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FK Neftekhimik vs FC UFA Result & Analysis

Date: 28/08/2026
Time: 16:30
Final 0-1
FK Neftekhimik
FK Neftekhimik
Vs
46%
32%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC UFA
FC UFA
Russia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

A tight, low-scoring affair is expected as FK Neftekhimik host FC UFA, with the model predicting a 46% chance of a home win, 32% for a draw and 21% for an away victory. The most likely result is a 1-0 win for the hosts, a 15.9% probability, and the average goal tally sits at 2.0, with a 28% chance that the total will be exactly two. Neftekhimik’s home form shows they average 1.36 goals scored and 0.91 conceded against similarly matched opponents, while UFA’s away numbers are 0.78 scored and 1.56 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.9%), Under 6.5 (99.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.3%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.9%), Under 5.5 (98.5% with a 4% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.9%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.5%) and Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.6%). Both sides are coming off wins, with Neftekhimik’s last match a 1-0 victory over Rotor Volgograd and UFA’s a 3-1 win against Enisey.

Results analysis

The upset came early as FK Neftekhimik failed to convert their home advantage, losing 0-1 to FC UFA. The pre-match favourite was a Home win with a 46% probability, but the model’s pick was wrong. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 (99.9%), Under 6.5 (99.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.3%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.0%), Under 5.5 (98.5%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.0%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.6%) and Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.1%). Neftekhimik’s recent form shows a string of losses, while UFA are on a two-game winning run, making the 0-1 result a clear surprise.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FK Neftekhimik win✗ Miss
46.3%
Avg Implied 36.8% · @ 2.52
Edge
+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.58
Pinnacle
2.58
Dafabet
2.55
Superbet
2.52
Marathonbet
2.50
Draw✗ Miss
32.5%
Avg Implied 30.7% · @ 3.02
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.13
1xBet
3.11
Dafabet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.02
Superbet
3.00
FC UFA win✓ Hit
21.2%
Avg Implied 32.5% · @ 2.85
Edge
-11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.98
1xBet
2.96
Marathonbet
2.88
Dafabet
2.80
Superbet
2.80

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L22D02L10W02L10W15L02L12L10WA·CHE02/05H·VOL10/05A·SKA16/05A·ARS19/07A·VOL25/07H·TEK01/08A·NIZ08/08H·SHI14/08H·FC 20/08A·ROT24/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.371.331.080.941.56
vs Stronger (2)1.002.001.003.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)1.111.321.360.910.941.59
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (FC UFA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC UFAFC UFA

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L01L10W10W10W11D03L11D31WH·CHE18/04H·KAM22/04A·ROD26/04H·ROT10/05A·SPA16/05H·SKA26/07H·KAM03/08A·URA08/08A·SPA17/08H·ENI23/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.101.250.880.641.36
vs Stronger (8)0.500.750.670.330.401.00
vs Similar (22)1.141.231.381.000.781.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Neftekhimik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%15%025%128%218%39%43%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
59.7%
@ 1.44-4.0%
Under 1.5
40.3%
@ 2.52+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.48
Superbet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Under
Pinnacle
2.67
1xBet
2.49
Marathonbet
2.49
Superbet
2.45
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
31.4%
@ 2.48-6.5%
Under 2.5
68.6%
@ 1.51+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.53
1xBet
2.52
Marathonbet
2.47
Superbet
2.42
Under
1xBet
1.54
Pinnacle
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
Superbet
1.47
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.6%
@ 4.68-5.9%
Under 3.5
86.4%
@ 1.14+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.93
Marathonbet
4.75
1xBet
4.70
Superbet
4.35
Under
Pinnacle
1.17
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.2%
@ 2.04-7.2%
No
61.8%
@ 1.69+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
2.07
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
No
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.69
Superbet
1.68

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.9%@ 6.02+8.7%
0-0
15.3%@ 6.73+8.9%
1-1
14.0%@ 5.36+6.0%
2-0
10.5%@ 10.78+6.5%
0-1 ✓
9.1%@ 6.48+2.5%
2-1
7.8%@ 9.78+3.4%
1-2
4.7%@ 10.62+0.7%
3-0
4.3%@ 27.28+2.7%
FK Neftekhimik goals ↓
FC UFA goals →
01234
015%9.1%3.9%1.0%0.2%
116%14%4.7%1.2%0.2%
210%7.8%2.9%0.7%0.1%
34.3%3.2%1.2%0.3%0.1%
41.3%1.0%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Neftekhimik goals (down), columns = FC UFA goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Sochi
2.57
Nizhny Novgorod
2.29
Veles
2.14
Ural
2.00
FC UFA
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.67
Spartak Kostroma
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.50
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Enisey
1.17
FK Neftekhimik
1.12
Arsenal Tula
1.12
Leningradets
1.00
Tekstilshchik
0.71
KAMAZ
0.71
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Ska-khabarovsk
0.43
FK Neftekhimik is 0.71 points worse than FC UFA in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 1.83).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Nizhny Novgorod
3.00
FC Sochi
2.29
Ural
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.83
Veles
1.57
Enisey
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.33
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
FC UFA
1.17
Chelyabinsk
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Arsenal Tula
0.88
Ska-khabarovsk
0.71
Leningradets
0.67
FK Neftekhimik
0.62
Tekstilshchik
0.29
FK Neftekhimik is 0.54 goals worse than FC UFA in terms of goals scored per game (0.62 vs 1.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ural
0.50
Torpedo Moskva
0.67
Leningradets
0.83
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
FC Sochi
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.17
Enisey
1.33
Nizhny Novgorod
1.43
Veles
1.43
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
KAMAZ
1.57
Arsenal Tula
1.62
Ska-khabarovsk
2.00
Chelyabinsk
2.17
FK Neftekhimik is 0.50 goals worse than FC UFA in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
FC Sochi
54%
FK Neftekhimik
54%
Veles
54%
Volga Ulyanovsk
52%
Arsenal Tula
52%
Leningradets
50%
Nizhny Novgorod
50%
Chelyabinsk
50%
Tekstilshchik
49%
Spartak Kostroma
49%
Ska-khabarovsk
46%
FC UFA
46%
KAMAZ
46%
Ural
40%
FK Neftekhimik is 7.5 percentage points better than FC UFA in terms of average possession (54% vs 46%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik

For 4.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 7.5

🚩 Corners

90336369A·VOLH·SPA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

8041112111435111212235132582335A·VOLH·SPAA·ARSH·FC A·CHAH·URAA·RODH·SKAA·FC A·CHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FC UFAFC UFA

For 5.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

1005510H·SKA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

60223331334111213251234646523565H·SKAA·CHAH·FAKH·ARSA·CHEH·ENIH·FK A·VOLA·FK H·SPA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)7.59.06.01.92.21.6---
vs Stronger (3)---1.71.52.0---
vs Similar (47)7.59.06.01.92.31.5---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line0%0%0%22%26%19%---
% under line100%100%100%78%74%81%---
This opponent (FC UFA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC UFAFC UFA

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.0-2.62.42.8---
vs Stronger (15)---2.53.02.2---
vs Similar (35)10.010.0-2.62.23.1---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line100%100%-40%36%44%---
% under line0%0%-60%64%56%---
This opponent (FK Neftekhimik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tekstilshchik
12.0
Arsenal Tula
11.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
FC Sochi
9.2
Veles
9.0
Ural
9.0
FC UFA
8.7
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Leningradets
8.5
FK Neftekhimik
7.5
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Tekstilshchik
5.0
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
FC Sochi
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Veles
4.2
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.4
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
FC Sochi
27.1
Ural
26.8
Enisey
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
39.7%
@ 2.04-5.6%
Under 9.5
60.3%
@ 1.69+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.07
Marathonbet
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Superbet
2.02
Under
Pinnacle
1.70
Superbet
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.67
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.5%
Under 3.5
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FK Neftekhimik or Draw✗ Miss
78.8%
Avg Implied 67.6% · @ 1.36
Edge
+11.2%
46%
32%
21%
covers FK Neftekhimik + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.37
Superbet
1.36
SBO
1.32
FK Neftekhimik or FC UFA✓ Hit
67.5%
Avg Implied 69.2% · @ 1.33
Edge
-1.6%
46%
32%
21%
covers FK Neftekhimik + FC UFA
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.34
Superbet
1.33
SBO
1.29
Draw or FC UFA✓ Hit
53.7%
Avg Implied 63.2% · @ 1.46
Edge
-9.5%
46%
32%
21%
covers Draw + FC UFA
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.48
Superbet
1.44
SBO
1.41

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
70.6%
@ 1.38+3.3%
Under
29.4%
@ 2.83-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.39
Superbet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
2.99
Marathonbet
2.84
1xBet
2.80
Superbet
2.67
FK Neftekhimik over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
34.6%
@ 2.85+2.1%
Under
65.4%
@ 1.37-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.97
Marathonbet
2.89
Superbet
2.77
1xBet
2.75
Under
1xBet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
Superbet
1.35
FK Neftekhimik over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.5%
@ 7.10-0.3%
Under
87.5%
@ 1.05+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.60
1xBet
7.40
Superbet
6.30
Under
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
FK Neftekhimik over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.6%
Under
96.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC UFA over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
52.3%
@ 1.44-12.1%
Under
47.7%
@ 2.60+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.46
Marathonbet
1.43
Superbet
1.43
1xBet
1.42
Under
Pinnacle
2.72
Marathonbet
2.58
1xBet
2.58
Superbet
2.52
FC UFA over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
17.0%
@ 3.09-12.9%
Under
83.0%
@ 1.32+12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.32
Marathonbet
3.20
Superbet
3.00
1xBet
2.85
Under
1xBet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.30
FC UFA over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.9%
@ 7.97-7.5%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.03+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.00
1xBet
8.00
Superbet
6.90
Under
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
FC UFA over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FK Neftekhimik, so a minus line means FK Neftekhimik give that many goals of a start and FC UFA receive them. At -1, FK Neftekhimik must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FK Neftekhimik win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FK Neftekhimik)Actual: FC UFA
FK Neftekhimik -2
7.4%
Draw -2
14.0%
FC UFA +2
78.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FK Neftekhimik)Actual: FC UFA
FK Neftekhimik -1
21.4%
@ 5.50+5.0%
Draw -1
24.9%
@ 3.96+2.2%
FC UFA +1
53.7%
@ 1.48-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.50
Draw
Marathonbet
3.96
Away
Marathonbet
1.48
Handicap +1 (FK Neftekhimik)Actual: Draw
FK Neftekhimik +1
78.8%
@ 1.37+13.0%
Draw +1
14.6%
@ 4.35-6.1%
FC UFA -1
6.6%
@ 6.70-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.37
Draw
Marathonbet
4.35
Away
Marathonbet
6.70
Handicap +2 (FK Neftekhimik)Actual: FK Neftekhimik
FK Neftekhimik +2
93.4%
Draw +2
5.2%
FC UFA -2
1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L21W02L00D01L10W03L02L02L00DA·CHE02/05H·VOL10/05A·SKA16/05A·ARS19/07A·VOL25/07H·TEK01/08A·NIZ08/08H·SHI14/08H·FC 20/08A·ROT24/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.800.500.750.280.83
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.390.750.550.640.290.82
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (FC UFA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC UFAFC UFA

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D00D00D10W10W00D01L00D00DH·CHE18/04H·KAM22/04A·ROD26/04H·ROT10/05A·SPA16/05H·SKA26/07H·KAM03/08A·URA08/08A·SPA17/08H·ENI23/08
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.330.560.190.360.50
vs Stronger (8)0.250.120.330.000.200.20
vs Similar (22)0.550.410.620.230.440.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Neftekhimik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
64.6%
@ 1.52+3.8%
Under 0.5
35.4%
@ 2.37-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.54
Superbet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Under
Pinnacle
2.49
1xBet
2.34
Marathonbet
2.34
Superbet
2.30
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
27.3%
@ 3.43+0.7%
Under 1.5
72.7%
@ 1.25-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Superbet
3.30
Under
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
8.5%
@ 8.55-2.2%
Under 2.5
91.5%
@ 1.02+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.20
Superbet
7.90
Under
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.1%
@ 2.32+2.3%
Under
57.9%
@ 1.54-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.37
Superbet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.30
1xBet
2.30
Under
Pinnacle
1.57
1xBet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Superbet
1.52
FK Neftekhimik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.4%
@ 9.10+0.2%
Under
89.6%
@ 1.03-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.10
1xBet
9.10
Under
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
FK Neftekhimik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC UFA over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
36.3%
@ 2.48-1.0%
Under
63.7%
@ 1.48+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.56
1xBet
2.46
Marathonbet
2.46
Superbet
2.42
Under
Pinnacle
1.50
1xBet
1.47
Superbet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
FC UFA over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.4%
@ 10.50-1.4%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.01+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
Marathonbet
10.50
Under
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
FC UFA over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L00D10W01L00D12L00D10W10WA·CHE02/05H·VOL10/05A·SKA16/05A·ARS19/07A·VOL25/07H·TEK01/08A·NIZ08/08H·SHI14/08H·FC 20/08A·ROT24/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.570.830.330.670.72
vs Stronger (2)1.000.501.001.001.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.710.570.820.270.650.76
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (FC UFA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC UFAFC UFA

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L01L10W00D00D11D02L11D31WH·CHE18/04H·KAM22/04A·ROD26/04H·ROT10/05A·SPA16/05H·SKA26/07H·KAM03/08A·URA08/08A·SPA17/08H·ENI23/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.770.690.690.290.86
vs Stronger (8)0.250.620.330.330.200.80
vs Similar (22)0.590.820.770.770.330.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Neftekhimik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
71.7%
@ 1.32+2.5%
Under 0.5
28.3%
@ 2.98-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Under
Marathonbet
3.05
1xBet
3.05
Superbet
2.85
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
36.4%
@ 2.58+0.8%
Under 1.5
63.6%
@ 1.42-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.59
Marathonbet
2.59
Superbet
2.55
Under
Marathonbet
1.43
1xBet
1.43
Superbet
1.41
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.8%
@ 6.12-2.0%
Under 2.5
87.2%
@ 1.06+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.40
1xBet
6.35
Superbet
5.60
Under
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
51.4%
@ 1.94+4.0%
Under
48.6%
@ 1.75-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.93
1xBet
1.92
Under
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
Superbet
1.73
FK Neftekhimik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.4%
@ 6.28+0.8%
Under
84.6%
@ 1.08-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.30
1xBet
6.25
Under
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
FK Neftekhimik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.9%
Under
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC UFA over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
42.7%
@ 2.05-2.2%
Under
57.3%
@ 1.67+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.05
1xBet
2.05
Superbet
2.05
Under
1xBet
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
FC UFA over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.4%
@ 7.20-1.4%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.06+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.20
Marathonbet
7.20
Under
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
FC UFA over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.599.6%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals99.3%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.598.5%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+3.5%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.6%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals97.1%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals96.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals96.1%1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
--+7.5%✓ Hit
Under 4.595.1%1.01
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
---+5.2%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap93.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals92.6%1.01
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
---+1.4%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals91.5%1.02
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
---+2.2%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals89.6%1.03
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
----0.2%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals88.6%1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
---+1.4%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals87.5%1.05
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
--+0.3%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals87.2%1.06
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
--+2.0%✓ Hit
Under 3.586.4%1.14
Pinnacle
1.17
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-+5.9%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals84.6%1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
----0.8%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals83.0%1.32
1xBet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.30
-+12.9%✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners81.5%1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
---+5.6%✓ Hit
Home or Draw78.8%1.36
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.37
Superbet
1.36
SBO
1.32
-+11.2%✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap78.8%1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
----+13.0%✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap78.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards77.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards77.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 1.5 HT goals72.7%1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
---0.7%✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners72.0%1.40
Superbet
1.45
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.37
--+6.6%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals71.7%1.32
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
--+2.5%✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals70.6%1.38
Pinnacle
1.39
Superbet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
-+3.3%✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (28)
€18m
FS (21)
€15m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
FK Neftekhimik and FC UFA have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
FK Neftekhimik and FC UFA have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
FK Neftekhimik and FC UFA have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (11)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
FK Neftekhimik and FC UFA have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
3
FN wins
2
Draws
2
FU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FK Neftekhimik vs FC UFA · H/A from FN
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/26HFN Vs FC UFA2-0
30/10/25AFC UFA Vs FN1-1
25/10/25AFC UFA Vs FN3-2
04/05/25AFC UFA Vs FN1-0
21/07/24HFN Vs FC UFA2-1
27/05/23HFN Vs FC UFA2-0
06/11/22AFC UFA Vs FN0-0

FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/08/26ARotor Volgograd Vs FN0-1
20/08/26HFN Vs FC Sochi1-2
14/08/26HFN Vs Shinnik Yaroslavl0-2
08/08/26ANizhny Novgorod Vs FN5-1
01/08/26HFN Vs Tekstilshchik1-0
25/07/26AVolga Ulyanovsk Vs FN2-0
19/07/26AArsenal Tula Vs FN0-1
16/05/26ASka-khabarovsk Vs FN2-0
10/05/26HFN Vs Volga Ulyanovsk2-2
02/05/26AChelyabinsk Vs FN2-0

FC UFAFC UFA

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/26HFU Vs Enisey3-1
17/08/26ASpartak Kostroma Vs FU1-1
08/08/26AUral Vs FU3-0
03/08/26HFU Vs KAMAZ1-1
26/07/26HFU Vs Ska-khabarovsk1-0
16/05/26ASpartak Kostroma Vs FU0-1
10/05/26HFU Vs Rotor Volgograd1-0
26/04/26ARodina Moskva Vs FU1-0
22/04/26HFU Vs KAMAZ0-1
18/04/26HFU Vs Chernomorets1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FK Neftekhimik
FK Neftekhimik
Russia: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLW1.18
HomeWDWLL1.26
AwayLWLLW1.11
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%30%26%
AVG goals2.322.262.37
Over 1.5 %70%65%74%
Over 2.5 %32%35%30%
Over 3.5 %24%30%19%
Scored1.041.041.04
Conceded1.281.221.33
BTTS46%43%48%
Clean Sheet32%43%22%
Corners7.509.006.00
Cards3.103.402.80
FC UFA
FC UFA
Russia: First League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDW1.20
HomeLWWDW1.77
AwayDLWLD0.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%50%8%
AVG goals2.182.312.04
Over 1.5 %62%62%62%
Over 2.5 %36%42%29%
Over 3.5 %20%23%17%
Scored0.981.270.67
Conceded1.201.041.38
BTTS42%42%42%
Clean Sheet32%46%17%
Corners10.0010.00-
Cards4.283.655.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC SochiFC Sochi718
86%
2.6
167+9
3.3
86%
86%
29%
10.5
100%
5.5
100%
-
0%
15
5192.31.0
54%
2Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod716
71%
2.3
2110+11
4.4
100%
100%
71%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
-
0%
18
6393.01.4
50%
3VelesVeles715
71%
2.1
1110+1
3.0
86%
57%
29%
4.5
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
5
2221.61.4
54%
4UralUral612
50%
2.0
113+8
2.3
83%
50%
17%
6.0
0%
4.0
100%
-
0%
11
4241.80.5
40%
5FC UFAFC UFA611
50%
1.8
76+1
2.2
67%
33%
17%
10.5
100%
4.0
100%
27.0
100%
5
2221.21.0
46%
6Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva610
50%
1.7
114+7
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
5141.80.7
-
7Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd810
38%
1.2
108+2
2.2
62%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.21.0
-
8Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl69
33%
1.5
87+1
2.5
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.31.2
-
9Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma69
33%
1.5
77+0
2.3
67%
50%
33%
12.0
100%
5.0
100%
-
0%
8
3241.21.2
49%
10Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula89
25%
1.1
713-6
2.5
62%
50%
38%
8.5
50%
5.0
100%
-
0%
8
3230.91.6
52%
11FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik89
38%
1.1
512-7
2.1
50%
25%
12%
8.5
50%
4.5
100%
27.0
100%
5
2120.61.5
54%
12EniseyEnisey67
17%
1.2
98+1
2.8
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.51.3
-
13Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk67
33%
1.2
79-2
2.7
83%
50%
33%
6.0
0%
5.0
100%
-
0%
6
2131.21.5
52%
14LeningradetsLeningradets66
17%
1.0
45-1
1.5
50%
33%
0%
12.5
100%
4.0
50%
-
0%
5
1120.70.8
50%
15KAMAZKAMAZ75
14%
0.7
711-4
2.6
71%
43%
29%
15.0
100%
3.0
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.6
46%
16TekstilshchikTekstilshchik75
14%
0.7
27-5
1.3
29%
14%
14%
9.0
50%
5.5
100%
-
0%
5
2120.31.0
49%
17ChelyabinskChelyabinsk64
17%
0.7
613-7
3.2
100%
67%
33%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
-
0%
9
4131.02.2
50%
18Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk73
14%
0.4
514-9
2.7
71%
43%
29%
6.5
50%
2.5
50%
-
0%
6
2230.72.0
46%
Russia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →

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