PythiaFootballBETA
FK Partizan, the home team, is expected to emerge victorious in this match, with a 58% probability of a home win, 24% chance of a draw, and 17% probability of an away win. The model's selection is a home win, and the expected total number of goals is 2.8. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 11.6%.
FK Partizan has been performing well at home, scoring an average of 2 goals and conceding 0.86 goals against weaker opponents. IMT Novi Beograd, on the other hand, has struggled away from home, scoring 1 goal and conceding 6 goals against stronger opponents.
The model suggests selecting Over 21.5 fouls, with a probability of 88.9%, and Over 1.5 goals, with a probability of 78.1% and a 1% edge. The home win percentage is 58%, the draw percentage is 24%, and the away win percentage is 17%.
FK Partizan's winless streak was extended as they fell 1-2 to IMT Novi Beograd, handing the latter their first win in five matches. The away win was a major upset, as the model had predicted a home win with a 58% probability. However, the model's call was incorrect, leaving the home side to ponder what could have been. The model's selection, a home win, failed to materialize. Meanwhile, the model suggested a few other selections, with "Over 21.5 fouls" and "Over 1.5" both hitting with probabilities of 88.9% and 78.1% respectively.
FK Partizan| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.67 | 1.27 | 2.00 | 0.86 | 1.38 | 1.62 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 3.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| vs Similar (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Weaker (28) | 1.79 | 1.14 | 2.00 | 0.86 | 1.57 | 1.43 |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+4pp vs league) | |||||
IMT Novi Beograd| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.20 | 1.07 | 1.19 | 0.75 | 1.21 | 1.43 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 1.00 | 2.67 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| vs Similar (14) | 1.50 | 1.14 | 1.29 | 0.86 | 1.71 | 1.43 |
| vs Weaker (13) | 0.92 | 0.62 | 1.14 | 0.57 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+17pp vs league) | |||||
| IMT Novi Beograd goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10% | 12% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 11% | 9.9% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 6.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
FK PartizanIMT Novi BeogradFK Partizan| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 8.8 | 8.6 | 9.0 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 26.2 | 25.9 | 26.5 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 9.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 28.7 | 20.0 | 33.0 |
| vs Similar (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Weaker (47) | 8.8 | 8.6 | 9.0 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 26.0 | 26.2 | 25.9 |
| % over line | 42% | 38% | 45% | 60% | 62% | 58% | 72% | 62% | 82% |
| % under line | 58% | 62% | 55% | 40% | 38% | 42% | 28% | 38% | 18% |
IMT Novi Beograd| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 8.6 | 8.4 | 8.8 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 4.9 | 29.4 | 28.5 | 30.3 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 11.0 | 12.5 | 9.5 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 27.0 | 25.0 | 29.0 |
| vs Similar (22) | 8.7 | 8.1 | 9.4 | 4.3 | 4.0 | 4.6 | 29.5 | 28.8 | 30.3 |
| vs Weaker (24) | 8.1 | 8.0 | 8.2 | 4.8 | 4.3 | 5.3 | 29.8 | 28.9 | 30.6 |
| % over line | 28% | 31% | 25% | 62% | 58% | 67% | 96% | 96% | 96% |
| % under line | 72% | 69% | 75% | 38% | 42% | 33% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 21.5 fouls | 85.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ā Hit |
| Over 1.5 | 78.1% | 1.19 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.20 | +1.1% | ā Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/25 | A | 1-0 | |
| 18/08/25 | H | 5-1 | |
| 16/12/24 | H | 1-1 | |
| 11/08/24 | A | 0-0 | |
| 17/02/24 | H | 5-2 | |
| 03/09/23 | A | 2-3 |
FK Partizan| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 26/07/26 | A | 1-3 | |
| 18/07/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 23/05/26 | H | 5-0 | |
| 17/05/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 09/05/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 02/05/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 22/04/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 2-1 |
IMT Novi Beograd| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 | H | 4-0 | |
| 19/07/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 24/05/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 16/05/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 10/05/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 27/04/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 23/04/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 19/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 08/04/26 | A | 1-3 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value ā¬m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 |  Cukaricki | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 2.4 | 80% | 40% | 20% | 9.8 | 75% | 6.0 | 100% | 28.0 | 75% | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 46% |
| 2 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 9 | 100% | 3.0 | 10 | 1 | +9 | 3.7 | 100% | 67% | 67% | 8.3 | 0% | 3.7 | 67% | 20.3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 67% |
| 3 |  Vojvodina | 4 | 9 | 75% | 2.2 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 3.2 | 100% | 75% | 50% | 8.5 | 25% | 4.8 | 50% | 27.5 | 75% | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 50% |
| 4 | IMT Novi Beograd | 4 | 9 | 75% | 2.2 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 2.2 | 50% | 50% | 25% | 9.2 | 50% | 4.5 | 50% | 30.8 | 75% | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 48% |
| 5 |  ŽelezniÄar PanÄevo | 3 | 5 | 33% | 1.7 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 2.3 | 67% | 67% | 33% | 7.7 | 33% | 5.7 | 100% | 28.7 | 100% | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 54% |
| 6 |  Radnik Surdulica | 4 | 5 | 25% | 1.2 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 2.0 | 75% | 50% | 0% | 10.0 | 67% | 4.3 | 33% | 31.7 | 100% | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 46% |
| 7 |  OFK Beograd | 5 | 5 | 20% | 1.0 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3.0 | 80% | 60% | 60% | 7.2 | 25% | 6.2 | 75% | 30.8 | 100% | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 51% |
| 8 | FK Partizan | 3 | 4 | 33% | 1.3 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 3.7 | 100% | 100% | 67% | 7.7 | 33% | 7.3 | 100% | 29.3 | 100% | 60 | 26 | 19 | 15 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 59% |
| 9 |  Mladost Lucani | 4 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 25% | 9.8 | 25% | 4.2 | 50% | 27.8 | 100% | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 41% |
| 10 |  Novi Pazar | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 2.0 | 50% | 25% | 25% | 9.8 | 25% | 4.5 | 75% | 25.2 | 100% | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 45% |
| 11 |  Radnicki 1923 | 3 | 3 | 33% | 1.0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2.3 | 67% | 67% | 0% | 11.7 | 100% | 5.7 | 100% | 25.0 | 100% | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 52% |
| 12 |  Radnicki NIS | 3 | 3 | 33% | 1.0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2.0 | 67% | 33% | 0% | 9.3 | 67% | 5.0 | 100% | 25.3 | 67% | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 50% |
| 13 |  Macva | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3.0 | 80% | 60% | 40% | 7.8 | 0% | 6.5 | 50% | 29.0 | 75% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.6 | 2.4 | - |
| 14 |  Zemun | 4 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 3.0 | 75% | 75% | 50% | 9.0 | 50% | 6.0 | 75% | 24.8 | 75% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | - |