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FK Minyor Pernik vs Sportist Svoge Result & Analysis

Date: 06/09/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 3-1
FK Minyor Pernik
FK Minyor Pernik
Vs
40%
36%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sportist Svoge
Sportist Svoge
Bulgaria: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FK Minyor Pernik win✓ Hit
40.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
36.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sportist Svoge win✗ Miss
23.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L02L22D41W11D01L11D11D00D21WH·YAN08/05A·PIR11/05A·BEL17/05H·STR24/05H·BEL29/07A·PIR03/08H·CHE09/08A·HEB16/08H·ETA24/08A·MAR01/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.471.001.070.931.87
vs Stronger (1)1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Similar (29)0.971.411.001.070.931.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Sportist Svoge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L20W00D03L11D00D21W11D12L01LA·CSK08/05H·DUN11/05A·LIT17/05H·DOB24/05H·ETA26/07A·MAR02/08H·LUD10/08H·SEV16/08A·FRA23/08H·YAN30/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.970.870.800.401.13
vs Stronger (14)0.641.710.711.290.572.14
vs Similar (16)0.620.311.000.380.250.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Minyor Pernik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%29%20%029%128%215%36%42%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (29%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
51.6%
Under 1.5
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
24.0%
Under 2.5
76.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
9.2%
Under 3.5
90.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
32.9%
No
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
19.7%
1-0
17.0%
1-1
14.1%
0-1
11.6%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
6.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
FK Minyor Pernik goals ↓
Sportist Svoge goals →
01234
020%12%4.5%1.0%0.2%
117%14%4.5%1.0%0.2%
29.1%6.3%2.2%0.5%0.1%
33.0%2.1%0.7%0.2%0.0%
40.7%0.5%0.2%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Minyor Pernik goals (down), columns = Sportist Svoge goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dunav Ruse
2.16
Yantra 2019
2.00
Fratria
1.97
Vihren
1.81
CSKA Sofia II
1.72
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.44
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.38
Marek
1.28
Ludogorets II
1.28
Hebar 1918
1.25
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.19
Spartak Pleven
1.09
Sportist Svoge
1.06
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.03
Sevlievo
1.00
FK Minyor Pernik
0.94
Belasitsa
0.59
FK Minyor Pernik is 0.12 points worse than Sportist Svoge in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 1.06).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Fratria
1.91
Vihren
1.84
CSKA Sofia II
1.78
Dunav Ruse
1.66
Yantra 2019
1.41
Ludogorets II
1.28
Hebar 1918
1.28
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.22
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.19
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.19
Spartak Pleven
1.16
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.03
FK Minyor Pernik
1.00
Sevlievo
0.91
Sportist Svoge
0.88
Marek
0.84
Belasitsa
0.81
FK Minyor Pernik is 0.12 goals better than Sportist Svoge in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.88).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dunav Ruse
0.50
Yantra 2019
0.75
Fratria
0.91
CSKA Sofia II
1.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.00
Vihren
1.06
Marek
1.09
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.28
Ludogorets II
1.34
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.34
FK Minyor Pernik
1.41
Spartak Pleven
1.41
Sportist Svoge
1.50
Hebar 1918
1.59
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.62
Sevlievo
1.62
Belasitsa
1.94
FK Minyor Pernik is 0.09 goals better than Sportist Svoge in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D11D21W01L00D01L10W00D00DH·YAN08/05A·PIR11/05A·BEL17/05H·STR24/05H·BEL29/07A·PIR03/08H·CHE09/08A·HEB16/08H·ETA24/08A·MAR01/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.670.470.800.330.53
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (29)0.380.620.470.800.290.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Sportist Svoge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D00D01L00D00D00D00D11D00DA·CSK08/05H·DUN11/05A·LIT17/05H·DOB24/05H·ETA26/07A·MAR02/08H·LUD10/08H·SEV16/08A·FRA23/08H·YAN30/08
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.200.330.200.070.200.60
vs Stronger (14)0.210.640.140.140.291.14
vs Similar (16)0.190.060.250.000.120.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Minyor Pernik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Minyor Pernik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Minyor Pernik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Minyor Pernik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sportist Svoge over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sportist Svoge over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sportist Svoge over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L11D20W10W01L10W01L00D21WH·YAN08/05A·PIR11/05A·BEL17/05H·STR24/05H·BEL29/07A·PIR03/08H·CHE09/08A·HEB16/08H·ETA24/08A·MAR01/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.800.530.270.601.33
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (29)0.590.790.530.270.641.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Sportist Svoge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W00D02L11D00D21W11D01L01LA·CSK08/05H·DUN11/05A·LIT17/05H·DOB24/05H·ETA26/07A·MAR02/08H·LUD10/08H·SEV16/08A·FRA23/08H·YAN30/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.630.670.730.200.53
vs Stronger (14)0.431.070.571.140.291.00
vs Similar (16)0.440.250.750.380.120.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Minyor Pernik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Minyor Pernik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Minyor Pernik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Minyor Pernik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sportist Svoge over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sportist Svoge over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sportist Svoge over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.590.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 2.576.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (22)
€4m
FRA (22)
€3m
Y2 (18)
€3m
H1 (19)
€3m
VIH (18)
€2m
EVT (23)
€2m
C1B (19)
€2m
CSI (20)
€2m
PB (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
LGO (15)
€1m
SP (19)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
H1 (8)
€2m
DR (6)
€1m
VIH (9)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
EVT (12)
€1m
FRA (6)
€1m
C1B (4)
€1m
CSI (8)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
PB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
LGO (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (5)
€1m
FRA (4)
€1m
C1B (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
VIH (3)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
EVT (3)
€0m
LGO (3)
€0m
CSI (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
H1 (2)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (11)
€2m
Y2 (10)
€2m
FRA (12)
€1m
H1 (9)
€1m
EVT (8)
€1m
CSI (9)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
LGO (8)
€1m
C1B (9)
€1m
VIH (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
0
FMP wins
2
Draws
2
SS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FK Minyor Pernik vs Sportist Svoge · H/A from FMP
DateH/AGameScore
29/03/25ASportist Svoge Vs FMP2-0
14/09/24HFMP Vs Sportist Svoge1-1
31/03/23ASportist Svoge Vs FMP0-0
27/08/22HFMP Vs Sportist Svoge1-2

FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/25AMarek Vs FMP1-2
24/08/25HFMP Vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo0-0
16/08/25AHebar 1918 Vs FMP1-1
09/08/25HFMP Vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas1-1
03/08/25APirin Blagoevgrad Vs FMP1-0
29/07/25HFMP Vs Belasitsa1-1
24/05/25HFMP Vs Strumska Slava4-1
17/05/25ABelasitsa Vs FMP2-2
11/05/25APirin Blagoevgrad Vs FMP2-0
08/05/25HFMP Vs Yantra 20190-2

Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/25HSS Vs Yantra 20190-1
23/08/25AFratria Vs SS2-1
16/08/25HSS Vs Sevlievo1-1
10/08/25HSS Vs Ludogorets II2-1
02/08/25AMarek Vs SS0-0
26/07/25HSS Vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo1-1
24/05/25HSS Vs Dobrudzha0-3
17/05/25ALitex Vs SS0-0
11/05/25HSS Vs Dunav Ruse2-0
08/05/25ACSKA 1948 Sofia II Vs SS2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FK Minyor Pernik
FK Minyor Pernik
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDDW1.14
HomeLWDDD1.48
AwayLDLDW0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%40%20%
AVG goals2.321.802.84
Over 1.5 %64%56%72%
Over 2.5 %30%16%44%
Over 3.5 %22%8%36%
Scored0.960.960.96
Conceded1.360.841.88
BTTS44%36%52%
Clean Sheet26%40%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Sportist Svoge
Sportist Svoge
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLL1.06
HomeLDWDL1.19
AwayDLDDL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%27%21%
AVG goals1.881.732.04
Over 1.5 %60%62%58%
Over 2.5 %30%27%33%
Over 3.5 %8%4%12%
Scored0.760.770.75
Conceded1.120.961.29
BTTS34%31%38%
Clean Sheet32%35%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dunav RuseDunav Ruse3269
62%
2.2
5316+37
2.2
69%
38%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.70.5
-
2Yantra 2019Yantra 20193264
56%
2.0
4524+21
2.2
56%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.40.8
-
3FratriaFratria3263
56%
2.0
6129+32
2.8
84%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.90.9
-
4VihrenVihren3258
53%
1.8
5934+25
2.9
72%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.81.1
-
5CSKA Sofia IICSKA Sofia II3255
50%
1.7
5732+25
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.0
-
6Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas3246
34%
1.4
3832+6
2.2
69%
31%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.0
-
7Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo3244
34%
1.4
3943-4
2.6
66%
44%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.3
-
8Ludogorets IILudogorets II3241
34%
1.3
4143-2
2.6
69%
50%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.3
-
9MarekMarek3241
31%
1.3
2735-8
1.9
59%
31%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.81.1
-
10Hebar 1918Hebar 19183240
34%
1.2
4151-10
2.9
84%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.31.6
-
11Pirin BlagoevgradPirin Blagoevgrad3238
28%
1.2
3841-3
2.5
66%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.3
-
12Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven3235
28%
1.1
3745-8
2.6
75%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.4
-
13Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge3234
28%
1.1
2848-20
2.4
62%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.91.5
-
14Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa3233
25%
1.0
3352-19
2.7
69%
56%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.6
-
15SevlievoSevlievo3232
28%
1.0
2952-23
2.5
69%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.6
-
16FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik3230
22%
0.9
3245-13
2.4
72%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
17BelasitsaBelasitsa3219
12%
0.6
2662-36
2.8
72%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Bulgaria: Second League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

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