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FK Aksu vs Okzhetpes Result & Analysis

Date: 15/09/2023
Time: 09:00
Final 0-1
FK Aksu
FK Aksu
Vs
47%
29%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Okzhetpes
Okzhetpes
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

FK Aksu win✗ Miss
47.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Okzhetpes win✓ Hit
23.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

FK AksuFK Aksu

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W01L01L02L11D21W13L11D41W01LH·ZHE27/05A·FC 03/06H·ORD24/06A·ORD02/07A·ZHE22/07H·SHA29/07A·KAS05/08H·AKT13/08H·ATY19/08A·KYZ27/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.531.601.200.871.87
vs Stronger (11)0.821.641.171.330.402.00
vs Similar (19)1.471.471.891.111.101.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Okzhetpes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L12L01L10W04L01L02L21W02L33DH·FK 28/05A·KAI03/06H·KAI25/06A·KAI01/07H·ORD10/07H·KAI15/07A·FK 23/07H·ZHE12/08A·SHA19/08H·KAS26/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.232.071.141.501.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.271.351.621.230.921.46
vs Weaker (4)5.000.508.000.004.000.67
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Aksu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.1%
Under 1.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.9%
Under 2.5
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.8%
Under 3.5
77.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.9%
No
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
10.0%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
0-1 ✓
7.2%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.6%
FK Aksu goals ↓
Okzhetpes goals →
01234
010%7.2%4.1%1.3%0.3%
112%14%6.0%1.9%0.5%
29.4%9.1%4.4%1.4%0.3%
34.6%4.5%2.2%0.7%0.2%
41.7%1.6%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Aksu goals (down), columns = Okzhetpes goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ordabasy
2.23
FC Astana
2.04
Aktobe
1.92
Kairat Almaty
1.69
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.50
Kaisar
1.38
Atyrau
1.31
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.31
Zhetysu
1.12
Maqtaaral
1.12
Shakhter Karagandy
1.12
Okzhetpes
1.04
Kaspiy
0.77
FK Aksu
0.69
FK Aksu is 0.35 points worse than Okzhetpes in terms of average points per game (0.69 vs 1.04).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ordabasy
1.85
Aktobe
1.69
Kairat Almaty
1.65
FC Astana
1.38
Shakhter Karagandy
1.19
Kaisar
1.19
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.15
Maqtaaral
1.12
Kaspiy
1.08
Zhetysu
1.04
Okzhetpes
1.00
Kyzyl-Zhar
0.96
Atyrau
0.92
FK Aksu
0.88
FK Aksu is 0.12 goals worse than Okzhetpes in terms of goals scored per game (0.88 vs 1.00).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ordabasy
0.81
Kyzyl-Zhar
0.88
Aktobe
0.88
FC Astana
0.92
Atyrau
1.04
Kaisar
1.15
Maqtaaral
1.23
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.23
Kairat Almaty
1.27
Shakhter Karagandy
1.38
Okzhetpes
1.42
Zhetysu
1.46
Kaspiy
1.69
FK Aksu
1.73
FK Aksu is 0.31 goals worse than Okzhetpes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.42).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

FK AksuFK Aksu

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes

For 7.0 · Against 6.0 · Total 13.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

1307613A·AKT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 5.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50325A·AKT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FK AksuFK Aksu

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (47)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (18)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (29)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Okzhetpes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (46)13.0-13.00.10.00.2---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (36)13.0-13.00.10.00.3---
vs Weaker (10)---0.00.00.0---
% over line100%-100%2%0%4%---
% under line0%-0%98%100%96%---
This opponent (FK Aksu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Okzhetpes
13.0
Kairat Almaty
11.0
Shakhter Karagandy
11.0
Aktobe
9.5
FK Tobol Kostanay
9.4
FC Astana
9.3
Kyzyl-Zhar
8.5
Ordabasy
8.3
Zhetysu
6.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Zhetysu
7.0
Ordabasy
6.3
FK Tobol Kostanay
6.1
Aktobe
5.6
Okzhetpes
5.0
Kairat Almaty
4.5
FC Astana
3.2
Shakhter Karagandy
3.0
Kyzyl-Zhar
2.5

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FK Tobol Kostanay
30.9
Ordabasy
30.0
Aktobe
27.0
FC Astana
22.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
38.2%
Under 9.5
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
76.1%
Under 3.5
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FK AksuFK Aksu

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D01L11D10W02L01L11D01LH·ZHE27/05A·FC 03/06H·ORD24/06A·ORD02/07A·ZHE22/07H·SHA29/07A·KAS05/08H·AKT13/08H·ATY19/08A·KYZ27/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.800.730.600.401.00
vs Stronger (11)0.450.730.830.670.000.80
vs Similar (19)0.630.840.670.560.601.10
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Okzhetpes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L00D10W02L01L01L10W00D21WH·FK 28/05A·KAI03/06H·KAI25/06A·KAI01/07H·ORD10/07H·KAI15/07A·FK 23/07H·ZHE12/08A·SHA19/08H·KAS26/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.701.210.570.810.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.690.770.850.620.540.92
vs Weaker (4)3.000.256.000.002.000.33
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Aksu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Aksu over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Aksu over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Aksu over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Okzhetpes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Okzhetpes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Okzhetpes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FK AksuFK Aksu

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D01L01L00D11D11D10W30W00DH·ZHE27/05A·FC 03/06H·ORD24/06A·ORD02/07A·ZHE22/07H·SHA29/07A·KAS05/08H·AKT13/08H·ATY19/08A·KYZ27/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.730.870.600.470.87
vs Stronger (11)0.360.910.330.670.401.20
vs Similar (19)0.840.631.220.560.500.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Okzhetpes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D01L00D02L00D01L11D02L12LH·FK 28/05A·KAI03/06H·KAI25/06A·KAI01/07H·ORD10/07H·KAI15/07A·FK 23/07H·ZHE12/08A·SHA19/08H·KAS26/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.530.860.570.690.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.580.580.770.620.380.54
vs Weaker (4)2.000.252.000.002.000.33
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Aksu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Aksu over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Aksu over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Aksu over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Okzhetpes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Okzhetpes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Okzhetpes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards89.0%--------
Under 11.5 corners82.5%--------
Under 3.577.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards76.1%--------
Under 10.5 corners73.3%--------
Over 1.571.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (22)
€10m
FA (25)
€10m
AKT (25)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
FTK (23)
€9m
OKZ (23)
€5m
ATY (20)
€4m
KYZ (26)
€4m
KAI (25)
€4m
KAS (23)
€4m
ZHE (21)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKT (12)
€5m
KA (9)
€4m
FTK (7)
€3m
ORD (8)
€3m
FA (9)
€3m
OKZ (8)
€2m
KAI (11)
€2m
KYZ (9)
€2m
ATY (7)
€2m
ZHE (8)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (4)
€3m
FA (3)
€2m
KA (5)
€2m
FTK (5)
€2m
AKT (4)
€2m
KAS (8)
€2m
OKZ (6)
€1m
KYZ (7)
€1m
ATY (5)
€1m
KAI (4)
€1m
ZHE (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€5m
ORD (10)
€4m
FTK (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
AKT (9)
€3m
ATY (8)
€2m
KAI (10)
€2m
ZHE (10)
€2m
KYZ (10)
€1m
KAS (11)
€1m
OKZ (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
FA wins
0
Draws
1
OKZ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FK Aksu vs Okzhetpes · H/A from FA
DateH/AGameScore
08/04/23AOkzhetpes Vs FA3-0

FK AksuFK Aksu

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/23AKyzyl-Zhar Vs FA1-0
19/08/23HFA Vs Atyrau4-1
13/08/23HFA Vs Aktobe1-1
05/08/23AKaspiy Vs FA3-1
29/07/23HFA Vs Shakhter Karagandy2-1
22/07/23AZhetysu Vs FA1-1
02/07/23AOrdabasy Vs FA2-0
24/06/23HFA Vs Ordabasy0-1
03/06/23AFC Astana Vs FA1-0
27/05/23HFA Vs Zhetysu2-1

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/08/23HOKZ Vs Kaspiy3-3
19/08/23AShakhter Karagandy Vs OKZ2-0
12/08/23HOKZ Vs Zhetysu2-1
23/07/23AFK Tobol Kostanay Vs OKZ2-0
15/07/23HOKZ Vs Kairat Almaty0-1
10/07/23HOKZ Vs Ordabasy0-4
01/07/23AKaisar Vs OKZ0-1
25/06/23HOKZ Vs Kaisar0-1
03/06/23AKairat Almaty Vs OKZ2-1
28/05/23HOKZ Vs FK Tobol Kostanay1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FK Aksu
FK Aksu
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWL1.09
HomeWLWDW1.70
AwayLLDLL0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%52%12%
AVG goals2.642.572.71
Over 1.5 %72%74%71%
Over 2.5 %53%52%54%
Over 3.5 %21%17%25%
Scored1.111.480.75
Conceded1.531.091.96
BTTS51%57%46%
Clean Sheet19%26%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Okzhetpes
Okzhetpes
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLD1.72
HomeLLLWD1.78
AwayLLWLL1.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%52%52%
AVG goals3.263.572.96
Over 1.5 %76%78%74%
Over 2.5 %59%65%52%
Over 3.5 %41%48%35%
Scored2.152.611.70
Conceded1.110.961.26
BTTS43%43%43%
Clean Sheet35%35%35%
Corners13.00-13.00
Cards5.00-5.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OrdabasyOrdabasy2658
69%
2.2
4821+27
2.7
73%
54%
31%
5.0
0%
4.4
60%
-
0%
10
3341.80.8
-
2FC AstanaFC Astana2653
62%
2.0
3624+12
2.3
65%
42%
15%
8.5
50%
2.9
38%
-
0%
10
3251.40.9
-
3AktobeAktobe2650
50%
1.9
4423+21
2.6
73%
46%
31%
10.0
50%
5.9
88%
-
0%
10
5231.70.9
-
4Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty2644
46%
1.7
4333+10
2.9
77%
69%
38%
-
0%
3.0
50%
-
0%
10
4241.71.3
-
5Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar2639
42%
1.5
2523+2
1.8
50%
31%
8%
-
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
4
2111.00.9
-
6KaisarKaisar2636
38%
1.4
3130+1
2.3
65%
42%
27%
-
0%
5.0
50%
-
0%
4
2121.21.2
-
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay2634
35%
1.3
3032-2
2.4
73%
46%
15%
-
0%
3.2
50%
-
0%
9
3241.21.2
-
8AtyrauAtyrau2634
31%
1.3
2427-3
2.0
54%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2120.91.0
-
9MaqtaaralMaqtaaral2629
31%
1.1
2932-3
2.3
73%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
10Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy2629
27%
1.1
3136-5
2.6
81%
54%
23%
11.0
100%
2.3
17%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
11ZhetysuZhetysu2629
31%
1.1
2738-11
2.5
77%
50%
15%
6.0
0%
6.1
100%
-
0%
3
1021.01.5
-
12OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2627
27%
1.0
2637-11
2.4
62%
42%
19%
13.0
100%
2.5
25%
-
0%
5
2111.01.4
-
13KaspiyKaspiy2620
15%
0.8
2844-16
2.8
77%
54%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.11.7
-
14FK AksuFK Aksu2618
19%
0.7
2345-22
2.6
77%
54%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →

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