AC
10.7
Ried
10.4
FC Liefering
10.3
Admira Wacker
10.3
SKU Amstetten
10.0
SV Lafnitz
10.0
SV Kapfenberg
9.9
SV Horn
9.6
SKN ST. Polten
9.5
Grazer AK
9.1
Leoben
7.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Kapfenberg
6.0
SV Horn
5.2
SV Lafnitz
5.0
Floridsdorfer AC
4.8
Dornbirn
4.8
Admira Wacker
4.7
First Vienna
4.6
Ried
4.6
Grazer AK
4.5
SKN ST. Polten
4.4
Leoben
4.4
FC Liefering
4.4
SKU Amstetten
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Floridsdorfer AC
28.7
SV Horn
27.1
FC Liefering
26.9
First Vienna
26.3
Grazer AK
26.3
Dornbirn
26.1
SV Lafnitz
25.8
Admira Wacker
25.7
SV Kapfenberg
25.7
SKU Amstetten
25.1
Ried
24.7
Leoben
23.5
SKN ST. Polten
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
65.0%
Under 9.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
71.7%
Under 3.5
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
79.8%
Under 21.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
First Vienna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.53
0.73
0.47
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.68
0.57
0.77
0.54
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Admira Wacker
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.73
0.33
0.33
0.47
1.13
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
-
-
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (28)
0.43
0.75
0.33
0.33
0.54
1.23
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
First Vienna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
First Vienna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.90
0.60
0.87
0.53
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.57
0.89
0.62
0.85
0.53
0.93
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Admira Wacker
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
0.73
0.67
0.67
0.40
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (28)
0.71
0.54
0.73
0.67
0.69
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
First Vienna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
FL (17)
€5m
FV (24)
€5m
SSP (20)
€4m
AW (23)
€4m
SGI (22)
€4m
SB (22)
€3m
SA (20)
€3m
FA (19)
€3m
SK (23)
€3m
First Vienna and Admira Wacker have a similar squad value (both €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (4)
€3m
RIE (7)
€2m
GA (7)
€2m
AW (7)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
SGI (7)
€1m
FV (7)
€1m
SB (9)
€1m
SA (7)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (7)
€1m
First Vienna and Admira Wacker have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIE (8)
€3m
FV (8)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
FL (6)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
FA (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
SGI (6)
€1m
SA (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
First Vienna's midfield is €1m more valuable than Admira Wacker's (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GA (13)
€6m
RIE (9)
€3m
AW (11)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
SGI (9)
€2m
FL (7)
€2m
SSP (8)
€1m
SA (8)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (10)
€1m
First Vienna and Admira Wacker have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Austria: 2. Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →