FK Crvena Zvezda are the clear favourites to win at home, with the model assigning a 76% chance to a home victory. The prediction reflects their strong home form, scoring an average of three goals and conceding only 0.62 against weaker opposition, while FK Partizan struggles away, averaging zero goals scored and conceding three against stronger teams. The expected total goals for the match is 3.8, with the most likely total being three goals at a 20% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0 for the home side, carrying a 9% chance. The model also projects a 15% draw and a 9% away win. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.4%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.6% with a 7% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.4% with a 5% edge, Home +2 handicap at 97.0%, Under 7.5 at 95.9% with a 4% edge, Home over 0.5 goals at 94.3% with a 4% edge, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 94.1% with a 4% edge, and Away under 2.5 goals at 92.8% with a 3% edge.
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šÆ 1. Model Analysis
FK Crvena Zvezda win
75.8%
Avg Implied 69.2% · @ 1.31
Edge
+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.36
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Draw
15.1%
Avg Implied 17.3% · @ 5.25
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
6.06
Superbet
5.60
10Bet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Pinnacle
5.43
FK Partizan win
9.2%
Avg Implied 13.5% · @ 6.73
Edge
-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
8.10
Betfair
8.00
Marathonbet
7.10
William Hil
7.00
Pinnacle
6.81
ā½ 2. Goal Analysis
FK Crvena Zvezda
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.40
0.77
2.82
0.71
1.85
0.85
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (28)
2.54
0.75
3.00
0.62
1.92
0.92
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Partizan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Partizan
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.30
1.80
0.93
1.13
1.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (4)
0.75
1.75
2.00
1.00
0.33
2.00
vs Weaker (24)
1.71
1.08
1.79
0.93
1.60
1.30
Clean sheet %
23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Crvena Zvezda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
90.0%
@ 1.05+1.4%
Under 1.5
10.0%
@ 8.22-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.02
Under
1xBet
12.30
10Bet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.80
Bet365
7.50
Superbet
7.20
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73.4%
@ 1.26+0.4%
Under 2.5
26.6%
@ 3.40-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.32
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.27
Under
1xBet
4.00
10Bet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
53.0%
@ 1.67-2.0%
Under 3.5
47.0%
@ 2.05+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.82
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
Betano
1.67
Under
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.14
Pinnacle
2.12
Bet365
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Both teams to score
Yes
58.8%
@ 1.44-4.7%
No
41.2%
@ 2.50+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Unibet
1.46
Betano
1.45
William Hil
1.44
No
William Hil
2.62
1xBet
2.62
Betano
2.57
Marathonbet
2.57
10Bet
2.50
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
9.0%@ 10.19+4.5%
2-1
8.6%@ 8.57+3.2%
3-0
8.6%@ 10.78+4.3%
3-1
8.2%@ 9.20+3.2%
1-1
6.7%@ 11.31+2.6%
4-0
6.1%@ 14.50+2.9%
4-1
5.9%@ 12.94+2.3%
1-0
5.7%@ 13.44+2.3%
FK Crvena Zvezda goals ↓
FK Partizan goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.8%
1.5%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
1
5.7%
6.7%
2.9%
0.9%
0.2%
2
9.0%
8.6%
4.1%
1.3%
0.3%
3
8.6%
8.2%
3.9%
1.3%
0.3%
4
6.1%
5.9%
2.8%
0.9%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Crvena Zvezda goals (down), columns = FK Partizan goals (across).
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šŖ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
š Total PPG
Points / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.00
Vojvodina
2.14
IMT Novi Beograd
1.86
Radnicki 1923
1.67
ŽelezniÄar PanÄevo
1.60
Cukaricki
1.43
Mladost Lucani
1.43
Radnik Surdulica
1.33
FK Partizan
1.17
OFK Beograd
1.14
Novi Pazar
1.14
Macva
1.00
Radnicki NIS
0.83
Zemun
0.14
FK Crvena Zvezda is 1.83 points better than FK Partizan in terms of average points per game (3.00 vs 1.17).
āļø Attack
Goals scored / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.20
Vojvodina
2.14
ŽelezniÄar PanÄevo
1.80
FK Partizan
1.67
IMT Novi Beograd
1.43
Cukaricki
1.29
Radnicki 1923
1.17
OFK Beograd
1.14
Radnik Surdulica
1.00
Mladost Lucani
1.00
Macva
0.71
Novi Pazar
0.71
Radnicki NIS
0.50
Zemun
0.29
FK Crvena Zvezda is 1.53 goals better than FK Partizan in terms of goals scored per game (3.20 vs 1.67).
š”ļø Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FK Crvena Zvezda
0.20
IMT Novi Beograd
0.57
Vojvodina
0.86
Mladost Lucani
0.86
Radnicki 1923
1.00
ŽelezniÄar PanÄevo
1.00
Radnicki NIS
1.00
Novi Pazar
1.14
Radnik Surdulica
1.50
FK Partizan
1.67
OFK Beograd
1.71
Cukaricki
1.71
Macva
1.86
Zemun
2.00
FK Crvena Zvezda is 1.47 goals better than FK Partizan in terms of goals conceded per game (0.20 vs 1.67).
ā±ļø Possession
Avg possession %
FK Partizan
63%
FK Crvena Zvezda
61%
ŽelezniÄar PanÄevo
61%
Radnicki 1923
58%
Radnicki NIS
55%
OFK Beograd
54%
IMT Novi Beograd
53%
Vojvodina
52%
Novi Pazar
49%
Radnik Surdulica
48%
Cukaricki
41%
Mladost Lucani
38%
Macva
38%
Zemun
37%
FK Crvena Zvezda is 1.5 percentage points worse than FK Partizan in terms of average possession (61% vs 63%).
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FK Crvena Zvezda or Draw
90.8%
Avg Implied 86.8% · @ 1.07
Edge
+4.0%
76%
15%
9%
covers FK Crvena Zvezda + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
FK Crvena Zvezda or FK Partizan
84.9%
Avg Implied 83.4% · @ 1.12
Edge
+1.6%
76%
15%
9%
covers FK Crvena Zvezda + FK Partizan
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Draw or FK Partizan
24.2%
Avg Implied 29.8% · @ 3.13
Edge
-5.6%
76%
15%
9%
covers Draw + FK Partizan
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.50
1xBet
3.40
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.20
Betano
3.20
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š„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 0.5
Over
94.3%
@ 1.03+4.0%
Under
5.7%
@ 9.60-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Under
1xBet
10.50
Superbet
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
9.00
Betano
8.50
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 1.5
Over
77.9%
@ 1.23+3.2%
Under
22.1%
@ 3.61-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.82
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Betano
3.70
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 2.5
Over
54.4%
@ 1.75+2.1%
Under
45.6%
@ 1.93-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.92
1xBet
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Under
Betfair
2.10
Marathonbet
2.02
Pinnacle
2.00
Betano
2.00
Superbet
1.95
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 3.5
Over
32.1%
@ 2.84-0.2%
Under
67.9%
@ 1.35+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
1xBet
2.95
10Bet
2.95
Superbet
2.90
Under
Betano
1.40
Betfair
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
FK Partizan over/under 0.5
Over
61.7%
@ 1.39-4.2%
Under
38.3%
@ 2.69+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.50
1xBet
1.43
Superbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Under
10Bet
2.88
Betano
2.87
Marathonbet
2.84
Betfair
2.75
Bet365
2.75
FK Partizan over/under 1.5
Over
24.9%
@ 2.75-8.3%
Under
75.1%
@ 1.36+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.00
Superbet
2.90
10Bet
2.80
Pinnacle
2.78
1xBet
2.76
Under
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
FK Partizan over/under 2.5
Over
7.3%
@ 6.51-6.8%
Under
92.7%
@ 1.07+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
Superbet
7.00
Bet365
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.90
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
FK Partizan over/under 3.5
Over
1.7%
@ 14.08-5.1%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
19.00
Bet365
12.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
āļø 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FK Crvena Zvezda, so a minus line means FK Crvena Zvezda give that many goals of a start and FK Partizan receive them. At -1, FK Crvena Zvezda must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FK Crvena Zvezda win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FK Crvena Zvezda)
FK Crvena Zvezda -2
35.9%
@ 2.79+4.3%
Draw -2
20.6%
@ 4.17-0.5%
FK Partizan +2
43.5%
@ 1.86-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
2.88
10Bet
2.85
Betfair
2.80
Superbet
2.77
Bet365
2.75
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
Superbet
4.20
10Bet
4.20
Betfair
4.20
Away
Superbet
1.92
Betfair
1.91
Bet365
1.91
10Bet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.89
Handicap -1 (FK Crvena Zvezda)
FK Crvena Zvezda -1
56.5%
@ 1.81+7.9%
Draw -1
19.3%
@ 3.97-2.9%
FK Partizan +1
24.2%
@ 3.00-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.84
10Bet
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
Superbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.20
Away
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.15
10Bet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.05
Unibet
2.45
Handicap +1 (FK Crvena Zvezda)
FK Crvena Zvezda +1
90.8%
@ 1.10+8.9%
Draw +1
6.1%
@ 8.50-4.5%
FK Partizan -1
3.1%
@ 12.00-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Away
Bet365
12.00
Handicap +2 (FK Crvena Zvezda)
FK Crvena Zvezda +2
96.9%
Draw +2
2.3%
FK Partizan -2
0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FK Crvena Zvezda
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.40
1.29
0.24
1.08
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (28)
1.25
0.39
1.38
0.19
1.08
0.67
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Partizan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Partizan
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.50
1.00
0.33
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (24)
0.88
0.46
1.07
0.36
0.60
0.60
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Crvena Zvezda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.8%
@ 1.15-1.1%
Under 0.5
21.2%
@ 4.53+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Under
Betfair
5.50
William Hil
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.55
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
45.0%
@ 1.78-6.5%
Under 1.5
55.0%
@ 1.89+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
Unibet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.82
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.95
Betfair
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
24.1%
@ 3.34-3.2%
Under 2.5
75.9%
@ 1.25+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.40
Betano
3.40
William Hil
3.40
Under
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
š„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 0.5 HT
Over
67.6%
@ 1.34-1.7%
Under
32.4%
@ 3.02+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Under
10Bet
3.10
Superbet
3.10
1xBet
3.00
Betano
2.90
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 1.5 HT
Over
29.5%
@ 2.54-6.9%
Under
70.5%
@ 1.46+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.57
10Bet
2.55
1xBet
2.55
Pinnacle
2.54
Marathonbet
2.54
Under
Superbet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.48
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.44
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 2.5 HT
Over
13.8%
@ 5.78-2.2%
Under
86.2%
@ 1.10+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.20
10Bet
5.75
Superbet
5.65
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
FK Partizan over/under 0.5 HT
Over
33.5%
@ 2.32-6.4%
Under
66.5%
@ 1.54+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.41
10Bet
2.40
Superbet
2.35
Betano
2.30
Marathonbet
2.28
Under
1xBet
1.61
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
FK Partizan over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.1%
@ 7.66-6.0%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.05+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.30
10Bet
8.00
Superbet
7.80
1xBet
7.30
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.05
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
FK Partizan over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.6%
@ 31.00-99.4%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
31.00
Under
No market prices yet.
ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FK Crvena Zvezda
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.37
1.53
0.47
0.77
0.23
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (28)
1.29
0.36
1.62
0.44
0.83
0.25
Clean sheet %
77% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Partizan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Partizan
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.80
0.80
0.60
0.67
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (4)
0.50
1.25
2.00
1.00
0.00
1.33
vs Weaker (24)
0.83
0.62
0.71
0.57
1.00
0.70
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Crvena Zvezda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
83.6%
@ 1.09-2.3%
Under 0.5
16.4%
@ 6.61+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Under
1xBet
7.30
Bet365
7.00
William Hil
6.50
Superbet
6.40
10Bet
6.25
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
54.0%
@ 1.45-10.0%
Under 1.5
46.0%
@ 2.57+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Superbet
1.48
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Under
Betano
2.65
10Bet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.62
1xBet
2.62
Bet365
2.50
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
27.8%
@ 2.36-11.2%
Under 2.5
72.2%
@ 1.51+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
William Hil
2.50
Superbet
2.47
10Bet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.26
Under
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.55
1xBet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Bet365
1.50
š„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 0.5 2H
Over
74.5%
@ 1.21-2.3%
Under
25.5%
@ 4.00+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Under
1xBet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Betano
4.00
Superbet
4.00
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 1.5 2H
Over
39.3%
@ 1.95-8.0%
Under
60.7%
@ 1.75+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Betano
1.91
Marathonbet
1.89
Under
Betano
1.80
Marathonbet
1.77
10Bet
1.75
1xBet
1.72
Superbet
1.72
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 2.5 2H
Over
17.4%
@ 3.96-5.9%
Under
82.6%
@ 1.21+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.10
Superbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Betano
3.65
Under
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.18
FK Partizan over/under 0.5 2H
Over
39.0%
@ 1.88-10.0%
Under
61.0%
@ 1.82+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.89
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.86
10Bet
1.85
Under
Betano
1.85
10Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Superbet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
FK Partizan over/under 1.5 2H
Over
9.2%
@ 5.43-7.8%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.11+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.80
Superbet
5.80
1xBet
5.40
10Bet
5.25
Betano
4.90
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
FK Partizan over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.3%
@ 15.33-4.9%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.01+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
19.00
10Bet
17.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
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š„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.9%
Away under 3.5 goals
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+5.1%
Home +2 handicap
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
95.9%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+5.3%
Home over 0.5 goals
94.3%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.02
+4.0%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.9%
1.05
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.05
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
+6.0%
Away under 2.5 goals
92.7%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
+6.8%
Home or Draw
90.8%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
+4.0%
Home +1 handicap
90.8%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+8.9%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
90.8%
1.11
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
+7.8%
Under 6.5
90.8%
1.07
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.06
BetVictor
1.04
+5.4%
Over 1.5
90.0%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.02
+1.4%
Over 19.5 fouls
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
86.2%
1.10
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
-
+2.2%
Home or Away
84.9%
1.12
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.12
+1.6%
Over 2.5 cards
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
83.6%
1.09
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
-2.3%
Under 11.5 corners
82.6%
1.43
Superbet
1.50
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.36
-
-
+18.3%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
82.6%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.18
-
+5.9%
Under 5.5
81.3%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
+4.9%
Over 0.5 HT goals
78.8%
1.15
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
-1.1%
Home over 1.5 goals
77.9%
1.23
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
+3.2%
Over 21.5 fouls
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
75.9%
1.25
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
+3.2%
Home win
75.8%
1.31
Unibet
1.36
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
+6.5%
Away under 1.5 goals
75.1%
1.36
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
+8.3%
Home over 0.5 2H goals
74.5%
1.21
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
-
-2.3%
Under 10.5 corners
73.4%
1.71
Superbet
1.76
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
10Bet
1.70
1xBet
1.64
+19.3%
Over 2.5
73.4%
1.26
Unibet
1.32
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.27
+0.4%
Under 2.5 2H goals
72.2%
1.51
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.55
1xBet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Bet365
1.50
+11.2%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
70.5%
1.46
Superbet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.48
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.44
+6.9%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
š½ 13. Player market rates
FK Crvena Zvezda
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vasilije Kostov67%
Dimitrije Å ariÄ67%
Mirko IvaniÄ25%
Loizos Loizou25%
Aleksandar Katai20%
Mohammad Abu Fani20%
Nair Tiknizyan0%
Timi Max ElŔnik0%
Matheus0%
Strahinja ErakoviÄ0%
Muhammed-Cham SaraÄeviÄ0%
Young-woo Seol0%
Stefan Gudelj0%
Matej Strika0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Strahinja ErakoviÄ67%
Matej Strika67%
Timi Max ElŔnik25%
Loizos Loizou25%
Stefan Gudelj25%
Mohammad Abu Fani20%
Mirko IvaniÄ0%
Nair Tiknizyan0%
Matheus0%
Aleksandar Katai0%
Muhammed-Cham SaraÄeviÄ0%
Young-woo Seol0%
Vasilije Kostov0%
Dimitrije Å ariÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aleksandar Katai60%
Mohammad Abu Fani40%
Vasilije Kostov33%
Mirko IvaniÄ25%
Nair Tiknizyan0%
Timi Max ElŔnik0%
Matheus0%
Loizos Loizou0%
Strahinja ErakoviÄ0%
Muhammed-Cham SaraÄeviÄ0%
Young-woo Seol0%
Stefan Gudelj0%
Dimitrije Å ariÄ0%
Matej Strika0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aleksandar Katai80%
Mirko IvaniÄ75%
Vasilije Kostov67%
Dimitrije Å ariÄ33%
Loizos Loizou25%
Mohammad Abu Fani20%
Nair Tiknizyan0%
Timi Max ElŔnik0%
Matheus0%
Strahinja ErakoviÄ0%
Muhammed-Cham SaraÄeviÄ0%
Young-woo Seol0%
Stefan Gudelj0%
Matej Strika0%
FK Partizan
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Demba Seck50%
Igor MiladinoviÄ25%
Ibrahim Zubairu25%
Milan AleksiÄ25%
Ognjen UgreÅ”iÄ17%
Chaka TraorĆØ14%
Jeh14%
Bogdan KostiÄ14%
Milan VukotiÄ12%
Erik Kojzek12%
Stefan MitroviÄ0%
Nikola ÄumiÄ0%
MiloÅ” KruniÄ0%
Marko MiloÅ”eviÄ0%
Iddrisu Baba0%
Stefan MiliÄ0%
Nemanja TrifunoviÄ0%
VukaÅ”in ÄurÄeviÄ0%
Mateja MilovanoviÄ0%
Milan RoganoviÄ0%
Nikola Simic0%
Samson Nwulu0%
Aleks ZekoviÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nemanja TrifunoviÄ33%
Iddrisu Baba25%
Milan VukotiÄ25%
Ibrahim Zubairu25%
Aleks ZekoviÄ25%
VukaÅ”in ÄurÄeviÄ20%
Samson Nwulu20%
Ognjen UgreÅ”iÄ17%
Stefan MiliÄ14%
Chaka TraorĆØ14%
Jeh14%
Milan RoganoviÄ14%
Stefan MitroviÄ0%
Nikola ÄumiÄ0%
MiloÅ” KruniÄ0%
Marko MiloÅ”eviÄ0%
Demba Seck0%
Mateja MilovanoviÄ0%
Igor MiladinoviÄ0%
Nikola Simic0%
Erik Kojzek0%
Milan AleksiÄ0%
Bogdan KostiÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Igor MiladinoviÄ50%
Milan VukotiÄ25%
Samson Nwulu20%
Jeh14%
Milan RoganoviÄ14%
Erik Kojzek12%
Stefan MitroviÄ0%
Nikola ÄumiÄ0%
MiloÅ” KruniÄ0%
Marko MiloÅ”eviÄ0%
Iddrisu Baba0%
Stefan MiliÄ0%
Nemanja TrifunoviÄ0%
Demba Seck0%
Chaka TraorĆØ0%
VukaÅ”in ÄurÄeviÄ0%
Mateja MilovanoviÄ0%
Ibrahim Zubairu0%
Nikola Simic0%
Milan AleksiÄ0%
Ognjen UgreÅ”iÄ0%
Bogdan KostiÄ0%
Aleks ZekoviÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikola ÄumiÄ67%
Nemanja TrifunoviÄ33%
Demba Seck33%
Ibrahim Zubairu25%
Milan AleksiÄ25%
Chaka TraorĆØ14%
Jeh14%
Erik Kojzek12%
Stefan MitroviÄ0%
MiloÅ” KruniÄ0%
Marko MiloÅ”eviÄ0%
Iddrisu Baba0%
Stefan MiliÄ0%
Milan VukotiÄ0%
VukaÅ”in ÄurÄeviÄ0%
Mateja MilovanoviÄ0%
Milan RoganoviÄ0%
Igor MiladinoviÄ0%
Nikola Simic0%
Ognjen UgreÅ”iÄ0%
Bogdan KostiÄ0%
Samson Nwulu0%
Aleks ZekoviÄ0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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š° 14. Squad value
š° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (32)
€115m
FP (30)
€48m
VOJ (29)
€30m
OB (28)
€18m
ŽP (24)
€13m
INB (23)
€12m
RN (26)
€11m
NP (21)
€10m
CUK (23)
€10m
R1 (26)
€9m
RS (26)
€9m
ML (28)
€8m
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
FK Crvena Zvezda's squad is €67m more valuable than FK Partizan's (€115m vs €48m).
āļø Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€62m
FP (15)
€24m
VOJ (15)
€13m
ŽP (9)
€7m
OB (10)
€6m
RN (11)
€4m
ML (10)
€4m
R1 (10)
€4m
CUK (8)
€4m
INB (8)
€4m
NP (9)
€3m
RS (10)
€3m
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
FK Crvena Zvezda's attack is €38m more valuable than FK Partizan's (€62m vs €24m).
š§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (6)
€21m
FP (2)
€11m
VOJ (4)
€7m
OB (8)
€4m
INB (3)
€4m
R1 (6)
€3m
NP (3)
€2m
CUK (5)
€2m
RS (5)
€2m
ZEM (5)
€1m
ML (6)
€1m
ŽP (4)
€1m
RN (3)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
FK Crvena Zvezda's midfield is €10m more valuable than FK Partizan's (€21m vs €11m).
š”ļø Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€33m
FP (13)
€14m
VOJ (10)
€9m
OB (10)
€8m
ŽP (11)
€6m
RN (12)
€5m
NP (9)
€5m
RS (11)
€4m
INB (12)
€4m
CUK (10)
€3m
R1 (10)
€3m
ML (12)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
ZEM (8)
€1m
FK Crvena Zvezda's defence is €19m more valuable than FK Partizan's (€33m vs €14m).
Serbia: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Super Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Vojvodina
IMT Novi Beograd
Mladost Lucani
Radnicki 1923
Cukaricki
ŽelezniÄar PanÄevo
Radnik Surdulica
Novi Pazar
OFK Beograd
Macva
Radnicki NIS
Zemun