This opponent (Hradec Králové) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hradec Králové
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.71
0.75
0.50
1.33
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.00
0.60
0.50
0.00
1.33
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.6%
Under 1.5
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.4%
Under 2.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.2%
Under 3.5
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.0%
No
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
9.0%
0-2
8.2%
0-0
7.4%
2-1
6.7%
1-0
6.0%
2-2
5.4%
FK Jablonec goals ↓
Hradec Králové goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.4%
9.0%
8.2%
4.5%
1.8%
1
6.0%
13%
9.5%
5.1%
2.1%
2
4.1%
6.7%
5.4%
2.9%
1.2%
3
1.6%
2.6%
2.1%
1.1%
0.5%
4
0.5%
0.7%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Jablonec goals (down), columns = Hradec Králové goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.23
Sparta Praha
2.23
Plzen
1.74
Bohemians 1905
1.49
Slovácko
1.43
Sigma Olomouc
1.37
Hradec Králové
1.32
Slovan Liberec
1.29
Teplice
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.19
České Budějovice
1.19
FK Jablonec
1.14
Pardubice
1.11
Zlin
1.03
Zbrojovka Brno
0.94
Příbram
0.50
Vyškov
0.50
FK Jablonec is 0.18 points worse than Hradec Králové in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.32).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.80
Sparta Praha
2.17
Plzen
1.71
Bohemians 1905
1.60
Sigma Olomouc
1.51
Baník Ostrava
1.51
Slovan Liberec
1.50
FK Jablonec
1.40
Teplice
1.29
Mlada Boleslav
1.22
Zlin
1.19
České Budějovice
1.19
Zbrojovka Brno
1.17
Hradec Králové
1.15
Slovácko
1.14
Pardubice
1.08
Příbram
0.00
Vyškov
0.00
FK Jablonec is 0.25 goals better than Hradec Králové in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.15).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Vyškov
0.50
Slavia Praha
0.89
Sparta Praha
0.94
Příbram
1.00
Plzen
1.09
Slovácko
1.31
Sigma Olomouc
1.34
Hradec Králové
1.35
Mlada Boleslav
1.38
Baník Ostrava
1.43
Slovan Liberec
1.44
Zlin
1.62
Bohemians 1905
1.66
Pardubice
1.70
FK Jablonec
1.80
Zbrojovka Brno
1.83
České Budějovice
1.88
Teplice
1.91
FK Jablonec is 0.45 goals worse than Hradec Králové in terms of goals conceded per game (1.80 vs 1.35).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Slavia Praha
61%
České Budějovice
56%
Sigma Olomouc
55%
Mlada Boleslav
53%
Sparta Praha
53%
Zbrojovka Brno
52%
Pardubice
51%
Baník Ostrava
50%
FK Jablonec
50%
Plzen
50%
Slovan Liberec
48%
Slovácko
48%
Vyškov
47%
Teplice
46%
Zlin
44%
Bohemians 1905
44%
Hradec Králové
39%
FK Jablonec is 11.2 percentage points better than Hradec Králové in terms of average possession (50% vs 39%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FK Jablonec
For 4.1 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 6.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 14.6 · Total 27.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hradec Králové
For 3.9 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 6.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 12.7 · Total 27.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FK Jablonec
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (7)
9.0
9.0
9.0
6.4
7.2
5.3
27.1
25.2
29.7
vs Stronger (2)
9.5
9.5
-
9.0
9.0
-
26.5
26.5
-
vs Similar (5)
8.8
8.5
9.0
5.4
5.5
5.3
27.4
24.0
29.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
50%
33%
86%
75%
100%
86%
75%
100%
% under line
57%
50%
67%
14%
25%
0%
14%
25%
0%
This opponent (Hradec Králové) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hradec Králové
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (7)
8.6
10.0
6.7
6.1
6.0
6.3
27.1
21.2
35.0
vs Stronger (2)
11.0
11.0
-
4.0
4.0
-
18.5
18.5
-
vs Similar (5)
7.6
9.0
6.7
7.0
8.0
6.3
30.6
24.0
35.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
75%
0%
86%
75%
100%
57%
25%
100%
% under line
57%
25%
100%
14%
25%
0%
43%
75%
0%
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sigma Olomouc
12.4
Pardubice
12.1
Plzen
11.3
Slovan Liberec
11.1
Sparta Praha
10.8
Baník Ostrava
9.9
Slovácko
9.7
Teplice
9.5
FK Jablonec
9.0
České Budějovice
8.9
Zbrojovka Brno
8.9
Slavia Praha
8.8
Hradec Králové
8.6
Mlada Boleslav
8.3
Zlin
8.1
Bohemians 1905
7.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FK Jablonec
6.4
Baník Ostrava
6.1
Hradec Králové
6.1
Sparta Praha
5.8
Sigma Olomouc
5.6
Slavia Praha
5.4
Teplice
5.2
Bohemians 1905
5.1
Slovácko
4.9
Slovan Liberec
4.9
Plzen
4.8
Pardubice
4.7
Mlada Boleslav
4.4
České Budějovice
4.3
Zlin
4.1
Zbrojovka Brno
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Mlada Boleslav
28.8
Teplice
27.9
Hradec Králové
27.1
FK Jablonec
27.1
Zlin
26.1
Baník Ostrava
25.6
Slovácko
25.2
Bohemians 1905
24.9
Slovan Liberec
24.4
Pardubice
23.4
Sigma Olomouc
23.1
Slavia Praha
22.6
Sparta Praha
22.6
Plzen
22.0
Zbrojovka Brno
21.3
České Budějovice
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
34.6%
Under 9.5
65.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
85.3%
Under 3.5
14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
88.2%
Under 21.5
11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FK Jablonec
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.86
0.86
0.25
0.75
1.67
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.00
0.80
0.00
0.50
1.67
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
14% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Hradec Králové) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hradec Králové
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.29
0.25
0.25
1.00
0.33
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.60
0.20
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
71% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Jablonec over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Jablonec over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Jablonec over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hradec Králové over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hradec Králové over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hradec Králové over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FK Jablonec
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.29
0.75
1.25
0.33
1.33
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.40
1.40
0.50
1.50
0.33
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
14% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Hradec Králové) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hradec Králové
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.43
0.50
0.25
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.40
0.50
0.00
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Jablonec over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Jablonec over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Jablonec over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hradec Králové over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hradec Králové over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hradec Králové over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 4.5 cards
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FK Jablonec
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jan Král33%
Tomáš Hübschman0%
Jakub Považanec0%
Jan Chramosta0%
Matěj Polidar0%
Pavel Šulc0%
Michal Surzyn0%
David Stepanek0%
Michal Černák0%
Vojtech Patrak0%
Václav Sejk0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
David Stepanek67%
Michal Surzyn33%
Tomáš Hübschman0%
Jakub Považanec0%
Jan Chramosta0%
Jan Král0%
Matěj Polidar0%
Pavel Šulc0%
Michal Černák0%
Vojtech Patrak0%
Václav Sejk0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tomáš Hübschman0%
Jakub Považanec0%
Jan Chramosta0%
Jan Král0%
Matěj Polidar0%
Pavel Šulc0%
Michal Surzyn0%
David Stepanek0%
Michal Černák0%
Vojtech Patrak0%
Václav Sejk0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jakub Považanec33%
Matěj Polidar33%
Václav Sejk33%
Tomáš Hübschman0%
Jan Chramosta0%
Jan Král0%
Pavel Šulc0%
Michal Surzyn0%
David Stepanek0%
Michal Černák0%
Vojtech Patrak0%
Hradec Králové · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
František Čech20%
M. van Buren17%
Vladimír Darida17%
T. Slončík17%
Ondřej Mihálik0%
S. Dancák0%
D. Trubač0%
A. Vlkanova0%
M. Valenta0%
A. Zadražil0%
Filip Čihák0%
D. Horák0%
J. Uhrinčať0%
D. Ludvíček0%
Elione Neto0%
A. Umar0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
S. Dancák33%
Filip Čihák33%
Elione Neto33%
M. Valenta20%
František Čech20%
A. Umar20%
Vladimír Darida17%
D. Trubač17%
D. Horák17%
M. van Buren0%
Ondřej Mihálik0%
A. Vlkanova0%
A. Zadražil0%
J. Uhrinčať0%
D. Ludvíček0%
T. Slončík0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
D. Horák17%
J. Uhrinčať17%
M. van Buren0%
Vladimír Darida0%
Ondřej Mihálik0%
S. Dancák0%
D. Trubač0%
A. Vlkanova0%
M. Valenta0%
A. Zadražil0%
Filip Čihák0%
František Čech0%
D. Ludvíček0%
Elione Neto0%
T. Slončík0%
A. Umar0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
M. van Buren33%
Vladimír Darida33%
D. Horák33%
T. Slončík33%
D. Trubač17%
Ondřej Mihálik0%
S. Dancák0%
A. Vlkanova0%
M. Valenta0%
A. Zadražil0%
Filip Čihák0%
František Čech0%
J. Uhrinčať0%
D. Ludvíček0%
Elione Neto0%
A. Umar0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
FK Jablonec and Hradec Králové have a similar squad value (both €14m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
FK Jablonec and Hradec Králové have a similar attack value (both €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
FK Jablonec's midfield is €1m more valuable than Hradec Králové's (€4m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
FK Jablonec's defence is €1m less valuable than Hradec Králové's (€6m vs €7m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
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Sparta Praha
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