FK Neftekhimik face a tough challenge as they host FC Sochi, with the away side heavily favored to win. FC Sochi's recent form, coming off a win, suggests they're in good spirits, while FK Neftekhimik are still reeling from two straight defeats. The model predicts a 44% chance of an away win, with a 28% chance of a draw and a 28% chance of a home win. The expected total goals is 2.6, with the most likely total goals being 2. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 13.5%.
FK Neftekhimik have struggled at home, scoring an average of 1.22 goals and conceding 0.78. Against a similar-strength opponent, they've averaged 1.22 goals scored and 0.78 conceded. FC Sochi, meanwhile, have averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.62 conceded while away against similar-strength opponents.
The model's selection is the away win, with a 44% chance. The suggested picks include Over 1.5, with a 75.1% chance, and Under 3.5, with a 73% chance. The home win percentage is 28%, the draw percentage is 28%, and the away win percentage is 44%.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved accurate as FC Sochi secured a 1-2 away win, extending their three-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite, Away win, was chosen with a 43 % probability and the result matched the actual outcome. The most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 13.6 %, but the 1-2 result came through. The model’s selections performed strongly: Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.8 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.0 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 94.9 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 93.9 %, Home under 1.5 HT goals at 92.1 %, Home under 2.5 goals at 88.8 %, Away +2 handicap at 87.9 %, and Under 2.5 HT goals at 87.6 %. All picks settled as hits, confirming the model’s overall accuracy.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FK Neftekhimik win✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied 24.1% · @ 3.83
Edge
+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.13
1xBet
4.04
Marathonbet
3.92
Dafabet
3.80
Superbet
3.70
Draw✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied 27.5% · @ 3.36
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.52
Pinnacle
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
Dafabet
3.35
Superbet
3.30
FC Sochi win✓ Hit
42.9%
Avg Implied 48.3% · @ 1.91
Edge
-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.94
Dafabet
1.93
Pinnacle
1.93
Superbet
1.92
SBO
1.88
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FK Neftekhimik
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.40
1.31
1.08
0.94
1.65
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
1.11
1.36
1.33
0.92
0.94
1.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sochi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Sochi
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.80
1.33
1.67
1.13
1.93
vs Stronger (10)
0.80
2.60
1.00
3.17
0.50
1.75
vs Similar (18)
1.50
1.44
1.62
0.75
1.40
2.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Neftekhimik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.9%
@ 1.27+2.7%
Under 1.5
25.1%
@ 3.29-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.30
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.49
Superbet
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.7%
@ 1.95+0.3%
Under 2.5
51.3%
@ 1.83-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.00
1xBet
1.98
SBO
1.96
Marathonbet
1.95
Superbet
1.88
Under
SBO
1.86
Pinnacle
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Superbet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.81
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.9%
@ 3.24-1.4%
Under 3.5
73.1%
@ 1.28+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.52
1xBet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.20
Superbet
3.05
Under
Pinnacle
1.30
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.9%
@ 1.78+2.1%
No
46.1%
@ 1.92-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.79
Superbet
1.77
No
Superbet
1.95
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.89
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%@ 6.08+6.5%
0-1
9.4%@ 6.49+2.8%
1-2 ✓
9.0%@ 7.81+3.5%
0-0
8.5%@ 9.01+3.7%
0-2
7.8%@ 8.33+2.6%
1-0
7.2%@ 10.54+3.1%
2-1
7.1%@ 12.76+3.8%
2-2
5.2%@ 13.97+2.1%
FK Neftekhimik goals ↓
FC Sochi goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.5%
9.4%
7.8%
3.8%
1.4%
1
7.2%
14%
9.0%
4.4%
1.6%
2
4.9%
7.1%
5.2%
2.5%
0.9%
3
1.9%
2.8%
2.0%
1.0%
0.4%
4
0.5%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Neftekhimik goals (down), columns = FC Sochi goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Sochi
2.57
Nizhny Novgorod
2.29
Veles
2.14
Ural
2.00
FC UFA
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.67
Spartak Kostroma
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.50
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Enisey
1.17
FK Neftekhimik
1.12
Arsenal Tula
1.12
Leningradets
1.00
Tekstilshchik
0.71
KAMAZ
0.71
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Ska-khabarovsk
0.43
FK Neftekhimik is 1.45 points worse than FC Sochi in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 2.57).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nizhny Novgorod
3.00
FC Sochi
2.29
Ural
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.83
Veles
1.57
Enisey
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.33
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
FC UFA
1.17
Chelyabinsk
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Arsenal Tula
0.88
Ska-khabarovsk
0.71
Leningradets
0.67
FK Neftekhimik
0.62
Tekstilshchik
0.29
FK Neftekhimik is 1.66 goals worse than FC Sochi in terms of goals scored per game (0.62 vs 2.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ural
0.50
Torpedo Moskva
0.67
Leningradets
0.83
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
FC Sochi
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.17
Enisey
1.33
Nizhny Novgorod
1.43
Veles
1.43
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
KAMAZ
1.57
Arsenal Tula
1.62
Ska-khabarovsk
2.00
Chelyabinsk
2.17
FK Neftekhimik is 0.50 goals worse than FC Sochi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Sochi
54%
FK Neftekhimik
54%
Veles
54%
Volga Ulyanovsk
52%
Arsenal Tula
52%
Leningradets
50%
Nizhny Novgorod
50%
Chelyabinsk
50%
Tekstilshchik
49%
Spartak Kostroma
49%
Ska-khabarovsk
46%
FC UFA
46%
KAMAZ
46%
Ural
40%
FK Neftekhimik is 0.5 percentage points worse than FC Sochi in terms of average possession (54% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FK Neftekhimik
For 4.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 7.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
FC Sochi
For 4.4 · Against 6.3 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.6 · Against 12.5 · Total 29.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FK Neftekhimik
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.5
9.0
6.0
2.1
2.5
1.7
-
-
-
vs Stronger (3)
-
-
-
1.7
1.5
2.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
7.5
9.0
6.0
2.1
2.6
1.7
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
0%
0%
0%
26%
30%
22%
-
-
-
% under line
100%
100%
100%
74%
70%
78%
-
-
-
This opponent (FC Sochi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Sochi
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
10.2
8.3
3.9
4.0
3.8
27.1
26.1
28.0
vs Stronger (16)
10.5
11.2
9.8
3.9
4.2
3.6
26.8
25.2
28.5
vs Similar (31)
8.4
9.7
7.2
3.8
4.2
3.5
27.3
26.8
27.7
vs Weaker (3)
10.0
-
10.0
4.7
0.0
7.0
-
-
-
% over line
52%
62%
41%
58%
54%
62%
94%
93%
94%
% under line
48%
38%
59%
42%
46%
38%
6%
7%
6%
This opponent (FK Neftekhimik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tekstilshchik
12.0
Arsenal Tula
11.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
FC Sochi
9.2
Veles
9.0
Ural
9.0
FC UFA
8.7
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Leningradets
8.5
FK Neftekhimik
7.5
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Tekstilshchik
5.0
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
FC Sochi
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Veles
4.2
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.4
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
FC Sochi
27.1
Ural
26.8
Enisey
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
35.8%
@ 1.88-13.4%
Under 9.5
64.2%
@ 1.83+13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.87
Superbet
1.85
Under
Superbet
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.83
Marathonbet
1.80
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
50.2%
Under 3.5
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FK Neftekhimik or Draw✗ Miss
57.1%
Avg Implied 50.2% · @ 1.84
Edge
+6.9%
29%
28%
43%
covers FK Neftekhimik + Draw
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.91
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.83
Superbet
1.75
FK Neftekhimik or FC Sochi✓ Hit
71.6%
Avg Implied 73.2% · @ 1.26
Edge
-1.6%
29%
28%
43%
covers FK Neftekhimik + FC Sochi
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
SBO
1.19
Draw or FC Sochi✓ Hit
71.2%
Avg Implied 76.6% · @ 1.21
Edge
-5.3%
29%
28%
43%
covers Draw + FC Sochi
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.24
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
SBO
1.14
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.6%
@ 1.46+5.1%
Under
31.4%
@ 2.54-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.49
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
Superbet
1.42
Under
Pinnacle
2.63
Superbet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.49
1xBet
2.49
FK Neftekhimik over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
32.2%
@ 3.29+4.1%
Under
67.8%
@ 1.29-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.50
1xBet
3.32
Marathonbet
3.32
Superbet
3.00
Under
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
FK Neftekhimik over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.2%
@ 8.23+0.1%
Under
88.8%
@ 1.02-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.90
1xBet
8.90
Superbet
6.90
Under
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
FK Neftekhimik over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sochi over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.8%
@ 1.19-0.0%
Under
23.2%
@ 3.95+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.24
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Under
1xBet
4.25
Superbet
4.00
Pinnacle
3.60
FC Sochi over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
42.9%
@ 1.97-4.6%
Under
57.1%
@ 1.78+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.99
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Superbet
1.92
Under
Pinnacle
1.81
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Superbet
1.77
FC Sochi over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.2%
@ 4.01-4.7%
Under
81.8%
@ 1.19+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.11
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
Superbet
3.75
Under
Pinnacle
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.18
FC Sochi over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.1%
@ 9.00-4.0%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.01+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.00
1xBet
9.00
Under
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FK Neftekhimik, so a minus line means FK Neftekhimik give that many goals of a start and FC Sochi receive them. At -1, FK Neftekhimik must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FK Neftekhimik win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FK Neftekhimik)Actual: FC Sochi
FK Neftekhimik -2
3.8%
Draw -2
8.3%
FC Sochi +2
87.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FK Neftekhimik)Actual: FC Sochi
FK Neftekhimik -1
12.1%
@ 8.70+1.8%
Draw -1
16.7%
@ 5.50+0.4%
FC Sochi +1
71.2%
@ 1.22-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
8.70
Draw
Marathonbet
5.50
Away
Marathonbet
1.22
Handicap +1 (FK Neftekhimik)Actual: Draw
FK Neftekhimik +1
57.1%
@ 1.83+8.8%
Draw +1
21.3%
@ 3.56-3.5%
FC Sochi -1
21.5%
@ 3.30-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.83
Draw
Marathonbet
3.56
Away
Marathonbet
3.30
Handicap +2 (FK Neftekhimik)Actual: FK Neftekhimik
FK Neftekhimik +2
78.5%
@ 1.25+7.3%
Draw +2
13.2%
@ 5.55-2.8%
FC Sochi -2
8.3%
@ 6.95-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.25
Draw
Marathonbet
5.55
Away
Marathonbet
6.95
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FK Neftekhimik
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.80
0.54
0.69
0.29
0.88
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.43
0.75
0.58
0.58
0.31
0.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sochi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Sochi
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.73
0.53
0.80
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.10
0.33
1.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.61
0.75
0.38
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Neftekhimik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.4%
@ 1.38+0.6%
Under 0.5
32.6%
@ 2.79-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.39
Superbet
1.35
Under
Pinnacle
2.94
Superbet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.73
1xBet
2.73
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
32.0%
@ 2.83-0.7%
Under 1.5
68.0%
@ 1.38+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.99
Marathonbet
2.84
1xBet
2.84
Superbet
2.65
Under
Superbet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.39
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.4%
@ 6.62-1.2%
Under 2.5
87.6%
@ 1.05+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.00
1xBet
7.00
Superbet
5.85
Under
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
34.9%
Under
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.9%
Under
92.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sochi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
55.0%
Under
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sochi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
15.4%
Under
84.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sochi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.1%
Under
94.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FK Neftekhimik
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.77
0.38
0.65
0.76
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.68
0.61
0.75
0.33
0.62
0.81
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sochi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Sochi
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.07
0.80
0.87
0.60
1.27
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.50
0.67
1.67
0.00
1.25
vs Similar (18)
0.83
0.83
0.88
0.38
0.80
1.20
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
33% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Neftekhimik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sochi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sochi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sochi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
93.9%
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
88.8%
1.02
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.6%
1.05
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
84.1%
1.25
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
-
-
-
+12.0%
-
Under 5.5 cards
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
81.8%
1.19
Pinnacle
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.18
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
78.5%
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
-
-
-
-
+7.3%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
76.8%
1.19
Pinnacle
1.24
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
-
-
-0.0%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
75.4%
1.50
Superbet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.51
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.45
-
+13.9%
-
Over 1.5
74.9%
1.27
Pinnacle
1.30
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Superbet
1.25
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.1%
1.28
Pinnacle
1.30
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
71.6%
1.26
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
SBO
1.19
-
-1.6%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
71.2%
1.21
1xBet
1.24
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
SBO
1.14
-
-5.3%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
71.2%
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
-
-
-
-
-2.2%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Sochi · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vladimir Iljin18%
Ignacio Saavedra17%
Martin Kramarič17%
François Kamano13%
Anton Zinkovskiy11%
Mikhail Ignatov8%
Dmitriy Vasiljev8%
Kirill Kravtsov6%
Marcelo Alves6%
Maksim Mukhin5%
Aleksandr Soldatenkov5%
Zakhar Fedorov5%
Kirill Zaika4%
Roman Ezhov0%
Vyacheslav Litvinov0%
Artem Makarchuk0%
Ruslan Magal0%
Yury Dyupin0%
Nemanja Stojić0%
Yahia Attiyat Allah0%
Aleksandr Osipov0%
Saúl Guarirapa0%
Gustavo Furtado0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Aleksandr Kovalenko0%
Nabil Aberdin0%
Ruslan Bart0%
Pavel Meleshin0%
Aleksandr Degtev0%
Artem Korneev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yahia Attiyat Allah50%
Vyacheslav Litvinov36%
Marcelo Alves33%
Gustavo Furtado33%
Nabil Aberdin29%
Kirill Zaika24%
Artem Makarchuk24%
Dmitriy Vasiljev21%
Kirill Kravtsov19%
Vladimir Iljin18%
Saúl Guarirapa17%
Aleksandr Soldatenkov14%
Sergey Volkov14%
Roman Ezhov12%
Aleksandr Degtev12%
Ignacio Saavedra11%
Anton Zinkovskiy11%
Martin Kramarič11%
Yury Dyupin10%
Maksim Mukhin10%
Zakhar Fedorov10%
Aleksandr Kovalenko9%
Mikhail Ignatov8%
François Kamano7%
Ruslan Magal0%
Nemanja Stojić0%
Aleksandr Osipov0%
Ruslan Bart0%
Pavel Meleshin0%
Artem Korneev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ruslan Magal19%
Vladimir Iljin18%
Gustavo Furtado17%
Yahia Attiyat Allah12%
Anton Zinkovskiy11%
François Kamano7%
Artem Makarchuk6%
Ignacio Saavedra6%
Sergey Volkov5%
Mikhail Ignatov4%
Dmitriy Vasiljev4%
Kirill Zaika0%
Aleksandr Soldatenkov0%
Roman Ezhov0%
Vyacheslav Litvinov0%
Yury Dyupin0%
Martin Kramarič0%
Nemanja Stojić0%
Aleksandr Osipov0%
Maksim Mukhin0%
Saúl Guarirapa0%
Kirill Kravtsov0%
Marcelo Alves0%
Aleksandr Kovalenko0%
Nabil Aberdin0%
Ruslan Bart0%
Pavel Meleshin0%
Zakhar Fedorov0%
Aleksandr Degtev0%
Artem Korneev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Vladimir Iljin27%
Kirill Kravtsov12%
Ignacio Saavedra11%
Anton Zinkovskiy7%
Vyacheslav Litvinov7%
Mikhail Ignatov4%
François Kamano0%
Kirill Zaika0%
Aleksandr Soldatenkov0%
Roman Ezhov0%
Artem Makarchuk0%
Ruslan Magal0%
Yury Dyupin0%
Martin Kramarič0%
Nemanja Stojić0%
Yahia Attiyat Allah0%
Aleksandr Osipov0%
Maksim Mukhin0%
Saúl Guarirapa0%
Marcelo Alves0%
Gustavo Furtado0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Aleksandr Kovalenko0%
Nabil Aberdin0%
Dmitriy Vasiljev0%
Ruslan Bart0%
Pavel Meleshin0%
Zakhar Fedorov0%
Aleksandr Degtev0%
Artem Korneev0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (28)
€18m
FS (21)
€15m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
FK Neftekhimik's squad is €10m less valuable than FC Sochi's (€5m vs €15m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
FK Neftekhimik's attack is €3m less valuable than FC Sochi's (€2m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
FK Neftekhimik and FC Sochi have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (11)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
FK Neftekhimik's defence is €7m less valuable than FC Sochi's (€2m vs €9m).
Russia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Nizhny Novgorod
Veles
Ural
FC UFA
Torpedo Moskva
Rotor Volgograd
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Spartak Kostroma
Arsenal Tula
Enisey
Volga Ulyanovsk
Leningradets
KAMAZ
Tekstilshchik
Chelyabinsk
Ska-khabarovsk