FK Jablonec are tipped to win the Czech Liga clash against Baník Ostrava, with the model picking a home victory. The match is expected to see about 2.5 goals, centring on a 2-goal total that carries a 27% probability. The most likely exact score is 1-1, which the model assigns a 14% chance. Jablonec, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 1.36 goals scored and 0.79 conceded, while Baník Ostrava away from home average 1.45 scored and 1.18 conceded. The home win probability sits at 42%, the draw at 29%, and the away win at 29%. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Under 6.5 (98.6% with a 5% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.4% with a 3% edge), Under 5.5 (95.9% with a 4% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (94.8% with a 5% edge), Over 19.5 fouls (92.6%), Away under 2.5 goals (90.0% with a 3% edge), and Under 4.5 (89.3% with a 7% edge).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FK Jablonec win
42.6%
Avg Implied 42.4% · @ 2.19
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.31
888Sport
2.25
William Hil
2.25
10Bet
2.22
1xBet
2.20
Draw
29.2%
Avg Implied 27.2% · @ 3.41
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.60
1xBet
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Dafabet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.44
Baník Ostrava win
28.2%
Avg Implied 30.5% · @ 3.04
Edge
-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.30
Betfair
3.25
Unibet
3.20
Dafabet
3.20
1xBet
3.10
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FK Jablonec
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.40
1.38
0.81
1.07
2.07
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
2.75
1.50
1.00
0.83
3.33
vs Similar (22)
1.32
0.91
1.36
0.79
1.25
1.12
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baník Ostrava
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.27
1.36
1.14
1.69
1.38
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
3.00
0.00
2.33
2.00
5.00
vs Similar (18)
1.33
1.00
1.14
0.71
1.45
1.18
vs Weaker (8)
2.50
1.00
2.75
1.00
2.25
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.3%
@ 1.22-3.8%
Under 1.5
27.7%
@ 3.90+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.33
BetVictor
4.10
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.95
1xBet
3.80
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
45.4%
@ 1.74-8.4%
Under 2.5
54.6%
@ 2.02+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
Pinnacle
1.81
1xBet
1.78
888Sport
1.75
Unibet
1.74
Under
10Bet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.08
Marathonbet
2.06
Betano
2.02
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
24.0%
@ 2.82-9.0%
Under 3.5
76.0%
@ 1.39+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.00
Pinnacle
2.90
888Sport
2.90
Betfair
2.88
1xBet
2.85
Under
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Both teams to score
Yes
51.3%
@ 1.60-6.7%
No
48.7%
@ 2.21+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.62
William Hil
1.62
888Sport
1.60
No
Betfair
2.38
BetVictor
2.25
Marathonbet
2.20
Bet365
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%@ 6.44+7.0%
1-0
10.3%@ 8.40+5.0%
0-0
9.6%@ 11.25+5.6%
2-1
8.8%@ 8.32+3.5%
2-0
8.1%@ 10.78+4.0%
0-1
7.8%@ 10.22+3.5%
1-2
6.9%@ 9.97+2.5%
0-2
5.0%@ 15.28+2.1%
FK Jablonec goals ↓
Baník Ostrava goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.6%
7.8%
5.0%
1.8%
0.5%
1
10%
14%
6.9%
2.5%
0.7%
2
8.1%
8.8%
4.8%
1.8%
0.5%
3
3.8%
4.1%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.3%
1.4%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Jablonec goals (down), columns = Baník Ostrava goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.33
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Slovan Liberec
2.17
Zbrojovka Brno
2.17
FK Jablonec
2.00
Baník Ostrava
1.80
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Teplice
1.67
Sparta Praha
1.50
Hradec Králové
1.40
Plzen
1.20
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Artis
0.67
Slovácko
0.33
Pardubice
0.17
Zlin
0.00
FK Jablonec is 0.20 points better than Baník Ostrava in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.83
Plzen
2.20
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Teplice
2.00
Sparta Praha
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno
1.67
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Slovan Liberec
1.33
Bohemians 1905
1.20
FK Jablonec
1.20
Artis
1.00
Zlin
0.83
Pardubice
0.83
Slovácko
0.83
Hradec Králové
0.80
Baník Ostrava
0.80
FK Jablonec is 0.40 goals better than Baník Ostrava in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 0.80).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Slovan Liberec
0.50
FK Jablonec
0.80
Slavia Praha
0.83
Zbrojovka Brno
0.83
Hradec Králové
1.00
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Sigma Olomouc
1.33
Sparta Praha
1.67
Pardubice
2.00
Teplice
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Artis
2.17
Zlin
2.17
Plzen
2.40
FK Jablonec is 0.40 goals better than Baník Ostrava in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Sparta Praha
65%
Plzen
59%
Sigma Olomouc
58%
Slavia Praha
54%
Hradec Králové
54%
FK Jablonec
52%
Mlada Boleslav
50%
Teplice
49%
Slovácko
48%
Slovan Liberec
47%
Baník Ostrava
47%
Bohemians 1905
47%
Zbrojovka Brno
45%
Zlin
43%
Artis
42%
Pardubice
40%
FK Jablonec is 5.4 percentage points better than Baník Ostrava in terms of average possession (52% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FK Jablonec
For 4.3 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 14.6 · Total 28.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Baník Ostrava
For 5.5 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 13.2 · Total 25.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FK Jablonec
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.2
10.3
3.4
3.6
3.2
26.9
26.8
27.1
vs Stronger (11)
9.1
8.3
9.4
3.6
4.5
3.1
26.2
28.3
25.3
vs Similar (39)
10.0
9.3
10.8
3.3
3.5
3.2
27.2
26.5
27.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
49%
45%
52%
48%
56%
40%
86%
85%
87%
% under line
51%
55%
48%
52%
44%
60%
14%
15%
13%
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baník Ostrava
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.6
9.6
3.7
3.6
3.7
24.8
24.0
25.6
vs Stronger (7)
12.1
14.5
9.0
4.0
2.8
5.7
26.1
25.5
27.0
vs Similar (32)
9.6
9.5
9.8
3.8
4.0
3.6
24.1
24.6
23.6
vs Weaker (11)
9.9
10.2
9.5
3.1
3.2
3.0
25.8
20.8
30.8
% over line
52%
67%
37%
52%
52%
52%
75%
71%
79%
% under line
48%
33%
63%
48%
48%
48%
25%
29%
21%
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mlada Boleslav
11.2
Slavia Praha
11.0
Zbrojovka Brno
10.4
Slovácko
10.2
Bohemians 1905
10.2
Slovan Liberec
10.0
Sparta Praha
9.9
Baník Ostrava
9.9
Pardubice
9.9
Hradec Králové
9.7
FK Jablonec
9.7
Plzen
9.4
Zlin
9.3
Sigma Olomouc
9.3
Teplice
9.0
Artis
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plzen
5.5
Slovan Liberec
5.3
Sparta Praha
4.8
Pardubice
4.4
Teplice
4.4
Slavia Praha
4.3
Baník Ostrava
4.2
Sigma Olomouc
4.2
Mlada Boleslav
4.1
FK Jablonec
4.1
Slovácko
4.0
Zlin
3.9
Bohemians 1905
3.8
Hradec Králové
3.7
Zbrojovka Brno
3.5
Artis
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Slovan Liberec
28.8
Zlin
28.6
Teplice
28.4
Slavia Praha
26.9
Slovácko
26.7
Sigma Olomouc
26.6
FK Jablonec
26.6
Artis
26.5
Plzen
26.3
Pardubice
25.5
Mlada Boleslav
25.5
Sparta Praha
24.7
Baník Ostrava
24.5
Bohemians 1905
23.1
Hradec Králové
22.7
Zbrojovka Brno
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.9%
@ 1.49-17.5%
Under 9.5
55.1%
@ 2.46+17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
Unibet
1.45
Under
Unibet
2.50
Betano
2.42
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
59.3%
Under 3.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
84.9%
Under 21.5
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FK Jablonec or Draw
71.8%
Avg Implied 69.3% · @ 1.35
Edge
+2.5%
43%
29%
28%
covers FK Jablonec + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.38
Betano
1.36
888Sport
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
William Hil
1.36
FK Jablonec or Baník Ostrava
70.8%
Avg Implied 73.5% · @ 1.27
Edge
-2.7%
43%
29%
28%
covers FK Jablonec + Baník Ostrava
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Draw or Baník Ostrava
57.4%
Avg Implied 57.2% · @ 1.63
Edge
+0.2%
43%
29%
28%
covers Draw + Baník Ostrava
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.73
Betano
1.70
Unibet
1.66
1xBet
1.64
888Sport
1.62
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FK Jablonec over/under 0.5
Over
75.3%
@ 1.20-2.2%
Under
24.7%
@ 4.12+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.33
1xBet
4.10
Unibet
4.10
Pinnacle
4.07
FK Jablonec over/under 1.5
Over
40.7%
@ 2.01-5.5%
Under
59.3%
@ 1.73+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.13
888Sport
2.05
Betano
2.02
1xBet
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Under
Marathonbet
1.77
Betano
1.75
Unibet
1.75
BetVictor
1.73
Betfair
1.73
FK Jablonec over/under 2.5
Over
16.6%
@ 4.17-5.7%
Under
83.4%
@ 1.19+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
4.50
BetVictor
4.33
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.20
10Bet
4.20
Under
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.20
FK Jablonec over/under 3.5
Over
5.3%
@ 9.90-4.2%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.04+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
11.00
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
888Sport
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Baník Ostrava over/under 0.5
Over
66.5%
@ 1.30-4.9%
Under
33.5%
@ 3.23+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Unibet
1.33
1xBet
1.31
888Sport
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.36
10Bet
3.35
BetVictor
3.30
888Sport
3.25
Baník Ostrava over/under 1.5
Over
29.8%
@ 2.48-7.6%
Under
70.2%
@ 1.49+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Unibet
2.60
Betano
2.57
Pinnacle
2.56
888Sport
2.45
Under
Bet365
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
888Sport
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Baník Ostrava over/under 2.5
Over
9.8%
@ 5.77-6.3%
Under
90.2%
@ 1.11+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.10
888Sport
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Betano
5.80
Under
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Betano
1.12
888Sport
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
Baník Ostrava over/under 3.5
Over
2.5%
@ 14.92-3.9%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.03+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
17.00
Bet365
17.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FK Jablonec, so a minus line means FK Jablonec give that many goals of a start and Baník Ostrava receive them. At -1, FK Jablonec must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FK Jablonec win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FK Jablonec)
FK Jablonec -2
7.8%
@ 8.43-2.8%
Draw -2
13.1%
@ 6.06-1.7%
Baník Ostrava +2
79.1%
@ 1.20+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
9.50
Betfair
9.00
Marathonbet
7.70
Unibet
7.50
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.15
Betfair
6.00
Unibet
5.60
Away
Unibet
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Handicap -1 (FK Jablonec)
FK Jablonec -1
20.9%
@ 3.92-1.8%
Draw -1
21.7%
@ 3.88-1.2%
Baník Ostrava +1
57.4%
@ 1.63+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.85
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.65
Draw
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.84
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.60
Away
Unibet
1.68
Betfair
1.67
Marathonbet
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Bet365
1.57
Handicap +1 (FK Jablonec)
FK Jablonec +1
71.8%
@ 1.34+5.7%
Draw +1
16.7%
@ 4.66-2.4%
Baník Ostrava -1
11.4%
@ 6.01-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.34
Unibet
1.30
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Unibet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.70
10Bet
4.50
Away
Unibet
6.50
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Handicap +2 (FK Jablonec)
FK Jablonec +2
88.6%
@ 1.11+6.3%
Draw +2
8.0%
@ 8.50-2.7%
Baník Ostrava -2
3.4%
@ 13.00-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Away
Bet365
13.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FK Jablonec
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.50
0.44
0.71
1.07
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
1.62
0.00
0.50
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.41
0.57
0.43
0.88
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baník Ostrava
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.64
0.71
0.75
0.50
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
2.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.44
0.71
0.29
0.73
0.55
vs Weaker (8)
0.88
0.25
1.00
0.50
0.75
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
69.5%
@ 1.33-0.3%
Under 0.5
30.5%
@ 3.09+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Under
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.20
William Hil
3.10
1xBet
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
34.0%
@ 2.53-2.7%
Under 1.5
66.0%
@ 1.46+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.75
Pinnacle
2.72
Betfair
2.55
William Hil
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Under
BetVictor
1.50
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.46
1xBet
1.45
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.1%
@ 6.09-4.1%
Under 2.5
88.9%
@ 1.10+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Betano
6.20
1xBet
5.70
Under
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Unibet
1.09
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Jablonec over/under 0.5 HT
Over
47.4%
@ 1.85-2.7%
Under
52.6%
@ 1.85+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
Betano
1.91
Marathonbet
1.84
10Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Under
1xBet
1.91
Unibet
1.88
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
Betano
1.83
FK Jablonec over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.9%
@ 5.28-3.8%
Under
86.1%
@ 1.13+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.40
Betano
5.20
10Bet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
FK Jablonec over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.6%
@ 13.12-4.6%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.01+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Baník Ostrava over/under 0.5 HT
Over
40.8%
@ 2.15-2.4%
Under
59.2%
@ 1.64+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.20
Unibet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.10
Under
10Bet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.64
Pinnacle
1.63
1xBet
1.62
Unibet
1.60
Baník Ostrava over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.0%
@ 6.86-3.6%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.07+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Marathonbet
6.90
Betano
6.80
10Bet
6.25
Under
10Bet
1.09
Betano
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Baník Ostrava over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.3%
@ 17.75-4.1%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.01+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FK Jablonec
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.88
0.38
0.36
1.00
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.12
1.50
0.50
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.50
0.79
0.36
0.38
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baník Ostrava
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.67
0.71
0.43
0.94
0.88
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.33
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.56
0.43
0.43
0.73
0.64
vs Weaker (8)
1.62
0.75
1.75
0.50
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.3%
@ 1.20-0.4%
Under 0.5
22.7%
@ 4.16+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
888Sport
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
Betano
4.15
1xBet
4.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
42.8%
@ 1.94-4.9%
Under 1.5
57.2%
@ 1.77+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.00
Unibet
1.96
Betano
1.95
William Hil
1.95
888Sport
1.95
Under
Betano
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
10Bet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
888Sport
1.75
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.7%
@ 3.93-3.8%
Under 2.5
80.3%
@ 1.21+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.05
Bet365
4.00
888Sport
4.00
William Hil
4.00
Betano
3.85
Under
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
888Sport
1.20
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Jablonec over/under 0.5 2H
Over
55.1%
@ 1.60-3.0%
Under
44.9%
@ 2.22+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
10Bet
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Under
Betano
2.25
10Bet
2.20
1xBet
2.20
FK Jablonec over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.5%
@ 3.82-4.7%
Under
80.5%
@ 1.22+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.95
Marathonbet
3.82
1xBet
3.80
Betano
3.70
Under
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
FK Jablonec over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.0%
@ 9.25-5.1%
Under
95.0%
@ 1.04+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
Baník Ostrava over/under 0.5 2H
Over
45.0%
@ 1.79-6.7%
Under
55.0%
@ 1.92+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.82
Betano
1.82
Marathonbet
1.77
10Bet
1.75
Under
10Bet
1.95
Betano
1.93
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.88
Baník Ostrava over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.2%
@ 4.89-5.8%
Under
86.8%
@ 1.14+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.10
Marathonbet
4.90
Betano
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Baník Ostrava over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.4%
@ 11.88-5.5%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.02+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.1%
Under 6.5
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.4%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.5%
Away under 3.5 goals
97.5%
1.03
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+3.9%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.6%
Under 5.5
95.9%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.04
888Sport
1.04
+5.1%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.0%
1.04
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
-
-
-
+5.1%
Home under 3.5 goals
94.7%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
888Sport
1.04
1xBet
1.01
+4.2%
Over 19.5 fouls
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
90.2%
1.11
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Betano
1.12
888Sport
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
+6.3%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.0%
1.07
10Bet
1.09
Betano
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
-
+3.6%
Under 4.5
89.2%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
888Sport
1.13
+6.8%
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.9%
1.10
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Unibet
1.09
+4.1%
Home +2 handicap
88.6%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+6.3%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.8%
1.14
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.12
-
+5.8%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.1%
1.13
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
-
+3.8%
Over 21.5 fouls
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
83.4%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.20
+5.7%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.5%
1.22
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
-
+4.7%
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.3%
1.21
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
888Sport
1.20
+3.8%
Away +2 handicap
79.1%
1.20
Unibet
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
-
+4.5%
Over 2.5 cards
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
77.6%
1.58
Unibet
1.63
Betano
1.53
-
-
-
+18.8%
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.3%
1.20
Betano
1.22
888Sport
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.18
-0.4%
Under 5.5 cards
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
76.0%
1.39
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Bet365
1.40
+9.0%
Home over 0.5 goals
75.3%
1.20
Betano
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
10Bet
1.20
-2.2%
Over 23.5 fouls
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
72.3%
1.22
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
-3.8%
Home or Draw
71.8%
1.35
10Bet
1.38
Betano
1.36
888Sport
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
William Hil
1.36
+2.5%
Home +1 handicap
71.8%
1.34
10Bet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.34
Unibet
1.30
-
+5.7%
Home or Away
70.8%
1.27
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.28
-2.7%
Away under 1.5 goals
70.2%
1.49
Bet365
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
888Sport
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
+7.6%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FK Jablonec
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Cedidla43%
J. Chramosta17%
V. Tchanturishvili14%
J. Suchan14%
R. Sedláček0%
Nemanja Tekijaški0%
F. Novák0%
Matěj Polidar0%
D. Souček0%
J. Sláma0%
L. Jawo0%
A. Růsek0%
F. Zorvan0%
K. Mihelak0%
Sebastian Nebyla0%
Hugo Ahl0%
N. Okeke0%
Dušan Pavlović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Hugo Ahl33%
M. Cedidla29%
Nemanja Tekijaški20%
F. Novák20%
J. Sláma20%
A. Růsek17%
N. Okeke17%
R. Sedláček14%
L. Jawo14%
J. Chramosta0%
V. Tchanturishvili0%
Matěj Polidar0%
J. Suchan0%
D. Souček0%
F. Zorvan0%
K. Mihelak0%
Sebastian Nebyla0%
Dušan Pavlović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
J. Suchan29%
Sebastian Nebyla20%
J. Chramosta17%
R. Sedláček14%
Nemanja Tekijaški0%
F. Novák0%
V. Tchanturishvili0%
Matěj Polidar0%
D. Souček0%
J. Sláma0%
M. Cedidla0%
L. Jawo0%
A. Růsek0%
F. Zorvan0%
K. Mihelak0%
Hugo Ahl0%
N. Okeke0%
Dušan Pavlović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
L. Jawo29%
J. Suchan14%
J. Chramosta0%
R. Sedláček0%
Nemanja Tekijaški0%
F. Novák0%
V. Tchanturishvili0%
Matěj Polidar0%
D. Souček0%
J. Sláma0%
M. Cedidla0%
A. Růsek0%
F. Zorvan0%
K. Mihelak0%
Sebastian Nebyla0%
Hugo Ahl0%
N. Okeke0%
Dušan Pavlović0%
Baník Ostrava
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michal Kohút33%
Václav Jurečka25%
Matěj Chaluš25%
Jiri Micek20%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Martin Jedlička0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Filip Kubala0%
Abdallah Gning0%
Roan Nogha0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Dantaye Gilbert0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Artúr Musák0%
Abdullahi Bewene0%
Vit Skrkon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matěj Chaluš25%
Filip Kubala25%
Roan Nogha20%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Martin Jedlička0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Václav Jurečka0%
Michal Kohút0%
Abdallah Gning0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Dantaye Gilbert0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Artúr Musák0%
Jiri Micek0%
Abdullahi Bewene0%
Vit Skrkon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Filip Kubala25%
Artúr Musák25%
Roan Nogha20%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Martin Jedlička0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Václav Jurečka0%
Matěj Chaluš0%
Michal Kohút0%
Abdallah Gning0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Dantaye Gilbert0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Jiri Micek0%
Abdullahi Bewene0%
Vit Skrkon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Michal Kohút33%
Dantaye Gilbert20%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Martin Jedlička0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Václav Jurečka0%
Matěj Chaluš0%
Filip Kubala0%
Abdallah Gning0%
Roan Nogha0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Artúr Musák0%
Jiri Micek0%
Abdullahi Bewene0%
Vit Skrkon0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
FK Jablonec's squad is €5m less valuable than Baník Ostrava's (€14m vs €19m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
FK Jablonec and Baník Ostrava have a similar attack value (both €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
FK Jablonec's midfield is €3m less valuable than Baník Ostrava's (€4m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
FK Jablonec's defence is €1m less valuable than Baník Ostrava's (€6m vs €7m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Slavia Praha
Zbrojovka Brno
Slovan Liberec
Mlada Boleslav
Sigma Olomouc
Teplice
Sparta Praha
Hradec Králové
Bohemians 1905
Plzen
Artis
Slovácko
Pardubice
Zlin