FK Crvena Zvezda is the clear favourite to win this match, with a predicted win probability of 78%. The model's high rating is largely due to the team's strong home form, where they have scored an average of 2.71 goals and conceded just 0.71 goals per match against weaker opponents.
The expected total number of goals in this match is 3.3, with the most likely total number of goals being 3. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a probability of 12.8%.
At home, FK Crvena Zvezda has been scoring well, but Cukaricki has struggled to score when playing away against stronger opponents, averaging 0 goals and conceding 1.5 goals per match.
The model's selections include Over 1.5 goals, which is predicted to happen 84.5% of the time, Over 21.5 fouls, which is predicted to happen 79.7% of the time, and Home win, which has a probability of 77.9%. The suggested picks also include Home win with a 77.9% probability, a 78% chance of FK Crvena Zvezda winning, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 7% chance of Cukaricki winning.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved spot on, with FK Crvena Zvezda securing a 4-0home win over Cukaricki, extending their two-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite was a home win at 78 % probability, and the model’s call was correct. The most likely scoreline of 3-0 at 22 % was missed, but the final 4-0 still fell within the predicted range. Every suggested pick hit: Away under 3.5 goals at 99.5 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.3 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.9 %, Home +2 handicap at 98.1 %, Under 7.5 at 98.1 %, Away under 2.5 goals at 96.8 %, Under 6.5 at 95.0 %, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 94.4 %. The model’s selections performed exceptionally well.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FK Crvena Zvezda win✓ Hit
77.9%
Avg Implied 78.8% · @ 1.15
Edge
-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Dafabet
1.17
Draw✗ Miss
15.3%
Avg Implied 13.9% · @ 6.52
Edge
+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
7.31
Dafabet
7.00
888Sport
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
6.90
Cukaricki win✗ Miss
6.8%
Avg Implied 7.3% · @ 12.41
Edge
-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
16.00
888Sport
15.00
Betfair
14.00
1xBet
13.50
Marathonbet
13.50
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FK Crvena Zvezda
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.37
0.67
2.72
0.72
1.83
0.58
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (28)
2.50
0.64
2.88
0.65
1.91
0.64
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Cukaricki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cukaricki
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.20
1.64
1.21
1.00
1.19
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
1.50
1.50
1.50
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (20)
1.20
1.10
1.56
1.11
0.91
1.09
vs Weaker (4)
2.25
1.25
3.00
1.00
2.00
1.33
Clean sheet %
27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Crvena Zvezda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.6%
@ 1.08-0.2%
Under 1.5
15.4%
@ 6.01+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
888Sport
1.08
Under
888Sport
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.20
1xBet
6.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.6%
@ 1.35-4.3%
Under 2.5
36.4%
@ 2.87+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
Superbet
1.37
Unibet
1.37
Under
10Bet
3.20
888Sport
3.20
Betfair
3.10
Superbet
2.87
Pinnacle
2.84
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.5%
@ 1.91-6.8%
Under 3.5
58.5%
@ 1.78+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.00
Pinnacle
1.98
Superbet
1.95
Betano
1.95
SBO
1.95
Under
10Bet
1.93
888Sport
1.85
SBO
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.3%
@ 1.90-1.8%
No
53.7%
@ 1.76+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
2.10
Betano
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.92
William Hil
1.91
No
Betfair
1.87
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.80
888Sport
1.80
William Hil
1.80
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.8%@ 6.80+6.1%
3-0
11.1%@ 7.06+4.7%
1-0
9.1%@ 9.55+4.4%
2-1
8.7%@ 8.96+3.6%
3-1
7.5%@ 9.69+2.8%
1-1
7.3%@ 12.72+3.8%
4-0 ✓
7.2%@ 9.59+2.5%
4-1
4.9%@ 12.88+1.4%
FK Crvena Zvezda goals ↓
Cukaricki goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.4%
1.9%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
1
9.1%
7.3%
2.3%
0.5%
0.1%
2
13%
8.7%
2.9%
0.7%
0.1%
3
11%
7.5%
2.5%
0.6%
0.1%
4
7.2%
4.9%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Crvena Zvezda goals (down), columns = Cukaricki goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.00
Vojvodina
2.14
IMT Novi Beograd
1.86
Radnicki 1923
1.67
Železničar Pančevo
1.60
Cukaricki
1.43
Mladost Lucani
1.43
Radnik Surdulica
1.33
FK Partizan
1.17
OFK Beograd
1.14
Novi Pazar
1.14
Macva
1.00
Radnicki NIS
0.83
Zemun
0.14
FK Crvena Zvezda is 1.57 points better than Cukaricki in terms of average points per game (3.00 vs 1.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.20
Vojvodina
2.14
Železničar Pančevo
1.80
FK Partizan
1.67
IMT Novi Beograd
1.43
Cukaricki
1.29
Radnicki 1923
1.17
OFK Beograd
1.14
Radnik Surdulica
1.00
Mladost Lucani
1.00
Macva
0.71
Novi Pazar
0.71
Radnicki NIS
0.50
Zemun
0.29
FK Crvena Zvezda is 1.91 goals better than Cukaricki in terms of goals scored per game (3.20 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FK Crvena Zvezda
0.20
IMT Novi Beograd
0.57
Vojvodina
0.86
Mladost Lucani
0.86
Radnicki 1923
1.00
Železničar Pančevo
1.00
Radnicki NIS
1.00
Novi Pazar
1.14
Radnik Surdulica
1.50
FK Partizan
1.67
OFK Beograd
1.71
Cukaricki
1.71
Macva
1.86
Zemun
2.00
FK Crvena Zvezda is 1.51 goals better than Cukaricki in terms of goals conceded per game (0.20 vs 1.71).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FK Partizan
63%
FK Crvena Zvezda
61%
Železničar Pančevo
61%
Radnicki 1923
58%
Radnicki NIS
55%
OFK Beograd
54%
IMT Novi Beograd
53%
Vojvodina
52%
Novi Pazar
49%
Radnik Surdulica
48%
Cukaricki
41%
Mladost Lucani
38%
Macva
38%
Zemun
37%
FK Crvena Zvezda is 19.9 percentage points better than Cukaricki in terms of average possession (61% vs 41%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FK Crvena Zvezda
For 5.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 7.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 13.2 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cukaricki
For 3.5 · Against 5.7 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.8 · Against 11.6 · Total 27.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FK Crvena Zvezda
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.6
10.0
3.3
3.1
3.5
23.7
22.6
25.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
10.2
12.0
8.3
4.2
5.0
3.3
25.2
28.0
22.3
vs Weaker (44)
9.8
9.3
10.3
3.2
2.9
3.5
23.5
21.9
25.4
% over line
52%
48%
57%
48%
42%
54%
65%
60%
71%
% under line
48%
52%
43%
52%
58%
46%
35%
40%
29%
This opponent (Cukaricki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cukaricki
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.8
9.1
4.6
4.8
4.5
28.9
29.5
28.3
vs Stronger (6)
10.0
8.8
12.5
5.3
6.0
4.0
27.2
28.5
24.5
vs Similar (33)
8.5
8.7
8.3
4.7
4.8
4.5
28.5
29.5
27.3
vs Weaker (11)
9.6
9.2
9.8
4.2
3.2
4.7
31.3
30.5
31.8
% over line
45%
38%
52%
72%
65%
79%
90%
96%
83%
% under line
55%
62%
48%
28%
35%
21%
10%
4%
17%
This opponent (FK Crvena Zvezda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
9.9
Mladost Lucani
9.6
FK Partizan
9.1
Radnicki 1923
9.1
Vojvodina
9.1
Novi Pazar
8.9
Radnik Surdulica
8.8
Cukaricki
8.8
OFK Beograd
8.8
IMT Novi Beograd
8.5
Zemun
8.5
Železničar Pančevo
8.5
Radnicki NIS
8.4
Macva
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Macva
6.2
Zemun
5.8
Radnicki 1923
5.5
Radnik Surdulica
5.3
Radnicki NIS
5.1
Vojvodina
4.9
OFK Beograd
4.9
Cukaricki
4.8
FK Partizan
4.8
Novi Pazar
4.6
IMT Novi Beograd
4.5
Železničar Pančevo
4.4
Mladost Lucani
4.3
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Radnik Surdulica
30.5
Macva
30.3
Radnicki 1923
30.2
IMT Novi Beograd
29.8
Radnicki NIS
29.3
OFK Beograd
29.1
Cukaricki
29.0
Železničar Pančevo
27.6
Novi Pazar
27.2
Vojvodina
26.9
Zemun
26.5
FK Partizan
26.2
Mladost Lucani
25.8
FK Crvena Zvezda
23.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
43.5%
@ 1.96-3.6%
Under 9.5
56.5%
@ 1.75+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.00
Betano
2.00
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.96
Marathonbet
1.95
Under
Superbet
1.85
1xBet
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
64.8%
Under 3.5
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
78.7%
Under 21.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FK Crvena Zvezda or Draw✓ Hit
93.2%
Avg Implied 91.6% · @ 1.03
Edge
+1.7%
78%
15%
7%
covers FK Crvena Zvezda + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.05
William Hil
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
888Sport
1.03
FK Crvena Zvezda or Cukaricki✓ Hit
84.7%
Avg Implied 87.7% · @ 1.08
Edge
-3.0%
78%
15%
7%
covers FK Crvena Zvezda + Cukaricki
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.10
888Sport
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Draw or Cukaricki✗ Miss
22.1%
Avg Implied 20.7% · @ 4.55
Edge
+1.3%
78%
15%
7%
covers Draw + Cukaricki
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Betano
4.70
1xBet
4.55
Marathonbet
4.55
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
92.6%
@ 1.03+0.5%
Under
7.4%
@ 12.00-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Under
888Sport
15.00
1xBet
14.00
Superbet
10.00
Bet365
9.00
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
73.3%
@ 1.20-3.0%
Under
26.7%
@ 3.87+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.19
Under
888Sport
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.90
Superbet
3.85
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
48.2%
@ 1.67-6.6%
Under
51.8%
@ 2.03+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.76
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Superbet
1.71
Under
10Bet
2.25
888Sport
2.15
Betano
2.05
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.02
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
26.4%
@ 2.64-8.1%
Under
73.6%
@ 1.39+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.79
Superbet
2.77
Betano
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Under
10Bet
1.50
888Sport
1.44
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Cukaricki over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
49.2%
@ 1.84-0.4%
Under
50.8%
@ 1.82+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.97
10Bet
1.91
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.87
Superbet
1.85
Under
Bet365
1.91
Betano
1.87
Superbet
1.87
888Sport
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Cukaricki over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
14.8%
@ 4.91-3.8%
Under
85.2%
@ 1.13+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.45
Superbet
5.10
Betano
5.00
888Sport
5.00
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.15
888Sport
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Cukaricki over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 14.56-3.4%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.02+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
21.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.75
Bet365
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Cukaricki over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.5%
@ 38.00-99.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
55.00
Bet365
21.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FK Crvena Zvezda, so a minus line means FK Crvena Zvezda give that many goals of a start and Cukaricki receive them. At -1, FK Crvena Zvezda must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FK Crvena Zvezda win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FK Crvena Zvezda)Actual: FK Crvena Zvezda
FK Crvena Zvezda -2
35.1%
@ 2.17-5.4%
Draw -2
22.1%
@ 3.92-0.4%
Cukaricki +2
42.8%
@ 2.38+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.30
Marathonbet
2.28
Superbet
2.27
Bet365
2.25
10Bet
2.00
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Away
10Bet
2.70
Superbet
2.35
Unibet
2.32
Bet365
2.30
Betfair
2.30
Handicap -1 (FK Crvena Zvezda)Actual: FK Crvena Zvezda
FK Crvena Zvezda -1
57.2%
@ 1.49-3.0%
Draw -1
20.7%
@ 4.41+0.4%
Cukaricki +1
22.1%
@ 4.58+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.51
Marathonbet
1.50
10Bet
1.40
Draw
10Bet
4.75
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
Superbet
4.25
Away
10Bet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.55
Superbet
4.45
Bet365
4.33
Handicap +1 (FK Crvena Zvezda)Actual: FK Crvena Zvezda
FK Crvena Zvezda +1
93.2%
@ 1.01+2.5%
Draw +1
4.9%
@ 15.00-1.2%
Cukaricki -1
1.9%
@ 29.00-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.01
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Away
Bet365
29.00
Handicap +2 (FK Crvena Zvezda)Actual: FK Crvena Zvezda
FK Crvena Zvezda +2
98.1%
Draw +2
1.5%
Cukaricki -2
0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FK Crvena Zvezda
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.37
1.22
0.22
1.17
0.58
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (28)
1.25
0.36
1.29
0.18
1.18
0.64
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Cukaricki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cukaricki
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.60
0.86
0.50
0.69
0.69
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.83
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.55
0.78
0.22
0.55
0.82
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Crvena Zvezda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.1%
@ 1.18+0.6%
Under 0.5
21.9%
@ 4.08-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Under
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.15
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
41.4%
@ 1.93-6.2%
Under 1.5
58.6%
@ 1.75+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.04
1xBet
1.99
Marathonbet
1.99
SBO
1.95
Under
10Bet
1.90
SBO
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Betfair
1.75
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.9%
@ 3.90-4.4%
Under 2.5
81.1%
@ 1.19+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.15
Betano
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Under
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Betfair
1.20
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
68.8%
@ 1.30-2.3%
Under
31.2%
@ 3.21+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.30
10Bet
1.25
Under
10Bet
3.55
Superbet
3.25
1xBet
3.10
Betano
2.95
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
26.7%
@ 2.44-11.2%
Under
73.3%
@ 1.49+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.55
Marathonbet
2.54
Pinnacle
2.49
1xBet
2.48
Superbet
2.40
Under
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.49
1xBet
1.47
Betano
1.45
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.5%
@ 5.36-7.7%
Under
90.5%
@ 1.12+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.90
Betano
5.40
Superbet
5.40
10Bet
4.75
Under
10Bet
1.15
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Cukaricki over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
29.3%
@ 3.25+0.8%
Under
70.7%
@ 1.29-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.40
Marathonbet
3.28
Betano
3.25
Superbet
3.20
1xBet
3.10
Under
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Cukaricki over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.6%
@ 12.83-1.7%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.02+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Cukaricki over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.7%
@ 65.00-99.3%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
65.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FK Crvena Zvezda
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.30
1.50
0.50
0.67
0.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (28)
1.25
0.29
1.59
0.47
0.73
0.00
Clean sheet %
77% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Cukaricki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cukaricki
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.60
0.79
0.71
0.31
0.50
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.67
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.55
0.78
0.89
0.36
0.27
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.75
2.00
0.00
0.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Crvena Zvezda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
85.4%
@ 1.12+2.0%
Under 0.5
14.6%
@ 5.61-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Under
1xBet
6.10
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.65
Betano
5.30
William Hil
5.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
54.1%
@ 1.59-4.0%
Under 1.5
45.9%
@ 2.20+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.67
Superbet
1.59
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
Under
Betano
2.27
Bet365
2.25
Superbet
2.22
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.20
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
25.9%
@ 2.81-7.0%
Under 2.5
74.1%
@ 1.38+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.10
1xBet
2.78
Marathonbet
2.78
Superbet
2.77
Bet365
2.75
Under
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
74.3%
@ 1.20-3.2%
Under
25.7%
@ 4.12+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Under
1xBet
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Betano
4.05
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
44.3%
@ 1.93-3.6%
Under
55.7%
@ 1.77+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.92
Betano
1.90
Under
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.75
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
20.8%
@ 3.83-3.3%
Under
79.2%
@ 1.22+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Betano
3.60
Under
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
Cukaricki over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
35.9%
@ 2.65+1.2%
Under
64.1%
@ 1.41-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.71
Superbet
2.65
Betano
2.65
1xBet
2.60
Under
1xBet
1.43
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.38
Cukaricki over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.8%
@ 8.95-3.6%
Under
93.2%
@ 1.04+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
10.00
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
Cukaricki over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.1%
@ 45.00-98.9%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
45.00
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
96.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
888Sport
1.01
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.0%
1.05
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
-
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
93.2%
1.03
Betano
1.05
William Hil
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
888Sport
1.03
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
93.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
93.2%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
-
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
92.6%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
90.5%
1.12
10Bet
1.15
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.08
-
+7.7%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
88.5%
1.11
888Sport
1.15
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.08
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
85.4%
1.12
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
85.2%
1.13
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.15
888Sport
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
84.7%
1.08
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.10
888Sport
1.08
Betfair
1.08
-3.0%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.6%
1.08
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
888Sport
1.08
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
81.1%
1.19
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Betfair
1.20
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
79.2%
1.22
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
-
-
+3.3%
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
78.6%
1.27
Superbet
1.36
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
-
-
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
78.1%
1.18
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.17
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Home win
77.9%
1.15
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Dafabet
1.17
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
76.6%
1.32
10Bet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.37
888Sport
1.36
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
+7.6%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 2H goals
74.3%
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.19
-
-
-3.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
74.1%
1.38
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
+7.0%
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
73.6%
1.39
10Bet
1.50
888Sport
1.44
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.39
+8.1%
✗ Miss
Home over 1.5 goals
73.3%
1.20
1xBet
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.19
-3.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
73.3%
1.49
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.49
1xBet
1.47
Betano
1.45
+11.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 0.5 HT goals
70.7%
1.29
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
-0.8%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FK Crvena Zvezda
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vasilije Kostov67%
Dimitrije Šarić67%
Mirko Ivanić25%
Loizos Loizou25%
Aleksandar Katai20%
Mohammad Abu Fani20%
Nair Tiknizyan0%
Timi Max Elšnik0%
Matheus0%
Strahinja Eraković0%
Muhammed-Cham Saračević0%
Young-woo Seol0%
Stefan Gudelj0%
Matej Strika0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Strahinja Eraković67%
Matej Strika67%
Timi Max Elšnik25%
Loizos Loizou25%
Stefan Gudelj25%
Mohammad Abu Fani20%
Mirko Ivanić0%
Nair Tiknizyan0%
Matheus0%
Aleksandar Katai0%
Muhammed-Cham Saračević0%
Young-woo Seol0%
Vasilije Kostov0%
Dimitrije Šarić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aleksandar Katai60%
Mohammad Abu Fani40%
Vasilije Kostov33%
Mirko Ivanić25%
Nair Tiknizyan0%
Timi Max Elšnik0%
Matheus0%
Loizos Loizou0%
Strahinja Eraković0%
Muhammed-Cham Saračević0%
Young-woo Seol0%
Stefan Gudelj0%
Dimitrije Šarić0%
Matej Strika0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aleksandar Katai80%
Mirko Ivanić75%
Vasilije Kostov67%
Dimitrije Šarić33%
Loizos Loizou25%
Mohammad Abu Fani20%
Nair Tiknizyan0%
Timi Max Elšnik0%
Matheus0%
Strahinja Eraković0%
Muhammed-Cham Saračević0%
Young-woo Seol0%
Stefan Gudelj0%
Matej Strika0%
Cukaricki
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fiorin Durmishaj33%
Uroš Miladinović33%
Milan Đoković33%
Aboubacar Cisse20%
Milan Pavkov0%
Nemanja Miletić0%
Marko Docić0%
Zlatan Šehović0%
Đorđe Nikolić0%
Srđan Mijailović0%
Lazar Mijović0%
Sambou Sissoko0%
Andrej Bajović0%
Ismael Maiga0%
Lazar Stojanović0%
Veljko Radosavljević0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Milan Pavkov50%
Sambou Sissoko50%
Uroš Miladinović33%
Lazar Stojanović25%
Andrej Bajović20%
Aboubacar Cisse20%
Veljko Radosavljević20%
Nemanja Miletić17%
Marko Docić17%
Ismael Maiga17%
Fiorin Durmishaj0%
Zlatan Šehović0%
Đorđe Nikolić0%
Srđan Mijailović0%
Lazar Mijović0%
Milan Đoković0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Zlatan Šehović33%
Đorđe Nikolić25%
Lazar Stojanović25%
Nemanja Miletić17%
Uroš Miladinović17%
Milan Pavkov0%
Fiorin Durmishaj0%
Marko Docić0%
Srđan Mijailović0%
Lazar Mijović0%
Sambou Sissoko0%
Andrej Bajović0%
Milan Đoković0%
Aboubacar Cisse0%
Ismael Maiga0%
Veljko Radosavljević0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Uroš Miladinović33%
Aboubacar Cisse20%
Zlatan Šehović17%
Milan Pavkov0%
Nemanja Miletić0%
Fiorin Durmishaj0%
Marko Docić0%
Đorđe Nikolić0%
Srđan Mijailović0%
Lazar Mijović0%
Sambou Sissoko0%
Andrej Bajović0%
Milan Đoković0%
Ismael Maiga0%
Lazar Stojanović0%
Veljko Radosavljević0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (32)
€115m
FP (30)
€48m
VOJ (29)
€30m
OB (28)
€18m
ŽP (24)
€13m
INB (23)
€12m
RN (26)
€11m
NP (21)
€10m
CUK (23)
€10m
R1 (26)
€9m
RS (26)
€9m
ML (28)
€8m
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
FK Crvena Zvezda's squad is €106m more valuable than Cukaricki's (€115m vs €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€62m
FP (15)
€24m
VOJ (15)
€13m
ŽP (9)
€7m
OB (10)
€6m
RN (11)
€4m
ML (10)
€4m
R1 (10)
€4m
CUK (8)
€4m
INB (8)
€4m
NP (9)
€3m
RS (10)
€3m
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
FK Crvena Zvezda's attack is €58m more valuable than Cukaricki's (€62m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (6)
€21m
FP (2)
€11m
VOJ (4)
€7m
OB (8)
€4m
INB (3)
€4m
R1 (6)
€3m
NP (3)
€2m
CUK (5)
€2m
RS (5)
€2m
ZEM (5)
€1m
ML (6)
€1m
ŽP (4)
€1m
RN (3)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
FK Crvena Zvezda's midfield is €18m more valuable than Cukaricki's (€21m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€33m
FP (13)
€14m
VOJ (10)
€9m
OB (10)
€8m
ŽP (11)
€6m
RN (12)
€5m
NP (9)
€5m
RS (11)
€4m
INB (12)
€4m
CUK (10)
€3m
R1 (10)
€3m
ML (12)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
ZEM (8)
€1m
FK Crvena Zvezda's defence is €30m more valuable than Cukaricki's (€33m vs €3m).
Serbia: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Super Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Vojvodina
IMT Novi Beograd
Mladost Lucani
Radnicki 1923
Železničar Pančevo
Radnik Surdulica
Novi Pazar
OFK Beograd
FK Partizan
Macva
Radnicki NIS
Zemun