The contest between FK Jablonec and Slovan Liberec is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win. The expected total of 2.4 goals points to a modestly open match, and the most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.3% chance. Jablonec, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.36 goals scored and 0.79 conceded, while Slovan Liberec on the road averages 1.25 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The probabilities for the match outcome are 40% for a home victory, 30% for a draw, and 30% for an away win. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (98.9%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.1%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.7%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.5%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.1%), Under 5.5 (96.6%), and Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.0%). Jablonec have recently lost their opening match 0-2 to Teplice, whereas Slovan Liberec are on a three-game winning streak, having beaten Hradec Králové 2-0.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FK Jablonec win
39.1%
Avg Implied 39.2% · @ 2.36
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.50
Unibet
2.48
William Hil
2.38
Dafabet
2.37
1xBet
2.36
Draw
30.4%
Avg Implied 28.3% · @ 3.26
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.35
Dafabet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.34
BetVictor
3.25
Slovan Liberec win
30.6%
Avg Implied 32.5% · @ 2.84
Edge
-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.00
Betano
2.95
Bet365
2.90
10Bet
2.90
BetVictor
2.88
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FK Jablonec
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.40
1.38
0.81
1.07
2.07
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
2.75
1.50
1.00
0.83
3.33
vs Similar (22)
1.32
0.91
1.36
0.79
1.25
1.12
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Liberec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slovan Liberec
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.93
1.21
0.79
1.38
1.06
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
1.75
0.67
1.67
1.20
1.80
vs Similar (17)
1.24
0.76
1.22
0.56
1.25
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
2.00
0.20
2.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
69.7%
@ 1.28-2.6%
Under 1.5
30.3%
@ 3.35+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Unibet
1.24
Under
Unibet
3.55
Betano
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.34
10Bet
3.30
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
42.1%
@ 1.93-6.4%
Under 2.5
57.9%
@ 1.82+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.05
Betano
1.98
10Bet
1.95
BetVictor
1.91
Marathonbet
1.89
Under
Betano
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Unibet
1.84
10Bet
1.80
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
21.4%
@ 3.34-6.3%
Under 3.5
78.6%
@ 1.28+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.50
10Bet
3.35
Betano
3.35
Unibet
3.15
Under
Betano
1.33
Unibet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Both teams to score
Yes
49.2%
@ 1.71-4.8%
No
50.8%
@ 2.00+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
William Hil
1.75
Betano
1.72
BetVictor
1.70
10Bet
1.70
No
Unibet
2.05
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.02
BetVictor
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%@ 5.94+7.0%
0-0
10.7%@ 9.59+6.1%
1-0
10.6%@ 7.69+4.9%
0-1
9.0%@ 8.36+3.7%
2-1
8.3%@ 8.62+3.2%
2-0
7.6%@ 11.06+3.6%
1-2
7.2%@ 9.44+2.5%
0-2
5.6%@ 13.56+2.4%
FK Jablonec goals ↓
Slovan Liberec goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
9.0%
5.6%
2.1%
0.6%
1
11%
14%
7.2%
2.6%
0.7%
2
7.6%
8.3%
4.5%
1.7%
0.5%
3
3.2%
3.5%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.0%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Jablonec goals (down), columns = Slovan Liberec goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.33
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Slovan Liberec
2.17
Zbrojovka Brno
2.17
FK Jablonec
2.00
Baník Ostrava
1.80
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Teplice
1.67
Sparta Praha
1.50
Hradec Králové
1.40
Plzen
1.20
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Artis
0.67
Slovácko
0.33
Pardubice
0.17
Zlin
0.00
FK Jablonec is 0.17 points worse than Slovan Liberec in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 2.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.83
Plzen
2.20
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Teplice
2.00
Sparta Praha
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno
1.67
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Slovan Liberec
1.33
Bohemians 1905
1.20
FK Jablonec
1.20
Artis
1.00
Zlin
0.83
Pardubice
0.83
Slovácko
0.83
Hradec Králové
0.80
Baník Ostrava
0.80
FK Jablonec is 0.13 goals worse than Slovan Liberec in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Slovan Liberec
0.50
FK Jablonec
0.80
Slavia Praha
0.83
Zbrojovka Brno
0.83
Hradec Králové
1.00
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Sigma Olomouc
1.33
Sparta Praha
1.67
Pardubice
2.00
Teplice
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Artis
2.17
Zlin
2.17
Plzen
2.40
FK Jablonec is 0.30 goals worse than Slovan Liberec in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 0.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Sparta Praha
65%
Plzen
59%
Sigma Olomouc
58%
Slavia Praha
54%
Hradec Králové
54%
FK Jablonec
52%
Mlada Boleslav
50%
Teplice
49%
Slovácko
48%
Slovan Liberec
47%
Baník Ostrava
47%
Bohemians 1905
47%
Zbrojovka Brno
45%
Zlin
43%
Artis
42%
Pardubice
40%
FK Jablonec is 5.2 percentage points better than Slovan Liberec in terms of average possession (52% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FK Jablonec
For 4.3 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 14.6 · Total 28.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Slovan Liberec
For 5.4 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 13.4 · Total 27.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FK Jablonec
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.2
10.3
3.5
3.9
3.2
27.0
26.8
27.1
vs Stronger (12)
9.3
9.0
9.4
3.8
4.8
3.1
26.4
28.2
25.3
vs Similar (38)
10.0
9.3
10.8
3.4
3.6
3.2
27.2
26.5
27.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
48%
52%
50%
60%
40%
86%
86%
87%
% under line
50%
52%
48%
50%
40%
60%
14%
14%
13%
This opponent (Slovan Liberec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slovan Liberec
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.6
10.2
5.0
5.0
5.0
28.8
29.3
28.2
vs Stronger (11)
10.5
10.8
10.2
5.8
6.0
5.6
28.9
29.8
27.8
vs Similar (31)
9.9
9.2
10.6
5.0
4.9
5.1
28.9
29.7
28.2
vs Weaker (8)
9.0
9.0
9.0
4.0
3.7
4.2
27.9
26.7
28.8
% over line
49%
48%
50%
78%
74%
81%
87%
91%
83%
% under line
51%
52%
50%
22%
26%
19%
13%
9%
17%
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mlada Boleslav
11.2
Slavia Praha
11.0
Zbrojovka Brno
10.4
Slovácko
10.2
Bohemians 1905
10.2
Slovan Liberec
10.0
Sparta Praha
9.9
Baník Ostrava
9.9
Pardubice
9.9
Hradec Králové
9.7
FK Jablonec
9.7
Plzen
9.4
Zlin
9.3
Sigma Olomouc
9.3
Teplice
9.0
Artis
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plzen
5.5
Slovan Liberec
5.3
Sparta Praha
4.8
Pardubice
4.4
Teplice
4.4
Slavia Praha
4.3
Baník Ostrava
4.2
Sigma Olomouc
4.2
Mlada Boleslav
4.1
FK Jablonec
4.1
Slovácko
4.0
Zlin
3.9
Bohemians 1905
3.8
Hradec Králové
3.7
Zbrojovka Brno
3.5
Artis
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Slovan Liberec
28.8
Zlin
28.6
Teplice
28.4
Slavia Praha
26.9
Slovácko
26.7
Sigma Olomouc
26.6
FK Jablonec
26.6
Artis
26.5
Plzen
26.3
Pardubice
25.5
Mlada Boleslav
25.5
Sparta Praha
24.7
Baník Ostrava
24.5
Bohemians 1905
23.1
Hradec Králové
22.7
Zbrojovka Brno
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.3%
@ 1.69-5.7%
Under 9.5
50.7%
@ 2.06+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.58
Under
Unibet
2.16
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
67.9%
Under 3.5
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
90.0%
Under 21.5
10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FK Jablonec or Draw
69.4%
Avg Implied 67.3% · @ 1.39
Edge
+2.1%
39%
30%
31%
covers FK Jablonec + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.44
William Hil
1.40
Betano
1.40
Unibet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
FK Jablonec or Slovan Liberec
69.6%
Avg Implied 71.9% · @ 1.30
Edge
-2.3%
39%
30%
31%
covers FK Jablonec + Slovan Liberec
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
BetVictor
1.29
Draw or Slovan Liberec
60.9%
Avg Implied 60.7% · @ 1.54
Edge
+0.2%
39%
30%
31%
covers Draw + Slovan Liberec
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.57
William Hil
1.55
Marathonbet
1.54
1xBet
1.54
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FK Jablonec over/under 0.5
Over
71.9%
@ 1.26-1.7%
Under
28.1%
@ 3.50+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Under
Marathonbet
3.64
BetVictor
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
FK Jablonec over/under 1.5
Over
36.2%
@ 2.29-4.2%
Under
63.8%
@ 1.56+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.38
Betfair
2.38
BetVictor
2.30
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Under
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
10Bet
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Unibet
1.55
FK Jablonec over/under 2.5
Over
13.6%
@ 5.22-4.2%
Under
86.4%
@ 1.13+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.25
BetVictor
5.25
Under
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Unibet
1.13
FK Jablonec over/under 3.5
Over
4.0%
@ 12.00-3.9%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.03+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Slovan Liberec over/under 0.5
Over
66.6%
@ 1.33-3.2%
Under
33.4%
@ 3.06+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.35
10Bet
1.35
BetVictor
1.33
Under
Betfair
3.25
Unibet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.14
Betano
3.05
BetVictor
3.00
Slovan Liberec over/under 1.5
Over
29.9%
@ 2.61-5.7%
Under
70.1%
@ 1.44+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Betano
2.65
10Bet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.59
Under
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.45
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Slovan Liberec over/under 2.5
Over
9.9%
@ 6.59-4.3%
Under
90.1%
@ 1.08+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
6.70
BetVictor
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.45
Under
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
Slovan Liberec over/under 3.5
Over
2.5%
@ 16.00-3.4%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FK Jablonec, so a minus line means FK Jablonec give that many goals of a start and Slovan Liberec receive them. At -1, FK Jablonec must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FK Jablonec win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FK Jablonec)
FK Jablonec -2
6.2%
@ 10.35-2.3%
Draw -2
11.8%
@ 6.53-1.8%
Slovan Liberec +2
82.0%
@ 1.13+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
14.00
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
10.00
Marathonbet
6.40
Draw
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
6.50
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Handicap -1 (FK Jablonec)
FK Jablonec -1
18.0%
@ 4.80-0.6%
Draw -1
21.1%
@ 3.98-1.4%
Slovan Liberec +1
60.9%
@ 1.51+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.65
Unibet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Draw
Marathonbet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.95
10Bet
3.85
Away
10Bet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.54
Bet365
1.53
Unibet
1.49
Betfair
1.44
Handicap +1 (FK Jablonec)
FK Jablonec +1
69.4%
@ 1.39+4.7%
Draw +1
18.0%
@ 4.45-2.2%
Slovan Liberec -1
12.6%
@ 5.94-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.42
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.60
10Bet
4.33
Unibet
4.10
Away
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.05
10Bet
6.00
Unibet
5.20
Handicap +2 (FK Jablonec)
FK Jablonec +2
87.4%
@ 1.10+7.7%
Draw +2
8.7%
@ 6.95-3.9%
Slovan Liberec -2
3.8%
@ 11.55-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Bet365
17.00
Unibet
11.00
Marathonbet
6.65
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FK Jablonec
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.50
0.44
0.71
1.07
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
1.62
0.00
0.50
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.41
0.57
0.43
0.88
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Liberec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slovan Liberec
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.43
0.50
0.36
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
0.88
0.00
1.00
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (17)
0.53
0.29
0.56
0.11
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.20
1.00
0.50
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
69.4%
@ 1.39+2.4%
Under 0.5
30.6%
@ 2.81-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.41
Bet365
1.40
William Hil
1.40
10Bet
1.36
Under
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
2.88
1xBet
2.84
Marathonbet
2.84
William Hil
2.80
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
32.5%
@ 2.81-0.5%
Under 1.5
67.5%
@ 1.38+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Betano
2.95
William Hil
2.90
Betfair
2.88
1xBet
2.77
Under
10Bet
1.42
Unibet
1.41
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.0%
@ 7.50-2.4%
Under 2.5
90.0%
@ 1.06+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
William Hil
7.50
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
7.10
Marathonbet
7.10
Under
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Jablonec over/under 0.5 HT
Over
45.7%
@ 2.01-0.3%
Under
54.3%
@ 1.71+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.10
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
1.99
Unibet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Under
10Bet
1.75
Betano
1.72
Unibet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
1xBet
1.67
FK Jablonec over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.7%
@ 6.28-3.1%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.09+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.80
1xBet
6.50
10Bet
6.00
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
FK Jablonec over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.8%
@ 16.38-3.0%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.01+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Slovan Liberec over/under 0.5 HT
Over
41.4%
@ 2.13-2.1%
Under
58.6%
@ 1.64+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.27
Marathonbet
2.16
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Unibet
2.04
Under
1xBet
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Unibet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Slovan Liberec over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.7%
@ 7.12-2.3%
Under
89.3%
@ 1.07+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.00
1xBet
7.00
Betano
7.00
10Bet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.04
Slovan Liberec over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.7%
@ 19.25-3.3%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FK Jablonec
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.88
0.38
0.36
1.00
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.12
1.50
0.50
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.50
0.79
0.36
0.38
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Liberec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slovan Liberec
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.50
0.71
0.43
0.88
0.56
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
0.88
0.67
0.67
0.80
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.47
0.67
0.44
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.3%
@ 1.23+2.1%
Under 0.5
22.7%
@ 3.73-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.19
Under
1xBet
3.86
Marathonbet
3.86
Betano
3.80
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
42.3%
@ 2.13-1.4%
Under 1.5
57.7%
@ 1.66+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.20
William Hil
2.20
10Bet
2.15
1xBet
2.11
Marathonbet
2.11
Under
Betano
1.72
Unibet
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
10Bet
1.62
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.5%
@ 4.68-2.4%
Under 2.5
82.5%
@ 1.16+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
5.00
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.55
Marathonbet
4.55
Betano
4.30
Under
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Jablonec over/under 0.5 2H
Over
51.3%
@ 1.71-3.1%
Under
48.7%
@ 2.04+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.73
Betano
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Under
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.02
1xBet
2.00
FK Jablonec over/under 1.5 2H
Over
18.1%
@ 4.46-2.7%
Under
81.9%
@ 1.17+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.70
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Betano
4.15
Under
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
FK Jablonec over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.0%
@ 10.75-4.7%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.03+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
12.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Slovan Liberec over/under 0.5 2H
Over
48.4%
@ 1.86-1.4%
Under
51.6%
@ 1.85+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.91
1xBet
1.88
Betano
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
Under
Betano
1.91
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.82
10Bet
1.80
Slovan Liberec over/under 1.5 2H
Over
14.3%
@ 5.34-3.0%
Under
85.7%
@ 1.12+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.55
10Bet
5.50
1xBet
5.40
Betano
4.90
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Slovan Liberec over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.8%
@ 14.88-3.6%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.01+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.9%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.4%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.3%
Away under 3.5 goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+3.4%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.6%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.0%
Under 5.5
96.6%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+3.5%
Home under 3.5 goals
96.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
+3.9%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.7%
Over 19.5 fouls
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
90.8%
1.08
Betano
1.13
Unibet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.06
BetVictor
1.06
+4.6%
Away under 2.5 goals
90.1%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
+4.3%
Over 21.5 fouls
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.0%
1.06
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
+2.4%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.3%
1.07
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.04
-
+2.3%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.3%
1.09
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
-
+3.1%
Home +2 handicap
87.4%
1.10
Unibet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
+7.7%
Home under 2.5 goals
86.4%
1.13
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Unibet
1.13
+4.2%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.7%
1.12
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
-
+3.0%
Over 2.5 cards
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.5%
1.16
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
+2.4%
Away +2 handicap
82.0%
1.13
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Betfair
1.10
-
+4.1%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.9%
1.17
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
-
+2.7%
Over 23.5 fouls
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
78.6%
1.28
Betano
1.33
Unibet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
+6.3%
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.3%
1.23
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.19
+2.1%
Under 11.5 corners
74.0%
1.42
Unibet
1.48
Betano
1.36
-
-
-
+8.3%
Home over 0.5 goals
71.9%
1.26
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
-1.7%
Away under 1.5 goals
70.1%
1.44
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.45
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.44
+5.7%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FK Jablonec
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Cedidla43%
J. Chramosta17%
V. Tchanturishvili14%
J. Suchan14%
R. Sedláček0%
Nemanja Tekijaški0%
F. Novák0%
Matěj Polidar0%
D. Souček0%
J. Sláma0%
L. Jawo0%
A. Růsek0%
F. Zorvan0%
K. Mihelak0%
Sebastian Nebyla0%
Hugo Ahl0%
N. Okeke0%
Dušan Pavlović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Hugo Ahl33%
M. Cedidla29%
Nemanja Tekijaški20%
F. Novák20%
J. Sláma20%
A. Růsek17%
N. Okeke17%
R. Sedláček14%
L. Jawo14%
J. Chramosta0%
V. Tchanturishvili0%
Matěj Polidar0%
J. Suchan0%
D. Souček0%
F. Zorvan0%
K. Mihelak0%
Sebastian Nebyla0%
Dušan Pavlović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
J. Suchan29%
Sebastian Nebyla20%
J. Chramosta17%
R. Sedláček14%
Nemanja Tekijaški0%
F. Novák0%
V. Tchanturishvili0%
Matěj Polidar0%
D. Souček0%
J. Sláma0%
M. Cedidla0%
L. Jawo0%
A. Růsek0%
F. Zorvan0%
K. Mihelak0%
Hugo Ahl0%
N. Okeke0%
Dušan Pavlović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
L. Jawo29%
J. Suchan14%
J. Chramosta0%
R. Sedláček0%
Nemanja Tekijaški0%
F. Novák0%
V. Tchanturishvili0%
Matěj Polidar0%
D. Souček0%
J. Sláma0%
M. Cedidla0%
A. Růsek0%
F. Zorvan0%
K. Mihelak0%
Sebastian Nebyla0%
Hugo Ahl0%
N. Okeke0%
Dušan Pavlović0%
Slovan Liberec
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Patrik Dulay50%
Lukáš Mašek33%
Ghislain Vénuste Baboula25%
Soliu Afolabi25%
Aziz Kayondo17%
Lukáš Masopust0%
Tomáš Koubek0%
Vasil Kušej0%
Jan Mikula0%
Lukáš Hůlka0%
Raimonds Krollis0%
Josef Koželuh0%
Augustin Drakpe0%
Vojtěch Stránský0%
Petr Hodouš0%
Milan Lexa0%
Fallou Faye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Soliu Afolabi50%
Raimonds Krollis40%
Lukáš Hůlka33%
Vojtěch Stránský33%
Fallou Faye33%
Jan Mikula25%
Patrik Dulay25%
Petr Hodouš20%
Lukáš Masopust17%
Josef Koželuh17%
Aziz Kayondo17%
Tomáš Koubek0%
Vasil Kušej0%
Augustin Drakpe0%
Lukáš Mašek0%
Ghislain Vénuste Baboula0%
Milan Lexa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Vasil Kušej25%
Ghislain Vénuste Baboula25%
Patrik Dulay25%
Lukáš Masopust0%
Tomáš Koubek0%
Jan Mikula0%
Lukáš Hůlka0%
Raimonds Krollis0%
Josef Koželuh0%
Augustin Drakpe0%
Vojtěch Stránský0%
Lukáš Mašek0%
Aziz Kayondo0%
Petr Hodouš0%
Milan Lexa0%
Soliu Afolabi0%
Fallou Faye0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lukáš Mašek33%
Ghislain Vénuste Baboula25%
Soliu Afolabi25%
Raimonds Krollis20%
Petr Hodouš20%
Josef Koželuh17%
Fallou Faye17%
Lukáš Masopust0%
Tomáš Koubek0%
Vasil Kušej0%
Jan Mikula0%
Lukáš Hůlka0%
Augustin Drakpe0%
Vojtěch Stránský0%
Aziz Kayondo0%
Milan Lexa0%
Patrik Dulay0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
FK Jablonec's squad is €12m less valuable than Slovan Liberec's (€14m vs €27m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
FK Jablonec's attack is €13m less valuable than Slovan Liberec's (€4m vs €17m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
FK Jablonec and Slovan Liberec have a similar midfield value (both €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
FK Jablonec and Slovan Liberec have a similar defence value (both €6m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Slavia Praha
Zbrojovka Brno
Mlada Boleslav
Sigma Olomouc
Teplice
Sparta Praha
Baník Ostrava
Hradec Králové
Bohemians 1905
Plzen
Artis
Slovácko
Pardubice
Zlin