FK Jablonec is favoured to win at home against Slovákko. The recent form of FK Jablonec, having won three consecutive games, creates an intriguing storyline. However, the overall shape of the match suggests a closely contested encounter with FK Jablonec holding a slight advantage.
FK Jablonec is predicted to win with a 46% probability, Slovákko to draw with a 27% probability, and Slovákko to win with a 27% probability. The expected total goals is 2.8, with the most likely total goals being 2.
The most likely score is 1-1 with a 12.9% probability. At home, FK Jablonec averages 1.31 goals scored and 0.85 goals conceded against similar opponents. Slovákko averages 0.83 goals scored and 1.08 goals conceded away against similar opponents.
The model's selection is the home win, and it also suggests Over 21.5 fouls with an 81.2% probability, Over 1.5 goals with a 77.4% probability and a 3% edge, and Under 3.5 goals with a 70% probability and a 1% edge.
FK Jablonec has a 46% chance of winning, a 27% chance of drawing, and a 27% chance of losing. The model's selections are Over 21.5 fouls (81.2%), Over 1.5 goals (77.4%), and Under 3.5 goals (70%).
FK Jablonec's 1-0 win extends their 4-game winning run. The model's call for a home win was correct, with a pre-match probability of 56%. The model selected home win, and it came to fruition.
The model's selection of over 21.5 fouls hit, with a probability of 81.2%, while the selection of over 1.5 goals missed, with a probability of 76.2%. The model's selection of under 3.5 goals also hit, with a probability of 71.4%.
FK Jablonec| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.37 | 1.53 | 1.53 | 1.18 | 1.15 | 2.00 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 1.43 | 3.43 | 2.50 | 2.50 | 1.00 | 3.80 |
| vs Similar (23) | 1.35 | 0.96 | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+9pp vs league) | |||||
Slovácko| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.10 | 1.53 | 1.43 | 1.36 | 0.81 | 1.69 |
| vs Stronger (10) | 1.20 | 2.30 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.00 | 3.40 |
| vs Similar (20) | 1.05 | 1.15 | 1.44 | 1.44 | 0.73 | 0.91 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (+3pp vs league) | |||||
| Slovácko goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11% | 12% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 11% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
FK Jablonec
Slovácko
FK Jablonec| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.9 | 9.3 | 10.5 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 26.1 | 26.1 | 26.1 |
| vs Stronger (13) | 8.8 | 9.2 | 8.6 | 3.9 | 5.0 | 3.2 | 25.2 | 26.5 | 24.6 |
| vs Similar (37) | 10.3 | 9.3 | 11.5 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 26.4 | 26.0 | 26.9 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 55% | 48% | 61% | 50% | 60% | 40% | 84% | 86% | 83% |
| % under line | 45% | 52% | 39% | 50% | 40% | 60% | 16% | 14% | 17% |
Slovácko| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.4 | 10.5 | 10.3 | 3.4 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 26.0 | 27.3 | 24.7 |
| vs Stronger (16) | 9.9 | 9.2 | 10.6 | 4.4 | 5.5 | 3.4 | 27.1 | 28.9 | 25.4 |
| vs Similar (34) | 10.7 | 11.2 | 10.2 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 25.5 | 26.5 | 24.4 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 64% | 67% | 61% | 46% | 58% | 35% | 85% | 92% | 78% |
| % under line | 36% | 33% | 39% | 54% | 42% | 65% | 15% | 8% | 22% |
FK Jablonec| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.63 | 0.87 | 0.65 | 0.71 | 0.62 | 1.08 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 0.71 | 2.14 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.61 | 0.48 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.62 | 0.25 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+23pp vs league) | |||||
Slovácko| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.57 | 0.83 | 0.79 | 0.64 | 0.38 | 1.00 |
| vs Stronger (10) | 0.60 | 1.30 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| vs Similar (20) | 0.55 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.78 | 0.18 | 0.45 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 43% (+16pp vs league) | |||||
FK Jablonec| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.73 | 0.67 | 0.88 | 0.47 | 0.54 | 0.92 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 0.71 | 1.29 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.74 | 0.48 | 0.80 | 0.40 | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+26pp vs league) | |||||
Slovácko| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.53 | 0.70 | 0.64 | 0.71 | 0.44 | 0.69 |
| vs Stronger (10) | 0.60 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| vs Similar (20) | 0.50 | 0.55 | 0.44 | 0.67 | 0.55 | 0.45 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+23pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 fouls | 92.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 84.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 5.5 cards | 79.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 1.5 | 76.2% | 1.25 | 1.28 | 1.27 | 1.26 | 1.25 | 1.25 | +1.8% | ✗ Miss |
| Under 11.5 corners | 75.6% | 1.36 | 1.39 | 1.36 | 1.36 | 1.35 | 1.33 | +8.2% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 2.5 cards | 74.9% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +3.6% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 23.5 fouls | 72.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 3.5 | 71.4% | 1.34 | 1.40 | 1.36 | 1.36 | 1.35 | 1.35 | +2.1% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 30/08/25 | A | 0-2 | |
| 09/02/25 | H | 4-2 | |
| 31/08/24 | A | 0-0 | |
| 09/03/24 | A | 0-1 | |
| 30/09/23 | H | 2-0 | |
| 05/04/23 | H | 1-1 | |
| 18/09/22 | A | 0-2 |
FK Jablonec| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 02/08/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 26/07/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 24/05/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 20/05/26 | H | 1-3 | |
| 17/05/26 | A | 5-0 | |
| 13/05/26 | A | 5-1 | |
| 10/05/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 1-2 |
Slovácko| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 26/07/26 | A | 5-1 | |
| 31/05/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 27/05/26 | A | 1-4 | |
| 23/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 16/05/26 | H | 0-3 | |
| 12/05/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 09/05/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 1-2 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 6 | 14 | 67% | 2.3 | 17 | 5 | +12 | 3.7 | 100% | 83% | 50% | 11.0 | 50% | 3.5 | 50% | 29.3 | 100% | 123 | 27 | 35 | 61 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 54% |
| 2 | Zbrojovka Brno | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 2.5 | 67% | 33% | 33% | 8.5 | 33% | 3.0 | 40% | 20.5 | 50% | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 45% |
| 3 | Slovan Liberec | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 1.8 | 50% | 17% | 17% | 9.8 | 50% | 6.7 | 100% | 28.0 | 83% | 27 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 47% |
| 4 | Mlada Boleslav | 5 | 11 | 60% | 2.2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 3.4 | 100% | 60% | 40% | 11.0 | 60% | 3.2 | 40% | 28.4 | 80% | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 50% |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 3.0 | 83% | 83% | 33% | 9.3 | 50% | 2.8 | 17% | 24.7 | 50% | 30 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 58% |
| 6 | FK Jablonec | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 2.0 | 80% | 20% | 0% | 8.2 | 20% | 3.6 | 40% | 30.2 | 100% | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 52% |
| 7 | Teplice | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 12 | 12 | +0 | 4.0 | 83% | 50% | 50% | 10.3 | 50% | 4.3 | 33% | 26.2 | 83% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 49% |
| 8 | Sparta Praha | 6 | 9 | 50% | 1.5 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 3.7 | 100% | 83% | 67% | 11.5 | 50% | 3.2 | 40% | 27.8 | 83% | 92 | 43 | 27 | 22 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 65% |
| 9 | Baník Ostrava | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2.0 | 40% | 40% | 20% | 9.6 | 20% | 3.4 | 20% | 24.2 | 60% | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 47% |
| 10 | Hradec Králové | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 1.8 | 60% | 40% | 0% | 9.0 | 40% | 3.4 | 60% | 24.2 | 60% | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 54% |
| 11 | Bohemians 1905 | 5 | 6 | 20% | 1.2 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 2.4 | 80% | 40% | 40% | 10.6 | 60% | 3.8 | 60% | 27.6 | 80% | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 47% |
| 12 | Plzen | 5 | 6 | 20% | 1.2 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 4.6 | 100% | 60% | 60% | 7.8 | 0% | 6.4 | 80% | 27.2 | 80% | 57 | 15 | 22 | 20 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 59% |
| 13 | Artis | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3.2 | 83% | 67% | 33% | 7.7 | 17% | 3.3 | 50% | 27.5 | 83% | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 42% |
| 14 | Slovácko | 6 | 2 | 0% | 0.3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 2.8 | 83% | 50% | 17% | 8.2 | 33% | 5.0 | 50% | 34.5 | 100% | 8 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 48% |
| 15 | Pardubice | 6 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 2.8 | 100% | 67% | 17% | 9.3 | 33% | 3.7 | 50% | 28.5 | 100% | 14 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 40% |
| 16 | Zlin | 6 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3.0 | 67% | 50% | 50% | 8.8 | 33% | 3.7 | 33% | 29.5 | 83% | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 43% |