PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava Result & Analysis

Date: 09/04/2025
Time: 14:30
Final 0-1
FK Jablonec
FK Jablonec
Vs
47%
28%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Baník Ostrava
Baník Ostrava
Czech-Republic: Cup
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FK Jablonec win✗ Miss
46.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava win✓ Hit
25.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FK JablonecFK Jablonec

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L42W32W50W11D00D21W03L00D10WH·BOH02/02H·SLO09/02A·ČES15/02H·KAR23/02A·HRA01/03H·SLO08/03A·HRA12/03A·SLA16/03H·SIG29/03A·TEP06/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.600.872.000.691.291.00
vs Stronger (6)0.832.000.671.331.002.67
vs Similar (22)1.590.552.110.561.230.54
vs Weaker (2)4.001.005.000.003.002.00
Clean sheet %47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W10W01L20W40W20W21W10W52W11DA·SLO01/02H·SIG09/02A·SLA16/02H·TEP22/02A·ČES01/03A·PAR05/03H·MLA09/03A·PLZ16/03H·PAR29/03H·SPA05/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.770.832.070.791.500.88
vs Stronger (8)0.881.000.751.251.000.75
vs Similar (17)2.000.762.620.501.441.00
vs Weaker (5)2.400.802.501.002.330.67
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.8%
Under 1.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.0%
Under 2.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.0%
Under 3.5
72.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.1%
No
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
0-1 ✓
6.4%
2-2
5.2%
FK Jablonec goals ↓
Baník Ostrava goals →
01234
08.1%6.4%4.2%1.5%0.4%
19.6%13%6.6%2.4%0.7%
28.5%9.4%5.2%1.9%0.5%
34.4%4.9%2.7%1.0%0.3%
41.7%1.9%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Jablonec goals (down), columns = Baník Ostrava goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sigma Olomouc
3.00
Zlin
2.50
Teplice
2.50
Vysoké Mýto
2.33
Hanácká
2.25
Bohemians 1905
2.25
Spartak Police n/Metují
2.25
Kuřim
2.25
FK Jablonec
2.25
Baník Ostrava
2.25
Táborsko
2.00
Vyškov
2.00
Baník Souš
2.00
Dukla Praha
2.00
Opava
2.00
Hodonín
2.00
Hradec Králové
2.00
Strání
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno
2.00
Varnsdorf
2.00
Český Brod
2.00
Kozlovice
2.00
Artis
2.00
Vítkovice
2.00
Hlučín
2.00
Kladno
2.00
Sokol Zápy
2.00
Pardubice
2.00
Příbram
2.00
Uničov
2.00
Viktoria Otrokovice
2.00
Sparta Praha
2.00
Viktoria Žižkov
2.00
Plzen
1.75
Bílovec
1.75
Vratimov
1.50
Slavia Hradec Králové
1.50
Hřebeč
1.50
Slovan Liberec
1.50
Jiskra Domažlice
1.50
Spartak Soběslav
1.50
Kvasice
1.50
Admira Praha
1.50
Ústí nad Orlicí
1.50
Rokycany
1.50
Rapid Psáry
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Jiskra Rýmařov
1.50
HFK Olomouc
1.50
Start Brno
1.50
Frýdek-Místek
1.50
Mariánské Lázně
1.50
Karlovy Vary
1.50
Hranice
1.50
Benešov
1.50
Dobrovice
1.50
Ždírec nad Doubravou
1.50
Petřvald na Moravě
1.50
Kolovec
1.50
Mlada Boleslav
1.50
Písek
1.50
Horní Ředice
1.50
Tatran Bohunice
1.50
Sokol Brozany
1.50
Petřín Plzeň
1.50
Slaný
1.50
Sokol Tasovice
1.50
Aritma Praha
1.50
Sokol Živanice
1.50
Sokol Čechovice
1.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Slovácko
1.50
Povltava FA
1.50
Benátky nad Jizerou
1.33
Slavia Praha
1.33
Beskyd Frenštát
1.33
Ústí nad Labem
1.33
Hořovicko
1.33
Loko Vltavín
1.33
Uherský Brod
1.33
Žďár nad Sázavou
1.33
Neratovice-Byškovice
1.00
Tichá
1.00
Pěnčín
1.00
Unie Hlubina
1.00
České Budějovice
1.00
Vysočina Jihlava
1.00
Králův Dvůr
1.00
Přední Kopanina
1.00
Třinec
1.00
Baník Sokolov
1.00
Slovan Velvary
1.00
Sokol Lanžhot
1.00
FS Třebíč
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Slovan Hrádek nad Nisou
1.00
Havlíčkův Brod
1.00
Havířov
1.00
Milin
0.67
Bzenec
0.67
Velké Hamry
0.50
Velké Meziříčí
0.50
Bospor Bohumín
0.50
Nový Jičín
0.50
Meteor Praha
0.50
Olympie Březová
0.50
Turnov
0.50
Slovan Rosice
0.50
Motorlet Praha
0.50
Kosmonosy
0.00
Břidličná
0.00
Hluboka nad Vltavou
0.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
0.00
Břeclav
0.00
Vsetín
0.00
Ostrov
0.00
Štětí
0.00
Chrudim
0.00
Brandýs nad Labem
0.00
Blansko
0.00
Doubravka
0.00
Česká Třebová
0.00
Sokol Hostouň
0.00
Přepeře
0.00
Karviná
0.00
Holešov
0.00
Komárov
0.00
Sokol Železnice
0.00
Valašské Meziříčí
0.00
Řepiště
0.00
Chomutov
0.00
Cidlina Novy Bydzov
0.00
Baťov
0.00
Slavičín
0.00
Kostelec na Hané
0.00
Trutnov
0.00
Slavia Vejprnice
0.00
Humpolec
0.00
Rousínov
0.00
Slavoj Žatec
0.00
Frýdlant
0.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
0.00
Polanka nad Odrou
0.00
Vrchovina
0.00
Krnov
0.00
Tatran Všechovice
0.00
Skaštice
0.00
Kolín
0.00
Pustá Polom
0.00
Hlinsko
0.00
MILO Olomouc
0.00
Šumperk
0.00
FK Jablonec and Baník Ostrava are level in average points per game (both 2.25).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ústí nad Labem
4.00
Příbram
4.00
Jiskra Domažlice
3.50
Benešov
3.50
Kladno
3.50
Dukla Praha
3.33
Táborsko
3.00
Hodonín
3.00
Doubravka
3.00
Zbrojovka Brno
3.00
HFK Olomouc
3.00
Sokol Brozany
3.00
Uničov
3.00
Havlíčkův Brod
3.00
Viktoria Žižkov
3.00
Sigma Olomouc
2.83
Hlučín
2.80
Hanácká
2.75
Český Brod
2.67
Sokol Zápy
2.67
Žďár nad Sázavou
2.67
Baník Souš
2.50
Admira Praha
2.50
Rokycany
2.50
Rapid Psáry
2.50
Karlovy Vary
2.50
Zlin
2.50
Slaný
2.50
Sokol Čechovice
2.50
Varnsdorf
2.33
Artis
2.33
Bílovec
2.25
Teplice
2.25
Sparta Praha
2.20
Vysoké Mýto
2.00
Pěnčín
2.00
Opava
2.00
Plzen
2.00
Brandýs nad Labem
2.00
Spartak Soběslav
2.00
Strání
2.00
Sokol Hostouň
2.00
Přepeře
2.00
Spartak Police n/Metují
2.00
Start Brno
2.00
Frýdek-Místek
2.00
Řepiště
2.00
Vysočina Jihlava
2.00
Kostelec na Hané
2.00
Baník Sokolov
2.00
Slovan Velvary
2.00
FS Třebíč
2.00
Tatran Bohunice
2.00
Baník Ostrava
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Povltava FA
2.00
Slovan Rosice
2.00
Bohemians 1905
1.75
Kuřim
1.75
Vyškov
1.67
Benátky nad Jizerou
1.67
Beskyd Frenštát
1.67
Pardubice
1.67
Slavia Hradec Králové
1.50
Slovan Liberec
1.50
Kvasice
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Olympie Březová
1.50
Hranice
1.50
Dobrovice
1.50
Petřvald na Moravě
1.50
Kolovec
1.50
Mlada Boleslav
1.50
Písek
1.50
Petřín Plzeň
1.50
Viktoria Otrokovice
1.50
Sokol Tasovice
1.50
Aritma Praha
1.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Havířov
1.50
Slavia Praha
1.33
Loko Vltavín
1.33
Bzenec
1.33
FK Jablonec
1.25
Neratovice-Byškovice
1.00
Tichá
1.00
Kosmonosy
1.00
Břidličná
1.00
Vsetín
1.00
Ostrov
1.00
Hřebeč
1.00
Velké Hamry
1.00
Blansko
1.00
České Budějovice
1.00
Hradec Králové
1.00
Ústí nad Orlicí
1.00
Velké Meziříčí
1.00
Jiskra Rýmařov
1.00
Valašské Meziříčí
1.00
Chomutov
1.00
Cidlina Novy Bydzov
1.00
Mariánské Lázně
1.00
Baťov
1.00
Králův Dvůr
1.00
Slavičín
1.00
Přední Kopanina
1.00
Vítkovice
1.00
Slavia Vejprnice
1.00
Slavoj Žatec
1.00
Třinec
1.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.00
Sokol Lanžhot
1.00
Vrchovina
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Tatran Všechovice
1.00
Pustá Polom
1.00
Sokol Živanice
1.00
MILO Olomouc
1.00
Motorlet Praha
1.00
Hořovicko
0.67
Milin
0.67
Uherský Brod
0.67
Vratimov
0.50
Nový Jičín
0.50
Kozlovice
0.50
Meteor Praha
0.50
Ždírec nad Doubravou
0.50
Horní Ředice
0.50
Hluboka nad Vltavou
0.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
0.00
Břeclav
0.00
Unie Hlubina
0.00
Štětí
0.00
Chrudim
0.00
Česká Třebová
0.00
Bospor Bohumín
0.00
Karviná
0.00
Holešov
0.00
Komárov
0.00
Sokol Železnice
0.00
Trutnov
0.00
Humpolec
0.00
Rousínov
0.00
Turnov
0.00
Frýdlant
0.00
Polanka nad Odrou
0.00
Krnov
0.00
Skaštice
0.00
Slovan Hrádek nad Nisou
0.00
Kolín
0.00
Hlinsko
0.00
Šumperk
0.00
FK Jablonec is 0.75 goals worse than Baník Ostrava in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Unie Hlubina
0.00
Kozlovice
0.00
Slovan Hrádek nad Nisou
0.00
Vysoké Mýto
0.33
Táborsko
0.50
Baník Souš
0.50
FK Jablonec
0.50
Viktoria Otrokovice
0.50
Vyškov
0.67
Opava
0.67
Slavia Praha
0.67
Hradec Králové
0.67
Sigma Olomouc
0.67
Uherský Brod
0.67
Hanácká
0.75
Spartak Police n/Metují
0.75
Hlučín
0.80
Neratovice-Byškovice
1.00
Tichá
1.00
Dukla Praha
1.00
Slavia Hradec Králové
1.00
Štětí
1.00
Chrudim
1.00
Slovan Liberec
1.00
Jiskra Domažlice
1.00
České Budějovice
1.00
Česká Třebová
1.00
Strání
1.00
Beskyd Frenštát
1.00
Bohemians 1905
1.00
Bospor Bohumín
1.00
Nový Jičín
1.00
Karviná
1.00
Holešov
1.00
Komárov
1.00
Prostějov
1.00
HFK Olomouc
1.00
Start Brno
1.00
Kuřim
1.00
Králův Dvůr
1.00
Přední Kopanina
1.00
Vítkovice
1.00
Loko Vltavín
1.00
Humpolec
1.00
Rousínov
1.00
Třinec
1.00
Polanka nad Odrou
1.00
Sokol Lanžhot
1.00
Zlin
1.00
Sokol Zápy
1.00
Pardubice
1.00
Horní Ředice
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Teplice
1.00
Uničov
1.00
Baník Ostrava
1.00
Sparta Praha
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
1.00
Artis
1.33
Milin
1.33
Hodonín
1.50
Hřebeč
1.50
Plzen
1.50
Spartak Soběslav
1.50
Bílovec
1.50
Frýdek-Místek
1.50
Karlovy Vary
1.50
Hranice
1.50
Petřvald na Moravě
1.50
Mlada Boleslav
1.50
Sokol Brozany
1.50
Příbram
1.50
Petřín Plzeň
1.50
Sokol Živanice
1.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Havířov
1.50
Motorlet Praha
1.50
Benátky nad Jizerou
1.67
Varnsdorf
1.67
Český Brod
1.67
Žďár nad Sázavou
1.67
Břidličná
2.00
Vratimov
2.00
Pěnčín
2.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
2.00
Ostrov
2.00
Kvasice
2.00
Admira Praha
2.00
Velké Meziříčí
2.00
Sokol Železnice
2.00
Cidlina Novy Bydzov
2.00
Vysočina Jihlava
2.00
Baťov
2.00
Benešov
2.00
Ždírec nad Doubravou
2.00
Turnov
2.00
Baník Sokolov
2.00
Slovan Velvary
2.00
FS Třebíč
2.00
Tatran Všechovice
2.00
Kolín
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Povltava FA
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno
2.33
Hořovicko
2.33
Velké Hamry
2.50
Ústí nad Orlicí
2.50
Olympie Březová
2.50
Mariánské Lázně
2.50
Kladno
2.50
Písek
2.50
Aritma Praha
2.50
Slovan Rosice
2.50
Ústí nad Labem
2.67
Kosmonosy
3.00
Hluboka nad Vltavou
3.00
Břeclav
3.00
Vsetín
3.00
Brandýs nad Labem
3.00
Sokol Hostouň
3.00
Přepeře
3.00
Meteor Praha
3.00
Řepiště
3.00
Slavičín
3.00
Dobrovice
3.00
Trutnov
3.00
Slavia Vejprnice
3.00
Tatran Bohunice
3.00
Slaný
3.00
Havlíčkův Brod
3.00
Sokol Tasovice
3.00
Bzenec
3.33
Jiskra Rýmařov
3.50
Doubravka
4.00
Valašské Meziříčí
4.00
Frýdlant
4.00
Kolovec
4.00
Vrchovina
4.00
Skaštice
4.00
Sokol Čechovice
4.00
Hlinsko
4.00
MILO Olomouc
4.00
Šumperk
4.00
Rokycany
4.50
Blansko
5.00
Chomutov
5.00
Kostelec na Hané
5.00
Slavoj Žatec
5.00
Pustá Polom
5.00
Rapid Psáry
6.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
6.00
Krnov
7.00
FK Jablonec is 0.50 goals better than Baník Ostrava in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FK Jablonec or Draw✗ Miss
74.4%
Avg Implied -
47%
28%
26%
covers FK Jablonec + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FK Jablonec or Baník Ostrava✓ Hit
72.4%
Avg Implied -
47%
28%
26%
covers FK Jablonec + Baník Ostrava
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Baník Ostrava✓ Hit
53.1%
Avg Implied -
47%
28%
26%
covers Draw + Baník Ostrava
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FK Jablonec over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
79.2%
Under
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Jablonec over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
46.5%
Under
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Jablonec over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.9%
Under
79.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Jablonec over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.5%
Under
92.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
66.8%
Under
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
30.2%
Under
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.0%
Under
90.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FK Jablonec, so a minus line means FK Jablonec give that many goals of a start and Baník Ostrava receive them. At -1, FK Jablonec must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FK Jablonec win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FK Jablonec)Actual: Baník Ostrava
FK Jablonec -2
10.1%
Draw -2
14.6%
Baník Ostrava +2
75.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FK Jablonec)Actual: Baník Ostrava
FK Jablonec -1
24.7%
Draw -1
22.2%
Baník Ostrava +1
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FK Jablonec)Actual: Draw
FK Jablonec +1
74.4%
Draw +1
15.2%
Baník Ostrava -1
10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FK Jablonec)Actual: FK Jablonec
FK Jablonec +2
89.7%
Draw +2
7.2%
Baník Ostrava -2
3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FK JablonecFK Jablonec

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W10W20W10W00D10W03L00D10WH·BOH02/02H·SLO09/02A·ČES15/02H·KAR23/02A·HRA01/03H·SLO08/03A·HRA12/03A·SLA16/03H·SIG29/03A·TEP06/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.300.920.310.710.29
vs Stronger (6)0.500.830.000.671.001.00
vs Similar (22)0.730.180.890.220.620.15
vs Weaker (2)2.500.004.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %77% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W01L00D20W20W21W10W21W10WA·SLO01/02H·SIG09/02A·SLA16/02H·TEP22/02A·ČES01/03A·PAR05/03H·MLA09/03A·PLZ16/03H·PAR29/03H·SPA05/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.430.930.430.750.44
vs Stronger (8)0.620.620.500.750.750.50
vs Similar (17)0.820.411.000.380.670.44
vs Weaker (5)1.200.201.500.001.000.33
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Jablonec over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Jablonec over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Jablonec over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FK JablonecFK Jablonec

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L32W22D30W01L00D11D00D00D00DH·BOH02/02H·SLO09/02A·ČES15/02H·KAR23/02A·HRA01/03H·SLO08/03A·HRA12/03A·SLA16/03H·SIG29/03A·TEP06/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.571.080.380.590.71
vs Stronger (6)0.331.170.670.670.001.67
vs Similar (22)0.860.361.220.330.620.38
vs Weaker (2)1.501.001.000.002.002.00
Clean sheet %63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D20W20W00D00D00D31W01LA·SLO01/02H·SIG09/02A·SLA16/02H·TEP22/02A·ČES01/03A·PAR05/03H·MLA09/03A·PLZ16/03H·PAR29/03H·SPA05/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.401.140.360.750.44
vs Stronger (8)0.250.380.250.500.250.25
vs Similar (17)1.180.351.620.120.780.56
vs Weaker (5)1.200.601.001.001.330.33
Clean sheet %63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Jablonec over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Jablonec over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Jablonec over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals97.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.594.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals92.5%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals90.0%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap89.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.586.7%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals79.2%-------✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals79.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.575.8%-------✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap75.3%-------✓ Hit
Home or Draw74.4%-------✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap74.4%-------✗ Miss
Home or Away72.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

FK Jablonec
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lamin Jawo33%
Jan Chramosta32%
Dominik Hollý19%
Bienvenue Kanakimana19%
Sebastian Nebyla19%
Matěj Polidar17%
Petr Ševčík17%
Alexis Alegue12%
Jakub Martinec12%
David Puskac10%
Matous Krulich10%
Eduardo Nardini9%
Vakhtang Chanturishvili9%
Martin Cedidla6%
Nemanja Tekijaški6%
Michal Beran3%
Jan Hanus0%
Filip Novák0%
Jan Suchan0%
Daniel Souček0%
Jan Fortelný0%
David Stepanek0%
Haiderson Hurtado0%
Tomáš Schánělec0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dominik Hollý32%
Nemanja Tekijaški24%
Daniel Souček23%
Filip Novák20%
Jakub Martinec18%
Eduardo Nardini18%
Sebastian Nebyla12%
Vakhtang Chanturishvili12%
David Stepanek12%
Matous Krulich10%
Alexis Alegue9%
Martin Cedidla9%
Michal Beran9%
Jan Fortelný8%
Lamin Jawo7%
Matěj Polidar4%
David Puskac3%
Jan Hanus3%
Petr Ševčík0%
Jan Chramosta0%
Jan Suchan0%
Bienvenue Kanakimana0%
Haiderson Hurtado0%
Tomáš Schánělec0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matěj Polidar17%
David Puskac17%
Jan Fortelný17%
Alexis Alegue16%
Jan Suchan14%
Jan Chramosta14%
Sebastian Nebyla12%
Matous Krulich10%
Vakhtang Chanturishvili9%
Petr Ševčík8%
Lamin Jawo7%
Nemanja Tekijaški6%
Jakub Martinec6%
David Stepanek6%
Daniel Souček5%
Bienvenue Kanakimana4%
Martin Cedidla3%
Michal Beran3%
Jan Hanus0%
Filip Novák0%
Eduardo Nardini0%
Haiderson Hurtado0%
Dominik Hollý0%
Tomáš Schánělec0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dominik Hollý13%
Alexis Alegue12%
Bienvenue Kanakimana12%
David Puskac10%
Jakub Martinec9%
Matěj Polidar9%
Lamin Jawo7%
Vakhtang Chanturishvili6%
Jan Suchan5%
Jan Chramosta5%
Nemanja Tekijaški3%
Petr Ševčík0%
Jan Hanus0%
Filip Novák0%
Daniel Souček0%
Martin Cedidla0%
Jan Fortelný0%
David Stepanek0%
Michal Beran0%
Sebastian Nebyla0%
Eduardo Nardini0%
Haiderson Hurtado0%
Tomáš Schánělec0%
Matous Krulich0%
Baník Ostrava
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ewerton36%
David Lischka33%
Erik Prekop24%
Dennis Owusu20%
Matěj Šín18%
David Buchta17%
Michal Kohút15%
Filip Kubala12%
Tomas Zlatohlavek9%
Abdullahi Tanko8%
Uchenna Aririerisim8%
Jiří Klíma7%
Karel Pojezný6%
Michal Frydrych4%
Tomáš Rigo3%
Jiri Boula3%
Alexander Munksgaard0%
Patrick Kpozo0%
Dominik Holec0%
Michal Fukala0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Jan Juroska0%
Matěj Chaluš0%
Georgios Kornezos0%
Jakub Markovič0%
Matúš Rusnák0%
David Latal0%
Issa Fomba0%
Samuel Grygar0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
David Lischka33%
Uchenna Aririerisim31%
Matěj Chaluš25%
Tomas Zlatohlavek18%
Erik Prekop15%
Jiri Boula14%
Tomáš Rigo12%
Dominik Holec12%
David Buchta11%
Patrick Kpozo10%
Michal Frydrych8%
Jan Juroska7%
Jiří Klíma7%
Karel Pojezný6%
Filip Kubala6%
Matěj Šín6%
Ewerton4%
Daniel Holzer3%
Alexander Munksgaard0%
Michal Fukala0%
Michal Kohút0%
Georgios Kornezos0%
Abdullahi Tanko0%
Jakub Markovič0%
Matúš Rusnák0%
David Latal0%
Issa Fomba0%
Dennis Owusu0%
Samuel Grygar0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tomáš Rigo16%
Michal Kohút15%
Matěj Šín15%
Ewerton14%
Patrick Kpozo10%
Daniel Holzer10%
Dennis Owusu10%
Michal Frydrych8%
Abdullahi Tanko8%
Uchenna Aririerisim8%
Jan Juroska7%
Karel Pojezný6%
Erik Prekop6%
Filip Kubala3%
David Buchta3%
Jiri Boula3%
David Lischka0%
Alexander Munksgaard0%
Dominik Holec0%
Michal Fukala0%
Matěj Chaluš0%
Jiří Klíma0%
Georgios Kornezos0%
Jakub Markovič0%
Tomas Zlatohlavek0%
Matúš Rusnák0%
David Latal0%
Issa Fomba0%
Samuel Grygar0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erik Prekop30%
Ewerton29%
Filip Kubala15%
Matěj Šín12%
Tomáš Rigo9%
Michal Kohút8%
Abdullahi Tanko8%
Uchenna Aririerisim8%
Jiří Klíma7%
Karel Pojezný3%
David Buchta3%
Jiri Boula3%
Michal Frydrych0%
David Lischka0%
Alexander Munksgaard0%
Patrick Kpozo0%
Dominik Holec0%
Michal Fukala0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Jan Juroska0%
Matěj Chaluš0%
Georgios Kornezos0%
Jakub Markovič0%
Tomas Zlatohlavek0%
Matúš Rusnák0%
David Latal0%
Issa Fomba0%
Dennis Owusu0%
Samuel Grygar0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
KAR (24)
€7m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
KLA (11)
€2m
AČL (9)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
FK Jablonec's squad is €5m less valuable than Baník Ostrava's (€14m vs €19m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
KAR (11)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
VLA (8)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
AČL (3)
€0m
KLA (4)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
FK Jablonec and Baník Ostrava have a similar attack value (both €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
KLA (2)
€1m
AČL (2)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
FK Jablonec's midfield is €3m less valuable than Baník Ostrava's (€4m vs €7m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
KLA (5)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
AČL (4)
€0m
TŘI (3)
€0m
FK Jablonec's defence is €1m less valuable than Baník Ostrava's (€6m vs €7m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
3
FJ wins
2
Draws
2
BO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava · H/A from FJ
DateH/AGameScore
23/11/24HFJ Vs Baník Ostrava3-1
28/07/24ABaník Ostrava Vs FJ1-0
07/04/24HFJ Vs Baník Ostrava2-3
28/10/23ABaník Ostrava Vs FJ0-1
14/05/23HFJ Vs Baník Ostrava1-1
11/02/23ABaník Ostrava Vs FJ1-2
27/08/22HFJ Vs Baník Ostrava1-1

FK JablonecFK Jablonec

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/25ATeplice Vs FJ0-1
29/03/25HFJ Vs Sigma Olomouc0-0
16/03/25ASlavia Praha Vs FJ3-0
12/03/25AHradec Králové Vs FJ1-2
08/03/25HFJ Vs Slovan Liberec0-0
01/03/25AHradec Králové Vs FJ1-1
23/02/25HFJ Vs Karviná5-0
15/02/25AČeské Budějovice Vs FJ2-3
09/02/25HFJ Vs Slovácko4-2
02/02/25HFJ Vs Bohemians 19050-1

Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/04/25HBO Vs Sparta Praha1-1
29/03/25HBO Vs Pardubice5-2
16/03/25APlzen Vs BO0-1
09/03/25HBO Vs Mlada Boleslav2-1
05/03/25APardubice Vs BO0-2
01/03/25AČeské Budějovice Vs BO0-4
22/02/25HBO Vs Teplice2-0
16/02/25ASlavia Praha Vs BO1-0
09/02/25HBO Vs Sigma Olomouc1-0
01/02/25ASlovan Liberec Vs BO0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FK Jablonec
FK Jablonec
Czech-Republic: Cup
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLDW1.58
HomeLWWDD1.84
AwayWDWLW1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%52%36%
AVG goals2.702.802.60
Over 1.5 %70%72%68%
Over 2.5 %50%56%44%
Over 3.5 %28%32%24%
Scored1.601.921.28
Conceded1.100.881.32
BTTS44%48%40%
Clean Sheet40%48%32%
Corners9.599.569.62
Cards4.985.044.90
Baník Ostrava
Baník Ostrava
Czech-Republic: Cup
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD1.90
HomeWWWWD2.04
AwayWLWWW1.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%62%54%
AVG goals2.883.042.73
Over 1.5 %66%71%62%
Over 2.5 %52%54%50%
Over 3.5 %40%38%42%
Scored1.822.121.54
Conceded1.060.921.19
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet36%33%38%
Corners11.4911.7811.18
Cards4.574.175.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha3590
83%
2.6
7718+59
2.7
77%
54%
26%
10.1
51%
4.0
41%
21.6
57%
123
2735612.20.5
60%
2PlzenPlzen3574
66%
2.1
7136+35
3.1
80%
54%
31%
10.1
56%
3.7
48%
22.1
57%
57
1522202.01.0
55%
3Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava3571
63%
2.0
5834+24
2.6
63%
54%
31%
10.9
59%
3.9
52%
20.7
47%
19
5771.71.0
53%
4FK JablonecFK Jablonec3563
54%
1.8
6033+27
2.7
69%
54%
31%
9.8
56%
4.1
58%
23.6
71%
14
4461.70.9
50%
5Sparta PrahaSparta Praha3563
54%
1.8
6144+17
3.0
91%
60%
29%
9.0
46%
4.7
68%
21.9
49%
92
4327221.71.3
59%
6Hradec KrálovéHradec Králové3449
41%
1.4
4032+8
2.1
65%
38%
9%
10.3
58%
4.5
68%
22.9
64%
14
4371.20.9
46%
7Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec3245
38%
1.4
4735+12
2.6
69%
47%
34%
10.5
48%
4.6
77%
24.5
74%
27
17451.51.1
47%
8Sigma OlomoucSigma Olomouc3545
34%
1.3
4853-5
2.9
83%
69%
34%
9.9
47%
4.0
41%
23.0
62%
30
710121.41.5
49%
9TepliceTeplice3544
34%
1.3
4145-4
2.5
74%
43%
14%
9.5
54%
4.5
63%
25.7
86%
8
3231.21.3
46%
10Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav3541
31%
1.2
4848+0
2.7
80%
60%
31%
11.1
76%
3.7
47%
22.5
57%
11
4431.41.4
54%
11KarvináKarviná3241
34%
1.3
4057-17
3.0
75%
62%
44%
10.3
56%
4.4
61%
23.5
66%
7
4121.21.8
54%
12Bohemians 1905Bohemians 19053440
29%
1.2
3746-9
2.4
65%
50%
26%
11.3
65%
3.8
45%
22.6
62%
7
2231.11.4
47%
13SlováckoSlovácko3538
26%
1.1
3156-25
2.5
69%
46%
29%
10.0
53%
4.8
59%
24.6
79%
8
2340.91.6
47%
14Dukla PrahaDukla Praha3736
22%
1.0
3556-21
2.5
70%
49%
24%
9.8
57%
3.9
51%
25.5
73%
7
3120.91.5
45%
15PardubicePardubice3728
19%
0.8
2757-30
2.3
68%
41%
16%
10.0
47%
4.5
53%
24.5
67%
14
4450.71.5
49%
16České BudějoviceČeské Budějovice356
0%
0.2
1686-70
2.9
77%
60%
34%
10.5
56%
3.2
42%
22.6
53%
0
0000.52.5
41%
17ChrudimChrudim23
50%
1.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
14.0
100%
5.5
100%
24.0
100%
0
0000.51.0
50%
18VyškovVyškov22
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
12.0
100%
5.0
50%
32.5
100%
0
0000.50.5
44%
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →

← all matches