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FK Aksu vs Atyrau Result & Analysis

Date: 06/11/2022
Time: 11:00
Final 2-1
FK Aksu
FK Aksu
Vs
56%
25%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Atyrau
Atyrau
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

FK Aksu win✓ Hit
56.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Atyrau win✗ Miss
19.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

FK AksuFK Aksu

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L01L42W43W10W01L30W10W22D02LH·KAI21/08A·AKT26/08H·MAQ04/09A·TAR10/09H·AKZ15/09A·KAS01/10H·FK 08/10A·ARY14/10H·ORD24/10A·KAI30/10
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.441.670.920.771.92
vs Stronger (10)0.801.901.601.200.002.60
vs Similar (15)1.471.131.710.711.251.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %36% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Atyrau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AtyrauAtyrau

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D24L32W20W02L02L12L13L15L22DA·SHA20/08A·AKZ26/08H·KAS04/09A·FK 10/09H·ARY15/09A·ORD01/10H·KAI09/10A·KYZ15/10A·FC 23/10H·SHA30/10
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.161.481.231.381.081.58
vs Stronger (10)1.301.601.201.401.401.80
vs Similar (15)1.071.401.251.380.861.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %28% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Aksu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.9%
Under 1.5
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.4%
Under 2.5
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.1%
Under 3.5
67.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.5%
No
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-1 ✓
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
1-0
9.6%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
3-0
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
FK Aksu goals ↓
Atyrau goals →
01234
06.8%4.7%2.9%1.0%0.2%
19.6%12%5.4%1.8%0.5%
29.8%9.9%5.0%1.7%0.4%
36.1%6.1%3.1%1.0%0.3%
42.8%2.8%1.4%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Aksu goals (down), columns = Atyrau goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Astana
2.08
Aktobe
2.00
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.81
Kairat Almaty
1.62
Ordabasy
1.46
FK Aksu
1.38
Maqtaaral
1.19
Kaspiy
1.19
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.15
Shakhter Karagandy
1.15
Atyrau
1.12
Taraz
1.08
Arys
1.08
Akzhayik
0.96
FK Aksu is 0.27 points better than Atyrau in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 1.12).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Astana
2.50
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.77
Aktobe
1.65
Ordabasy
1.38
Kairat Almaty
1.31
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.27
FK Aksu
1.23
Shakhter Karagandy
1.19
Atyrau
1.15
Maqtaaral
1.08
Taraz
1.04
Kaspiy
1.00
Arys
0.96
Akzhayik
0.73
FK Aksu is 0.08 goals better than Atyrau in terms of goals scored per game (1.23 vs 1.15).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Astana
0.81
Aktobe
1.08
Taraz
1.12
Akzhayik
1.19
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.23
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.27
Shakhter Karagandy
1.35
Arys
1.35
Kairat Almaty
1.38
FK Aksu
1.42
Maqtaaral
1.46
Ordabasy
1.50
Atyrau
1.50
Kaspiy
1.62
FK Aksu is 0.08 goals better than Atyrau in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 1.50).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

FK AksuFK Aksu

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

AtyrauAtyrau

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FK AksuFK Aksu

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (25)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (10)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (15)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Atyrau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AtyrauAtyrau

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (25)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (10)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (15)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (FK Aksu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Kairat Almaty
11.0
FK Tobol Kostanay
9.0
FC Astana
9.0
Kyzyl-Zhar
8.5

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FK Tobol Kostanay
6.0
FC Astana
5.5
Kairat Almaty
4.5
Kyzyl-Zhar
2.5

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FK Tobol Kostanay
30.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FK AksuFK Aksu

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L22D22D00D01L30W00D22D00DH·KAI21/08A·AKT26/08H·MAQ04/09A·TAR10/09H·AKZ15/09A·KAS01/10H·FK 08/10A·ARY14/10H·ORD24/10A·KAI30/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.560.880.830.580.311.15
vs Stronger (10)0.501.001.000.800.001.20
vs Similar (15)0.600.800.710.430.501.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %48% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Atyrau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AtyrauAtyrau

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D13L01L10W01L01L01L12L03L12LA·SHA20/08A·AKZ26/08H·KAS04/09A·FK 10/09H·ARY15/09A·ORD01/10H·KAI09/10A·KYZ15/10A·FC 23/10H·SHA30/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.520.720.380.540.670.92
vs Stronger (10)0.600.700.200.401.001.00
vs Similar (15)0.470.730.500.620.430.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %52% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Aksu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Aksu over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Aksu over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Aksu over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atyrau over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atyrau over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atyrau over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FK AksuFK Aksu

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D20W21W10W00D00D10W00D02LH·KAI21/08A·AKT26/08H·MAQ04/09A·TAR10/09H·AKZ15/09A·KAS01/10H·FK 08/10A·ARY14/10H·ORD24/10A·KAI30/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.640.560.830.330.460.77
vs Stronger (10)0.300.900.600.400.001.40
vs Similar (15)0.870.331.000.290.750.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Atyrau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AtyrauAtyrau

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D31W10W01L01L11D01L12L10WA·SHA20/08A·AKZ26/08H·KAS04/09A·FK 10/09H·ARY15/09A·ORD01/10H·KAI09/10A·KYZ15/10A·FC 23/10H·SHA30/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.640.760.850.850.420.67
vs Stronger (10)0.700.901.001.000.400.80
vs Similar (15)0.600.670.750.750.430.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Aksu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Aksu over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Aksu over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Aksu over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atyrau over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atyrau over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atyrau over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (22)
€10m
FA (25)
€10m
AKT (25)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
FTK (23)
€9m
ATY (20)
€4m
KYZ (26)
€4m
KAS (23)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKT (12)
€5m
KA (9)
€4m
FTK (7)
€3m
ORD (8)
€3m
FA (9)
€3m
KYZ (9)
€2m
ATY (7)
€2m
KAS (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (4)
€3m
FA (3)
€2m
KA (5)
€2m
FTK (5)
€2m
AKT (4)
€2m
KAS (8)
€2m
KYZ (7)
€1m
ATY (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€5m
ORD (10)
€4m
FTK (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
AKT (9)
€3m
ATY (8)
€2m
KYZ (10)
€1m
KAS (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
FA wins
1
Draws
0
ATY wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FK Aksu vs Atyrau · H/A from FA
DateH/AGameScore
05/03/22AAtyrau Vs FA0-0

FK AksuFK Aksu

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/10/22AKairat Almaty Vs FA2-0
24/10/22HFA Vs Ordabasy2-2
14/10/22AArys Vs FA0-1
08/10/22HFA Vs FK Tobol Kostanay3-0
01/10/22AKaspiy Vs FA1-0
15/09/22HFA Vs Akzhayik1-0
10/09/22ATaraz Vs FA3-4
04/09/22HFA Vs Maqtaaral4-2
26/08/22AAktobe Vs FA1-0
21/08/22HFA Vs Kairat Almaty1-2

AtyrauAtyrau

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/10/22HATY Vs Shakhter Karagandy2-2
23/10/22AFC Astana Vs ATY5-1
15/10/22AKyzyl-Zhar Vs ATY3-1
09/10/22HATY Vs Kairat Almaty1-2
01/10/22AOrdabasy Vs ATY2-0
15/09/22HATY Vs Arys0-2
10/09/22AFK Tobol Kostanay Vs ATY0-2
04/09/22HATY Vs Kaspiy3-2
26/08/22AAkzhayik Vs ATY4-2
20/08/22AShakhter Karagandy Vs ATY0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FK Aksu
FK Aksu
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDL1.32
HomeLWWWD1.92
AwayLWLWL0.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%58%23%
AVG goals2.642.582.69
Over 1.5 %68%75%62%
Over 2.5 %48%50%46%
Over 3.5 %20%17%23%
Scored1.201.670.77
Conceded1.440.921.92
BTTS40%50%31%
Clean Sheet36%50%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Atyrau
Atyrau
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD1.16
HomeDWLLD1.31
AwayLWLLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%31%25%
AVG goals2.642.622.67
Over 1.5 %76%77%75%
Over 2.5 %52%54%50%
Over 3.5 %24%23%25%
Scored1.161.231.08
Conceded1.481.381.58
BTTS56%62%50%
Clean Sheet28%15%42%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC AstanaFC Astana2654
62%
2.1
6521+44
3.3
81%
65%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3252.50.8
-
2AktobeAktobe2652
62%
2.0
4328+15
2.7
77%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.71.1
-
3FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay2647
54%
1.8
4633+13
3.0
85%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.81.3
-
4Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty2642
46%
1.6
3436-2
2.7
81%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.31.4
-
5OrdabasyOrdabasy2638
42%
1.5
3639-3
2.9
77%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3341.41.5
-
6FK AksuFK Aksu2636
42%
1.4
3237-5
2.7
69%
50%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
7MaqtaaralMaqtaaral2631
31%
1.2
2838-10
2.5
69%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
8KaspiyKaspiy2631
35%
1.2
2642-16
2.6
69%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.01.6
-
9Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar2630
27%
1.2
3332+1
2.5
73%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.31.2
-
10Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy2630
31%
1.2
3135-4
2.5
65%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
11AtyrauAtyrau2629
27%
1.1
3039-9
2.7
77%
54%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.21.5
-
12TarazTaraz2628
23%
1.1
2729-2
2.2
62%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.1
-
13ArysArys2628
23%
1.1
2535-10
2.3
69%
38%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
14AkzhayikAkzhayik2625
23%
1.0
1931-12
1.9
54%
27%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.2
-
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →

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