This opponent (Plzen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Plzen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.35
2.33
1.00
1.36
1.64
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
4.00
1.00
3.00
0.50
5.00
vs Similar (3)
1.67
0.33
2.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (13)
2.15
0.77
2.80
0.40
1.75
1.00
Clean sheet %
35% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.7%
Under 1.5
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.4%
Under 2.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.0%
Under 3.5
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.6%
No
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.3%
0-0
6.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.0%
FK Jablonec goals ↓
Plzen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.7%
7.3%
6.5%
3.3%
1.3%
1
6.4%
13%
8.8%
4.5%
1.7%
2
5.1%
7.9%
6.0%
3.1%
1.2%
3
2.3%
3.6%
2.7%
1.4%
0.5%
4
0.8%
1.2%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Jablonec goals (down), columns = Plzen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.23
Sparta Praha
2.23
Plzen
1.74
Bohemians 1905
1.49
Slovácko
1.43
Sigma Olomouc
1.37
Hradec Králové
1.32
Slovan Liberec
1.29
Teplice
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.19
České Budějovice
1.19
FK Jablonec
1.14
Pardubice
1.11
Zlin
1.03
Zbrojovka Brno
0.94
Příbram
0.50
Vyškov
0.50
FK Jablonec is 0.60 points worse than Plzen in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.80
Sparta Praha
2.17
Plzen
1.71
Bohemians 1905
1.60
Sigma Olomouc
1.51
Baník Ostrava
1.51
Slovan Liberec
1.50
FK Jablonec
1.40
Teplice
1.29
Mlada Boleslav
1.22
Zlin
1.19
České Budějovice
1.19
Zbrojovka Brno
1.17
Hradec Králové
1.15
Slovácko
1.14
Pardubice
1.08
Příbram
0.00
Vyškov
0.00
FK Jablonec is 0.31 goals worse than Plzen in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.71).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Vyškov
0.50
Slavia Praha
0.89
Sparta Praha
0.94
Příbram
1.00
Plzen
1.09
Slovácko
1.31
Sigma Olomouc
1.34
Hradec Králové
1.35
Mlada Boleslav
1.38
Baník Ostrava
1.43
Slovan Liberec
1.44
Zlin
1.62
Bohemians 1905
1.66
Pardubice
1.70
FK Jablonec
1.80
Zbrojovka Brno
1.83
České Budějovice
1.88
Teplice
1.91
FK Jablonec is 0.71 goals worse than Plzen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.80 vs 1.09).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Slavia Praha
61%
České Budějovice
56%
Sigma Olomouc
55%
Mlada Boleslav
53%
Sparta Praha
53%
Zbrojovka Brno
52%
Pardubice
51%
Baník Ostrava
50%
FK Jablonec
50%
Plzen
50%
Slovan Liberec
48%
Slovácko
48%
Vyškov
47%
Teplice
46%
Zlin
44%
Bohemians 1905
44%
Hradec Králové
39%
FK Jablonec is 0.4 percentage points better than Plzen in terms of average possession (50% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FK Jablonec
For 4.7 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 13.2 · Total 27.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Plzen
For 4.0 · Against 6.8 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 9.6 · Total 20.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FK Jablonec
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (11)
9.4
9.7
9.0
4.8
5.3
4.2
27.3
26.7
28.0
vs Stronger (2)
9.5
9.5
-
9.0
9.0
-
26.5
26.5
-
vs Similar (9)
9.3
9.8
9.0
3.9
3.5
4.2
27.4
26.8
28.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
45%
50%
40%
55%
50%
60%
91%
83%
100%
% under line
55%
50%
60%
45%
50%
40%
9%
17%
0%
This opponent (Plzen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Plzen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (20)
10.6
10.3
10.8
4.5
4.2
4.8
22.0
23.6
20.6
vs Stronger (4)
7.0
6.5
7.5
3.5
4.5
2.5
18.2
19.5
17.0
vs Similar (3)
9.7
12.0
5.0
5.0
5.5
4.0
24.0
23.0
26.0
vs Weaker (13)
11.9
11.2
12.4
4.8
3.6
5.5
22.9
26.0
20.8
% over line
65%
67%
64%
80%
67%
91%
41%
50%
33%
% under line
35%
33%
36%
20%
33%
9%
59%
50%
67%
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sigma Olomouc
12.0
Baník Ostrava
11.1
Sparta Praha
10.8
České Budějovice
10.7
Plzen
10.6
Slavia Praha
10.3
Slovan Liberec
10.1
Pardubice
9.9
Teplice
9.8
Zbrojovka Brno
9.5
FK Jablonec
9.4
Mlada Boleslav
9.1
Hradec Králové
8.6
Slovácko
8.5
Zlin
6.9
Bohemians 1905
6.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Baník Ostrava
5.7
Sparta Praha
5.7
Slavia Praha
5.3
Hradec Králové
5.2
FK Jablonec
4.8
Sigma Olomouc
4.7
Teplice
4.6
Plzen
4.5
Slovan Liberec
4.5
Slovácko
4.2
Mlada Boleslav
4.2
Bohemians 1905
4.1
Pardubice
4.0
České Budějovice
3.7
Zbrojovka Brno
3.1
Zlin
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Hradec Králové
28.3
FK Jablonec
27.3
Zlin
26.9
Mlada Boleslav
26.8
Teplice
26.4
Slovácko
24.7
Baník Ostrava
24.5
Bohemians 1905
24.4
Slovan Liberec
24.2
Sparta Praha
23.8
Pardubice
23.7
Slavia Praha
23.3
Sigma Olomouc
23.2
Zbrojovka Brno
22.4
Plzen
22.0
České Budějovice
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.5%
Under 9.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
64.7%
Under 3.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
67.5%
Under 21.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FK Jablonec
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.64
0.55
0.33
0.50
1.00
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.67
0.44
0.25
0.25
1.00
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
45% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Plzen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Plzen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.85
0.80
1.00
0.67
0.73
0.91
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
2.75
0.00
2.50
0.50
3.00
vs Similar (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (13)
1.08
0.31
1.40
0.00
0.88
0.50
Clean sheet %
55% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Jablonec over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Jablonec over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Jablonec over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plzen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plzen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plzen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FK Jablonec
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.00
1.33
1.00
0.60
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
0.60
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Plzen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Plzen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.95
0.55
1.33
0.33
0.64
0.73
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.25
1.00
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (3)
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (13)
1.08
0.46
1.40
0.40
0.88
0.50
Clean sheet %
55% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Jablonec over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Jablonec over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Jablonec over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plzen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plzen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plzen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FK Jablonec
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jan Král33%
Tomáš Hübschman0%
Jakub Považanec0%
Jan Chramosta0%
Matěj Polidar0%
Pavel Šulc0%
Michal Surzyn0%
David Stepanek0%
Michal Černák0%
Vojtech Patrak0%
Václav Sejk0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
David Stepanek67%
Michal Surzyn33%
Tomáš Hübschman0%
Jakub Považanec0%
Jan Chramosta0%
Jan Král0%
Matěj Polidar0%
Pavel Šulc0%
Michal Černák0%
Vojtech Patrak0%
Václav Sejk0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tomáš Hübschman0%
Jakub Považanec0%
Jan Chramosta0%
Jan Král0%
Matěj Polidar0%
Pavel Šulc0%
Michal Surzyn0%
David Stepanek0%
Michal Černák0%
Vojtech Patrak0%
Václav Sejk0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jakub Považanec33%
Matěj Polidar33%
Václav Sejk33%
Tomáš Hübschman0%
Jan Chramosta0%
Jan Král0%
Pavel Šulc0%
Michal Surzyn0%
David Stepanek0%
Michal Černák0%
Vojtech Patrak0%
Plzen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jan Kliment67%
Jan Sýkora25%
Jan Kopic20%
Adam Vlkanova14%
Tomáš Chorý11%
Erik Jirka0%
Milan Havel0%
Lukáš Hejda0%
Luděk Pernica0%
Aleš Čermák0%
Jhon Mosquera0%
Pavel Bucha0%
Václav Jemelka0%
Lukáš Kalvach0%
Václav Pilař0%
Libor Holík0%
Jindřich Staněk0%
Mohamed Tijani0%
Fortune Akpan Bassey0%
Modou N'Diaye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jan Sýkora50%
Jhon Mosquera44%
Václav Jemelka40%
Luděk Pernica38%
Mohamed Tijani33%
Jan Kliment33%
Modou N'Diaye25%
Tomáš Chorý22%
Jan Kopic20%
Lukáš Kalvach20%
Lukáš Hejda11%
Erik Jirka0%
Milan Havel0%
Aleš Čermák0%
Pavel Bucha0%
Václav Pilař0%
Libor Holík0%
Jindřich Staněk0%
Adam Vlkanova0%
Fortune Akpan Bassey0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jhon Mosquera22%
Jan Kopic20%
Adam Vlkanova14%
Libor Holík11%
Václav Jemelka10%
Lukáš Kalvach10%
Erik Jirka0%
Milan Havel0%
Lukáš Hejda0%
Luděk Pernica0%
Aleš Čermák0%
Tomáš Chorý0%
Jan Sýkora0%
Pavel Bucha0%
Václav Pilař0%
Jindřich Staněk0%
Mohamed Tijani0%
Jan Kliment0%
Fortune Akpan Bassey0%
Modou N'Diaye0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Václav Pilař17%
Tomáš Chorý11%
Jhon Mosquera11%
Erik Jirka0%
Milan Havel0%
Lukáš Hejda0%
Luděk Pernica0%
Aleš Čermák0%
Jan Kopic0%
Jan Sýkora0%
Pavel Bucha0%
Václav Jemelka0%
Lukáš Kalvach0%
Libor Holík0%
Jindřich Staněk0%
Mohamed Tijani0%
Adam Vlkanova0%
Jan Kliment0%
Fortune Akpan Bassey0%
Modou N'Diaye0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
FK Jablonec's squad is €43m less valuable than Plzen's (€14m vs €57m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
FK Jablonec's attack is €11m less valuable than Plzen's (€4m vs €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
FK Jablonec's midfield is €18m less valuable than Plzen's (€4m vs €22m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
FK Jablonec's defence is €15m less valuable than Plzen's (€6m vs €20m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
Bohemians 1905
Slovácko
Sigma Olomouc
Hradec Králové
Slovan Liberec
Baník Ostrava
Teplice
Pardubice
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
České Budějovice
Zbrojovka Brno
Vyškov
Příbram