FK Partizan are tipped to win, with a 51 % chance of triumph, a 25 % draw probability and a 24 % chance for OFK Beograd. The match is expected to see an average of three goals, yet the most likely total is two, with a 23 % chance of that figure. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 11.7 % probability. Partizan’s home form shows they average one goal scored and 1.5 conceded against similar opposition, while Beograd’s away record is 1.44 scored and 1.56 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.7 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.2 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.7 %), Away under 3.5 goals (96.6 % with a 3 % edge), Under 6.5 (96.5 % with a 5 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.3 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (93.2 %) and Over 19.5 fouls (92.4 %). Partizan’s recent run of three losses is balanced by Beograd’s fresh win, setting the stage for a closely contested fixture.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved accurate as FK Partizan secured a 3-1 home win, extending their two-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 51% probability and was correct. The model’s selections were largely on target: Under 7.5 goals hit at 98.8%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.5%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.2%, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.6%, Under 6.5 at 96.6%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.5%, Over 19.5 fouls at 92.8%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 92.7%. All picks settled as hits, confirming the model’s strong predictive performance.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
FK Partizan win✓ Hit
50.5%
Avg Implied 51.0% · @ 1.78
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
Dafabet
1.83
SBO
1.82
Draw✗ Miss
25.2%
Avg Implied 24.5% · @ 3.69
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.92
Marathonbet
3.92
Betfair
3.90
Bet365
3.80
10Bet
3.75
OFK Beograd win✗ Miss
24.3%
Avg Implied 24.5% · @ 3.69
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
4.10
10Bet
4.10
Betano
3.95
Dafabet
3.80
Betfair
3.80
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FK Partizan
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.33
1.71
0.93
1.31
1.69
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (4)
0.75
1.75
2.00
1.00
0.33
2.00
vs Weaker (24)
1.75
1.12
1.69
0.92
1.82
1.36
Clean sheet %
23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Beograd) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OFK Beograd
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.17
0.93
1.00
1.38
1.31
vs Stronger (4)
2.00
1.75
3.00
4.00
1.67
1.00
vs Similar (15)
1.20
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.43
1.71
vs Weaker (11)
0.82
0.73
0.40
0.40
1.17
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Partizan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.4%
@ 1.15+2.3%
Under 1.5
18.6%
@ 4.37-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Under
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.70
10Bet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.1%
@ 1.54-1.6%
Under 2.5
41.9%
@ 2.28+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.58
1xBet
1.57
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Under
Betfair
2.45
Bet365
2.38
Superbet
2.35
10Bet
2.30
Betano
2.30
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.7%
@ 2.32-3.7%
Under 3.5
64.3%
@ 1.51+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.45
10Bet
2.40
Pinnacle
2.39
1xBet
2.38
Marathonbet
2.38
Under
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Betfair
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.7%
@ 1.53-0.1%
No
40.3%
@ 2.27+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Unibet
1.56
Betano
1.55
No
Betfair
2.45
William Hil
2.38
Superbet
2.37
10Bet
2.30
Betano
2.30
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%@ 7.32+5.7%
2-1
9.7%@ 7.79+3.9%
2-0
8.0%@ 9.64+3.4%
1-0
7.8%@ 9.08+2.9%
1-2
6.4%@ 12.20+2.8%
0-0
6.0%@ 13.60+2.7%
3-1 ✓
5.8%@ 11.98+2.1%
2-2
5.8%@ 11.59+2.0%
FK Partizan goals ↓
OFK Beograd goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
4.8%
3.6%
1.4%
0.4%
1
7.8%
12%
6.4%
2.6%
0.8%
2
8.0%
9.7%
5.8%
2.3%
0.7%
3
4.8%
5.8%
3.5%
1.4%
0.4%
4
2.2%
2.6%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Partizan goals (down), columns = OFK Beograd goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.00
Vojvodina
2.14
IMT Novi Beograd
1.86
Radnicki 1923
1.67
Železničar Pančevo
1.60
Cukaricki
1.43
Mladost Lucani
1.43
Radnik Surdulica
1.33
FK Partizan
1.17
OFK Beograd
1.14
Novi Pazar
1.14
Macva
1.00
Radnicki NIS
0.83
Zemun
0.14
FK Partizan is 0.02 points better than OFK Beograd in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.20
Vojvodina
2.14
Železničar Pančevo
1.80
FK Partizan
1.67
IMT Novi Beograd
1.43
Cukaricki
1.29
Radnicki 1923
1.17
OFK Beograd
1.14
Radnik Surdulica
1.00
Mladost Lucani
1.00
Macva
0.71
Novi Pazar
0.71
Radnicki NIS
0.50
Zemun
0.29
FK Partizan is 0.52 goals better than OFK Beograd in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FK Crvena Zvezda
0.20
IMT Novi Beograd
0.57
Vojvodina
0.86
Mladost Lucani
0.86
Radnicki 1923
1.00
Železničar Pančevo
1.00
Radnicki NIS
1.00
Novi Pazar
1.14
Radnik Surdulica
1.50
FK Partizan
1.67
OFK Beograd
1.71
Cukaricki
1.71
Macva
1.86
Zemun
2.00
FK Partizan is 0.05 goals better than OFK Beograd in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.71).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FK Partizan
63%
FK Crvena Zvezda
61%
Železničar Pančevo
61%
Radnicki 1923
58%
Radnicki NIS
55%
OFK Beograd
54%
IMT Novi Beograd
53%
Vojvodina
52%
Novi Pazar
49%
Radnik Surdulica
48%
Cukaricki
41%
Mladost Lucani
38%
Macva
38%
Zemun
37%
FK Partizan is 8.2 percentage points better than OFK Beograd in terms of average possession (63% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FK Partizan
For 5.5 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 15.5 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
OFK Beograd
For 3.5 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 13.9 · Total 28.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FK Partizan
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.2
9.2
4.3
4.3
4.4
26.0
25.4
26.5
vs Stronger (3)
9.0
9.0
9.0
3.7
3.0
4.0
28.7
20.0
33.0
vs Similar (5)
8.2
11.0
6.3
6.4
7.0
6.0
28.4
24.0
31.3
vs Weaker (42)
9.3
9.0
9.7
4.1
4.1
4.2
25.4
25.9
24.9
% over line
49%
52%
45%
62%
64%
60%
71%
61%
82%
% under line
51%
48%
55%
38%
36%
40%
29%
39%
18%
This opponent (OFK Beograd) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OFK Beograd
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
8.5
9.0
4.7
5.3
4.0
29.1
30.3
27.8
vs Stronger (8)
11.1
11.0
11.2
2.6
2.0
2.8
23.6
20.0
24.8
vs Similar (26)
8.0
7.9
8.1
5.2
6.1
4.3
29.6
32.0
27.2
vs Weaker (16)
8.9
8.8
9.0
4.8
5.0
4.5
30.9
30.2
32.2
% over line
32%
36%
28%
64%
72%
56%
92%
96%
88%
% under line
68%
64%
72%
36%
28%
44%
8%
4%
12%
This opponent (FK Partizan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
9.7
Vojvodina
9.4
Mladost Lucani
9.2
FK Partizan
9.2
Radnicki 1923
9.1
Radnik Surdulica
9.0
Cukaricki
9.0
Novi Pazar
9.0
OFK Beograd
8.8
Zemun
8.6
Železničar Pančevo
8.5
Radnicki NIS
8.4
IMT Novi Beograd
8.4
Macva
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Macva
5.9
Zemun
5.9
Radnicki 1923
5.6
Radnik Surdulica
5.3
Radnicki NIS
5.2
OFK Beograd
4.9
Cukaricki
4.8
Vojvodina
4.8
FK Partizan
4.7
Novi Pazar
4.7
Železničar Pančevo
4.5
IMT Novi Beograd
4.5
Mladost Lucani
4.2
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Radnicki 1923
30.4
Radnik Surdulica
30.4
IMT Novi Beograd
29.9
Radnicki NIS
29.3
OFK Beograd
29.1
Macva
28.9
Cukaricki
28.6
Železničar Pančevo
27.8
Vojvodina
26.9
Novi Pazar
26.7
Zemun
26.1
FK Partizan
25.9
Mladost Lucani
25.6
FK Crvena Zvezda
24.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
41.5%
@ 2.23+0.2%
Under 9.5
58.5%
@ 1.56-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
Marathonbet
2.21
1xBet
2.19
Superbet
2.17
Under
Superbet
1.61
1xBet
1.59
Betano
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
69.1%
Under 3.5
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
85.2%
Under 21.5
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FK Partizan or Draw✓ Hit
75.7%
Avg Implied 75.7% · @ 1.21
Edge
+0.0%
51%
25%
24%
covers FK Partizan + Draw
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
FK Partizan or OFK Beograd✓ Hit
74.8%
Avg Implied 77.0% · @ 1.19
Edge
-2.2%
51%
25%
24%
covers FK Partizan + OFK Beograd
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Draw or OFK Beograd✗ Miss
49.5%
Avg Implied 47.3% · @ 1.94
Edge
+2.2%
51%
25%
24%
covers Draw + OFK Beograd
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.10
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Unibet
1.96
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FK Partizan over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.7%
@ 1.11+1.5%
Under
16.3%
@ 5.12-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Under
10Bet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.45
Betano
5.40
1xBet
5.15
FK Partizan over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
54.1%
@ 1.64-2.0%
Under
45.9%
@ 2.09+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.68
Superbet
1.63
Bet365
1.62
Under
Betano
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Superbet
2.15
10Bet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.13
FK Partizan over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
27.3%
@ 2.87-4.5%
Under
72.7%
@ 1.34+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Superbet
2.92
Betano
2.90
Under
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
10Bet
1.35
FK Partizan over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
11.1%
@ 5.78-5.0%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.10+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
6.10
1xBet
5.90
Betano
5.60
Bet365
5.50
Under
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
OFK Beograd over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
70.1%
@ 1.34+1.7%
Under
29.9%
@ 2.90-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.40
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Under
Superbet
3.15
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
2.95
1xBet
2.93
Marathonbet
2.93
OFK Beograd over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
34.0%
@ 2.57-1.6%
Under
66.0%
@ 1.42+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.75
10Bet
2.70
Betano
2.67
Marathonbet
2.61
1xBet
2.61
Under
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
10Bet
1.40
OFK Beograd over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.2%
@ 5.71-3.8%
Under
87.8%
@ 1.09+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.05
Betano
5.90
1xBet
5.80
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.09
BetVictor
1.09
OFK Beograd over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.4%
@ 11.92-4.5%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.02+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
Bet365
11.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FK Partizan, so a minus line means FK Partizan give that many goals of a start and OFK Beograd receive them. At -1, FK Partizan must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FK Partizan win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FK Partizan)Actual: Draw
FK Partizan -2
13.1%
@ 5.47-3.2%
Draw -2
15.7%
@ 5.04-2.0%
OFK Beograd +2
71.2%
@ 1.35+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
5.75
Superbet
5.65
Marathonbet
5.50
Bet365
5.00
Draw
Marathonbet
5.30
Superbet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Away
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.32
Handicap -1 (FK Partizan)Actual: FK Partizan
FK Partizan -1
28.8%
@ 2.91-1.8%
Draw -1
21.7%
@ 3.81-1.7%
OFK Beograd +1
49.5%
@ 1.93+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.00
Superbet
3.00
10Bet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.88
Bet365
2.75
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.88
Superbet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.60
Away
10Bet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Betfair
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.85
Handicap +1 (FK Partizan)Actual: FK Partizan
FK Partizan +1
75.7%
@ 1.22+3.0%
Draw +1
14.1%
@ 5.75-1.3%
OFK Beograd -1
10.2%
@ 7.50-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.50
Away
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.00
Handicap +2 (FK Partizan)Actual: FK Partizan
FK Partizan +2
89.8%
@ 1.06+1.5%
Draw +2
7.0%
@ 13.00-0.2%
OFK Beograd -2
3.2%
@ 21.00-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
21.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FK Partizan
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.53
1.00
0.36
0.56
0.69
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (24)
0.92
0.50
1.08
0.38
0.73
0.64
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Beograd) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OFK Beograd
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.50
0.50
0.57
0.62
0.44
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
1.00
2.00
2.00
1.00
0.67
vs Similar (15)
0.47
0.60
0.38
0.50
0.57
0.71
vs Weaker (11)
0.45
0.18
0.40
0.40
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Partizan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.2%
@ 1.25+0.1%
Under 0.5
26.8%
@ 3.40-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Under
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.60
Superbet
3.50
10Bet
3.40
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
38.1%
@ 2.22-3.2%
Under 1.5
61.9%
@ 1.56+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
Pinnacle
2.32
Marathonbet
2.29
1xBet
2.29
Betfair
2.25
Under
William Hil
1.62
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.60
Betfair
1.57
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.6%
@ 4.81-5.4%
Under 2.5
86.4%
@ 1.13+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.20
William Hil
5.00
Betano
4.80
Under
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.14
Betfair
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Partizan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
55.3%
@ 1.64-1.1%
Under
44.7%
@ 2.12+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.66
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.63
10Bet
1.62
Under
Superbet
2.17
10Bet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.14
1xBet
2.14
Betano
2.10
FK Partizan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
19.0%
@ 4.04-3.9%
Under
81.0%
@ 1.19+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.33
10Bet
4.00
1xBet
4.00
Betano
3.95
Superbet
3.90
Under
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.16
FK Partizan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.5%
@ 9.69-5.1%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.03+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
10.00
10Bet
10.00
1xBet
10.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
OFK Beograd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
37.4%
@ 2.18-5.0%
Under
62.6%
@ 1.61+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.23
Marathonbet
2.17
Superbet
2.17
1xBet
2.16
Under
10Bet
1.65
1xBet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
Superbet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.58
OFK Beograd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.3%
@ 7.00-4.8%
Under
91.7%
@ 1.06+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.40
1xBet
7.30
10Bet
7.00
Superbet
6.80
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
OFK Beograd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 25.00-2.4%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
24.00
Under
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FK Partizan
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.80
0.71
0.57
0.75
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (4)
0.50
1.25
2.00
1.00
0.00
1.33
vs Weaker (24)
0.83
0.62
0.62
0.54
1.09
0.73
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Beograd) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OFK Beograd
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
0.43
0.43
0.75
0.88
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.75
1.00
2.00
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (15)
0.73
0.73
0.62
0.50
0.86
1.00
vs Weaker (11)
0.36
0.55
0.00
0.00
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Partizan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.9%
@ 1.15-1.5%
Under 0.5
21.1%
@ 4.69+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Under
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.75
10Bet
4.75
1xBet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.65
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
47.8%
@ 1.77-4.4%
Under 1.5
52.2%
@ 1.94+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
Under
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.95
William Hil
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.91
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
19.7%
@ 3.35-7.7%
Under 2.5
80.3%
@ 1.27+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.34
Superbet
3.30
Under
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.24
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Partizan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
59.1%
@ 1.42-6.3%
Under
40.9%
@ 2.67+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.43
Superbet
1.43
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Under
10Bet
2.75
Betano
2.72
Superbet
2.62
1xBet
2.60
FK Partizan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
23.0%
@ 2.98-8.0%
Under
77.0%
@ 1.34+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.08
Superbet
3.05
1xBet
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Betano
2.82
Under
Betano
1.38
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
FK Partizan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.3%
@ 7.15-5.7%
Under
92.7%
@ 1.06+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.90
Superbet
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
OFK Beograd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
46.4%
@ 1.86-3.2%
Under
53.6%
@ 1.84+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.91
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Superbet
1.83
Under
Superbet
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.81
10Bet
1.80
OFK Beograd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.8%
@ 5.21-3.0%
Under
85.2%
@ 1.12+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.40
1xBet
5.30
Superbet
5.00
Betano
4.85
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
OFK Beograd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 14.92-3.5%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.01+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.5%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
92.7%
1.06
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
-
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.7%
1.06
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
91.4%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Superbet
1.07
BetVictor
1.03
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
89.8%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
88.9%
1.10
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
87.8%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.09
BetVictor
1.09
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.4%
1.13
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.14
Betfair
1.11
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.2%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
83.7%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.4%
1.15
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.15
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
81.2%
1.19
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
81.0%
1.19
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.16
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.3%
1.27
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.24
+7.7%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
80.2%
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.9%
1.15
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
-1.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
77.0%
1.34
Betano
1.38
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
+8.0%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
75.7%
1.21
BetVictor
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
+0.0%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
75.7%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
-
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
74.8%
1.19
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-2.2%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.2%
1.25
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
72.7%
1.34
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
10Bet
1.35
+4.5%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
71.2%
1.35
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.32
-
+5.3%
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
70.4%
1.33
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.29
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
70.1%
1.34
Pinnacle
1.40
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
+1.7%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FK Partizan
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Demba Seck50%
Igor Miladinović25%
Ibrahim Zubairu25%
Milan Aleksić25%
Ognjen Ugrešić17%
Chaka Traorè14%
Jeh14%
Bogdan Kostić14%
Milan Vukotić12%
Erik Kojzek12%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Nikola Čumić0%
Miloš Krunić0%
Marko Milošević0%
Iddrisu Baba0%
Stefan Milić0%
Nemanja Trifunović0%
Vukašin Đurđević0%
Mateja Milovanović0%
Milan Roganović0%
Nikola Simic0%
Samson Nwulu0%
Aleks Zeković0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nemanja Trifunović33%
Iddrisu Baba25%
Milan Vukotić25%
Ibrahim Zubairu25%
Aleks Zeković25%
Vukašin Đurđević20%
Samson Nwulu20%
Ognjen Ugrešić17%
Stefan Milić14%
Chaka Traorè14%
Jeh14%
Milan Roganović14%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Nikola Čumić0%
Miloš Krunić0%
Marko Milošević0%
Demba Seck0%
Mateja Milovanović0%
Igor Miladinović0%
Nikola Simic0%
Erik Kojzek0%
Milan Aleksić0%
Bogdan Kostić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Igor Miladinović50%
Milan Vukotić25%
Samson Nwulu20%
Jeh14%
Milan Roganović14%
Erik Kojzek12%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Nikola Čumić0%
Miloš Krunić0%
Marko Milošević0%
Iddrisu Baba0%
Stefan Milić0%
Nemanja Trifunović0%
Demba Seck0%
Chaka Traorè0%
Vukašin Đurđević0%
Mateja Milovanović0%
Ibrahim Zubairu0%
Nikola Simic0%
Milan Aleksić0%
Ognjen Ugrešić0%
Bogdan Kostić0%
Aleks Zeković0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikola Čumić67%
Nemanja Trifunović33%
Demba Seck33%
Ibrahim Zubairu25%
Milan Aleksić25%
Chaka Traorè14%
Jeh14%
Erik Kojzek12%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Miloš Krunić0%
Marko Milošević0%
Iddrisu Baba0%
Stefan Milić0%
Milan Vukotić0%
Vukašin Đurđević0%
Mateja Milovanović0%
Milan Roganović0%
Igor Miladinović0%
Nikola Simic0%
Ognjen Ugrešić0%
Bogdan Kostić0%
Samson Nwulu0%
Aleks Zeković0%
OFK Beograd
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yacouba Silue50%
Jovan Šljivić33%
Đorđe Ranković20%
Sergio Peña17%
Tjay De Barr17%
Marko Gobeljić0%
Milan Rodić0%
Uroš Stojanović0%
Edmund Addo0%
Stefan Despotovski0%
Miljan Momčilović0%
Aleksej Vukičević0%
Vuk Draškić0%
Ethan Hoard0%
Andrej Pavlovic0%
Aderoju Hameed Ayinde0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Edmund Addo67%
Andrej Pavlovic50%
Aleksej Vukičević25%
Marko Gobeljić20%
Tjay De Barr17%
Yacouba Silue17%
Miljan Momčilović17%
Aderoju Hameed Ayinde17%
Milan Rodić0%
Sergio Peña0%
Uroš Stojanović0%
Stefan Despotovski0%
Jovan Šljivić0%
Vuk Draškić0%
Ethan Hoard0%
Đorđe Ranković0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aderoju Hameed Ayinde33%
Marko Gobeljić20%
Sergio Peña17%
Uroš Stojanović17%
Milan Rodić0%
Tjay De Barr0%
Edmund Addo0%
Stefan Despotovski0%
Yacouba Silue0%
Miljan Momčilović0%
Aleksej Vukičević0%
Jovan Šljivić0%
Vuk Draškić0%
Ethan Hoard0%
Andrej Pavlovic0%
Đorđe Ranković0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yacouba Silue50%
Jovan Šljivić33%
Ethan Hoard17%
Aderoju Hameed Ayinde17%
Marko Gobeljić0%
Milan Rodić0%
Sergio Peña0%
Uroš Stojanović0%
Tjay De Barr0%
Edmund Addo0%
Stefan Despotovski0%
Miljan Momčilović0%
Aleksej Vukičević0%
Vuk Draškić0%
Andrej Pavlovic0%
Đorđe Ranković0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (32)
€115m
FP (30)
€48m
VOJ (29)
€30m
OB (28)
€18m
ŽP (24)
€13m
INB (23)
€12m
RN (26)
€11m
NP (21)
€10m
CUK (23)
€10m
R1 (26)
€9m
RS (26)
€9m
ML (28)
€8m
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
FK Partizan's squad is €30m more valuable than OFK Beograd's (€48m vs €18m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€62m
FP (15)
€24m
VOJ (15)
€13m
ŽP (9)
€7m
OB (10)
€6m
RN (11)
€4m
ML (10)
€4m
R1 (10)
€4m
CUK (8)
€4m
INB (8)
€4m
NP (9)
€3m
RS (10)
€3m
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
FK Partizan's attack is €18m more valuable than OFK Beograd's (€24m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (6)
€21m
FP (2)
€11m
VOJ (4)
€7m
OB (8)
€4m
INB (3)
€4m
R1 (6)
€3m
NP (3)
€2m
CUK (5)
€2m
RS (5)
€2m
ZEM (5)
€1m
ML (6)
€1m
ŽP (4)
€1m
RN (3)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
FK Partizan's midfield is €7m more valuable than OFK Beograd's (€11m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€33m
FP (13)
€14m
VOJ (10)
€9m
OB (10)
€8m
ŽP (11)
€6m
RN (12)
€5m
NP (9)
€5m
RS (11)
€4m
INB (12)
€4m
CUK (10)
€3m
R1 (10)
€3m
ML (12)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
ZEM (8)
€1m
FK Partizan's defence is €6m more valuable than OFK Beograd's (€14m vs €8m).
Serbia: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Super Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FK Crvena Zvezda
Vojvodina
IMT Novi Beograd
Mladost Lucani
Radnicki 1923
Cukaricki
Železničar Pančevo
Radnik Surdulica
Novi Pazar
Macva
Radnicki NIS
Zemun